Archive for June 3, 2015

Three rockets shot from Gaza at southern Israel; no injuries

June 3, 2015

Three rockets shot from Gaza at southern Israel; no injuries

Missiles strike Sdot Negev region; attack comes several days after Grad shot at Gan Yavneh

By Times of Israel staff June 3, 2015, 11:06 pm

via Three rockets shot from Gaza at southern Israel; no injuries | The Times of Israel.

 

Three rockets were shot at southern Israel from the Gaza Strip Wednesday night, police said, sending residents hurrying to bomb shelters for the second time in a little over a week.

The Israel Defense Forces said two rockets were fired from the Palestinian enclave and sirens were heard in Netivot and Ashkelon. Police later said three projectiles struck Israel.

The rockets landed in open areas in the Sdot Negev region bordering the northern Gaza Strip, according to media reports.

There were no injuries reported, the army said.

Alarms sounded just before 11 p.m. in the Sdot Negev and Hof Ashkelon regions bordering the northern Gaza Strip, as well as the towns of Netivot and Ashkelon.

There was no immediate claim of responsibility for the rocket fire, but Hamas was reportedly evacuating its command centers in anticipation of an Israeli retaliation.

Residents of the Gaza Strip reported low-flying Israeli Air Force planes over the Palestinian territory shortly after the rocket attacks.

A Hamas source told Israel Radio that the rockets may have been fired by a cell of Salafist extremists allied with the Islamic State in retaliation for one of its members being killed by Hamas on Tuesday. The source said that Hamas was deploying its troops across the Gaza Strip to keep the peace.

Israel holds Hamas responsible for any rocket fire, though the sporadic attacks since an August ceasefire have been attributed to smaller groups which oppose Hamas rule.

On May 26, Palestinians shot a Grad rocket into Israel, striking an area outside the town of Gan Yavneh, in an attack that broke several weeks of calm.

Palestinian and Israeli officials said the rocket attack, which caused no injuries or damage, was the result of internal fighting within the Islamic Jihad terror group.

Israeli planes struck Gaza soon after and Defense Minister Moshe Ya’alon warned Hamas to rein in any attempts by Gaza terror groups to attack Israel, or “pay a heavy price.”

The attack comes a day after rocket sirens sounded across the rest of the country as part of a major civil defense drill. Areas near Gaza, which absorbed thousands of rockets during last summer’s conflict with the Strip, were excluded from the drill.

Escalating rocket fire from Gaza at Israel’s southern communities in 2014 was among the triggers of a bloody, two-month war between Israel and the armed factions in the Strip. During the conflict, Palestinians fired over 4,000 rockets at Israeli towns and cities, some of which reached Tel Aviv and as far north as Haifa’s suburbs.

Last week’s attack marked the first time a Grad rocket, which can go farther than the smaller Kassams more commonly shot out of Gaza, had been fired at Israel since the summer war.

Israel is wary of Gaza terrorist groups rearming after war. The IDF says Hamas has been conducting test launches in recent months in order to increase its rocket-launching capabilities.

IAF Reminds Hezbollah of the Existence of a Jewish State

June 3, 2015

Reports: IAF Jets Strike Targets in Syrian Border Area

By Roi Kais Latest Update:06.02.15, 15:32 Via Israel News


Photo: Archives/Herzl Yosef

(In my opinion, Hezbollah is probably using the cover of battle with ISIS to move more military hardware in the area that is intended for eventual use against Israel. The only other explanation I can think of is air support for Hezbollah but that is certainly not an option. – LS)

Lebanese media says attacks took place in area where Hezbollah is fighting rebels aiming to oust Assad; Hezbollah denies attacks.

Israel Air Force jets struck targets in the are of the Lebanon-Syrian border in the Bekaa valley, Lebanese media reported Tuesday afternoon.

The reports said that there were wounded in the strikes. The intended target was initially unclear in the reports.

According to the reports, the two attacks occurred in the mountain region where Hezbollah has been fighting rebels aiming to oust Syrian President Bashar Assad.

Hezbollah officials, in an interview with Al-Manar television and the Lebanese news website Al-Ahad, both affiliated with the organization, denied reports of the attacks in the Bekaa Valley.

According to the same sources the sound heard in the border region between Syria and Lebanon was due to the penetration of airplanes into Lebanese airspace.

If the reports are proven to be correct, Tuesday would not be the first time that Israel has struck targets in lebanon deemed to be a threat to national security. Such strikes have included the destruction of missile shipments to Hezbollah.

 

Mobile giant Orange seeking to join Israel boycott, CEO says

June 3, 2015

Mobile giant Orange seeking to join Israel boycott, CEO says

Stephane Richard tells conference in Cairo he would end link ‘tomorrow’ but fears penalties

By AP and Times of Israel staff June 3, 2015, 9:20 pm

via Mobile giant Orange seeking to join Israel boycott, CEO says | The Times of Israel.

No need for cutting ties with Israel, i suspect your done in Israel, there are a 100 other company,s , who are able to fill in your place.BY BY , have a nice day .

The Hebrew version of the Orange Telecom logo. The text says “The future sounds Orange.” (Flash90)

he chief executive officer of French mobile phone giant Orange said he would end his company’s relationship with an Israeli operator that pays to use its name “tomorrow” if he could, but that to do so would be a “huge risk” in terms of penalties.

Speaking Wednesday at a news conference in Cairo laying out the company’s plans for the years ahead in Egypt, Stephane Richard said that his company’s intention is to withdraw the Orange brand from Israel as soon as possible, but that the move would take time.

The statement comes as Israeli leaders have upped their rhetoric against the pro-Palestinian Boycott Divestment Sanctions movement that seeks to isolate Israel for international investment.

On Tuesday, the British university student union voted to cut ties with Israel, drawing harsh Israeli condemnation, including officials who said the move was anti-Semitic.

French human rights organizations have been pushing their government, which has a quarter stake in Orange, and the company itself, to end the relationship over Partner Communications Ltd.’s activity in Israeli settlements, which are considered illegal by the international community.

The carrier, one of three major providers in the Israeli cell market, is available in Palestinian territories.

According to Partner Communications CEO Haim Romano, the company has an agreement with Orange to use the name for 10 more years, after a deal was recently renewed, according to Israeli news site Ynet.

Romano said the company regretted Stephane Richard’s statement which he said could hurt his company’s bottom line, and raise the ire of Israeli subscribers of the brand.

In Egypt, local Orange franchisee Mobinil has also come under pressure from BDS activists protesting Orange’s business with Israel.

Iran’s cooperation with North Korea includes nuclear warhead technology

June 3, 2015

Iran’s cooperation with North Korea includes nuclear warhead technology, The Hill, Alireza Jafarzadeh, June 5, 2015

(The author of the article,

Jafarzadeh, the deputy director of the Washington office of the National Council of Resistance of Iran, is credited with exposing Iranian nuclear sites in Natanz and Arak in 2002, triggering International Atomic Energy Agency inspections. He is the author of “The Iran Threat” (Palgrave MacMillan: 2008).

— DM)

For years, the conventional wisdom has been that Iran and North Korea have long cooperated in missile technology, giving the perception of not so dangerous of an alliance. That was until last week. In yet another groundbreaking revelation, Iran’s main opposition movement, the Mujahedin-e Khalq (MEK) provided information that Iran and North Korea have been engaged in extensive exchange of information and visits by experts on nuclear weapons and nuclear warhead design, as recently as April 2015.

The MEK, based on information obtained by its network inside Iran, provided a detailed account of a visit to North Korea in 2013 by Tehran’s top nuclear weapons experts headed by elusive Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, who was present during the last nuclear test conducted by North Korea.

A seven-member North Korean delegation, comprised of experts in nuclear warhead design and various parts of ballistic missiles including guidance systems, spent the last week of April in Iran. This was the third such nuclear and missile team to visit Iran in 2015. The next delegation is scheduled to secretly arrive in Iran in June and will be comprised of nine experts, according to the same MEK sources.

That Tehran continues to closely engage with North Korea, a country that cheated its way into making a nuclear weapon, all the while pledging that it would not do so, should be an additional cause for alarm. It should be a red flag for the P5+1 countries as they continue their negotiations with Iran in Vienna and Geneva with only days left before the June 30 deadline to sign an agreement.

The Iran-North Korea nuclear cooperation is in sharp contrast to what the Iranian regime leaders are telling the world. It also explains why the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei rejects IAEA inspections of military sites, snap inspection of all sites, and interviews with nuclear scientists.

Tehran has so far managed to largely push its missile program out of the nuclear agreement requirements, and with it its extensive nuclear cooperation with North Korea—something that was kept under the radar for years.

The North Korean nuclear experts who traveled to Iran in April stayed in a secret guesthouse, a cordoned-off eight-story building, near a Hemmat Industrial Group site in the Khojir area, northeast of Tehran. Named “Imam Khomeini Complex,” and also known as 2000 units, the site is controlled by the Ministry of Defense (MoD).

The Korean delegation’s needs were met by Center for Research and Design of New Aerospace Technology, one of seven sections of the Organization of Defensive Innovation and Research (SPND). Dr. Aref Bali Lashak, who personally dealt with the Korean delegation, heads this section.

The North Korean delegation dealt with this section of SPND whose responsibility is electronics area of research and manufacturing interior parts of nuclear warhead. The visit’s arrangements were made by the Directorate of Coordination of the Iranian Ministry of Defense (MoD), headed by Brigadier General Nassorllah Ezati and the Directorate of Inspections of the MoD headed by IRGC Brigadier General Alireza Tamizi.

While there were earlier reports about Fakhrizadeh’s presence during the North Korean’s 2013 nuclear test, a two-year investigation by the Iranian opposition shows that Fakhrizadeh had gone to North Korea for the nuclear test through China under the alias  “Dr. Hassan Mohseni.”

Fakhrizadeh, the head of SPND and the key figure in activities concerning the military dimensions of the regime’s nuclear program, is a Brigadier General of the IRGC, with whom the IAEA has repeatedly requested interviews, but to no avail.

The MEK first exposed the formation of SPND in July 2011 and the State Department placed it on its sanctions list in August 2014.

According to the Iranian opposition reports, during the North Korean visit, Fakhrizadeh, accompanied by two other SPND nuclear experts, stayed in Hotel Koryo in Pyongyang and spent only two hours at the Iranian regime’s embassy. To keep his visit a secret, Mansour Chavoshi, Tehran’s Ambassador to Pyongyang, personally welcomed Fakhrizadeh and facilitated his communications and exchanges with North Korean officials.

The stunning detailed information provided by the MEK is further indication that the drive to acquire nuclear weapons remains at the core of the Iranian regime’s program as nuclear negotiations continue.

North Korea’s nefarious connection once again proves that after three decades of concealment and deception, adding six or nine months to the nuclear breakout time as a result of the P5+1 negotiations will not lead to a lasting solution. Washington needs to rethink its strategy in dealing with the Iranian regime; a strategy that would eliminate, not delay, the regime’s ability to build the bomb, because Tehran consistently shows that it must not be trusted. Any nuclear agreement with Tehran, which would leave open a pathway to the nuclear bomb, must be rejected. To that end, Congress might have its biggest role to play.

Canadian FM Calls Israel a ‘Beacon of Light, Source of Democracy, Example to the World’

June 3, 2015

Canadian Foreign Minister Nicholson tells reporters Israel is a “beacon of light, hope, a source of democracy and an example to the whole world.”

By: Hana Levi Julian

Published: June 3rd, 2015

via The Jewish Press » » Canadian FM Calls Israel a ‘Beacon of Light, Source of Democracy, Example to the World’.

 


Photo Credit: Mark Neyman / GPO

President Reuven Rivlin was brimming with praise for Canadian Foreign Minister Robert Douglas Nicholson in a joint news conference on his first visit to Israel, calling him “a dear friend of Israel.” Rivlin said “we listen to your comments with respect, even when we disagree.

“I know that the Canadian government follows closely what is happening in our region, in particular in Iran and in Syria, it is a complicated situation in which your enemies’ enemy is not always your friend.

“Sadly, Mahmoud Abbas has chosen not to sit at the negotiating table but instead is turning to international institutions to take unilateral steps against Israel,” Rivlin continued. The president was referencing the recent pressure on Israel to find a way to somehow facilitate the establishment of a sovereign Palestinian country within the current borders of the Jewish state, despite Palestinian violation of every requirement of the Oslo Accords to which they agreed more than a decade ago.

“We know that the only way to bring a solution to the conflict and to build mutual trust is through direct negotiations and not by one-sided, unilateral measures,” Rivlin went on. The reference notes the Palestinian evasion of its obligations to negotiate a final status agreement through direct talks with Israel via its application for membership at the United Nations, requesting recognition as a sovereign nation. The ploy succeeded in gaining non-member observer state status for the entity — just a step below full recognition as an independent, sovereign country — and allowed the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) to gain membership in hundreds of global agencies and treaties, causing endless complications and difficulties for Israel on the international front.

The Canadian leader thanked the president and commented that he has “taken an interest in Israel since I was a child and always wanted the chance to visit.

“I am honored to have this opportunity,” he continued, “representing my country as foreign minister.

“Israel is a beacon of light, hope, a source of democracy and an example to the whole world, and I am proud of Canada’s steadfast and consistent support for Israel.

“Even though we are far from here, we understand the challenges facing the region and they are on everybody’s doorstep. We are not ones to stand on the sidelines and hope for the best, but want to be part of the solutions to the challenges that we face in the world.”

Part of his visit, said Nicholson, is to demonstrate that commitment and to show that the strong relationship between Israel and Canada will continue into the future.

About the Author: Hana Levi Julian is a Middle East news analyst with a degree in Mass Communication and Journalism from Southern Connecticut State University. A past columnist with The Jewish Press and senior editor at Arutz 7, Ms. Julian has written for Babble.com, Chabad.org and other media outlets, in addition to her years working in broadcast journalism.

Gen. Allen: Defeat of Islamic State Will ‘Take a Generation or More’

June 3, 2015

Gen. Allen: Defeat of Islamic State Will ‘Take a Generation or More’

BY:
June 3, 2015 2:04 pm

via Gen. Allen: Defeat of Islamic State Will ‘Take a Generation or More’ | Washington Free Beacon.

Marine Gen. John R. Allen / AP

 

The Obama administration’s top official to the anti-Islamic State (IS, also known as ISIS or ISIL) coalition said that the fight against the terror group would likely take “a generation or more,” according to reports.

Gen. John Allen, the special presidential envoy for the Global Coalition to Counter ISIL, discussed the ongoing fight against IS during a speech in Doha at the U.S.-Islamic Word Forum.

“This will be a long campaign,” Allen was quoted as saying by AFP.

“Defeating Daesh’s [also known as IS] ideology will likely take a generation or more. But we can and we must rise to this challenge,” he said. “In an age when we are more interconnected that at any other time in human history, Daesh is a global threat.”

Allen said that in all his years in the military he has not seen a more violent force that IS.

“I have never seen before the kinds of depravity and brutality in this region that ISIL represents and, in fact, that ISIL celebrates,” he was quoted as saying.

Obama Is Losing Iraq Just as LBJ Lost Vietnam

June 3, 2015

Obama Is Losing Iraq Just as LBJ Lost Vietnam, Commentary Magazine, June 3, 2015

Which way will Obama go now? Will he be another Johnson or a Bush? All signs, alas, point to the former. Thus it is particularly appropriate that to show progress (what used to be known as “light at the end of the tunnel”) the administration is now resorting to the discredited body counts of Vietnam days.

**********************

The Obama White House’s mental synapses must be short-circuiting right now. If the president were a robot (rather than just being a bit robotic), he would by now be repeating over and over: “Does not compute! Does not compute!” Neither of his basic operating assumptions about the anti-ISIS campaign are coming true; in fact, both are being refuted by reality in ways that suggest a fundamental flaw in the underlying mental software.

Assumption No. 1 was that a US air campaign could degrade ISIS and allow its defeat by US allies on the ground. There is no question that the US air campaign has taken a toll. Deputy Secretary of State Tony Blinken just bragged that 10,000 ISIS fighters have been killed since the start of bombing in August. Yet this is hard to square, as Bill Roggio notes at Long War Journal, with previous CIA estimates that ISIS only had 20,000 to 30,000 fighters. If Blinken’s number is right, ISIS should have lost one-half to one-third of its fighters, yet somehow during that time it has actually gained ground in both Iraq and Syria — oh, and estimates of its overall strength have not varied.

This means that either previous CIA estimates were gross underestimates (Roggio believes ISIS had at least 50,000 fighters to begin with) or that it has managed to replenish its losses—or both. Either way, what we are seeing now is what President Lyndon Johnson and Gen. William Westmoreland discovered for themselves in Vietnam: namely that it’s impossible to win a war of attrition against a foe that has a lot more will to fight and suffer losses than you do.

Assumption No. 2 can be summed up as “the enemy of my enemy is my friend.” In both Syria and Iraq, the Obama administration calculated that Iran was the enemy of ISIS — after all, the Iranian regime is Shiite and ISIS is a Sunni organization. Thus the administration has tacitly embraced Iran’s allies — Iraqi Shiite militias and the Syrian regime of Bashar Assad — as the lesser evil in the expectation that they would do for us the dirty work of stopping ISIS. It’s a little hard to square this naïve assumption with the latest news, aptly summed up in a New York Times headline: “Assad’s Forces May Be Aiding ISIS Surge.” There are credible reports that Assad’s air force is making bombing runs in support of an ISIS offensive to capture Aleppo, a major city, from other rebel groups.

Why would Assad do this? Because he wants to reduce the battle in Syria to himself vs. ISIS on the assumption that with such an extremist foe, the rest of the world will be compelled to back him. By contrast, the more moderate rebel forces are viewed as a greater threat to his regime because they are capable of winning greater external backing. Iran is also relatively satisfied to have ISIS in control of Sunni areas in both Syria and Iraq because this gives Tehran the excuse it needs to consolidate its control over Alawite and Shiite areas — and Iran knows that it can’t rule over Sunni areas anyway.

There is nothing particularly novel about this development. There is a long history of reports suggesting deals between Assad and ISIS which range from a non-aggression pact to an agreement to cooperate in selling oil which has been captured by ISIS, while in Iraq it has long been obvious that Iranian militias are more interested in protecting Baghdad and the Shiite south than they are in pushing ISIS out of Mosul or Ramadi. The administration has just chosen to look the other way both in Syria and in Iraq rather than take on board facts that are at odds with its fundamental assumptions.

The Obama administration is now at a turning point in Iraq. It is roughly at the same place where the US was in Vietnam in 1967 and Iraq in 2006. In all those cases, the falsity of the assumptions under which we had been fighting had been revealed. The question was whether the president would execute a change of strategy. LBJ did not really do that, beyond his ineffectual bombing pauses and refusal to provide 200,000 more reinforcements to Gen. Westmoreland. It was left to Nixon and Gen. Creighton Abrams to transform the US war effort. By contrast, in Iraq in 2007 George W. Bush did execute a transformation of his strategy that rescued a floundering war effort.

Which way will Obama go now? Will he be another Johnson or a Bush? All signs, alas, point to the former. Thus it is particularly appropriate that to show progress (what used to be known as “light at the end of the tunnel”) the administration is now resorting to the discredited body counts of Vietnam days.

Israel’s Glass: Half Full or Half Empty?

June 3, 2015

Analysis: With Syria crumbling, Israel’s security situation has never been better

By YOSSI MELMAN 06/03/2015 17:11 Via The Jerusalem Post

IDF Tanks
Israeli soldiers stand atop tanks in the Golan Heights near Israel’s border with Syria. (photo credit:REUTERS)

(A nation divided will not stand. – LS)

The deputy IDF chief’s assertion that the Syrian civil war has improved Israel’s security shows that the country we once knew no longer exists as a single, sovereign entity.

Deputy IDF Chief of Staff Maj.-Gen. Yair Golan said Tuesday that Israel’s security situation on the northern border has improved as a result of the Syrian civil war, which has served to drain the blood of Hezbollah.

On the surface, these appear to be trivial remarks, which have been repeated by military experts and analysts over the past several years. But to hear them from such a senior military authority is refreshingly new.

As far as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minsiter Moshe Ya’alon are concerned, these comments verge on heresy. If our security situation has improved, does the IDF really need additions to its budget? And what about the approach taken by Netanyahu, who continues to warn, on every possible occasion, of the threat of Iran, Hezbollah, and Islamic State?

Indeed, Israel’s strategic situation has never been better. Arab states that were once armed to the teeth, such as Libya and Iraq, have fallen apart. Egypt is a military and intelligence ally of Israel in its fight against Hamas the Sinai terror threat.

Syria, prior to the civil war, 50 months ago, was the greatest threat to Israel, and even then, to those who knew the truth, the country did not serve as that much of a serious threat. Today, Syria no longer actually exists as one sovereign, political entity, but rather it is broken up into territories. A small region in the northeast is the Kurdish enclave. Half of the country’s land, most of which is desert, mainly in the east, is controlled by Islamic State. In northern Syria and in the South on the border with Israel, in the Golan Heights, control is largely in the hands of the Nusra Front (the al-Qaida affiliate which has been made more moderate by funding from Qatar). The rest, which includes Damascus, the center of Aleppo, Homs and the coastal strip on the ports of Latakia and Tartus, in which Assad’s Alawite minority resides, remain in control of the regime. Soon, a new Druse enclave is also likely to be formed in the area of Druse Mountain in southeast Syria, near the approach to the Jordan border.

The Syrian Army is crumbling. Iran is providing reinforcements to save what remains of the Assad regime, with the understanding that their is a limit to how much they can demand that Hezbollah serve as cannon fodder in a war to save Assad.

The situation in Syria has fallen into chaos. The US Embassy Syria tweeted on its official account Tuesday that the Syrian Air Force was striking rebel positions in the Aleppo area, helping Islamic State, which is also fighting against the regime, but is mainly focusing its efforts against its adversaries among the opposition to Assad.

It is difficult to logically explain what is happening in Syria, and who is against who. There is a feeling that everyone is against everyone. With this being the case, any speculative report or rumor spreads wings and wins immediate headlines, which is how it was reported Tuesday in the Lebanese media that the Israeli Air Force again struck targets in Lebanon. Hezbollah-affiliated al-Manar television was quick to deny the reports, and Israel, as is its custom, neither confirmed nor denied the reports.

Anything is possible. It could be an Israeli attack or a false report. Nothing reported on the Syrian civil war is out of the realm of possibility.

 

Iranian news sites erupt in rumors that Kerry hurt in ISIS assassination attempt

June 3, 2015

Iranian news sites erupt in rumors that Kerry hurt in ISIS assassination attempt, Jerusalem Post, June 3, 2015

Kerry on bikeUnited States Secretary of State John Kerry rides his bicycle along the shore of Lake Geneva. (photo credit:REUTERS)

Iranian media erupted on Wednesday with an unsubstantiated rumor that US Secretary of State John Kerry was not injured earlier this week in a simple fall from his bicycle in Switzerland, but rather he was the target of an assassination attempt while meeting with Islamic State terrorists.

The Iranian media has been known to report “conspiracy theories” in the past, such as a September report that Israel was spearheading a dangerous global plot to spread the Krav Maga martial art worldwide and a December report that Israel was building settlements in Iraq.

The latest Iranian report, first published by the Nasim news agency and subsequently picked up by dozens of Iranian news sites, based its information on “an American news website” which cites a Russian foreign intelligence service report as the source of the information.

According to the report in Nasim, Kerry secretly met with one of the leaders of Islamic State on Sunday. The meeting eventually led to an armed clash and an attempt to assassinate the US secretary of state.

Kerry’s meeting, in which the alleged assassination attempt took place, was with Gulmurod Khalimov, a senior Tajik police commander, trained in the United States, who announced his defection to Islamic State in a video released last week, the report states.

Having received training from the US State Department previously, Khalimov was well aware of State Department security procedures and he used the knowledge to get another member of his entourage into the secret meeting with Kerry, with the intention of assassinating him, the report claims.

The report cited communications intercepted by Russian intelligence from France, the US and Switzerland as confirming that two other people were shot in the incident, one of them fatally.

The story of Kerry breaking his femur in a bicycle accident in Switzerland was then concoted to hide the real source of his “grave injuries,” according to the report.

Iranian Rev Guards ready to intervene in Syria to save Assad. Soleimani: Expect major events in Syria

June 3, 2015

Iranian Rev Guards ready to intervene in Syria to save Assad. Soleimani: Expect major events in Syria, DEBKAfile, June 3, 2015

elite_forces_Revolutionary_GuardIranian Revolutionary Guards elite forces

Tehran is believed to be preparing to dispatch a substantial Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) special operations unit to Syria to tackle the separate rebel and ISIS advances closing in on the Assad regime, Western and Arab intelligence sources report. They say the Syrian army is already setting aside an area in northern Syria for the Iranian troops to take up position.

If this happens, DEBKAfile’s military sources note that it would be the Revolutionary Guards first direct intervention in the nearly five-year Syrian war. Up until now, Tehran has carefully avoided putting Iranian boots on the ground in both Syria and Iraq. The only place where Iranian forces are directly engaged in battle is at Iraq’s main refinery town of Baiji, where small infantry and artillery units have been trying – without success thus far – to dislodge ISIS forces from the refinery complex.

In the other Syrian and Iraqi war arenas – and elsewhere – Tehran follows the practice of using local Shiite militias as surrogates to fight its wars, providing them with training and arms. The Guards have also brought Shiite militias over from Pakistan and Afghanistan.

That Tehran is about to change course to save Bashar Assad was indicated in a surprise statement Tuesday, June 2 by Gen. Qassem Soleimani, supreme commander of Iranian forces fighting outside the country. After urgent consultations in Damascus with President Assad and his military chiefs, the Iranian general said enigmatically that “major developments” are to be expected in Syria “in the next few days.” Another source quotes him more fully as saying: “In the next few days, the world will be pleasantly surprised [by the arrangements] we [the IRGC] working with Syrian military commanders are currently preparing.”

DEBKAfile, which Sunday, May 31, exclusively disclosed Soleimani’s post-haste arrival in Damascus, now reports from its military sources that Hizballah military chiefs were summoned to Damascus to attend those consultations. On his way to the Syrian capital, those sources also reveal that the Iranian general stopped over at the Anbar warfront in western Iraq near the Syrian border.

The IRGC expeditionary force, according to Gulf sources, will have to initial objectives to recover Jisr al-Shughour in northwestern Syria and Palmyra. The first has been taken over by Syrian rebels of the Army of Conquest, a band of Sunni militias sponsored by the United States, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Qatar; the second was captured by the Islamic State last month.

The recovery of the two cities and their return to Syrian government control would deflect the immediate threats posed by opposition and Islamist forces to the highways from Homs to Damascus and the Mediterranean port of Latakia. This, in turn, would relieve the Assad regime of much of the military pressure threatening its survival.