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Archive for July 14, 2015
Which One Is It? Contradicting Terms of Deal
July 14, 2015Which One Is It? Contradicting Reports on Terms of Iran Deal
Iranian state press presents deal meeting every Iranian demand, but diplomats presented a different set of terms.
By Tova Dvorin
First Publish: 7/14/2015, 12:41 PM / Last Update: 7/14/2015, 1:43 PM
via Which One Is It? Contradicting Terms of Deal – Global Agenda – News – Arutz Sheva.
The Iranian state press has presented its side of the nuclear talks Tuesday, as both Western and Iranian foreign ministers present the terms of the deal in a historic press conference over the nuclear agreement.
Just before the formal announcement, state-run PressTV revealed, allegedly, some of the terms of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), including:
- That economic sanctions on Iran from the United Nations will be lifted immediately “under a mutually agreed framework and through a new UN resolution”;
- that none of the Iranian nuclear facilities will be dismantled;
- that “nuclear research and development activities on all types of centrifuges, including advanced IR-6 and IR-8 machines, will continue”;
- that economic sanctions from the US and the EU will be lifted as soon as the agreement is implemented;
- that the arms embargo will be lifted, to a limited degree, immediately; those limits, which remain unspecified, will allegedly be lifted after 5 years;
- that tens of billions of dollars in Iranian revenue in offshore accounts will be released;
- and that 800 people and legal entities, including “the Central Bank of Iran (CBI), the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines and the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), will be taken off sanctions lists.”
The agreement, PressTV insisted, would be presented to the UN Security Council within the next 7-10 days.
If true, several of terms would point to concessions by the West – and especially by the US – to terms the US deemed “red lines” in a future deal, including the arms embargo lift and the allowance of IR-8 machines, which could allow Iran to produce a nuclear weapon within weeks.
The announcement directly contradicts earlier remarks from an Iranian diplomat to Reuters, who had stated that the terms included more demands made by Western powers. In that report, the diplomat said:
- that a UN arms embargo would remain in place for five years;
- that UN missile sanctions would stay in place for eight years;
- and that Iran has allegedly accepted a “snapback” plan whereby sanctions would be restored within 65 days if it was found that it was violating the agreement.
As of this publication, the exact terms of the agreement have yet to be announced.
However, just as EU, Iran, and the P5+1 meet for a closed session Tuesday afternoon (update: 1:30 pm IST), International Crisis Group Iran analyst Ali Vaez began tweeting tidbits from what appears to be a leaked copy of the deal, according to the Guardian.
Many of the tidbits appear to corroborate the Iranian version of events; the veracity of the leaked document remains unconfirmed.
PM: Deal Or Not, Israel Won’t Let Iran Get Nukes
July 14, 2015Netanyahu Warns: Deal Or No Deal, We Won’t Let Iran Go Nuclear
Speaking to Knesset, PM Binyamin Netanyahu says it appears P5+1 have made their minds up already – and so has Israel.
By Ari Soffer
First Publish: 7/13/2015, 4:44 PM
via PM: Deal Or Not, Israel Won’t Let Iran Get Nukes – Inside Israel – News – Arutz Sheva.
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu addresses weekly cabinet meeting
Credit: Emil Salman/Flash 90
As talk continues of an imminent deal between Iran and world powers – one which reportedly would see Tehran receive all of its demands – Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has added his voice to a growing number of senior Israeli officials warning that regardless of the outcome, Israel is not bound by the deal.
“Even over the weekend, as Iran continued to receive more and more concessions at the negotiating table, Iranian President Rouhani led a march of hatred in the streets of Tehran in which the masses cried, ‘Death to America! Death to Israel!'” Netanyahu said, describing Iran’s recent “Al Quds (Jerusalem) Day” in an address to the Knesset Monday.
“If the concessions continued even after these unequivocal calls for the destruction of those conducting the negotiations, it seems that there are those who are ready to make an agreement at any price – and this bad agreement is unavoidable,” the prime minister acknowledged.
He noted that Israel was never under any illusions that it could control the outcome of the negotiations, despite Jerusalem’s intensive efforts to explain its opposition to the looming agreement and lobby against major concessions – but that didn’t mean Israel would stand by and allow Iran to acquire nuclear weapons.
“In any case, we never committed ourselves to preventing an agreement, certainly not one that the major powers are ready to sign at any price.
“We did commit ourselves to prevent Iran from arming itself with nuclear weapons – and indeed, were it not for our efforts over the years, Iran would already be able to develop atomic bombs.
“Our commitment is to prevent Iran from arming itself with nuclear weapons and it is valid today more than ever. I call on all those who care about Israel’s security to unite behind this commitment.”
Iran Has a New Cage
July 14, 2015Iran’s Rouhani says ‘God has accepted nation’s prayers’
Via Yahoo News 7-14-2015
Hmmm. [Source: Unknown]
(I chose this short post because it demonstrates the lack of news reporting by our press coming OUT of Iran. Like most, I sat painfully as I watched Obama announce his ‘victory’ over Iran. The coverage was detailed and in real time. Surprisingly, one of the networks, which one escapes me now, actually went live for Rouhani’s announcement to the Iranian people, in Farsi of course. The translator struggled along and said something that struck me. She translated Rouhani saying, ‘Iran has a new cage.’ No one seemed to notice. Then it struck me. What else is he telling his people and how does it reconcile with what the western press is telling us. We may never know. Therein lies the real news, in my humble opinion. – LS)
Tehran (AFP) – Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said in a live televised address Tuesday that “God has accepted the nation’s prayers”, hailing a nuclear deal with world powers that will lift sanctions.
Rouhani spoke minutes after US President Barack Obama’s comments on the agreement struck in Vienna were also broadcast live on state television.
Joint comprehensive plan of action — text
July 14, 2015Joint comprehensive plan of action [PDF], July 14, 2015
(It’s about 150 pages in length, with frequent references to Annex I, dealing with IAEA inspections, which begins at page 21. The part of the annex dealing with IAEA inspections concerning “M. PAST AND PRESENT ISSUES OF CONCERN” starts at page 38; access begins at page 42. It’s complicated and dramatically delays and limits the nature and scope of the inspections, giving Iran ample time to hide its activities. Among other provisions, it includes:
In line with normal international safeguards practice, such requests will not be aimed at interfering with Iranian military or other national security activities, but will be exclusively for resolving concerns regarding fulfilment of the JCPOA commitments and Iran’s other non-proliferation and safeguards obligations.
. . . .
If the absence of undeclared nuclear materials and activities or activities inconsistent with the JCPOA cannot be verified after the implementation of the alternative arrangements agreed by Iran and the IAEA, or if the two sides are unable to reach satisfactory arrangements to verify the absence of undeclared nuclear materials and activities or activities inconsistent with the JCPOA at the specified locations within 14 days of the IAEA’s original request for access, Iran, in consultation with the members of the Joint Commission, would resolve the IAEA’s concerns through necessary means agreed between Iran and the IAEA. In the absence of an agreement, the members of the Joint Commission, by consensus or by a vote of 5 or more of its 8 members, would advise on the necessary means to resolve the IAEA’s concerns. The process of consultation with, and any action by, the members of the Joint Commission would not exceed 7 days, and Iran would implement the necessary means within 3 additional days.
— DM
The reality of the Iran deal: Congress can’t ‘kill’ it
July 14, 2015The reality of the Iran deal: Congress can’t ‘kill’ it
US President Obama does not need congressional approval to sign an Iran deal or go to the UN to lift sanctions.
13 Jul 2015 22:07 GMT
via The reality of the Iran deal: Congress can’t ‘kill’ it – Al Jazeera English.
About the Author
Patty Culhane
White House Correspondent
Washington, DC is a confusing place.
I keep hearing very reputable journalists report that the new law on Iran sanctions will give Congress the ability to “kill” any potential agreement.
I don’t think that is right, but I’ve been doubting myself because so many people are saying it. I’ve gone back three times and read the bill.
Here is what the law actually does. It gives Congress the power to stop the US president from lifting US sanctions on Iran.
If you look at the numbers, it’s pretty certain that they will only be able to stop him for a short time.
It doesn’t stop President Barack Obama from making the agreement or going to the UN and lifting international sanctions.
So I’ve been trying to figure out how that could “kill” any potential agreement.
The only thing I can think of is the mentality that the US is the centre of the world is behind the assumption.
Let’s assume for the sake of argument that Congress will override a presidential veto and forbid him from waiving most US sanctions on Iran.
I can only guess that these people are assuming that without US sanctions relief Iran would walk away from their side of the bargain.
Why would they do that? They would basically be saying “I can now do business with the entire globe except America, but that is just not good enough.”
The White House doesn’t believe Congress can now say yes or no to a deal. This is what White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest said as the bill was making its way through Congress:
“The bill that has passed by the Senate Foreign Relations Committee with bipartisan support essentially is a vote to vote later on congressional sanctions and not the decision about whether or not to enter into the agreement, that would certainly resolve some of the concerns we’ve expressed about the authority that is exercised by the president of the United States to conduct foreign policy.”
The president would never give up his right to act as the sole “decider” on foreign policy.
He doesn’t need congressional approval to do whatever he feels like at the UN. He was smart enough to not frame this as an official treaty.
The Senate would have had to weigh in on that and with the lobbying that is taking place, it never would have passed.
I have to think the reason behind this mischaracterisation is coming from some members of Congress. They can tell their constituents that they are “being tough”.
They can vote their disapproval knowing, in the end, it won’t change a thing.
I don’t know if the negotiators will actually get a deal, but I’m certain about this Congress can’t kill it if they do.
They can try to force Iran to walk away. They can embarrass their president on the world stage. They can keep American companies from benefiting from any sanctions relief in Iran.
They can complain and they will.
If they get a deal we will see a mad dash by members of Congress to the closest camera.
There will be outrage, and name calling, but in the end that will likely be the extent of what Congress can do – because no matter what the politicians say, they really have little power to stop it.
Source: Al Jazeera
“Peace for Our Time” – Iran Nuclear Deal Announced Tuesday Morning
July 14, 2015An announcement of an agreement is expected at 11:30 a.m. (4:30 a.m. EDT).
By: Tzvi Ben-Gedalyahu
Published: July 14th, 2015
via The Jewish Press » » “Peace for Our Time” – Iran Nuclear Deal Announced Tuesday Morning.
“Destroying Israel is non-negotiable.” said Mohammad Reza Naqdi, head of Iran’s elite Revolutionary Guards Corps.
Update: Iran and the P5+1 have reached their final agreement over Iran’s nuclear plan, on Tuesday morning, clearing the path for Iran to acquire nuclear weapons.
As Neville Chamberlain said, after signing a deal with Hitler at the Munich Conference in 1938, “I believe it is ‘peace for our time.’ Go home and get a nice quiet sleep.”
The US Congress now has a 60-day period to review the nuclear deal and vote on a resolution approving or disapproving of the deal. If Congress gives it a vote of disapproval, the president could then issue a presidential veto, which Congress could then try to outvote and override.
The deal itself will not be signed, and will instead implement it without signatures. In a few months sanctions on Iran will be dropped.
The “Black Monday” that was expected yesterday apparently will be “Black Tuesday.”
Iran and the P5+1 powers will announce a final agreement this morning on the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program, according to media reports. It will take a year to understand if the deal actually stops helps Iran get its hands on a nuclear weapon.
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu warned yesterday that Israel’s failure to prevent a “bad deal” does not change its determination to use whatever means necessary to stop Iran from becoming a nuclear power.
A formal announcement of an agreement is expected at a press conference this morning, possibly preceded by separate statements from President Barack Obama and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov reportedly wants to leave Vienna before noon, a sure sign that an agreement has been reached.
Congress has 60 days to review the bill, but it will not be able to torpedo it unless there is a wholesale rebellion of Democrats that would prevent a presidential veto of non-approval by legislators.
Rouhani has provided plenty of ammunition for opponents to the deal, having said that Iran still will consider the United States an enemy country.
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