Archive for February 1, 2013

Clinton: Iran sending more people, weapons to Syria

February 1, 2013

Clinton: Iran sending more people, weapo… JPost – International.

( Good, good… “Here kitty, kitty…! – JW )

By REUTERS, BLOOMBERG
02/01/2013 04:44
“We know that the Iranians are ‘all-in’ for Assad” and that keeping their closest ally in the Middle East in power “is one of their highest priorities,” outgoing US secretary of state warns.

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton Photo: Kevin Lamarque / Reuters

There are signs that Iran is sending growing numbers of people and increasingly sophisticated weaponry to support Syrian President Bashar Assad, outgoing US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on Thursday.

“It appears that they may be increasing that involvement and that is a matter of great concern to us,” she told reporters as she prepares to step down on Friday. “I think the numbers (of people) have increased … There is a lot of concern that they are increasing the quality of the weapons, because Assad is using up his weaponry. So it’s numbers and it’s materiel.”

“We know that the Iranians are ‘all-in’ for Assad” and that keeping their closest ally in the Middle East in power “is one of their highest priorities,” Clinton said in a wide- ranging, final interview as secretary of state.

In a round-table session with reporters who traveled with her over the past four years, Clinton outlined pieces of unfinished business that her successor, Secretary of State- designate John Kerry, will need to address from his first full day in office Feb. 4: the conflict in Syria, the nuclear challenges from Iran and North Korea, and the future of Afghanistan after US and international forces withdraw by the end of 2014.

Trying to bring an end to the bloodshed in Syria that the United Nations estimates has claimed more than 60,000 lives was among the most urgent issues cited by Clinton.

The US has “reason to believe” Russia, like Iran, is providing financial assistance and military equipment to Assad, Clinton said, despite the Russian government’s “rhetoric” about working to a peaceful resolution of the conflict that began in March 2011 with a violent crackdown on uprisings against Assad. She declined to elaborate on classified intelligence.

The “Russians are not passive bystanders in their support for Assad,” Clinton said. She also expressed disappointment in Russia’s behavior at the UN, where she said they have obstructed efforts to enforce a transition plan agreed upon last June.

Clinton said the US has made no decision on arming the Syrian opposition and has consistently warned Persian Gulf allies who are supplying weaponry to the rebels about possible “unintended consequences.” She and other US officials have previously expressed concern that weapons would fall into the hands of Islamic extremists and groups linked to al-Qaida.

She said the struggle through the 1980s to expel the Soviet Union from Afghanistan — and the chaos that followed –presents a cautionary tale that arming an opposition “may not turn out exactly as you’d hoped.”

‘Window for Iranian nuclear negotiations closing’

Clinton also addressed the Iranian nuclear threat, saying that the window for negotiations with Tehran about its nuclear program cannot stay open for “too much longer.”

“I don’t think the window can remain open for too much longer (but) I am not going to put days, weeks or months on it,” Clinton stated.

Iran has refused to set a date and venue for fresh talks with six major powers on its nuclear program, a reluctance that Clinton ascribed to “a lot of disagreement within the highest levels of the regime about how to handle this” as well as to political jockeying ahead of Iran’s June presidential election.

“They will decide to meet or not to meet based on their own internal calculations,” Clinton said. “They have an election coming up in June. People are jockeying to see who the supreme leader is going to anoint to be the next president.

“They are preoccupied with their internal political calculations and that’s far more important to them right now than setting a date and a time” to meet the six major powers: Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the United States.

Clinton said that US President Barack Obama had never given up on the idea of engaging Iran but she stressed this was only one side of its dual-track policy with economic sanctions as the other.

Syrian spillover

February 1, 2013

Syrian spillover – JPost – Opinion – Editorials.

By JPOST EDITORIAL
01/31/2013 23:11
Whatever the facts regarding purported Israeli attacks, it is clear that Israel has a right and an obligation to prevent the anarchy in Syria from spilling over to Lebanon and endangering Israelis.

IAF F-15s refueling midflight [file]

IAF F-15s refueling midflight [file] Photo: Baz Ratner / Reuters
Details are sketchy on what precisely happened in Syria on Wednesday. Some international media reports claim that Israel Air Force planes attacked a convoy belonging to the Syrian regime’s military forces.

Some sources said that the weapons being transferred by the convoy were chemical and destined for the Hezbollah, which dominates the Lebanese government, has a standing army of its own and is involved in terrorism against Israel. Official Syrian sources, meanwhile, have claimed that Israel attacked a “research center” that produces non-conventional weapons.

But if the weapons targeted were indeed chemical, the toxic element that would be released would have resulted in numerous casualties. So far, there have been no reports to that affect.

In contrast, according to an Associated Press report, the attack targeted a convoy on its way to Lebanon carrying conventional Russian-made SA-17 surface-to- air missiles designed to attack cruise missiles, smart bombs, fixed and rotary-wing aircraft, and unmanned aerial vehicles. The Syrians have already trained Hezbollah teams visiting in Syria to operate the missile systems, according to local media reports. If transferred to southern Lebanon, these SA-17 missiles would compromise Israel’s air superiority, which has so far provided important deterrence against Hezbollah attacks.

With the situation in Syria deteriorating rapidly, anarchy now reigns. Though there never were easy solutions to the civil war, half-hearted attempts were made on different fronts.

At one time, Kofi Annan’s United Nations mission, which never had much of a chance of success, did at least make some sense. At one point in June of last year Russia considered supporting the Geneva agreement on the formation of a transitional government.

But it has become brutally clear that the time for diplomacy has passed and that Annan failed miserably.

Syria’s state institutions, which were still intact last year, have collapsed, the armed insurgency has largely overtaken the peaceful protest movement, the middle ground has disappeared.

The time has passed, too, for limited military measures designed to stabilize the situation such as the establishment of no-fly zones, safe areas, bombing campaigns and arming the opposition.

If, for instance, the US or other Western countries were to provide some rebel groups with arms in an already thoroughly militarized environment, the impact would be marginal. And even if the US had taken such measures earlier it is not clear that significant results would have been attained.

Under the circumstances, a vacuum of indecision with no easy answers has been created. Not only are the US’s and other Western nations’ options limited, so are Israel’s. But due to the geographic proximity, Israel is more directly affected by what by the unfolding turmoil in Syria.

Israel’s cardinal interests are to ensure that chemical weapons such as sarin, mustard gas compounds and VX nerve agents do not fall into the hands of Hezbollah to be used against Israelis. Another cardinal Israeli interest is to maintain air superiority in southern Lebanon, where Hezbollah is estimated to have 50,000 rockets and missiles pointed at Israel that are capable of hitting deep inside the country.

As expected, Iran and Hezbollah began saber rattling in the wake of the reports of an Israeli attack, warning of “serious consequences.” Interestingly, both backed the Syrian story-line claiming the attack had been staged on a “research center” and mentioned nothing of an attack on a convoy carrying SA- 17s.

Perhaps Syria does not want Russia to know that missiles it provided to Bashar Assad are making their way to Lebanon. Perhaps it is convenient for Russia to pretend that arms supplied to Syria are not making their way west to Hezbollah. Whatever the facts regarding purported Israeli attacks, it is clear that Israel has a right and an obligation to prevent the anarchy in Syria from spilling over to Lebanon and endangering Israeli citizens.