Archive for November 2018

After quitting, Lieberman slams government ‘capitulation to Hamas’ 

November 23, 2018

Source: After quitting, Lieberman slams government ‘capitulation to Hamas’ – Israel Hayom

 

‘Pinpoint operations won’t work on Hamas’ 

November 23, 2018

Source: ‘Pinpoint operations won’t work on Hamas’ – Israel Hayom

 

USAF takes control of Syrian skies. Unidentified air strike on Iranian target – DEBKAfile

November 23, 2018

Source: USAF takes control of Syrian skies. Unidentified air strike on Iranian target – DEBKAfile

This new game changer in Syria, revealed here by DEBKAfile, provoked an exceptionally detailed threat from Tehran: “US bases in Afghanistan, the UAE and Qatar, and US aircraft carriers in the Gulf are within range of our missiles,” said Brig. Gen. Amirali Hajizadeh, head of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ airspace division, on Wednesday, Nov. 21.

“We can hit them if they (Americans) make a move. Our land-to-sea missiles have a range of 700 km (450 miles) … and the US aircraft carriers are our targets.” he said.

Iran’s airspace chief was responding to the abrupt change in the skies over Syria. For the past week, the: US Air Force has kept F-22 stealth planes and F/A 18F Super Hornet fighters flying over Syria around the clock. Gen. Hajizadeh knew exactly where they were coming from – the US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and the US Al Dhafra Air Base in the UAE. Why he slipped the Kandahar base into his list is a mystery because none of the USAF planes over Syria come from there. The USS Harry Truman Carrier Strike Group is another matter, since some of the US fighter bombers circling over Syria come from its decks. This five-ship strike group reached Syrian waters late last week. They also had cruise missiles aboard.

DEBKAfile’s military sources report that these US overflights are taking place without interruption: as one group flies back to base, another takes its place. Their constant presence in Syrian air space has chased all other warplanes, especially those of Russia and Syria, out of the sky. US pilots also report that the S-300 air defense systems, which the Russians began importing to Syria in October, are not operational and are unlikely to be before January.

This is what Pentagon spokesman Eric Pahon was talking about on Tuesday, Nov. 20, when he said: “Russia’s S-300 air defense systems in Syria have no impact on United States’ operations in the country.” He also aimed a warning at Moscow: “Any additional arms sent into Syria only serves to escalate the situation at this point.”

Is this a window of opportunity?

According to an exclusive report reaching our military sources, unidentified aircraft attacked an Iranian target in Syria on Monday, Nov. 19. This was not a major operation and the target was small. All the same, it was the second attack on an Iranian site in Syria since Israel discontinued its aerial attacks in the second half of September. The first, on Oct. 23, appears to have been carried out by unidentified missiles against the Damascus region.

After the air strike, Washington hastened to send out quiet messages that the USAF was not involved. However, so long as the Russian S-300s are non-operational and the US Air Force provides an umbrella, Israel is offered a window of opportunity for resuming its assaults on Iran’s presence in, and arms deliveries, to Syria. There is no knowing how long that window will stay open.

 

Iran says US bases, aircraft carriers within range of Iranian missiles 

November 22, 2018

Source: Iran says US bases, aircraft carriers within range of Iranian missiles – Israel Hayom

 

Off Topic: ‘European Jews pessimistic about their future,’ Jewish leader says 

November 22, 2018

Source: ‘European Jews pessimistic about their future,’ Jewish leader says – Israel Hayom

 

Report: US postpones unveiling Mideast peace plan amid Israeli political crisis 

November 22, 2018

Source: Report: US postpones unveiling Mideast peace plan amid Israeli political crisis – Israel Hayom

 

Lebanon has been warned 

November 22, 2018

Source: Lebanon has been warned – Israel Hayom

Itzhak Levanon

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s vague statement in ‎Paris last week on is meeting with Russian President ‎Vladimir Putin indicated that Moscow’s ire over the Sept. 17 ‎downing of a Russian plane by Syrian air defenses trying to ‎counter and Israeli airstrike has yet to subside. ‎

It also indicated that Israel’s policy in Syria has become ‎more prudent, and to a great extent, the public threats ‎against Syria have been replaced with quiet threats against ‎Lebanon.

French National Security Adviser Orléan la-Chevalier visited ‎Israel two weeks ago, ahead of a visit to Beirut. According ‎to Lebanon’s al-Akhbar newspaper, which is affiliated with ‎Hezbollah, in his meetings with Lebanese officials, the ‎French envoy relayed Israeli warnings saying that unless ‎Beirut stops Hezbollah from getting Iranian weapons ‎shipments, Israel would have no choice but to target ‎Hezbollah assets in Lebanon.‎

Hezbollah learned of this almost immediately, which is not ‎surprising considering Lebanese President Michel Aoun’s ‎affinity with the Shiite terrorist group, and Hezbollah leader ‎Hassan Nasrallah was quick to respond with threats of his ‎own, saying any Israeli strike would meet a forceful ‎response. ‎

This is not the only example of the close ties Beirut ‎maintains with Hezbollah. Several Lebanese MPs and even ‎the country’s chief of staff have stated that if another war ‎breaks out between Hezbollah and Israel, Lebanon’s army ‎will fight alongside the Shiite terrorist group, which wields ‎considerable political power in the country. ‎

Moreover, Lebanon knows that Hezbollah strives to improve ‎the accuracy of its missiles and is doing nothing to stop it, ‎and in all honesty, Israel knows that the Lebanese ‎government or military cannot really prevent Hezbollah from ‎getting its hands on Iranian weapons, as even if all the ‎ethnic and political powers in Lebanon came together, they ‎would still be unable to counter Hezbollah’s military might.‎

Hezbollah has gained significant political clout in Lebanon, ‎even winning a majority in May’s parliamentary elections. ‎Add to that the fact that the Lebanese army no longer ‎bothers to conceal its collaboration with the group, and you ‎have an overtly hostile neighbor in the north.‎

All Israel can do at this point is follow through on the ‎warnings it conveyed via the French envoy. Strategically, ‎making things right with Russia outweighs engaging in a ‎limited conflict with Hezbollah. The latter is still deterred ‎enough to contain an Israeli strike, if one proves necessary.‎

Having relayed its message using back channels, Israel ‎must now make its position public so both official and ‎unofficial Lebanon understands – it has been warned.‎

Itzhak Levanon is the former Israeli ambassador to Egypt.

Hamas’ troubles could be Israel’s gain 

November 22, 2018

Source: Hamas’ troubles could be Israel’s gain – Israel Hayom

Daniel Siriyanti

In order to appreciate the unprecedented scope and severity of the rift between Hamas political bureau chief Ismail Haniyeh and the group’s Gaza leader Yahya Sinwar, we have to go back in time to when the terrorist organization’s political bureau was headquartered in Damascus, before the Syrian civil war.

Khaled Mashaal, who headed the political bureau at the time, was the strongest person in the organization and had ultimate say on matters, mainly due to the fact that he controlled the group’s financial assets. And because he was operating out of Syria, he was able to do something Haniyeh is not – travel the world, mostly to Arab and Persian Gulf countries who donated their money generously.

Senior Palestinian officials in Gaza and Ramallah attest that ever since Hamas’ inception in the late 1980s there has always been an atmosphere of structured tension between the group’s military and political wings. However, the chasm between the organization’s two strongest leaders has never been deeper.

The fact that both Haniyeh and Sinwar are based in Gaza is essentially unprecedented. Both are charismatic and persuasive – but their interests, whether public or personal, are different and they want to overshadow one another. The primary claim by Haniyeh’s cohort against Sinwar is that the latter has promoted and empowered members of the military wing at the expense of Haniyeh and the political bureau.

Mashaal and his predecessor, Moussa Abu Marzouk (who Mashaal appointed as his own deputy), worked in perfect harmony opposite the group’s representatives in Gaza and the West Bank. The fact that both spent the majority of their time abroad and couldn’t enter Gaza or the West Bank exacerbated the segregation between the political and military wings.

Hamas, as an offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood, became the target of Arab regimes in the wake of the Arab Spring, and the presence of its most senior leaders in these countries went from being an asset to a burden. It was not for nothing that after Mashaal’s resignation and Haniyeh’s appointment to helm the political bureau, Haniyeh’s deputy, Saleh Arouri, established his headquarters in ethnically divided Lebanon. Arouri’s efforts to ensconce the political bureau’s main headquarters in Beirut, however, failed because most of its senior officials – those not in Gaza or the West Bank under constant fear of being killed by Israel or the Palestinian Authority – had already found convenient working environments in countries such as Turkey, Malaysia and Pakistan.

Despite Hamas’ efforts to project unity, it’s no secret that an epic struggle for control is raging within its ranks. Haniyeh, like his predecessor Mashaal, still controls the organization’s financial resources. Sinwar, however, who controls the military resources, was the one who ultimately enlisted Qatar to transfer nearly $15 million in cash per month to Gaza for the past six months.

Attempts by various elements within the organization, among them Mashaal and senior clerics, to mediate between Haniyeh and Sinwar have thus far been for naught, and only time will tell whether the current leadership crisis mostly serves Israel and plays into its hands, as many in Hamas claim.

Iran/Hizballah build new militias in Syria against northern Israel. What is Eisenkot missing? – DEBKAfile

November 22, 2018

Source: Iran/Hizballah build new militias in Syria against northern Israel. What is Eisenkot missing? – DEBKAfile

Heads were scratched in many security circles on Monday, Nov. 20, when IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Gady Eisenkot was heard to declare that the fact that “Iran and terrorist groups were very far from the place they hoped to attain” was down to “continuous quality operations.”
The IDF would continue to foil their efforts, he said, while keeping one eye on the security situation in the north and keeping to its commitment to protect Israel’s civilians.

Speaking during a tour of  the Bashan Division on the Golan, Eisenkot did not specify the place that Iran “hoped to attain” or the place it had reached in consequence of IDF operations.

The general typically calls on this sort of vague, bombastic rhetoric for obscuring shortcomings or blunders. He has been caught using it to misrepresent the balance of strength in the Gaza standoff with Hamas, although some colleagues have urged him to drop it. The trouble with the chief of staff is that, on the one hand, he invites his officers to freely express their opinions, while, on the other, he is deaf to criticism or any opinion that conflicts with his own. This personality defect has persuaded more and more military officers on active duty and in the reserves to determine in recent months that the IDF is not ready for the next war, especially on the northern front.

Eisenkott has clearly made up his mind that Tehran is planning to deploy a large Iranian military force in Syria on the scale of a division and-a-half which the IDf must be geared to combat. Tehran – i.e. its Mid-East war commander, the Al-Qods chief Gen. Qassem Soleimani (whose remit also includes the Gaza Strip).

But this perception misses the facts. Contrary to Eisenkot’s evaluation, the Iranians never depart from their proxy strategy. Soleimani is accordingly putting together a Syrian army of local, pro-Iranian militias for the conduct of synchronized operations on multiple fronts. This strategy replicates the Shiite militia model which works for Tehran in Lebanon and Iraq. There are no Iranian troops in either country, only surrogate militias, some of them stronger and better armed than the national armies of Iraq and Lebanon. The most notorious example being Hizballah.

Although Hizballah is making good progress in planting those militias in southern Syria, Eisenkot has not ordered the IDF to thwart the project – or even strike their training camps and command centers. Some 2,000 recruits have joined up in the Daraa region, many of them former rebels, who fought with the US and Israeli armies before the Daraa and Quneitra regions (opposite the Jordanian and Israel Golan borders) were captured by the Syrian army with Russian help in June. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards pays each a generous $250 per month, to buy their combat experience and priceless knowledge of  IDF methods of operation on Israel’s northern border from years of exposure and personal acquaintance with its commanders.

Soleimani plans to deploy these militias opposite Israel’s Golan lines. It was to this plan which Maj. Gen Yoel Strick, OC of the IDF’s Northern Command referred when he commented on Sunday, Nov. 18, that the Israeli military is well aware of Hizballah’s actions for establishing “a terrorist structure on the Golan” and the Lebanese terrorist group will not be allowed to go through with it. Strick’s words have not so far been backed by deeds.

Gen. Eisenkot displayed his tendency to fudge on serious security issues when he stated that the IDF had hampered Iran’s effort to arm Hizballah with precision-guided rockets. He was backed by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu (who is now also defense minister) who reported a “slowdown in Iranian arms shipments to Syria” to account for the pause in Israeli air strikes in Syria. However, according to the Western military observers tracking Iran’s steps in Syria and Lebanon, this major upgrade of Hizballah’s surface rocket arsenal is still ongoing undisturbed, after Israel and its air force refrained from interfering.  Still, Eisenkot’s missed perspective is shared by some IDF officers.

 

Iran/Hizballah build new militias in Syria against northern Israel. What is Eisenkot missing? – DEBKAfile

November 22, 2018

Source: Iran/Hizballah build new militias in Syria against northern Israel. What is Eisenkot missing? – DEBKAfile

Heads were scratched in many security circles on Monday, Nov. 20, when IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Gady Eisenkot was heard to declare that the fact that “Iran and terrorist groups were very far from the place they hoped to attain” was down to “continuous quality operations.”
The IDF would continue to foil their efforts, he said, while keeping one eye on the security situation in the north and keeping to its commitment to protect Israel’s civilians.

Speaking during a tour of  the Bashan Division on the Golan, Eisenkot did not specify the place that Iran “hoped to attain” or the place it had reached in consequence of IDF operations.

The general typically calls on this sort of vague, bombastic rhetoric for obscuring shortcomings or blunders. He has been caught using it to misrepresent the balance of strength in the Gaza standoff with Hamas, although some colleagues have urged him to drop it. The trouble with the chief of staff is that, on the one hand, he invites his officers to freely express their opinions, while, on the other, he is deaf to criticism or any opinion that conflicts with his own. This personality defect has persuaded more and more military officers on active duty and in the reserves to determine in recent months that the IDF is not ready for the next war, especially on the northern front.

Eisenkott has clearly made up his mind that Tehran is planning to deploy a large Iranian military force in Syria on the scale of a division and-a-half which the IDf must be geared to combat. Tehran – i.e. its Mid-East war commander, the Al-Qods chief Gen. Qassem Soleimani (whose remit also includes the Gaza Strip).

But this perception misses the facts. Contrary to Eisenkot’s evaluation, the Iranians never depart from their proxy strategy. Soleimani is accordingly putting together a Syrian army of local, pro-Iranian militias for the conduct of synchronized operations on multiple fronts. This strategy replicates the Shiite militia model which works for Tehran in Lebanon and Iraq. There are no Iranian troops in either country, only surrogate militias, some of them stronger and better armed than the national armies of Iraq and Lebanon. The most notorious example being Hizballah.
Although Hizballah is making good progress in planting those militias in southern Syria, Eisenkot has not ordered the IDF to thwart the project – or even strike their training camps and command centers. Some 2,000 recruits have joined up in the Daraa region, many of them former rebels, who fought with the US and Israeli armies before the Daraa and Quneitra regions (opposite the Jordanian and Israel Golan borders) were captured by the Syrian army with Russian help in June. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards pays each a generous $250 per month, to buy their combat experience and priceless knowledge of  IDF methods of operation on Israel’s northern border from years of exposure and personal acquaintance with its commanders.

Soleimani plans to deploy these militias opposite Israel’s Golan lines. It was to this plan which Maj. Gen Yoel Strick, OC of the IDF’s Northern Command referred when he commented on Sunday, Nov. 18, that the Israeli military is well aware of Hizballah’s actions for establishing “a terrorist structure on the Golan” and the Lebanese terrorist group will not be allowed to go through with it. Strick’s words have not so far been backed by deeds.

Gen. Eisenkot displayed his tendency to fudge on serious security issues when he stated that the IDF had hampered Iran’s effort to arm Hizballah with precision-guided rockets. He was backed by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu (who is now also defense minister) who reported a “slowdown in Iranian arms shipments to Syria” to account for the pause in Israeli air strikes in Syria. However, according to the Western military observers tracking Iran’s steps in Syria and Lebanon, this major upgrade of Hizballah’s surface rocket arsenal is still ongoing undisturbed, after Israel and its air force refrained from interfering.  Still, Eisenkot’s missed perspective is shared by some IDF officers.