Archive for July 2012

‘Israel and America are reflections of one another’

July 30, 2012

Israel Hayom | ‘Israel and America are reflections of one another’.

( Whatever you think about Romney and his policies, this is as good a speech as I’ve heard from an American about Israel. – JW )

Syria’s Foreign Minister Blames Israel for Unrest

July 30, 2012

Syria’s Foreign Minister Blames Israel for Unrest – Middle East – News – Israel National News.

Syria’s Foreign Minister and his Iranian counterpart accuse Israel of plotting to overthrow the regime of Syrian President Assad.
By Elad Benari

First Publish: 7/30/2012, 6:12 AM

 

A building burns after shelling at Aleppo

A building burns after shelling at Aleppo
Reuters

Syria’s Foreign Minister on Sunday accused Israel of being behind the ongoing unrest in his country.

During a visit to Tehran, Walid al-Moualem and his Iranian counterpart, Ali Akbar Salehi, accused Israel of plotting to overthrow the regime of Syrian President Bashar Assad.

“The Israeli position towards the crisis in Syria proves that a plot was hatched against the regime in Damascus,” Salehi said, accusing Arab states for adopting what he called “Israel’s position” and following it.

He advised countries in the region to consider the implications of their positions and actions, warning that these countries will end up sinking as a result of these actions.

During the joint press conference, Moualem said that the regime in Damascus has the ability to “defeat all the conspiracies and military aggression and protect the Syrian land.”

He said his country is facing a campaign by the United States, Western and Arab countries regarding the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Syria, “while Israel has more than 200 nuclear explosive heads.”

“Syria is committed to the plan of UN and Arab League envoy Kofi Annan, but there are two important points: preventing any external aggression and maintaining the unity of our country,” said Moualem.

Salehi added that the idea of a managed transition of power in Syria is “an illusion.”

“Thinking naively and wrongly that if there is a power vacuum perhaps in Syria and if there is a transition of power in Syria, simply another government will come to power, that I think is just a dream,” Reuters quoted Salehi as having said.

“It’s an illusion. We have to look carefully at Syria and what’s happening inside the country,” he added.

The Syrian Foreign Minister’s visit to Tehran took place as fierce battles continued in Damascus and in Aleppo.

Assad’s government declared victory on Sunday in a hard-fought battle for Syria’s capital Damascus, and pounded rebels who control parts of Aleppo.

Government forces have succeeded in reimposing their grip on the capital after a punishing battle, but rebels are still in control of sections of Aleppo, clashing with reinforced army troops for several days.

Iran’s New Strategic Horizons at Sea

July 30, 2012

Iran’s New Strategic Horizons at Sea – Op-Eds – Israel National News.

Tehran has upped the ante with an aggressive new naval strategy and sent warships to the Mediterranean for the first time since 1979. It threatens to block key straits in the Red Sea and Persian Gulf to cripple Western shipping, threaten Israel.

In June 2012 Iran announced that it would hold a naval exercise together with Syria and Russia in the eastern Mediterranean. This reflects an ongoing change in Iranian naval strategy. For years Iranian vessels have operated exclusively in the Persian Gulf. A new evolving strategy has now caused Iran to send military vessels to other waters including the Gulf of Oman, Caspian Sea, Red Sea, and even the Mediterranean Sea. Iran’s naval leadership has declared that since today’s major global threats are sea-based, Iran must update its naval forces and strategy.

In February 18, 2012, Iranian Admiral Habibollah Sayyari announced that two warships entered the Mediterranean for the second time since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, showcasing Iran’s “might” to regional countries. They docked at the Syrian port of Tartous, marking Iranian naval cooperation with the Syrian regime.

This expanded naval presence hasbeen accompanied by threats in response to the ever-harsher sanctions being imposed on the country over its nuclear program. For example, in February 2012, Hossein Ebrahimi, a vice chairman of the Iranian Parliament’s national security and foreign policy commission, called the ships “a serious warning” in case of any US strategic mistake in Syria.

The strategy is result of the Iranian attempt to achieve regional hegemony and a response to the perceived threats to its national interests, in particular Western attempts to stop Iran’s quest for nuclear weapons. Therefore, Iran has adopted a new strategy of naval presence in the region, sending ships to the Red and Mediterranean seas.

Iranian Naval Strategy in the Red Sea

Iran recognizes the Red Sea as a strategic area of interest because of its desire to gain control over the main maritime oil and gas route to the West, the straits on each corner of the Arabian Peninsula: Hormuz to the east and Bab-el-Mandeb to the west.

The latter forms the southern tip of the Red Sea between Eritrea and Yemen, places of strategic importance for Iran. Control of this area is also important when combatting Somali pirates who operate in the Gulf of Aden and threaten international oil shipping routes.

The Red Sea route is also a main channel of communication and arms supply from Iran to its regional ally Hamas in the Gaza Strip, allowing Iran to funnel weapons to the Strip via Yemen, the sea, and through Sudan to Sinai and ultimately Gaza.

The straits of Bab-el-Mandeb are situated three kilometers from Eritrea and Yemen and constitute the closest spot to the Gulf of Aden, which connects the Suez Canal and the Red Sea to the Indian Ocean, the passageway for oil tankers and cargo ships in the African and Southwest Asian regions.

Eritrea has fostered close political,military, and economic ties with Iran. Iran has most likely used Eritrea as a base to provide weapons to Shiite Houthi insurgents in Yemen. According to the Yemeni military, Iranian weapons have been used by Houthi rebelsagainst the Yemeni government.

The Iranian Navy has been conducting anti-piracy patrols in the high seas, including the Gulf of Aden, since November 2008, when Somali raiders hijacked the Iranian-chartered cargoship MV Delight, off the coast of Yemen. In September 2010, the Iranian Navy dispatched its tenth flotilla of warships to the Gulf of Aden to defend the country’s cargo ships and oil tankers against the continued threat of attack by Somali pirates. The presence of the Iranian Fourth Fleet in the Gulf of Aden is useful in smuggling weapons to Iranian proxies in Somalia and Yemen.

Iranian Naval Presence in the Mediterranean Sea

The deployment of the Iranian ships in the Mediterranean is no surprise. In September 2010, Iranian Navy Commander Rear Admiral Habibollah Sayyari relayed Iran’s plan to continue naval deployment in the high seas as part of Tehran’s strategy for defending its interests abroad. In addition, he announced several months later that Iran would deploy its first home-made destroyer, Jamaran, in international waters.  Soon after, on February 25, 2011, two Iranian warships docked in Syria after passing through the Suez Canal into the Mediterranean Sea, the first time Iranian ships passed through the canal since 1979.

This new development comes at a time of significant turmoil in the region and illustrates the Iranian search for strategic dominance in the region and Iranian efforts to support its regional allies in the Mediterranean: Syria, Hizbullah, and Hamas.

Iran has used maritime routes to send arms shipments to Hizbullah and Hamas through Sudan or the Mediterranean and has smuggled weapons into Gaza. In fact, from 2002–2012,  the Israeli Navy intercepted five of these ships: the Karin A in 2002, the Abu Hasan in 2003, the MV Francop in 2009, the Victoria in 2011, and the Atlantic Cruiser in 2012.

In addition, an Iranian naval presence in the eastern Mediterranean could complicate a future maritime struggle near Gaza. Ali Shirazi, Khamenei’s representative in the Revolutionary Guard, claimed in 2010 that Iran’s elite Revolutionary Guards were ready to provide a military escort to cargo ships trying to break Israel’s blockade of Gaza.

Iran is also a strategic ally of the Assad regime in Syria. Its naval deployment sends a strategic message of support in turbulent times for Assad. It also adds to Western concerns that the Syrian crisis could boil over into a regional conflict. Iranian presence could also deter a Western intervention in Syria.

Finally, the naval Iranian presence is intended to intimidate the West from continuing its pressure on Tehran and the nuclear issue. If a significant number of Western warships can operate in the Gulf – which Iran sees as its maritime backyard – then Iran can also deploy vessels to the Mediterranean, which NATO countries regard as their maritime backyard. It complements the Iranian campaign of terror against Israeli targets that can be expanded to Western targets as well.

Conclusion

The arrival of Iranian military vessels to the Mediterranean represents a clear sign of Tehran’s widening strategic horizons and serves several functions. The efforts invested in building a stronger navy buttress the Iranian quest for expanding its influence in the Red Sea region and eastern Mediterranean. It is able to foment trouble and aid its allies, as well as counter the American naval presence. It also encroaches upon physical proximity to Israel, an arch-enemy. For now, the Iranian naval deployment in areas close to Israel, the Red Sea, and the eastern Mediterranean is limited but nonetheless is of concern for Israel.

Col.(Res.) Dr. Shaul Shay

The writer is former Deputy Head of the Israel National Security Council and a research associate at the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies. He lectures at Bar-Ilan University and the Herzliya Interdisciplinary Center.

France to ask for urgent Security Council meet to end Syria violence

July 30, 2012

France to ask for urgent Security Council meet to end Syria violence – Israel News | Haaretz Daily Newspaper.

Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius brands President Assad an ‘executioner’; UN estimates 200,000 of city’s 2 million residents have fled Aleppo amid the fighting.

By Reuters and DPA | Jul.30, 2012 | 10:37 AM | 3
A Free Syrian Army member aims his weapon in Aleppo, July 29, 2012.

A Free Syrian Army member aims his weapon after hearing shelling at Aleppo’s district of al Sukkari July 29, 2012.

France will ask for an urgent UN Security Council ministerial meeting on Syria to try to end the diplomatic deadlock and prevent further bloodshed, Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said on Monday.

President Bashar Assad’s forces attacked rebel fighters in the city of Aleppo during the weekend, drawing condemnation from Western powers, who say the authorities in Syria have lost all legitimacy.

Branding Assad an “executioner,” Fabius said the country was headed for a massacre, and urged the United Nations to do everything it can to stop the crisis.
“We’re going to ask for a meeting of the Security Council, probably at the ministerial level, before the end of this week,” he told RTL radio.

Western powers have thus far been unsuccessful in ending an impasse at the UN over the Syrian crisis, with Russia and China blocking efforts to put more pressure on Assad.

France is due to take over the presidency of the United Nations Security Council on Wednesday, and President Francois Hollande has said he will try to convince Russia and China to support further sanctions.

The United Nations expressed concern for hundreds of thousands of civilians, who have fled Syria’s largest city Aleppo, amid intensifying clashes between government and rebel forces.

An estimated 200,000 of the city’s 2 million have fled, the UN’s Emergency Relief Coordinator Valerie Amos said late Sunday in New York, citing figures from the Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies.

“I am extremely concerned by the impact of shelling and use of tanks and other heavy weapons on people in Aleppo,” she said.

“I call on all parties to the fighting to ensure that they do not target civilians and that they allow humanitarian organizations safe access to bring urgent and life-saving help to people caught up in the fighting.”

Government troops intensified their attacks to regain control of areas of the city held by rebels seeking to topple the regime of President Bashar Assad.

Helicopter gunships fired on the south-eastern district of Salaheddine, according to the opposition Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

The rebels said they had blocked the army from entering several districts in Aleppo and destroyed tanks. Their claims could not be independently verified.
At least 95 people were killed Sunday in Syria, mainly in Aleppo and in suburban areas of Damascus and Daraa in the south, said the opposition.

The opposition National Syrian Council planned talks in Cairo on Tuesday to discuss forming a transitional government, member Khaled Khuga told DPA.
Western powers have recently called on position groups to patch up their differences and formulate a united vision for post- Assad Syria.

The weekend’s clashes were the heaviest of the uprising, which has claimed more than 20,000 lives since it began in March 2011, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

Iran’s FM expects to hold more nuclear talks

July 30, 2012

Iran’s FM expects to hold more n… JPost – Iranian Threat – News.

By REUTERS
07/30/2012 12:19
Salehi says West must recognize Tehran’s right to enrichment, but says “breakdown in talks is in nobody’s interest.”

Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi

Photo: REUTERS/Herwig Prammer

VIENNA – Iran expects to hold more talks with world powers on its nuclear program following an inconclusive round of negotiations in Istanbul earlier this month, its foreign minister said in a newspaper interview published on Monday.

The failure of the talks to secure a breakthrough over Tehran’s uranium enrichment, which the West fears is aimed at developing nuclear weapons, has raised international concerns that Israel may carry out a military strike.

“I can’t say it with certainty but if everything proceeds normally then there should be further negotiations,” Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi told Austria’s Der Standard.

“A breakdown (in talks) is in nobody’s interests. The gaps can only be closed through talking.”

Salehi said, however, that Iran’s right to uranium enrichment had to be recognized from the outset. “It’s a matter of principle,” he said.

Tehran denies it is attempting to develop atomic weapons, saying its nuclear program is for civilian energy purposes.

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said earlier this month that Iran’s proposals made in talks with the so-called P5+1 group of the United States, Russia, China, France, Britain and Germany were “non-starters.”

Israel is widely thought to be the only country in the Middle East with nuclear weapons capability and, citing threats made by Iran’s leaders to destroy it, has made it clear it would attack the Islamic state if diplomacy failed.

Salehi said Iran did not want to shut down the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway at the neck of the Gulf through which 40 percent of the world’s seaborne oil exports pass.

“The Persian Gulf is a lifeline for Iran and for the region and for the international community. We are rational. We do not want to cut off this lifeline and cause suffering,” he said.

“But if we are forced, then Iran must do everything to defend its sovereignty and its national interests.”

Military analysts have cast doubt on Iran’s willingness to block the slender waterway, given the massive US-led retaliation it would likely incur.

FSA seizes checkpoint between Aleppo, Turkey as France to seek U.N. meeting

July 30, 2012

FSA seizes checkpoint between Aleppo, Turkey as France to seek U.N. meeting.

A Free Syrian Army member walks at a checkpoint on the outskirts of Aleppo. (Reuters)

A Free Syrian Army member walks at a checkpoint on the outskirts of Aleppo. (Reuters)

Syrian rebels seized a strategic checkpoint northwest of Aleppo on Monday after a 10-hour battle, securing them free movement between the northern city and Turkey, an AFP journalist said, as France said it will ask for an urgent U.N. Security Council meeting on Syria.

“The Anadan checkpoint, five kilometers northwest of Aleppo, was taken this morning at 5:00 am (0200 GMT) after 10 hours of fighting,” said General Ferzat Abdul Nasser, a rebel officer who deserted the Syrian army a month ago.

By securing this position, the rebels now control a direct route between the Turkish border and the city of Aleppo, where the Syrian army launched an offensive Saturday to dislodge the rebel Free Syrian Army (FSA), composed of deserters and armed civilians.

An AFP journalist on the ground said that the rebels captured seven tanks and armoured vehicles, and destroyed an eighth vehicle.

Six soldiers were killed and 25 were taken as prisoners, General Ferzat told AFP by phone, adding that four of his own men died in the fighting.

The Syrian government announced late Sunday it had “purged” the district of Salahhedine and inflicted “great losses” upon the rebels — a claim which opposition activists dispute.

“They were just in part of Salaheddine, not in the center,” said Rami Abdul Rahman, the director of the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

Activists on the ground in Aleppo confirmed that the fighting was ongoing and no government forces were inside the neighborhood of Salaheddine, one of the first to revolt against the government in this city of 3 million.

“They have tanks in nearby Hamdaniya and there is fighting, and there have been random bombardments of Salaheddine,” said Mohammed Saeed, who is based in the embattled city.

The government has massed forces outside Aleppo and began an assault over the weekend to retake the commercial hub. The international community has expressed fears over a possible massacre of civilians if the fighting escalates.

Meanwhile, France will ask for an urgent U.N. Security Council ministerial meeting on Syria to try to end the diplomatic deadlock and prevent further bloodshed, Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said on Monday.

President Bashar al-Assad’s forces attacked rebel fighters in the city of Aleppo at the weekend, drawing condemnation from Western powers who say the authorities in Syria have lost all legitimacy.

Branding Assad an “executioner,” Fabius said the country was headed for a massacre, and urged the United Nations to do everything it can to stop the crisis.

“We’re going to ask for a meeting of the Security Council, probably at ministerial level, before the end of this week,” he told RTL radio.

Western powers have thus far been unsuccessful in ending an impasse at the U.N. over the Syrian crisis, with Russia and China trying blocking efforts to put more pressure on Assad.

France is due to take over the presidency of the United Nations Security Council on Wednesday, and President Francois Hollande has said he will try to convince Russia and China to support further sanctions.

The bid for Syria’s first safe haven in Aleppo region is thwarted

July 30, 2012

The bid for Syria’s first safe haven in Aleppo region is thwarted.

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report July 30, 2012, 10:19 AM (GMT+02:00)

 

Syrian army tank in Aleppo

US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta commented Monday, July 30 on his way to the Middle East that the Syrian army’s shattering assault on Aleppo, Syria’s commercial hub, “will ultimately be another nail in Assad’s coffin.” This was a measure of the frustration generated by the failure for now of the Western-backed Arab bid to establish a safe haven in the Aleppo region. It was thwarted by the ruthless drive of Syria army’s 18th and 11th Divisions and parts of the 14th with massive air and artillery support to destroy rebel forces.

When Panetta declared, “It’s not a question of whether he’s coming to an end, it’s when,” pro-Assad forces were again rooting out and liquidating rebel forces in Aleppo as they did in Damascus ten days earlier.

Western military experts expect Assad’s forces to take longer to subdue Aleppo than Damascus, because his officers are directed to refrain from knocking over the architectural and historic gems of Syria’s most beautiful and affluent city, as they did elsewhere. They were also told to keep civilian casualties down to a minimum.

All the same, at least 200,000 Aleppo citizens (almost one-tenth of its 2.2 million inhabitants) were estimated by the UN to have fled the city by Sunday night as their homes were reduced to rubble by heavy artillery fire. Others were pinned down in the encircled southern and western districts where food and fuel is running low. Monday morning, the Syrian army overran part of rebel-held Salaheddin. But the fighting continues in parts of Aleppo and surrounding villages accompanied by the soldiers’ relentless pursuit of fleeing rebels.

The swelling stream of refugees from Syria to neighboring countries – mostly through Turkey – has reached as far as Egypt, which reports the arrival of 50,000 homeless Syrians in the last few days.

Monday morning, Saudi and Qatari intelligence officers, based in Free Syrian Army headquarters at Apaydin in the southwest Turkish Hatay region, were forced to admit that Bashar Assad’s army had smashed their plan for a safe haven in the Aleppo area. Territory was to have been seized by rebels and converted into the base of the forward FSA command and the seat of a transitional government, in the same way as the Benghazi rebel headquarters was established in 2011 six months before Muammar Qaddafi’s overthrow.
The FSA’s Saudi and Qatari backers said they had received from Washington a qualified undertaking to share in the defense of a safe haven if one could be established and to diversify its aid to the rebels.
Last week, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton remarked: “More and more territory is being taken. It will eventually result in a safe haven inside Syria.”
Sources in Washington then reported the Obama administration to be weighing options for more direct involvement in the Syrian civil war if the rebels were able to wrest enough territory for a safe haven.
So certain were the Saudis that their Aleppo scheme would succeed that Saturday, July 28, they convened a meeting of Arab UN delegations in Cairo to formulate the text of a motion for the UN Security Council to recognize the safe havens rising in Syria and calling on UN members to support them.
That step has proved premature in the light of anti-Assad forces inability to hold out against the government’s military onslaught – an inability partly attributed by debkafile’s military sources to chaotic relations within the insurrectionist movement.

The battle for Aleppo is being fought mainly by a splinter rebel group which rejects the authority of the FSA command in Turkey and refuses to obey its orders. It is led by Col. Abdel Jabbar al-Okaidi, who claims to represent the FSA. However, most of his fighters do not belong to the main rebel force but to a radical Islamic militia calling itself “Banner of Islam.” Many of them are al Qaeda jihadis arriving in Syria from Iraq and Libya.

Syrian rebels hold off regime push into Aleppo

July 30, 2012

Syrian rebels hold off regime push into Aleppo | The Times of Israel.

Opposition fighters say they still hold wide swathes of financial capital, despite major offensive; 200,000 refugees flee war-torn city

BEIRUT (AP) — Syrian tanks and artillery pounded rebel-held neighborhoods in the commercial hub of Aleppo on Sunday in a bid to retake control as President Bashar Assad’s regime accused regional powerhouses Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkey of trying to destroy the country.

Activists say opposition fighters control large swathes of territory across Syria’s largest city. The government has been struggling for a week to beat back their assault and stem the tide of recent rebel advances in the civil war.

Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs and Emergency Relief Coordinator, Valerie Amos issued a statement on Sunday night expressing her concern at the developing humanitarian crisis in Aleppo.

“I am extremely concerned by the impact of shelling and use of tanks and other heavy weapons on people in Aleppo, Syria’s most populous city, as well as in the capital Damascus and surrounding towns,” Amos, said in a news release on Sunday.

Amos cited an International Committee of the Red Cross and the Syrian Arab Red Crescent estimate that 200,000 refugees have fled Aleppo to surrounding areas in the past two days. Many others are pinned down by the battle, unable to escape, she said.

““It is not known how many people remain trapped in places where fighting continues today,” Ms. Amos said. “Many people have sought temporary shelter in schools and other public buildings in safer areas. They urgently need food, mattresses and blankets, hygiene supplies and drinking water.”

The head of the main opposition group, the Syrian National Council, called for international help in arming the rebels to face the regime’s heavy weaponry, particularly tanks.

“If the international community cannot act, they should support the opposition with anti-tanks missiles and anti-aircraft rockets,” Abdel Basset Sida told the Gulf News during a stopover in Abu Dhabi. “We seek international supporters to arm our uprising against the regime.”

Saudi Arabia and Qatar have expressed willingness to help fund the rebels and they are believed to be funneling money through Turkey to the opposition, which is using it to purchase arms and equipment.

Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moallem railed against interference by the region’s Sunni powers in a rare public criticism of his Middle East neighbors. He accused them of supporting the rebels at the behest of Israel.

“Israel is the mastermind of all in this crisis,” he said during a joint news conference in Tehran with his Iranian counterpart Ali Akbar Salehi . “They (Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Turkey) are fighting in the same front.”

Syria’s Sunni majority forms the backbone of the uprising while the regime is dominated by Assad’s minority Alawite sect, an offshoot of Shiite Islam. Iran is Syria’s only remaining ally in the Middle East, standing by Damascus throughout the 17-month uprising.

Amid fears of a massacre or a bloody final battle in Aleppo, civilians have been fleeing the city in ever greater numbers.

In this citizen journalism image taken on Saturday, a Syrian family stand in the rubble of destroyed houses in Maarat al-Numaan on the eastern edge of Idlib province, northern Syria. (Photo credit: AP/Edlib News Network ENN)

 

 

 

 

 

 

“Life in Aleppo has become unbearable. I’m in my car and I’m leaving right now,” said a Syrian writer as he got ready to drive away. “There’s shelling night and day, every day,” he said over the telephone on condition of anonymity for fear of reprisals.

He painted a dire picture of daily life in the embattled city, torn between the government forces and those of the rebels.

“Bread, gasoline and gas are being sold on the black market at very high prices,” he said. “Many things are in shortage.”

Videos uploaded onto the Internet show deserted neighborhood streets filled with rubble knocked off the multi-story apartment buildings by incoming mortar shells. Shards of broken glass also litter the streets and few windows appear to still be intact.

One video, above, uploaded to YouTube early Monday morning, purports to show rebel forces shooting from an Aleppo rooftop.

Since the rebel assault on Aleppo began a week ago, about 192 people have been killed, mostly civilians, according to the activist group Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. Some 19,000 people have died since the uprising began, the group says.

This image made from amateur video released by the Shaam News Network and accessed Sunday, shows a Syrian military tank in Daraa, Syria. (Photo credit: AP/Shaam News Network)

The regime strategy for now appears to be to soften the rebel positions with artillery before actually moving into the densely packed streets of the neighborhoods where their tanks be at a disadvantage.

Activists reported heavy shelling of several areas of Aleppo as well as clashes in the southwestern neighborhood of Salahhedine, which has been a rebel stronghold for the past week.

‘Rebels have completely seized control of the town of al-Bab east of Aleppo. It is the biggest town in the Aleppo countryside’

State media reported several successful operations against “terrorists,” which is how the regime describes the rebels, in Salaheddine. But activists maintained the neighborhood remained outside government control.

The rebels seem to be putting up a much more effective fight than before, occasionally succeeding in disabling or capturing the regime’s heavy, Russian-made tanks.

A video posted online by activists Sunday showed rebels riding through the town of al-Bab in Aleppo province in a captured regime battle tank.

“Rebels have completely seized control of the town of al-Bab east of Aleppo. It is the biggest town in the Aleppo countryside,” said local activist Mohammed Saeed. He added that another 200 fighters had entered the city Sunday to join the 1,000 fighters who had poured into the city over the past few days to repel the Syrian army’s effort to regain control.

He also said rebels have received “a new batch of weapons and ammunition,” but declined to say from where.

The battle for Aleppo, once a bastion of support for Assad’s regime, is absolutely critical in the struggle for Syria’s future. Rebels already control large sections of the neighboring Idlib province, which borders Turkey, and if a major metropolis fell to them it could possibly create the nucleus of some kind of “liberated” territory that could receive further support from the international community — much the way eastern Libya became a rebel sanctuary during the fight against Moammar Gadhafi last year.

Yet Syria’s rebels are still massively outgunned and it seems just a matter of time before Assad’s massed forces outside the city of 3 million crush them, much the way a similar rebel assault on Damascus over a week ago was quashed.

“They mobilized all their armed terrorists and tried to capture Damascus in less than a week,” Moallem said in Iran. “They were defeated. Today, they’ve gone to Aleppo and definitely they will be defeated in Aleppo.”

Iran has provided Assad’s government with military and political backing for years, and has kept up its strong support for the regime since the uprising began in March 2011. The rest of the Arab world, however, has turned against Syria and on Sunday, the Arab League once against condemned Damascus.

The group’s secretary general, Nabil Elaraby, told reporters that the regime’s Aleppo offensive “amounts to war crimes” and that those behind it will eventually be brought to justice. Speaking at the League’s headquarters in the Egyptian capital of Cairo, he said the pan-Arab organization supported calls by Syrian opposition groups for an emergency meeting of the U.N. Security Council on the regime’s assault on Aleppo.

The violence has sent refugees flooding into countries bordering Syria including Jordan, Turkey, Iraq and Lebanon.

Jordan said it had opened its first tent camp for Syrians, saying a surge of refugees forced it to do so.

Authorities had been reluctant to set up the camps, possibly to avoid angering Assad’s regime by concentrating images of civilians fleeing his military onslaught.

Jordan says it hosts 142,000 Syrians refugees. With their numbers growing daily by up to 2,000, Foreign Minister Nasser Judeh said Sunday that Jordan had no other choice but to open the camp. He spoke at the camp’s opening ceremony in the hamlet of Zataari, about 11 kilometers (7 miles) from the northern border with Syria.

___

AP writers Dale Gavlak in Amman, Jordan, Ali Akbar Dareini in Tehran, Iran, Zeina Karam in Beirut, Hamza Hendawi in Cairo and Albert Aji from Damascus, Syria, contributed to this report.

Copyright 2012 The Associated Press.

Iran brings forward nuclear timetable

July 30, 2012

Iran brings forward nuclear timetable – Israel Opinion, Ynetnews.

Analysis: If Islamic Republic maintains current pace of uranium enrichment at Natanz, Fordo facilities, it can become nuclear power in two years unless stopped

Iran does not have a nuclear bomb, but if it continues to enrich uranium pace at the current pace, it will become a “nuclear threshold” country within a year. According to intelligence officials, there is a possibility that between mid-2014 and the end of that year the Islamic Republic will become a nuclear power with more than one bomb in its arsenal.

To understand how Iran is advancing its nuclear program one must first understand how a nuclear warhead is produced.

The production of a nuclear warhead similar to bomb that was dropped on Hiroshima requires some 25 kilos (55 pounds) of highly-enriched natural uranium containing +90% U-235, the fissile isotope of uranium.

The most difficult stage in this process is enriching uranium to a low concentration level (LEU). One nuclear bomb requires 1,600 kilos (3,530 pounds) of low-enriched uranium that has a 3.5-5% concentration of U-235. The next stage is enriching the uranium to a 20% concentration level. Between 220 and 260 kilos (485-573 pounds) of 20% enriched uranium are required to produce weapons grade uranium, which must contain highly enriched uranium (HEU) with an isotopic concentration greater than 90% U-235. Upon reaching this stage, it takes only a few months to produce enough HEU for a number of nuclear bombs.

  • To date, Iran has produced some 6,600 kg (14,550 pounds) of LEU. If the enrichment process continues, it will have enough HEU to build four or five nuclear warheads.
  • Iran has already advanced to the next stage and has enriched 1,000 kg (2,200 pounds) of LEU to a fissile concentration of 20%. Currently the Islamic Republic possesses some 160 kg (352 pounds) of 20% enriched uranium (about 100 kg, or 220 pounds less than the amount needed for a nuclear bomb).
  • The Iranians have some 10,600 centrifuges in two nuclear plants in Natanz and Fordo. Between 328 and 348 of these centrifuges are already active. The Pakistani-made centrifuges in Natanz, which are less advanced, are mostly used to produce LEU. The centrifuges are concentrated in underground halls that are vulnerable to bombs both Israel and the US possess. But the Natanz plant also contains 164-174 advanced IR-1 Iranian –made centrifuges capable of producing 20% enriched uranium. The centrifuges in Natanz produce four kilos (nine pounds) of uranium enriched to 20% each month. The Fordo centrifuges produce about eight kilos (about 18 pounds) of uranium enriched to 20% every month.

The data indicate that Iran has significantly increased the pace of its uranium enrichment over the past four months. Currently the Islamic Republic produces 230 kg (507 pounds) of LEU each month and 12 kg (about 26 pounds) of uranium enriched to a fissile concentration of 20%.

Satellite image of nuclear plant in Fordo (Photo: AFP)
Satellite image of nuclear plant in Fordo (Photo: AFP)

Most of the efforts to speed up the enrichment process are concentrated in Fordo, where Iran will eventually produce weapons grade uranium if Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei gives the order to do so. In order to shorten the uranium enrichment process, Iran is developing two types of centrifuges, IR-2 and IR-4. Fortunately, Iranian engineers have run into some technical difficulties, and have yet to be able to activate the centrifuges.

The facility in Fordo is situated inside a mountain and is protected by layers of rock. The US Air Force has yet to develop a bomb capable of penetrating the plant. It appears that the Iranians are willing to “sacrifice” the facility in Natanz in the event of an American or Israeli strike.

Should the Iranians continue to enrich uranium at the current pace, they will have some 260 kg (about 570 pounds) of uranium refined to a fissile concentration of 20% in January or February of 2013. With this amount, it would take Iran only about two months to produce weapons grade uranium for a nuclear warhead or bomb – a “nuclear threshold” situation. Western intelligence officials have not identified any “technological bottleneck” that can prevent Iran from enriching uranium to a fissile concentration of +90%, meaning that it could theoretically become a nuclear power by mid-2014 or a few months later.

Such a nuclear “breakthrough” may result in a military confrontation with the US or other countries and put the regime in Tehran at risk. Iran believes that a reliable nuclear arsenal containing a number of nuclear warheads would prevent a military strike and even serve as a bargaining chip to lift the harsh economic sanctions imposed by the West. This is why Khamenei – before deciding on a nuclear “breakthrough” – will likely demand that Iran produce enough 20% enriched uranium for four nuclear warheads.

It is also very reasonable to assume that Tehran is secretly developing nuclear warheads which can be mounted on ballistic missiles already in its possession and on more accurate long-range missiles that are most likely being developed. Iran already possesses missiles with a range of 2,000 kilometers (1,242 miles) that are capable of reaching Eastern Europe.

According to the Pentagon, in 2015 Iran will have missiles that can also pose a direct threat to the US.

Report: Iran halts missile work over sanctions

July 30, 2012

Report: Iran halts missile work over sanctions – Israel News, Ynetnews.

London’s International Institute for Strategic Studies says financial vise placed on Tehran by West prompted changes in Islamic Republic’s pursuit of advances ballistic missiles

Yitzhak Benhorin

WASHINGTON – The financial sanctions and oil embargo imposed on Iran by the West have affected the Islamic Republic’s ballistic missile development program, a new report by the International Institute for Strategic Studies said Monday.

According to the London-based IISS, the financial sanctions “have stymied efforts to develop and produce the long-range ballistic missiles capable of striking potential targets in western Europe and beyond.”

The sanctions, and especially trade embargos placed in the exports of information technology components and knowledge, have prevented the Islamic Republic from accessing key propellant ingredients and components needed for the continued development of its missile program.

Iranian long-range missile test

IISS believes that the problems Iran is facing have stemmed the development of its long-range Ghadr missiles – Ghadr-1 has a maximum range of roughly 1,600km when and carries some 750kg of explosives; as well as its Sajjilmissiles – Sajjil-2 has a maximum range of about 2,000km and can carry a 1,300–1,500kg warhead.

According to the IISS, Sajjil-2 offers Iran three significant strategic benefits: It is based in solid fuel, requires smaller logistical infrastructure and because of its relatively compact design it can be easily fitted on road-mobile launchers.

Sajjil-2’s range is superior to that of the Ghadr-1 and it can reach Israel; and moreover, Sajjil technology could provide the foundation for the development of longer-range missiles.

But Iran has only tested the Sajjil-2 about 20 times – not enough to make the missile operational – and IISS said that Tehran would need to conduct “at least another half-dozen flight tests” before the missile could be deployed.

“Iran’s missile-related activities suggest that the reason for the hiatus is not that it is seeking to avoid provoking international opprobrium for violating UN sanctions,” the institute said, adding it is more likely that a major design flaw was discovered.

Meanwhile, US Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta is expected to arrive in Israel on Tuesday, as part of a Mideasttour.

Speaking to reporters on his plane, Panetta said that “With regards to where Israel is right now, my view is that they have not made any decisions with regards to Iran and that they continue to support the international effort to bring pressure against Iran” to stop its nuclear program.

Panetta will meet with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak.

Panetta’s visit follows that of US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, US National Security Advisor Tom Donilonand Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney.