Archive for December 23, 2018

Iran Guards hold war games as US carrier enters Gulf

December 23, 2018

Source: Iran Guards hold war games as US carrier enters Gulf – Israel Hayom

Photo: AP

 

IDF raises alert level as Hamas threatens to renew attacks 

December 23, 2018

Source: IDF raises alert level as Hamas threatens to renew attacks – Israel Hayom

 

PM slams Erdogan for disparaging Jews: Don’t preach morality to Israel

December 23, 2018

Source: PM slams Erdogan for disparaging Jews: Don’t preach morality to Israel – Israel Hayom

 

For Trump, mission accomplished 

December 23, 2018

Source: For Trump, mission accomplished – Israel Hayom

Erez Linn

Since U.S. President Trump took office in January 2017, Syria – and the Middle East in general – have not been a top priority for him. Syria was mainly a place the U.S. needed to be in order to confront Islamic State and hold Russia in check.

Fully motivated for his supreme goal of restoring American deterrence, it was natural that Trump would take on James Mattis as a guide. Mattis, who had been fired by former President Barack Obama from the command of the U.S. Central Command because he wanted the U.S. to attack Iran, saw his vision of America taking its rightful place as a superpower materializing. Mattis was a successful defense secretary: North Korean leader Kim Jong Un was the first to blink when Mattis sent nuclear bombers to the Korean Peninsula and Iranian vessels stopped harassing American ships, as they had grown used to doing constantly under Obama. In Syria, too, Mattis and Trump deployed cruise missiles when necessary, unafraid to exercise direct force against Russia’s mercenaries.

Mattis is leaving not because of anything Trump did – the withdrawal of American troops is ultimately a desirable development – but because of the way Trump did it. Mattis, if he indeed resigned and wasn’t fired, thinks that the step should be taken sensitively, and in consultation with a variety of officials. Words like these anger Trump, particularly when they pertain to a region in which he has no interest. Mattis came through militarily, and now that he is raising diplomatic reservations about an unrelated subject, Trump is showing him the door.

The Washington establishment was thrown into a panic this weekend at the loss of the “responsible adult” in the administration. But cries like these were already heard when former Secretary of State Rex Tillerson left and turned out to be wrong – Tillerson’s successor Mike Pompeo has been a pleasant surprise. Ironically, the same Washington establishment that warned prior to Mattis’ appointment that he was a warmonger (partly because of his stance on Iran) is now weeping over his departure. Mattis fulfilled his assignment: to restore America’s honor. Now Trump has no more need of such a high-profile general.

Unlike Mattis, Trump believes that withdrawing American troops will give the U.S. more room to maneuver because ground forces are an ideal target for Islamic State operatives and Iran. And if, along the way, he can force Europe to increase its investment in defense, even better. If that doesn’t pan out, Trump will return to the battlefield full-force, and whoever is serving defense secretary will know what to do.

As far as Trump is concerned, to make America great again, America must first come home, even if that entails risk. He thinks that nothing good will come out of Syria or Afghanistan, anyway.

Mattis is interested in stability, whereas Trump wants a change that will put his name in history books. Mattis apparently hoped that a decision about troop withdrawal would be made only after the political process in Syria progressed. But for Trump, now is the perfect time – just before Christmas and less than a year before the media will be busy covering a turbulent election. In his inaugural address, Trump said, “This American carnage stops right here and stops right now.” He might have been talking about the decline of the American middle class, but right now he is demonstrating that he is determined to end the American carnage in the Middle East.

 

Trump contests conventional wisdom 

December 23, 2018

Source: Trump contests conventional wisdom – Israel Hayom

Prof. Abraham Ben-Tzvi

At first glance, the current White House tumult paints a troubling picture of  a capricious leader with flawed judgment. Many political observers believe Trump was shooting from the hip when he picked a fight with Congress over the border wall and announced a pullout from Syria, which led to the resignation of Defense Secretary James Mattis and to a partial federal shutdown for the next several days.

Having said all that, in the grand scheme of things, both decisions underscore a systematic and consistent policy on Afghanistan, Syria and Mexico. On all three, Trump’s actions have been a function of the core convictions that he campaigned on.

The decision to withdraw troops from Syria (and reportedly Afghanistan) is a manifestation of his deep misgivings of foreign interventions without a clear and present danger to U.S. national security.

Trump has long articulated a vision of reduced American presence on the world stage. While he is willing to let the U.S. take the back seat in noncrucial theaters, he is loath to the idea of continued multilateralism and collective security through defense pacts.

Trump disavowed the notion that America has to provide a defense shield for its allies to deter any aggression. This can explain his decision to disengage from Syria and Afghanistan and Mattis’ decision to step down.

Mattis, after all, is a poster boy for the old paradigm that the U.S. must hold on to its alliances, mainly NATO, and has considered these alliances as paramount to its national security long after the Cold War. Unlike Mattis, Trump believes this view is anachronistic and wants a rapprochement with the Kremlin.

But this neo-isolationist posture doesn’t mean Trump has decided to end all of overseas engagements. In fact, Trump has shown time and again that he is willing to use force to establish deterrence and assert U.S. power when necessary – both against the axis of evil and against friends.

Washington has recently shown this resolve vis-à-vis North Korea, displaying brinkmanship in the face of its nuclear ambitions. It has also been aggressively enforcing crippling economic sanctions against Iran.

In the Israeli context, the U.S. has also been willing to challenge long-held paradigms that turned conventional wisdom on its head (including its recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital). Thus, it is unlikely that Trump will leave Israel in the lurch in the face of a growing Iranian threat.

His insistence on having a wall along the Mexican border is a central tenet of his hardline view on illegal immigration. His willingness to spend political capital, including having a shutdown, underscores his tactical approach – not to the strategic posture he has assumed from day one.

Thus, time will tell whether this latest feud with Congress will end like the big shutdown 23 years ago. That shutdown paved the way for then-President Bill Clinton’s re-election.

IDF chief: Let’s not make too much of Trump’s Syria withdrawal 

December 23, 2018

Source: IDF chief: Let’s not make too much of Trump’s Syria withdrawal – Israel Hayom

 

Our best defense is the IDF

December 23, 2018

Source: Our best defense is the IDF – Israel Hayom

The prophets of dejection and doom, along with the anonymous intelligence officials and their representatives in the media, have been very busy of late blaming Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to pull American troops out of Syria.

As far as they’re concerned, all of Israel’s impressive achievements in the past 10 years are either the work of an invisible hand or the result of coincidence. Everything seen as problematic, however, is the responsibility of Netanyahu, Intelligence Minister Yisrael Katz and the right-wing government.

As they see it, Trump’s decision to cooperate with Israel, transfer the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem, support us at the United Nations, impose sanctions on Iran and bring together countries in the region are negligible at best. But Washington’s decision to pull out of Syria? That’s something out of “Apocalypse Now.” Sometimes it seems as if the Israeli Left longs for the return of Trump’s predecessor, Barack Obama, more than they do in the United States.

After 2,000 years in exile, the Jewish people have returned to the pages of history. This is nothing short of an unprecedented phenomenon. Pioneers, Holocaust survivors and new immigrants from all corners of the earth established a glorious state. A small country surrounded by enemies, Israel has become something of a world power over the years. For generations, Jews longed to be the masters of our fate.  These hopes and prayers have been realized in our time. Israel is able to defend itself and does not need to rely on the kindness of strangers. No longer must we bend to the shifting winds. Israel is admired, particularly in the United States, for never having asked for the protection of foreign soldiers. Additional disagreements may arise between Trump and members of his administration in the near future, but Israel’s leadership is determined to ensure no foreign administration is able to dictate terms that could impair the security of the state.

The withdrawal of U.S. troops from Syria does not impact Israel’s ability to contend with aggression, no matter the source of that aggression. While Israel would have preferred U.S. soldiers continued to operate inside Syria, we have been successfully managing the Syrian threat before they ever landed in the country in the first place. There is no reason to alarm Israel’s citizens and say the U.S. decision to pull out of Syria puts Israel at risk. The best way to guarantee Israel’s security and ensure our victory is to maintain a strong IDF.

 

The US will still “maintain a presence” after troop pullout from NE Syria – DEBKAfile

December 23, 2018

Source: The US will still “maintain a presence” after troop pullout from NE Syria – DEBKAfile

Following the backlash from President Trump’s decision to withdraw US troops from NE Syria, senior administration officials Friday night, Dec. 21 offered Mid East leaders clarifications for allaying their concerns. DEBKAfile’s sources reveal those messages’ high points:

  1. US troops will leave eastern and northern Syria, but America is not deserting this part of the country, said the officials, without revealing the nature of its continuing presence.
  2. The Trump administration has not abandoned the Kurds or “stabbed them in the back” as widely reported, “and the Kurds know this,” it was authoritatively said. And, indeed, despite their loud cries of dismay, not a single Syrian Kurdish militiaman has deserted the lines they hold against ISIS in eastern Syria.
  3. Regarding President Tayyip Erdogan declaration that the Turkish army was about to march on East Euphrates and reach the Kurdish capital of Qamishli, amid fears of a massacre, the US officials advised distinguishing between talk and deeds. They referred to a phone conversation between Presidents Trump and Erdogan on Dec. 14, in which the latter promised his army would not cross the Euphrates. In a speech welcoming the US pullout from Syria on Friday, Erdogan allowed that Turkey would “wait a little longer before launching the operation” and counted on US “logistic support.”
  4. Trump said subsequently that the troop pullout would be phased out within 40-60 days. According to the US officials, a more realistic timeline would be 4 to 6 months. “During that time, Syria is bound to see many developments that may require  Washington to revise its plans.”
  5. The US and Iraq are in advanced negotiations for the deployment to
    the Iraqi-Syria border of the Iraqi Special Operations Forces (ISOF) – the “Golden Division” – which drove ISIS out of Mosul. It will stand in the path of Iranian and Iraqi Shiite militias crossings into Syria.
  6. Part of the ISOF’s deployment will include the western Iraqi province of Anbar. In this regard, the US officials referred to a disclosure by Mohammad al-Dilemi, one of the chiefs of Anbar’s Arab tribes. On Dec. 12, he said that the US army was building a new base on the line dividing Anbar from the next-door province of Nineveh. It would position US troops 30km north of the Euphrates River and near the Syrian border. This new base will provide the Iraqi division with American backup.
  7. The officials from Washington refused to confirm or deny that the Russians were involved in the forthcoming US plans for Syria; nor would they refer to a possible US-Turkish-Russian deal on the subject. They did take note of the strides taken in recent weeks toward repairing Russian-Israeli relations. The US officials pointed out that the transfer of a Russian S-300 air defense missile battalion to Deir ez-Zour in eastern Syria brought the Israeli Golan and Galilee Panhandle within their range, but not the Israel Air Force bases in northern and central Israel.

 

PM Netanyahu’s Remarks at Weekly Cabinet Meeting – 23/12/2018 

December 23, 2018