Archive for November 17, 2018

CIA Believes Saudi Crown Prince Ordered Khashoggi Hit: WaPo – Bloomberg

November 17, 2018

Source: CIA Believes Saudi Crown Prince Ordered Khashoggi Hit: WaPo – Bloomberg

 Updated on 
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman

The CIA has concluded that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ordered the assassination of journalist Jamal Khashoggi in Istanbul last month, Washington Post reports, citing unidentified people familiar with the matter.

  • The agency examined multiple sources of intelligence, including a phone call that the prince’s brother Khalid bin Salman had with Khashoggi
    • Khalid bin Salman is the Saudi ambassador to the U.S., he’s said to have told Khashoggi to go to the Saudi consulate in Istanbul to retrieve the documents he needed for his planned marriage, and gave him assurances that it would be safe to do so
    • It is not clear if Khalid bin Salman knew that Khashoggi would be killed
    • Khalid bin Salman responded to the Washington Post’s story in a tweet, said the last contact he had with Khashoggi was via text message on Oct. 26, 2017, and that he never spoke to him by phone and never suggested he go to Turkey “for any reason”
  • Fatimah Baeshen, a spokeswoman for the Saudi embassy in Washington, said the ambassador and Khashoggi never discussed “anything related to going to Turkey”: Post
    • Said the claims in CIA’s “purported assessment are false. We have and continue to hear various theories without seeing the primary basis for these speculations”
  • The CIA’s conclusion about MBS’s role also based on agency’s assessment of the prince as the country’s de facto ruler who oversees even minor affairs in the kingdom
    • “The accepted position is that there is no way this happened without him being aware or involved,” according to an unidentified U.S. official familiar with the CIA’s conclusions
  • A spokesperson for the CIA declined to comment to the Washington Post
  • CIA’s conclusion contradicts Saudi Arabia’s public prosecutor, who said the Crown Prince had no knowledge of the mission that led to Khashoggi’s killing

 

Yemen’s war is a dangerous proxy in Iran’s global battle | TheHill

November 17, 2018

Source: Yemen’s war is a dangerous proxy in Iran’s global battle | TheHill

Yemen’s war is a dangerous proxy in Iran’s global battle
© Getty Images

While the world was fixated on the existential threat of ISIS — a terrorist group that controlled mostly rural territory and had limited, if any, backing by foreign states — the Houthi extremists in Yemen have achieved what their counterparts in Iraq and Syria could only dream of: Domination and destabilization of a country already devastated by poverty, tribal conflict and corruption.

For nearly a decade, the Houthis have controlled large parts of Yemen, including the capital of one the world’s poorest countries. They have erected their own terrorist state architecture in Sana’a and used their base to launch missile attacks not only on Riyadh’s airport but Abu Dhabi’s.

And they’ve done it all with the full backing of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, which even loaned its Yemeni proteges the Iranian revolutionary slogan: “Death to America, Death to Israel, Curse on the Jews, Victory to Islam.”

Evidence of Iranian military involvement in Yemen has become overwhelming. Last year U.S. officials presented evidence that Iran supplied short-range ballistic missiles to Houthi rebels in Yemen, which then were fired at civilian areas of Saudi Arabia, targeting nationals of various countries. Even U.N. Secretary General Antonio Guterres submitted evidence to the Security Council that Iran was supplying ballistic missiles to Houthi rebels in defiance of U.N. resolution 2231.

But it’s not Sana’a — or even Yemen — that the Houthis and their Iranian paymasters are really interested in. It’s the oil shipping routes in the Red Sea, just off Yemen’s coast, as indicated by the Houthi attack on Saudi oil tankers in July which caused the Saudi kingdom to suspend Red Sea oil shipments, a move that affected the world’s oil markets.

Iran is an ideologically driven state and its end-game is, ultimately, to use its proxy occupation of Yemen to control the global oil supply and weaken its Sunni neighbors.

That is shocking, but what’s worse is that the Houthis are not taken seriously in Western capitals. In fact, many mainstream newspapers and politicians in the Western world have taken a surprisingly favorable tone towards them. Just last week, a number of French members of parliament expressed support for the terrorists in the National Assembly, despite their control of Hodeida causing famine on an epic scale. The propaganda value of anti-Saudi sentiment, currently in vogue in some corridors of Western power, and images of starving children presented without context has allowed some opinion-formers to ignore the bigger picture — that the coalition is in Yemen fighting terrorism at the request of the Yemeni government and in the presence of the U.N.

It is a bigger picture that we can no longer afford to ignore, for the sake of Yemen’s children. Amnesty International has criticized the Houthis for systematically recruiting child soldiers to fight on the front lines of the conflict. And the NGO Yemeni Coalition for Monitoring Human Rights Violations revealed at the U.N. Human Rights Council in Geneva that the Houthis have committed atrocities against thousands of Yemeni civilians, including women and children, who have been victims of illegal executions and death under torture.

This makes it all the more astounding that the leader of the Houthi organisation, Mohammed Ali al-Houthi, was last week able to use the Washington Post to communicate to Western audiences and position himself as a reputable leader.

That is not to suggest we should not strive for peace. But to make peace possible in Yemen, the first step is to recognize the enemy for what it is: a regionally dominant but globally dangerous Iranian proxy acting as a terrorist army.

None of this should surprise us; Iran’s appetite for coordinating terrorist attacks on foreign soil is well-established. A recent U.S. State Department report declared that Iran remains one of the world’s leading state sponsors of terrorism, with funding networks and operational cells working around the world.

And, last month, the Belgian and French governments charged an Iranian diplomat with planning a bomb attack — just the latest in a long line of global Iranian terror complicity going back to the 1983 Beirut attack carried out by the Shiite group Hezbollah, which killed 241 U.S. Marines.

Once we have recognized the enemy for who they are, we need to combine this with a diplomatic strategy leveraging key regional mediators, such as Oman, which are Western allies while also having well-established back channels to Tehran. For years, Iran has been part of the problem; now we need it to be part of the solution.

But none of this can happen with the continuing support of Houthi terror and war crimes. In order to prevent a new Hezbollah coming to pass in Yemen, we must shut down its fundraising and supply lines from Iran and its proxies around the world. Failure to do so would be one of the biggest geopolitical — and humanitarian — failures of our time.

Nathalie Goulet is a member of the Senate of France, representing Orne, Normandy, since 2007; she led a commission investigating jihadist networks in Europe and wrote a report for NATO on the financing of terrorism. Follow her on Twitter @senateur61.

 

New Iranian rocket smuggled into Gaza could threaten IDF defenses including Iron Dome – DEBKAfile

November 17, 2018

Source: New Iranian rocket smuggled into Gaza could threaten IDF defenses including Iron Dome – DEBKAfile

The Palestinian Islamic Jihad was referring to a new artillery rocket from Iran when its Al-Qods wing claimed to have wrecked the Ashkelon on Tuesday, Nov. 13 with a new weapon.

Neither the IDF spokesman nor any other Israeli official disclosed that at least one of the 470 rockets fired from Gaza into Israel in 48 hours had been supplied by Tehran to its Palestinian proxy with instructions to start using it. Jihad did not name the weapon except to say it had medium range.

However, DEBKAfile sources can identify it as a Falaq-2 with a range of 11km and 333mm caliber, manufactured at the Shahid Bagheri Industries complex which is part of Iran’s aerospace industries. It is designed to destroy defense systems, such as artillery emplacements, Iron Dome batteries, armored force concentrations – whether over ground or in trenches, as well as combat engineering equipment and command centers. The Iranian rocket showed its destructive capabilities in Ashkelon, killing a Palestinian worker and injuring two women. On Thursday, Gen. Mohammed Baqeri, Iran’s chief of staff, gleefully praised “the [Palestinian] victory in the Gaza Strip as turning a new leaf for the resistance. Victories will continue until the Zionist entity is no more,” he crowed.

One of Falaq-2’s advantages is its mobility. It is not launched from stationary batteries, but from any combat 4×4 vehicle or jeep, each of which carries two rockets. The team activates stabilizers on either side of the vehicle before firing. Jihad secretly received the weapon from its Iranian masters two years ago but was only ordered to use it in the latest Palestinian rocket offensive on Israel, thereby enabling Iran to target its first Israeli civilian population.

The deployment of the Iranian Falaq-2 in the Gaza Strip confronts Israel’s security authorities with some hard questions:

  1. How was it smuggled into the Palestinian enclave?
  2. Why didn’t the IDF destroy the Falaq-2 stores in Gaza as soon as they were delivered – or later?
  3. Why didn’t the IDF warn the people living on the Gaza border that their homes faced this deadly threat?
  4. Why didn’t the IDF knock out the teams launching it?
  5. Why does Israel refrain from hitting Iranian targets in the region in retaliation?
  6. Is this why Avigdor Lieberman after quitting as defense minister, warned local leaders on the Gaza border that within a year the threat from Hamas and Jihad would be equal to that of Hizballah?

 

Hamas Gaza chief to Israel: Don’t test us again, next barrage will hit Tel Aviv 

November 17, 2018

Source: Hamas Gaza chief to Israel: Don’t test us again, next barrage will hit Tel Aviv | The Times of Israel

Yahya Sinwa brandishes handgun with silencer he says was taken from Israeli special forces; warns next time IDF troops enter Strip, they’ll return only for ‘thousands of prisoners’

In this November 16, 2018 image, Hamas's Gaza chief Yahya Sinwar holds up a handgun with a silencer he says was captured from Israeli special forces during a firefight in the Gaza Strip on November 11 (YouTube screenshot)

In this November 16, 2018 image, Hamas’s Gaza chief Yahya Sinwar holds up a handgun with a silencer he says was captured from Israeli special forces during a firefight in the Gaza Strip on November 11 (YouTube screenshot)

Hamas’s leader in the Gaza Strip Yahya Sinwar on Friday warned Israel “not to test us again,” saying the next rocket barrage from the territory would target Tel Aviv and other central cities with a potency that would “surprise” Israel.

He also warned that the next time Israeli soldiers entered the Strip, they would only return through a prisoner exchange for “thousands of prisoners.”

Speaking at a ceremony honoring the seven gunmen killed during a firefight on Sunday with Israeli undercover special forces, Sinwar pulled out a handgun with a silencer which he said belonged to one of the special forces troops.

One Israel soldier, identified only as Lt. Col. Mem, was killed and another injured in the fight.

Sinwar mocked Israel for assuming its decision to allow fuel and Qatari funds into Gaza before the latest flareup — as part of Egyptian-mediated efforts to achieve a long-term truce — would prevent his group from launching a large-scale attack against the Jewish state.

“What did the Israeli leadership think when it allowed in fuel and Qatari funds? … That we would sell out our blood for diesel and dollars? They’ve been disappointed, and their goals have failed,” he said.

He said he had spoken to the leader of Hamas’s military wing the Izz ad-Din al-Qassam Brigades, Muhammad Deif. “Deif asked me to say that Tel Aviv and Gush Dan [the greater Tel Aviv area] are next. The first barrage to hit Tel Aviv will surprise Israel.”

Hamas military wing commander Muhammad Deif (courtesy)

Sunday’s raid gone awry led on Monday and Tuesday to an unprecedented barrage of rockets and mortar shells fired by Hamas and other terrorist groups from the Strip that brought the region to the brink of another war.

“Our hands are on the trigger and our eyes are open,” Sinwar said. “Whoever tests Gaza will find only death and poison. Our missiles are more precise, have a greater range and carry more explosives than in the past.”

Following the special forces operation, over 460 rockets and mortar shells were fired at southern Israel over the course of around 24 hours. The Iron Dome missile defense system intercepted over 100 of them. Most of the rest landed in open fields, but dozens landed inside Israeli cities and towns, killing one person, injuring dozens and causing significant property damage.

In response, the Israeli military said it targeted approximately 160 sites in the Gaza Strip connected to the Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad terror groups, including four facilities that the army designated as “key strategic assets.”

Palestinians walk amidst rubble of a building that was destroyed in an Israeli air strike in Khan Yunis in the southern Gaza Strip on November 13, 2018. (SAID KHATIB / AFP)

The fighting ended on Tuesday after a Hamas-announced ceasefire took effect, though this was not officially confirmed by Israel.

The decision to halt attacks on Gaza was criticized by many in Israel and was cited by Avigdor Liberman in his decision Wednesday to resign as defense minister, a move expected to bring early elections for the Knesset.

Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh cheered Liberman’s resignation Wednesday, saying it marked an “admission of defeat” by Israel. Haniyeh also boasted that Hamas “achieved a military victory against this odious occupier in less than a week.

“A military victory occurred with the heroic performance of the Palestinian resistance factions who responded to the occupier’s crime and aggression with a response commensurate with its aggression,” he said.

Hamas terror group leader Ismail Haniyeh delivers a speech on the first day of the Muslim Eid al-Adha holiday in Gaza City, the Gaza Strip, August 21, 2018.
(Anas BABA/AFP)

The Palestinian Islamic Jihad, the second-largest terrorist organization in the Strip, similarly claimed the defense minister’s sudden departure as a victory.

“Behold the political slaughter dealt to leaders of the occupation who aren’t capable of dealing with Gaza,” the organization’s spokesperson said in a statement.

In his resignation, the defense minister decried the decision to accept a ceasefire from Hamas on Tuesday, rather than launch a larger counterstrike, saying it was a “capitulation to terror.”

He brushed off the arguments made by some defense analysts that the government refrained from conducting a campaign against Hamas in Gaza because it preferred to focus the military’s intentions on threats in Iran, Syria and Lebanon. “It’s all excuses,” he said.

 

Iraq’s president visits Iran weeks after US renews sanctions

November 17, 2018

Source: Iraq’s president visits Iran weeks after US renews sanctions | The Times of Israel

Tehran hoping to maintain billions of dollars in oil exports to its neighbor by establishing free trade zones along border

Iraqi President Barham Salih, right, and his Iranian counterpart Hassan Rouhani shake hands during an official welcome ceremony for Salih at the Saadabad Palace in Tehran, Iran, Saturday, November 17, 2018.  (Iranian Presidency Office via AP)

Iraqi President Barham Salih, right, and his Iranian counterpart Hassan Rouhani shake hands during an official welcome ceremony for Salih at the Saadabad Palace in Tehran, Iran, Saturday, November 17, 2018. (Iranian Presidency Office via AP)

TEHRAN — Iraq’s President Barham Salih began a visit to Iran on Saturday, where he pledged to improve relations less than two weeks after the United States restored oil sanctions that had been lifted under the 2015 nuclear deal.

Iran, which has had major influence over Iraq since the 2003 US-led invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein, is hoping to maintain exports to its neighbor despite the renewed sanctions. Iraq is Iran’s second-largest market after China, buying everything from food and machinery to electricity and natural gas.

At a joint briefing after their meeting, Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani said they discussed increasing trade in electricity and oil products and the establishment of free trade zones along the border. He said they also discussed joint oil projects and improving transport links between the two countries.

Trade between the two countries was some $7 billion in 2017, and they have vowed to boost it to $8.5 billion this year. Rouhani said it could eventually reach $20 billion a year.

Salih also pledged to improve ties, and suggested the formation of a “new regional system” including Iraq and Iran, one based on “political integrity, national interests and cooperation between nations and governments.” He did not elaborate.

This photo from March 12, 2017, shows an Iranian oil facility on Kharg Island, on the shore of the Persian Gulf. (AFP Photo/Atta Kenare)

President Donald Trump pulled the US out of the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and world powers in May. United Nations monitors say Iran still abides by the deal, in which it agreed to limit its uranium enrichment in return for the lifting of international sanctions.

Since then, Trump announced what he billed as the “toughest ever” sanctions against Iran, and the country has seen its oil exports plunge and its currency lose more than half its value. The full brunt of the measures came into effect November 5 when the US reimposed oil and banking sanctions.

The US, which provided crucial military support to Iraq in its battle against the Islamic State group, has granted Iraq a 45-day waiver to allow it to continue to purchase gas and electricity from Iran.

Salih said Iraq should not be “a field for struggle between conflicting demands and wills.”