Archive for October 31, 2015

Bipartisan consensus: Stop Iran and its missile attacks on Iranian dissidents

October 31, 2015

Bipartisan consensus: Stop Iran and its missile attacks on Iranian dissidents, The Hill, Raymond Tanter, October 31, 2015

Fox News reports a missile attack occurred on Camp Liberty Iraq on October 29; residents include 2,400 members of the Mujahedeen-e-Khalq (MEK). About 80 missiles made holes as deep as 7 feet and wide as 8 feet—including 122 mm Katyushas and those Tehran produced—the NB24 Russian missiles. 

Why is Iran targeting its opposition? Dissidents block the goal of Tehran—to control Baghdad and Damascus where we are fighting the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS). Washington’s evolving strategy is DOA on the Hill unless the administration reaches out to the opposition and sees Iran as a threat across the porous border.

How to counter the threat from Iran? Align with others opposing Tehran and the bipartisan congressional coalition sharing that view.

Saudi Arabia’s alignment against Iran includes Israel as a silent partner. Saudis view Tehran and Damascus unfavorably. A potential partner for Riyadh and Washington is the Iranian Resistance that rejects clerical rule in Tehran. All define the threat as Islamist.

Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir asked, Is Iran a “state or a revolution?” If it wants to export its 1979 revolution and revive the Persian Empire “we cannot deal with it.” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in his UN speech on October 1 that shifting alliances in the Middle East drew Arab countries like Saudi Arabia closer to Israel in confronting Iran and ISIL. His speech before the Congress stated that, “Iran’s regime poses a grave threat…to the peace.”

On April 29, the House Foreign Affairs Committee held a hearing, “ISIS: Defining the Enemy.” Maryam Rajavi is President-Elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), the coalition of which the MEK is the largest unit; she testified from Paris. Her written testimony showed how Tehran is an Islamist epicenter of terrorism to establish an Empire without borders and called for empowering the democratic tolerant Islam she represented.

The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), garnered bipartisan criticism on the Hill. At a May 5, 2014 press conference, Senate Committee on Armed Services (SCAC) Chairman John McCain (R-Ariz.) announced completion of markup of National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2016. That Act had language to counter Iran’s influence in Iraq and protect the MEK, now in Camp Liberty. An SCAC hearing on Iranian Influence in Iraq and the Case of Camp Liberty focused on resettlement of the MEK from Camp Liberty outside Iraq.

Bipartisan statements by over a dozen senators indicated Secretary Kerry should protect the MEK in Iraq and waive regulations to permit MEK members to enter the USA and contribute to the economy in alignment with our humanitarian values, as stated by several senators and General James Jones, USMC (Ret.), first National Security Advisor to President Barack Obama.

“The U.S. government and military made a commitment to protect thousands of people [MEK] who surrendered their weapons and came under our protection as a result,” McCain said. “Clearly, this commitment has not been sustained.”

Ranking member, Sen. Jack Reed (D-R.I.), expressed a desire to help these oppositionists. “The Iranian dissidents at Camp Liberty are in an increasingly perilous situation, having repeatedly come under attack. These horrific attacks, which have killed more than 100 MEK members since 2009, clearly indicate the threat to this group from Iran and Iranian-backed militia seeking to eliminate and silence these dissidents.” Add about 30 others from the attack on Oct 29, 2015.

McCain described the MEK as a group that received “protected persons” status in 2004 under the Fourth Geneva Convention. Col Wes Martin, former Commander, Forward Operating Base Ashraf until 2006, testified that the United States provided ID cards for each Protected Person under the authority of the American military on behalf of the U.S. Government.

Former Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-Conn.), invited by former colleagues to attend as witness, testified that America would be “disloyal to our…national values if we did not find better ways–overt and covert–to support the democratic opposition to the dictatorial regime in Iran.”

Senators backed the moderate pro-democracy tolerant Islam of the MEK instead of allowing the Islamist regime in Tehran to suppress that organization. With such bipartisan backing, there is enhanced likelihood the MEK can expand the NCRI coalition for regime change from within and broaden its base in Iran given that expectations will be higher in a post-nuclear-agreement Iran.

The way forward: Alignment with those opposing Tehran, congressional allies sharing that view, and prevention of attacks like the missiles on Camp Liberty.

Russian airliner with 224 people aboard believed shot down by missile over central Sinai

October 31, 2015

Source: Russian airliner with 224 people aboard believed shot down by missile over central Sinai

DEBKAfile Special Report October 31, 2015, 12:19 PM (IDT)

 A Russian civilian plane with 217 passengers and 7 crew aboard crashed, and is belived shot down by a missile, over Sinai over Sinai early Saturday morning, Oct. 31, shortly after taking off from the Sinai resort town of Sharm el-Sheikh for St. Petersburg.

Initial reporting on the fate of the plane was confused and is still not completely clear. It was first reported to be missing after contact was lost with Egyptian air control; it was then said to be safely on its way to Russia over Turkey. Russian aviation sources then reported the A321 to be missing over Cypriot air space. Finally, the Egyptian prime minister’s office Egyptian prime minister’s office confirmed that a Russian passenger plane had crashed n central Sinai and a cabinet level crisis committee had been formed to deal with the crash.
The airliner owned by the small airline Kogalymavia disappeared from screen 23 minutes after takeoff from Sharm el-Sheikh. There were many families with children aboard.

debkafile reports:  The first claim by Russian aviation sources that the plane had gone missing over Cyprus was an attempt to draw attention from the likelihood that it was shot down over Sinai, where the former Ansar al-Miqdas, which has renamed itself ISIS-Sinai, maintains its main strongholds.
Moscow is reluctant to admit that the Islamic State may have chosen to retaliate for the buildup of Russian forces in Syria and Russia ari strikes on its bases in Syria.
If the airline was indeed shot down by the Sinai branch of the Islamic State, the Russians are finding that ISIS is fully capable of striking at the least expected place and most vulnerable spot of its enemy.

On board the plane were 17 children, along with 200 adults and seven crew, said aviation authorities. There are no signs of survivors.

Confirming the deliberate attempt at confusion, Moscow and Cairo both stated that the plane had disappeared from the radar 23 minutes after takeoff from Sharm El-Sheikh.

This is refuted by the discovery of the wreckage, a few minutes ago, completely gutted and destroyed, and a short distance away near Bir Al-Hassaneh, in the central Sinai Jabal al-Halal mountain range, where Ansar Beit al-Miqdas terrorists are holed up and which is almost inaccessible to rescue teams.
It is to this stronghold that debkafile reported in recent months that ISIS sent officers, former senior members of Saddam Hussein’s army, to set up a major campaign against the Egyptian army, along with advanced anti-air missile systems smuggled into Sinai and the Gaza Strip from Libya for this campaign.
Israel air force jets no longer carry out low flights in the areas within range of the Islamic groups armed with these missiles.
Updating:

In another attempt to disguise the cause of the disaster, Russian and Egyptian officials now say that the pilot of the Russian plane reported a technical fault after takeoff and asked to be rerouted to Cairo or El-Arish. Russian and Egyptian officials have meanwhile announced they are forming commissions of inquiry to investigate the cause of the tragedy. Official condolences were relayed to the waiting families the airport.

The Sinai branch of the Islamic State has developed a highly competent intelligence-gathering network, debkafile’s sources report, operated by local Bedouin tribesmen who track the slightest movements in the Peninsula. The Egyptian army and the American troops serving at the big the Multinational Force base there are fully aware of the round-the-clock surveillance maintained by the terrorists at Egyptian resorts, using staff at hotels, restaurants and the local airfield as inside informers.
Ansar has never yet harmed the tourist traffic in Sinai. But once ISIS decided to use it to hit back at Russia’s intensified military intervention in the Syrian conflict, the Islamists would not have found it hard to find out when the Russian airliner was due to take off from the Red Sea resort, chart its route north along the western coast of the Gulf of Aqaba up to Dahab and then turn west towards central Sinai and head for the Mediterranean. All the terrorists had to do was to lay a missile ambush for the plane from the Jabal Halal eminence of 876 meters (2,865 ft).

Had the crash been the result of a technical fault, as Moscow and Cairo claim, it would not have been so completely gutted but broken up into large fragments. The total destruction could only have been caused b y an explosion either inside the A321 or a direct missile hit.

NATO Chief: Russia Conducted Several Tests of Illegal Cruise Missile

October 31, 2015

NATO Chief: Russia Conducted Several Tests of Illegal Cruise Missile General defends U.S. tactical nuclear arms upgrade in Europe

BY:
October 30, 2015 3:00 pm

Source: NATO Chief: Russia Conducted Several Tests of Illegal Cruise Missile – Washington Free Beacon

Philip Breedlove

Supreme Allied Commander Europe and Commander of U.S. European Command General Philip M. Breedlove / AP

Russia is continuing to develop a new ground-launched cruise missile in violation of the 1987 Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces Treaty, the general in charge of NATO and the U.S. European Command said Friday.

Air Force Gen. Philip Breedlove, the NATO and Eucom commander, said both the United States and NATO allies are concerned about the new Russian cruise missile that was tested most recently on Sept. 2.

“Sept. 2nd is not the first time that we have seen testing that looks like it violates the INF,” Breedlove said during a meeting with reporters at the Pentagon. “So, the violation is not new, and yes we are concerned.”

Breedlove said the Pentagon has a framework for addressing the treaty breach that was outlined by Defense Secretary Ash Carter earlier this year.

Carter testified that the United States will respond to the INF violation and several options are being reviewed. The options include increasing cruise missile defenses and deploying nuclear-tipped counterforce weapons.

Defense officials have said the State Department and White House have been blocking Pentagon efforts to counter the treaty breach.

The State Department has sought for over a year to coax Moscow into returning to INF treaty compliance but the efforts, through talks with the Russian officials, have been unsuccessful.

Russia has denied violating the treaty and countered U.S. charges by demanding more intelligence about the new cruise missile and by accusing Washington of violating the INF treaty.

The treaty was a centerpiece of Cold War arms control and banned all missiles with ranges of between 300 miles and 3,400 miles.

The recent flight test of what defense officials described as Russia’s new SSC-X-8 ground-launched cruise missile are a further indication of Russian unwillingness to abide by the INF accord.

The White House, according to a senior House Republican on the Armed Services Committee, has been blocking a Joint Staff report assessing the risks to U.S. security posed by the Russian missile violation.

Former Defense Secretary Robert Gates disclosed to Congress last week that Russia sought to pull out of the INF treaty as early as 2007 over concerns that it needs missiles with INF ranges to deal with threats from China and Iran.

Critics of the Obama administration in Congress have said the INF treaty violation, had it been known by Congress, could have led to blocking ratification of the 2010 New START arms accord. That treaty was approved by the Senate with no discussion of Russia’s plans to violate or withdraw from the INF treaty.

China also has a large force of intermediate-range missiles.

Asked about a recent threat by Moscow to withdraw from the INF treaty if the United States modernizes nuclear bombs stored in Europe, Breedlove dismissed the threat as a propaganda ploy.

“As far as withdrawing from the INF, what we hear are threats that are being made in the face of our upgrade, our life extension program to our tactical nuclear weapons in Europe,” Breedlove said.

“We’re not bringing new weapons, we are not bringing more weapons,” he said. “We’re ensuring the safety and the functionality of the weapons that are there. So, I actually believe this is just another way to create dialogue and to try to bring pressure on our alliance.”

Breedlove said the upgrade of B-61 aircraft-delivered bombs has been planned for years and “we are continuing with the upgrade of our weapons.”

“This is about safety and reliability. These are things that you want to have in nuclear weapons. I’m stymied at the concern,” he said.

The NATO commander also disclosed that Moscow conducted saber-rattling military maneuvers, including a staff nuclear exercise after NATO forces conducted a series of military exercises in the Baltic states.

“I think these are clear messages that are sent,” Breedlove said.

On Russian military intervention in Syria, Breedlove said he views the airstrikes in support of the Assad regime as aimed at diverting attention from Russian military action against the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine.

“What I’m concerned about is that folks have taken their eye off of Ukraine a little bit because of what is happening in Syria,” he said. “And that is a technique that I think has been employed here a couple of times. Invade Crimea. Take the world’s eyes off of Crimea by invading Donbas. Take the world’s eyes off of Donbas by getting involved in Syria.”

On European security threats, Breedlove identified an unpredictable Russia and a lack of visibility into the intentions of Russian leader Vladimir Putin, combined with growing Russian military capabilities near Europe, as the reasons for increases in NATO deterrence efforts.

The alliance is currently holding large military exercises aimed at improving readiness, involving some 36,000 troops from 30 nations.

The command recently completed the deployment of a heavy brigade worth of equipment and weapons to bolster defenses.

Without adding troops, military commanders are positioning arms and equipment that could be used by troops that are rapidly deployed in a crisis or conflict. Strengthened European defenses will be focused on protecting the Baltic states of Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia, as well as Poland, Romania, and Bulgaria.

For naval forces, a fourth Aegis-equipped U.S. warship was recently deployed to Spain and the ships have been conducting freedom of navigation operations in the Black Sea, where Russia has sought to prevent U.S. ships from operating. More naval forces have been requested, the four-star general said.

U.S. intelligence agencies also are increasing efforts to gather intelligence on Russia.

For the Middle East, European command forces are operating out of Turkey’s Incirlik air base in support of air strikes against Islamic State targets.

“Europe isn’t what it was 18 months ago, or even six months ago, and new threats and challenges seemingly emerge every day,” Breedlove said.

Russian aggression continues to be the most important priority.

“Russia’s actions prolong the conditions creating massive scale immigration of refugees that is further worrying our southern allies,” he said. “And the eastern allies continue to be concerned about Russian expansion. These concerns, combined with the flow of foreign fighters, are a strategic challenge for all of Europe.”

Asked about Monday’s unusual flight of two Russian Tu-142 bombers within a mile of the aircraft carrier USS Reagan near Japan, Breedlove said provocative Russian bomber and aircraft flights near Europe have dropped somewhat from a higher rate of bomber and military air intrusions several months ago.

Breedlove attributed the decline in NATO aerial intercepts of Russian aircraft to Moscow’s military operations in Syria, which are taking up military resources.

“I would opine that in the past few weeks or so, it has been a bit more normal, because we have seen a real focus on Syria,” he said of the Russian flights.

“But these actions continue, and they continue all around the periphery of Russia. They are still happening in Europe. And they are still happening in the far east, in Asia.”

Russian airliner carrying 224 people crashes in Sinai

October 31, 2015

Russian airliner carrying 224 people crashes in Sinai Wreckage found of plane that crashed 23 minutes after takeoff from Sharm el-Sheikh; rescuers looking for survivors; all on board were Russian nationals

By Times of Israel staff, AFP and AP

October 31, 2015, 9:31 am

Source: Russian airliner carrying 224 people crashes in Sinai | The Times of Israel

A Russian charter plane crashed early Saturday morning in Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula some 23 minutes after takeoff, with 224 Russian nationals on board.

The office of Egyptian Prime Minister Sharif Ismail confirmed Saturday that a “Russian civilian plane… crashed in the central Sinai.” Ismail canceled a trip to the Sinai city of Ismailia in the wake of the crash, Sky News Arabia said.

A senior aviation official said the plane was a charter flight operated by a Russian company and had on board 217 passengers and seven crew members. There were 17 children on the plane, according to the RT news channel.

A statement from the Ministry of Civil Aviation said military search and rescue teams found the wreckage of the passenger jet in the Hassana area south of the city of Al-Arish, an area in northern Sinai where Egyptian security forces are fighting a burgeoning Islamic militant insurgency led by a local affiliate of the extremist Islamic State group.

“Military planes have discovered the wreckage of the plane… in a mountainous area, and 45 ambulances have been directed to the site to evacuate dead and wounded,” the statement said.

The time lapse between takeoff and losing contact with the aircraft means that the plane was possibly flying at a cruising altitude of some 30,000 feet when it crashed.

Militants in northern Sinai have not to date shot down commercial airliners or fighter-jets.

It is not immediately known whether there were any survivors. Egyptian search and rescue teams at the crash site said they were hoping to find people who were still alive, and reported hearing voices coming from the wreckage, Israel’s Walla website said.

“There is another section of the plane that rescue teams have still be unable to access and we hope to find survivors there. We have heard people crying out from inside the wreckage,” a member of a rescue team told reporters.

The Israel Air Force had helped Egypt to locate the wreckage, the Ynet news website said. Israel also offered further assistance to both Cairo and Moscow.

An official statement carried by Egypt’s MENA news agency said the flight took off from Sharm el-Sheikh, a popular destination for Russian tourists, at 5:51 a.m. local time and disappeared from radar screens 23 minutes after takeoff. It said the plane had been bound for St. Petersburg.

Investigators were looking at human error or a technical problem as a cause of the crash, Channel 10 television said. Security sources in Egypt said that the pilot had reported a technical problem to air traffic control and said he was planning to make an emergency landing. After that, nothing was heard from the plane.

Russian President Vladimir Putin sent his condolences to the families of those on the plane on Saturday, and has ordered an inquiry into the reasons for the crash, the Walla website reported. Egypt’s new prosecutor-general, Nabil Sadek, has also ordered an investigation and dispatched a team to the crash site, Ynet reported.

Earlier in the day, an Egyptian official with the government’s Incidents Committee had told local media that the plane had briefly lost contact and was now safely in Turkish airspace.

 US to Put Boots on the Ground in Syria and Maybe Iraq

October 31, 2015

‘J.V.’ terrorist group makes J.V. U.S. President eat his words.

By: Lori Lowenthal Marcus

Published: October 30th, 2015

Source: The Jewish Press » » US to Put Boots on the Ground in Syria and Maybe Iraq

U.S. President Barack Obama

U.S. President Barack Obama
Photo Credit: WhiteHouse.Gov screen capture

 

In a startling turnaround – or one might characterize it as a pirouette in ultra-slow-motion – U.S. President Barack Obama authorized the deployment of dozens of Special Operations Forces to Syria. Also announced on Friday, Oct. 30, the U.S. is seriously considering sending Special Operations Forces to Iraq, to assist others fighting on the front lines against ISIS.

And so, this U.S. President who repeatedly swore that this country will not become involved in another military conflict in the Middle East, may be sending U.S. forces to fight in that region.

Try as they might, even the most ardent anti-Israel agitators in the U.S. and elsewhere will have a hard time blaming this military expenditure – in terms of financial outlay and personnel – on Israel.

The failure to recognize ISIS as a serious threat, President Obama disdainfully referred to that barbaric terrorist organization as a junior varsity team in January of 2014, and the endless dithering about how and whether to respond to the civil war in Syria, is why the U.S. now finds itself unable to act other than by sending in American troops.

As Secretary of State John Kerry explained earlier this week, ISIS (he now calls it Daesh) arose out of the chaos which ensued at the onset of the Syrian civil war.

The U.S. had focused its energy on an expensive “train and equip” $500 million strategy to shore up moderate rebels fighting against ISIS. The plug was pulled on that effort this month, after equipment and trained Syrians ended up either fighting with Assad or with ISIS or other terrorist groups.

The latest U.S. response comes late in the game, well after Iran and Russia have spent years and months, respectively, propping up Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, whom the U.S. is committed to sidelining.

In testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee earlier this week Gen. Joseph Dunford, Jr., Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff acknowledged, “no one is satisfied with our progress to date.”

It may be unfair to refer to a U.S. President in the second term of his presidency as “junior varsity,” but on May, 28, 2014 Obama made a speech at West Point that, in hindsight, might lead one to characterize his military thinking in those terms.

He said then that a,”strategy that involves invading every country that harbors terrorist networks is naïve and unsustainable.”

It was during that speech that Obama announced he would ask Congress for money to train the armies of “vulnerable” nations to carry out operations against extremists.

But now the U.S. is tentatively committed to sending in special forces units into both Syria and Iraq. As it turns out, the previous position of the U.S. was naive and unsustainable.

Picture added by JK

Palestinian Attacks Continue Amid Report Abbas Ordered Shift to West Bank

October 31, 2015

Palestinian Attacks Continue Amid Report Abbas Ordered Shift to West Bank, Investigative Project on Terrorism, October 30, 2015

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas issued a directive 11 days ago to cease attacks in Jerusalem in order to increase attacks in the West Bank, emphasizing the areas of Gush Etzion and Hebron, the Jerusalem Post reported.

*****************************

Palestinian violence against Jews continues, as a terrorist stabbed and injured an Israeli man in Jerusalem on Friday, reports the Times of Israel.

Israeli police shot and critically wounded the terrorist; however a second Israeli man was accidentally injured by police gunfire.

The stabbing was the first in Jerusalem since Oct. 17, and comes amid analyses that the Palestinian violence has shifted primarily from the Israeli capital to the West Bank.

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas issued a directive 11 days ago to cease attacks in Jerusalem in order to increase attacks in the West Bank, emphasizing the areas of Gush Etzion and Hebron, the Jerusalem Post reported.

The clear difference in Israeli authorities’ ability to prevent attacks in eastern Jerusalem versus the West Bank shows the extent of the PA’s influence over the Palestinians in the capital. However, today’s events show that not all Jerusalem Arabs are heeding to Abbas’ call to divert attacks, suggesting that broader societal Palestinian incitement continues to play a major role in driving violence against Jews.

Meanwhile, two Palestinian attackers attempted to stab Border Police officers at the Tapuah Junction in the West Bank and were subsequently shot by Israeli authorities – one terrorist died as a result.

Palestinians rioted in the West Bank city of Ramallah, leading Israeli police to shoot an assailant who was ready to throw a Molotov cocktail. As Israeli first responders administered first aid to the wounded Palestinian, another Palestinian terrorist approached the medical officers wielding a sharp object. Seeking to prevent another terrorist attack, an Israeli commander in a jeep ordered his driver to approach the terrorist. The driver hit the second Palestinian and moderately wounded him.

These incidents mark more than 60 separate terrorist attacks against Israeli civilians and security personnel in the last month, killing 10 Israelis and injuring dozens more