Archive for February 2012

By JPOST.COM STAFF 02/09/2012 19:28 Foreign Minister tells UNSC ambassadors that Lebanese group could spark conflict to draw world attention away from Syria. Hezbollah supporters in Beirut [file] By REUTERS Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman told a group of ambassadors from UN Security Council member-states that Hezbollah could strike up conflict with Israel to divert international attention from Syrian President Bashar Assad’s crackdown of protesters. “We hope this doesn’t happen, but Israel will be ready to respond if it does,” he told the ambassadors in New York. Related: 29 killed as Assad’s forces assault Homs Ban: Arab League to resume Syria monitoring Residents and non-governmental human rights organizations have reported the deaths of hundreds of people over the last week in the Syrian city of Homs. Over 5,500 people have lost their lives since the start of the protests last March. The international community has reacted in a number of ways to Assad’s crackdown; the Arab League sent a monitoring mission to Syria in an attempt to slow the killings, which proved ineffectual. Meanwhile, Western countries have pushed for action at the United Nations Security Council, but a resolution calling on Assad to relinquish power was vetoed this month by Russia and China, both of whom are decrying foreign intervention in internal Syrian affairs while calling for democratic reform. During the meeting with UN security council ambassadors, Lieberman also decried a recent reconciliation agreement signed between rival Palestinian factions Hamas and Fatah. He said that Israel will not accept a Palestinian government which includes Hamas while the organization continues to deny Israel’s right to exist and rejects the Quartet peace conditions. He added that the reconciliation agreement signed in Doha serves the personal interests of PA President Mahmoud Abbas and Hamas leader Khaled Mashaal while ignoring the interests of the Palestinian people. Lieberman also referenced Iran, saying that the regime constitutes the greatest threat to world peace. He also expressed his hope that recently imposed international sanctions on the country would cause Tehran to reconsider its nuclear drive, but stated that, barring that outcome, Israel will continue to leave all options on the table.

February 9, 2012

Lieberman: Hezbollah could soon provoke Is… JPost – Middle East.

By JPOST.COM STAFF 02/09/2012 19:28
Foreign Minister tells UNSC ambassadors that Lebanese group could spark conflict to draw world attention away from Syria.

Hezbollah supporters in Beirut [file] By REUTERS

Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman told a group of ambassadors from UN Security Council member-states that Hezbollah could strike up conflict with Israel to divert international attention from Syrian President Bashar Assad’s crackdown of protesters.

“We hope this doesn’t happen, but Israel will be ready to respond if it does,” he told the ambassadors in New York.

Residents and non-governmental human rights organizations have reported the deaths of hundreds of people over the last week in the Syrian city of Homs. Over 5,500 people have lost their lives since the start of the protests last March.

The international community has reacted in a number of ways to Assad’s crackdown; the Arab League sent a monitoring mission to Syria in an attempt to slow the killings, which proved ineffectual. Meanwhile, Western countries have pushed for action at the United Nations Security Council, but a resolution calling on Assad to relinquish power was vetoed this month by Russia and China, both of whom are decrying foreign intervention in internal Syrian affairs while calling for democratic reform.

During the meeting with UN security council ambassadors, Lieberman also decried a recent reconciliation agreement signed between rival Palestinian factions Hamas and Fatah. He said that Israel will not accept a Palestinian government which includes Hamas while the organization continues to deny Israel’s right to exist and rejects the Quartet peace conditions. He added that the reconciliation agreement signed in Doha serves the personal interests of PA President Mahmoud Abbas and Hamas leader Khaled Mashaal while ignoring the interests of the Palestinian people.

Lieberman also referenced Iran, saying that the regime constitutes the greatest threat to world peace. He also expressed his hope that recently imposed international sanctions on the country would cause Tehran to reconsider its nuclear drive, but stated that, barring that outcome, Israel will continue to leave all options on the table.

U.S. Israel Differences May Have Prompted Israel Iranian Terror Group Expose

February 9, 2012

U.S. Israel Differences May Have Prompted Israel Iranian Terror Group Expose.

A report out from NBC News quotes anonymous U.S. government officials linking Israeli intelligence to a State Department designated Iranian terrorist group. 

The officials claim that the assassinations of Iranian nuclear scientists in recent years have been made possible by Israel’s relationship with the People’s Mujahedin of Iran, as the group has provided access to information the Mossad would not have otherwise been able to attain.

NBC’s sources within the U.S. government have made clear that despite the Obama administration’s supposed knowledge of these activities, there is no involvement by American personnel in these operations.

These statements come on the heels of a more publicized dispute between Washington and Jerusalem as to the “point of no return”.  This refers to the time when Iran’s nuclear facilities reach a phase in which they are no longer vulnerable to a military strike.

“It appears to be an issue of timeline and redlines. Israel likely believes that the redline or Iranian point of no return in its nuclear development may be sooner than the American perception,” Matthew Brodsky of the Jewish Policy Center in Washington told The Algemeiner.

On Wednesday, The New York Times published an article quoting an Obama administration official who said that Washington believes there are ways to stop Iran from completing it’s development of a nuclear weapon, even if facilities reach a point where military operations would have no effect.  This view is not shared by Israeli counterparts.

“There are many other options,” said the American official who spoke with the paper.

The statements made to NBC news regarding Israel’s involvement with an Iranian terrorist group may have been an attempt by Washington to counter Israeli statements that Iran’s development of a nuclear bomb is fast becoming immune from advancement, and therefore diplomacy is nearing it’s endgame, according to Brodsky.

“It could be that the U.S. is publicly outing Israel in regards to its saber-rattling because the Obama administration feels that what it says behind the scenes isn’t working. U.S. officials may want Israel to cool it down while sending Iran the message that the door to negotiations remains open and free from threats.” Brodsky said. “The perception from the White House may well be that Israel’s public position presents an obstacle to diplomatic engagement with Iran.”

Another possibility, Brodsky says, is that President Obama and Prime Minister Netanyahu both know military intervention will be necessary, but the public threats of carrying them out should come from Israel.

“There’s also a third scenario,” he explained. “It may well be that both American and Israeli interests are served by having Israel make the threats, while the U.S. makes the case that the window for a diplomatic solution is closing. The bottom line in any scenario will remain the difference in perception  of Iran’s nuclear point of no return as seen from Washington and Jerusalem. But there can be no doubt that situation with Iran is reaching a critical period.”

Israel and Iran: Closer to take-off | The Economist

February 9, 2012

Israel and Iran: Closer to take-off | The Economist.

Momentum is growing for an Israeli airstrike on Iran—with or without American support

 

IS IT all part of a carefully calibrated campaign of bluff and rumour intended to support tightening sanctions and bring Iran to the negotiating table, or is the ground really being prepared for an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities in the next few months? Perhaps it is neither and the people who count, yet to make up their minds, are frantically hedging and debating.

In early February the annual Herzliya security conference in Israel provided a platform for the country’s military and intelligence elite to air their concerns about Iran’s progress toward a nuclear weapon. Israel’s hawkish defence minister, Ehud Barak, said that the “window” for an effective strike was rapidly closing because the continuing movement of essential uranium-enriching centrifuges to the Fordow underground facility, close to the holy city of Qom, would give Iran a “zone of immunity” in which it could construct a bomb regardless of any intervention by the outside world.

Attacking the case for waiting to assess the impact of the latest round of sanctions, due to come into effect by midyear, Mr Barak warned that “whoever says ‘later’ may find that later is too late.” He added that “the assessment of many experts…is that the result of avoiding action will certainly be a nuclear Iran, and dealing with a nuclear Iran will be more complicated, more dangerous and more costly in lives and money than stopping it.”

Mr Barak’s American opposite number, Leon Panetta, who was travelling with journalists to a meeting with his NATO counterparts in Brussels, confided soon afterwards that there was a strong likelihood of Israel attacking Iran in April, May or June, when the skies are usually clear. Mr Panetta was not speaking on the record, but later turned down an opportunity to disown his remarks.

Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, responded by using his nationally broadcast Friday sermon on February 3rd to commit the country to continuing its nuclear programme no matter what, and to threaten both Israel and America. He described Israel as a “cancerous tumour” that “will be removed” and declared that if war broke out “it would be ten times deadlier for the Americans” than for Iran.

Mr Khamenei also called on regional allies to attack Israel. “Iran would assist any country or organisation that would fight the Zionist regime, which is now weaker than ever,” he said. It is a call that may, however, fall on deaf ears. Iran’s main ally in the region, the Syrian government, has other things on its mind. If it falls, pro-Iranian groups in Lebanon and Gaza will find their supply-lines cut.

Amid the escalating war of words, the military preparations for a conflict are indeed under way. The head of ground forces at the Iranian Revolutionary Guard has announced exercises in the south of the country, near the Strait of Hormuz, and America has begun its largest amphibious-landing drill for a decade, described by Admiral John Harvey of the US Fleet Forces Command as “informed by recent history” and “applicable” to the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, DEBKAfile, an excitable but at times well-informed Israeli security website, reported that “many thousands” of American troops have arrived at two islands close to the Strait, Masirah in Oman and Socotra in Yemen.

Yet for all the alarums and excursions, there are few hard conclusions to draw about whether an attack on Iran is imminent, or whether Israel is prepared to act unilaterally. And it is not clear whether, if it was convinced this was about to happen, America would feel compelled to hold Israel back and carry out the strikes itself. Only Israel’s senior leadership (and perhaps the Americans) know whether the Israeli air force is capable of carrying out an effective attack on its own.

Attempting to calm things down, Barack Obama said on February 5th that he did not think Israel had “made a decision on what they need to do” and that the two countries would work in “lockstep as we proceed to solve this, hopefully diplomatically”. Mr Obama will be mindful that an attack would dominate his bid for re-election in November—though it is unclear whether he would gain as a war president or lose ground because of a surge in oil prices and an economic reversal.

The consequences might not be as catastrophic as some fear. On the other hand they fall into the disturbing category that Donald Rumsfeld, a former American defence secretary, once called “known unknowns”. Unfortunately for Mr Obama the decision is more likely to rest with Mr Barak and his prime minister, Binyamin Netanyahu, than with him.

Ayalon calls on UN to impose oil embargo on Iran

February 9, 2012

Ayalon calls on UN to impose oil … JPost – Diplomacy & Politics.

By JPOST.COM STAFF 02/09/2012 18:25
Ayalon asks Colombia, which chairs the UN committee that oversees sanctions on Iran, to push for an embargo of Iranian crude “without delay,” says Colombia should up its energy output.

Iranian oil platform, Iran flag By Reuters

Deputy Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon called on the UN Thursday to implement an oil embargo on Iran to pressure the Islamic Republic over its controversial nuclear program.

Meeting with senior officials in the Colombian capital of Bogota, Ayalon said it was important the South American country push for an embargo of Iranian crude “without delay,” according to a press release from his office.

Colombia chairs the UN committee that monitors UN sanctions on Iran and Sudan, and is a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council.

While the UN has slapped sanctions on Iran that include an arms embargo and the freezing of Iranian assets, the international body has yet to target the Islamic Republic’s important energy sector, such as the European Union decided to do last month.

Addressing fears that increased sanctions against Iran may lead to a regional crisis that could send oil prices soaring, the deputy prime minister called on the Latin American nation, a major oil exporter, to increase its output to prevent such a shock to energy markets.

Ayalon thanked Colombia for supporting the diplomatic process with the Palestinians, and for its opposition to unilateral moves by the Palestinian Authority, such as the PA’s bid to join the United Nations.

The deputy prime minister met with Colombia’s Foreign Minister Maria Angela Holguin and Defense Minister Juan Carlos Pinzon during his stay in Bogota.

“Colombia is a strategic partner of Israel’s in Latin America, and a strong partner for improving global security and stability,” Ayalon told the Colombian diplomats.

As US and Israel dicker over Iran strike, American airlifts strength to the Gulf

February 9, 2012

DEBKAfile, Political Analysis, Espionage, Terrorism, Security.

DEBKAfile Special Report February 9, 2012, 5:20 PM (GMT+02:00)

 

US Air Force airlift over Sinai to the Gulf

As the US and Israel carried on bickering over the right time to strike Iran’s nuclear sites, their war preparations continued apace. debkafile‘s military sources report that flight after flight of US warplanes and transports were to be seen this week cutting eastward through the skies of Sinai on their way to Gulf destinations, presumably Saudi Arabia, at a frequency not seen in the Middle East for many years.

The three International Atomic Energy inspectors who spent the last three days of January in Tehran had asked to meet the hitherto invisible head of Iran’s nuclear bomb program, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, 50, a general of the Revolutionary Guards. The Iranians pretended to be deaf. They also kept the inspectors away from any nuclear installations. A senior Obama administration official termed the visit “foot-dragging at best and a disaster at worst.”

debkafile‘s intelligence and military sources note that without talking to Fakhrizadeh or any of the 600 nuclear engineers and scientists working under him, unless one of them defects, there is no way the West can determine what exactly is going on in Iran’s nuclear program stands and which installations have been moved to underground facilities.

No one doubts now that advanced centrifuges and stocks of enriched uranium – 3.5 percent and 20 percent grades alike – have been moved to Iran’s underground bunker site at Fordo near Qom, which the US administration has claimed its bunker buster bombs cannot reach and which Israel’s Defense Minister Ehud Barak has defined as “a zone of immunity.”
In their ongoing argument with Jerusalem, American officials commented crossly this week that “Israelis are looking at the problem too narrowly.”
Clearly Israel, unlike America, envisions the Iranian “problem” from the narrow viewpoint of potential victim of an Iranian attack. Sunday, Feb. 5, Alireza Forghani, head of the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s strategic team, was quoted as remarking, “It would only take nine minutes to wipe out Israel.”
The remark came from a just-published detailed and serious paper by an Iranian study group which advised Tehran not to wait to be attacked but to launch a preemptive strike against the Jewish state.
Wiping Israel out in 9 minutes would require a nuclear weapon. It therefore behooves Israel to narrow its vision and focus closely on Iran’s nuclear potential and intent.

By now, the Obama administration and the Netanyahu government have pretty well run out of semantic ammunition for their dingdong over how long to wait for sanctions to bite before going on the military offensive against Iran’s nuclear sites and who should do the deed.
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu plans a trip to Washington in March and will almost certainly get together with President Barack Obama.  That is a date to watch.
Israel leaders have not given up warning that time is running out for a military strike that could stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons. Obama’s comment to NBC TV Sunday Feb. 4, “I don’t think that Israel has made a decision on what they need to do,” has been interpreted by some circles in Washington as meaning that Israel has agreed to wait long enough to give tough sanctions a chance.

debkafile‘s sources say that interpretation is wishful thinking rather than based on fact. The president’s comment was another attempt to keep Israel within certain lines of restraint.

Israel teams with terror group to kill Iran’s nuclear scientists, U.S. officials tell NBC News

February 9, 2012

Rock Center with Brian Williams – Israel teams with terror group to kill Iran’s nuclear scientists, U.S. officials tell NBC News.

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Mehdi Marizad / Fars via AP file

A car that was bombed by two assailants on a motorcycle in Tehran on Jan. 11, killing Iranian nuclear scientist Mostafa Ahamdi Roshan, is removed by a mobile crane. The photo was distributed by the semi-official Iranian photo agency Fars.

Deadly attacks on Iranian nuclear scientists are being carried out by an Iranian dissident group that is financed, trained and armed by Israel’s secret service, U.S. officials tell NBC News, confirming charges leveled by Iran’s leaders.

ROCK CENTER EXCLUSIVE

The group, the People’s Mujahedin of Iran, has long been designated as a terrorist group by the United States, accused of killing American servicemen and contractors in the 1970s and supporting the takeover of the U.S. Embassy in Tehran before breaking with the Iranian mullahs in 1980.

The attacks, which have killed five Iranian nuclear scientists since 2007 and may have destroyed a missile research and development site, have been carried out in dramatic fashion, with motorcycle-borne assailants often attaching small magnetic bombs to the exterior of the victims’ cars.

U.S. officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the Obama administration is aware of the assassination campaign but has no direct involvement.

The Iranians have no doubt who is responsible – Israel and the People’s Mujahedin of Iran, known by various acronyms, including MEK, MKO and PMI.

Mohammad Javad Larijani, a senior aide to Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, describes what Iranian leaders believe is a close relationship between Israel’s secret service, the Mossad, and the People’s Mujahedin of Iran, or MEK, which is considered a terrorist organization by the United States.

“The relation is very intricate and close,” said Mohammad Javad Larijani, a senior aide to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, speaking of the MEK and Israel.  “They (Israelis) are paying … the Mujahedin. Some of their (MEK) agents … (are) providing Israel with information.  And they recruit and also manage logistical support.”

Moreover, he said, the Mossad, the Israeli secret service, is training MEK members in Israel on the use of motorcycles and small bombs.  In one case, he said, Mossad agents built a replica of the home of an Iranian nuclear scientist so that the assassins could familiarize themselves with the layout prior to the attack.

Much of what the Iranian government knows of the attacks and the links between Israel and MEK  comes from interrogation of an assassin who failed to carry out an attack in late 2010 and the materials found on him, Larijani said. (Click here to see a video report of the interrogation shown on Iranian televsion.)

The U.S.-educated Larijani, whose two younger brothers run the legislative and judicial branches of the Iranian government, said the Israelis’ rationale is simple. “Israel does not have direct access to our society. Mujahedin, being Iranian and being part of Iranian society, they have … a good number of … places to get into the touch with people. So I think they are working hand-to-hand very close.  And we do have very concrete documents.”

Two senior U.S. officials confirmed for NBC News  the MEK’s role in the assassinations, with one senior official saying, “All your inclinations are correct.” A third official would not confirm or deny the relationship, saying only, “It hasn’t been clearly confirmed yet.”  All the officials denied any U.S. involvement in the assassinations.

As it has in the past, Israel’s Foreign Ministry declined comment. Said a spokesman, “As long as we can’t see all the evidence being claimed by NBC, the Foreign Ministry won’t react to every gossip and report being published worldwide.”

For its part, the MEK pointed to a statement calling the allegations “absolutely false.”

The sophistication of the attacks supports the Iranian claims that an experienced intelligence service is involved, experts say.

In the most recent attack, on Jan. 11, 2012, Mostafa Ahamdi Roshan died in a blast in Tehran moments after two assailants on a motorcycle placed a small magnetic bomb on his vehicle. Roshan was a deputy director at the Natanz uranium enrichment facility and was reportedly involved in procurement for the nuclear program, which Iran insists is not a weapons program.

Previous attacks include the assassination of Massoud Ali-Mohammadi, killed by a bomb outside his Tehran home in January 2010, and an explosion in November of that year that took the life of Majid Shahriari and wounded Fereydoun Abbasi-Davani, who is now the head of Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization.

In the case of Roshan, the bomb appears to have been a shaped charge that directed all the explosive power inside the vehicle, killing him and his bodyguard driver but leaving nearby traffic unaffected.

Although Roshan was directly involved in the nuclear program, working at the huge centrifuge facility between Tehran and Qom, Iran’s religious center, at least one other scientist who was killed wasn’t linked to the Iranian nuclear program, according to Larijani.

Speaking of bombing victim Ali-Mohammadi, whom he described as a friend, Larijani told NBC News, “In fact this guy who was assassinated was not involved in the nitty-gritty of the situation.  He was a scientist, a physicist, working on the theoretically parts of nuclear energy, which you can teach it in every university. You can find it in every text.”

“This is an Israeli plot.  A dirty plot,” Larijani added angrily. He also claimed the assassinations are not having an effect on the program and have only made scientists more resolute in carrying out their mission.

Not so, said Ronen Bergman, an Israeli commentator and author of “Israel’s Secret War with Iran” and an upcoming book tentatively titled, “Mossad and the Art of Assassination.”

Israel has long used assassination against its enemies, “hoping that by taking out individuals, they can alter, change the course of history,” says Ronen Bergman, an Israeli commentator and author of “Israel’s Secret War with Iran” and an upcoming book tentatively titled “Mossad and the Art of Assassination.”

Bergman said the attacks have three purposes, the most obvious being the removal of high-ranking scientists and their  knowledge. The others:  forcing Iran to increase security for its scientists and facilities and to spur “white defections.”

He explained the latter this way: “Scientists leaving the project, afraid that they are going to be next on the assassination list, and say, ‘We don’t want this.  Indeed, we get good money, we are promoted, we are honored by everybody, but we might get killed.  It isn’t worth it.  Maybe we should go back to teach … in a university.’”

There are unconfirmed reports in the Israeli press and elsewhere that Israel and the MEK were involved in a Nov. 12 explosion that destroyed the Iranian missile research and development site at Bin Kaneh, 30 miles outside Tehran.  Among those killed was Maj. Gen. Hassan Moghaddam, director of missile development for the Revolutionary Guard, and a dozen other researchers. So important was Moghaddam that Ayatollah Khamenei attended his funeral.

Unlike the assassinations, Iran claims the missile site explosion was an accident; the MEK, meanwhile, trumpeted it but denied any involvement.

Indeed, there may be other covert operations carried out either by Israel acting alone or in concert with others, according to Bergman.

“Two labs caught fire,” said Bergman, enumerating the attacks. “Scientists got blown up or disappeared.  A missile base and the R&D base of the Revolutionary Guard exploded some time ago, with the director of the R&D division of the Revolutionary Guard being killed along with … his soldiers.”

Bergman added, “So, a long series of … something that was termed by an Israeli (Cabinet) minister … as ‘mysterious mishaps’ happening and rehappening to the project. Then the Iranians claim, ‘This is Israeli Mossad trying to sabotage our attempts to be a nuclear superpower.’”

Dr. Uzi Rabi, director of the Dayan Center at Tel Aviv University, said the supposed accidents could all be part of “psychological warfare” conducted against Iran. “It seems logical. It makes sense,” he said of possible MEK involvement, “and it’s been done before.”

Rabi, who regularly briefs Israel’s parliament, the Knesset, on Iran also said the ultimate goal of the range of covert operations being carried out by Israel is “to damage the politics of survivability … to send a message that could strike fear into the rulers of Iran.”

For the United States, the alleged role of the MEK is particularly troublesome.  In 1997, the State Department designated it a terrorist group, justifying it with an unclassified 40-page summary of the organization’s  activities going back more than 25 years.  The paper, sent to Congress in 1998, was written by Wendy Sherman, now undersecretary of state for political affairs and then an aide to Secretary of State Madeleine Albright.

The report, which was obtained by NBC News, was unsparing in its assessment. “The Mujahedin  (MEK) collaborated with Ayatollah Khomeini to overthrow the former shah of Iran,” it said. “As part of that struggle, they assassinated at least six American citizens, supported the takeover of the U.S. embassy, and opposed the release of the American hostages.”  In each case, the paper noted, “Bombs were the Mujahedin’s weapon of choice, which they frequently employed against American targets.”

“In the post-revolutionary political chaos, however, the Mujahedin lost political power to Iran’s Islamic clergy. They then applied their dedication to armed struggle and the use of propaganda against the new Iranian government, launching a violent and polemical cycle of attack and reprisal.”

U.S. officials have said publicly that the information contained in the report was limited to unclassified material, but that it also drew on classified material in making its determination to add the MEK to the U.S. list of terrorist organizations.

Sean Gallup / Getty Images file

Maryam Rajavi, president of the National Council of Resistance of Iran, greets several hundred Iranian expatriates who had gathered to welcome her at Tegel Airport in Berlin, Germany, on March 22, 2010.

The MEK and its sister organizations have since the beginning been run by Massoud and Maryam Rajavi, a husband-wife team who have maintained tight control despite assassination threats and internal dissent. Massoud Rajavi, 63, founded the MEK, but since the U.S. invasion of Iraq has taken a backseat to his wife.

The State Department report describes the Rajavis as  “fundamentally undemocratic” and “not a viable alternative to the current government of Iran.”

One reason for that is the MEK’s close relationship with Saddam Hussein, as demonstrated by this 1986 video showing the late Iraqi dictator meeting with Massoud Rajavi. Saddam recruited the MEK in much the same way the Israelis allegedly have, using them to fight Iranian forces during the Iran-Iraq War, a role they took on proudly.  So proudly, they invited NBC News to one of their military camps outside Baghdad in 1993.

“The National Liberation Army (MLA), the military wing of the Mujahedin, conducted raids into Iran during the latter years of the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq War,” according to the State Department report. The NLA’s last major offensive reportedly was conducted against Iraqi Kurds in 1991, when it joined Saddam Hussein’s brutal repression of the Kurdish rebellion. In addition to occasional acts of sabotage, the Mujahedin are responsible for violent attacks in Iran that victimize civilians.”

“Internally, the Mujahedin run their organization autocratically, suppressing dissent and eschewing tolerance of differing viewpoints,” it said. “Rajavi, who heads the Mojahedin’s political and military wings, has fostered a cult of personality around himself.”

The U.S. suspicion of the MEK doesn’t end there. Law enforcement officials have told NBC News that in 1994, the MEK made a pact with terrorist Ramzi Yousef a year after he masterminded the first attack on the World Trade Center in New York City.  According to the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity, Yousef built an 11-pound bomb that MEK agents placed inside one of Shia Islam’s greatest shrines in Mashad, Iran, on June 20, 1994At least 26 people, mostly women and children, were killed and 200 wounded in the attack.

That connection between Yousef, nephew of 9-11 mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammad, and the MEK was first reported in a book, “The New Jackals,” by Simon Reeve. NBC News confirmed that Yousef told U.S. law enforcement that he had worked with the MEK on the bombing.

In recent years, the MEK has said it has renounced violence, but Iranian officials say that is not true, that killings of Iranians continue.  Still, through some deft lobbying, the group has been able to get the United Kingdom and the European Union to remove it from their lists of terrorist groups.

The alleged involvement of the MEK in the assassinations of Iranian nuclear scientists provides the U.S. with a cloak of deniability regarding the clandestine killings. Because the U.S. has designated the MEK as a terrorist organization, neither military nor intelligence units of the U.S. government, can work with them.  “We cannot deal with them, “ said one senior U.S. official. “We would not deal with them because of the designation.”

Iranian officials initially accused the Israelis and MEK of being behind the attacks, but they have since added the CIA to the list. Three days after the Jan. 11, 2012, bombing in Tehran that killed Roshan, the state news agency IRNA reported that Iran’s Foreign Ministry had sent a diplomatic letter to the U.S. claiming to have “evidence and reliable information” that the CIA provided “guidance, support and planning” to assassins directly involved in the attack.  

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton  immediately denied any connection to the killings. “I want to categorically deny any United States involvement in any kind of act of violence inside Iran,” Clinton told reporters on the day of the attack.

But at least two GOP presidential candidates have no problem with the targeting of nuclear scientists.  In a November debate, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich endorsed “taking out their scientists,” and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum called it, ”a wonderful thing.”

The MEK’s opposition to the Iranian government also has recently earned it both plaudits and support from an odd mix of political bedfellows.

A group of former Cabinet-level officials have joined together to support the MEK’s removal from the official U.S. Foreign Terrorist Organization list, even taking out a full-page ad last year in the New York Times calling for the removal of the MEK from the U.S. terrorist list.  Former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean, former U.S. Attorney General Michael Mukasey, former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton; former Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge, former FBI Director Louis Freeh and former Rep. Patrick Kennedy were among those whose signatures were on the ad.

“There’s an extraordinary group of bipartisan or even apolitical leaders, military leaders, diplomats, the United States … the United Kingdom, the European Union, even a U.S. District Court in Washington, said that this group that was put on the foreign terrorist organization watch list in 1997 doesn’t deserve to be there,” Ridge said in November on “The Andrea Mitchell Show” on MSNBC TV.

U.S. politicians also have been pushing the U.S. government to protect the 3,400 MEK members and their families at Camp Ashraf in Iraq, about 35 miles north of Baghdad.  With the departure of U.S. troops, the MEK feared that Iraqi forces, with encouragement from Iran, would attack the camp, leading to a bloodbath. At the last minute, however, agreement was brokered with the United Nations that would permit the MEK members’ departure for resettlement in unspecified democratic countries.  As of this week, there’s been little movement on the planned resettlement.

Jassim Mohammed / AP file

Iranian fighters with the National Liberation Army, the military wing of the MEK, clean armored personnel carriers in 1997 after a field exercise near Camp Ashraf in Iraq.

The Iranians see what’s happening as terrorism and hypocrisy by the United States.  They have forwarded documents and other evidence to the United Nations – and directly to the United States, they say.

“I think this is very cynical plan.  This is unacceptable,” said Larijani. “This is a bad trend in the world.  Unprecedented.  We should kill scientists … to block a scientific program?  I mean this is disaster!”

Daniel Byman, a professor in the School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University and also a senior fellow with the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, said that if the accounts of the Israeli-MEK assassinations are accurate, the operation borders on terrorism.

“In theory, states cannot be terrorist, but if they hire locals to do assassinations, that would be state sponsorship,” said Byman, author of the recent book, “A High Price: The Triumphs and Failures of Israeli Counterterrorism.” “You could argue that they took action not to terrorize the public, the purpose of terrorism, but only the nuclear community.  An argument could also be made that degrading the program means that you don’t have to take military action and thus, this is a lower level of violence and that really these are military targets, where normally terrorist targets are civilians.”

But ultimately, Byman said, there is a “spectrum of responsibility” and that Israel is ultimately responsible.

Ronen Bergman, while not speaking on behalf of the Israeli government, suggests that there is a justification, citing an oft-repeated but disputed quote in which Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s said that Israel should be wiped off the face of the earth.

“Meir Degan, the chief of Mossad, when he was in office, hung a photograph behind him, behind the chair of the chief of Mossad,” notes the Israeli commentator.  “And in that photograph you see — an ultra-orthodox Jew — long beard, standing on his knees with his– hands up in the air, and two Gestapo soldiers standing — beside him with guns pointed at him.  One of — one of them is smiling.

“And Degan used to say to his people and the people coming to visit him from CIA, NSA, et cetera, ‘Look at this guy in the picture. This is my grandfather just seconds before he was killed by the SS,’” Bergman said. “’… We are here to prevent this from happening again.’”

Richard Engel is NBC News’ chief foreign correspondent; Robert Windrem is a senior investigative producer.

US election hands Netanyahu giant dilemma on Iran

February 9, 2012

US election hands Netanyahu giant dilemma on Iran | The Jewish Chronicle.

Netanyahu: a strike this year?Netanyahu: a strike this year?

The strategic timetable for the next nine months is becoming increasingly clear. Israel’s apparent plans to strike Iran this year are limited by one crucial date: November 6 – the day of the US presidential elections.

Although he wishes with all his heart for a Republican victory, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is predicting the re-election of Barack Obama. A second-term president, not constrained by electoral necessities, will be able to apply a lot more pressure on the Israeli government not to attack.

Israel’s window for action will probably close even earlier than November. The first reason for that is also electoral. Mr Netanyahu fears that a re-elected President Obama may find ways of supporting Israel’s opposition parties, so he is expected to call early elections, probably by October.

The two men who are most in favour of a strike on Iran, the Prime Minister and his Defence Minister, Ehud Barak, will not wait for someone else to give the order – if an attack has to be launched, it is their destiny to make that call.

Aside from the American and Israeli election seasons, weather also affects the timing of a potential operation. While Israeli planners are certain that the air force has sufficient planes with the necessary range and payloads to cause enough damage to set the Iranian nuclear programme back, at least by three years, optimal conditions are needed to maximise that damage. That means a strike some time between May and September, when the Persian skies are clear of clouds.

The third factor is the Iranian effort to move its uranium enrichment process underground, to the subterranean installation near the city of Qom.

Mr Barak and other senior Israeli defence officials claimed last week at the Herzliya Conference that the Iranians are close to entering this “zone of immunity”. The inference is clear: an attack will have to take place before that. If it does not, Israel will not be able to prevent a decision by Tehran to make a quick dash for nuclear-military capability.

Now that the timetable is clear, the terms of reference for the debate within Israel, and between Jerusalem and Washington, are also clarifying.

Messrs Netanyahu and Barak are convinced that action is needed before the centrifuges are moved underground and, if no one else acts, it rests on Israel to do the deed.

Some very senior figures in Israel’s defence and intelligence community believe that this is not “the last chance” and that an attack at this junction will be counter-productive.

They are supported by the fact that the White House and Pentagon also believe that there is still enough time to let the new sanctions on Iran take effect before resorting to the military option.

Bloodletting underway in Syria, as rebels falter – CBS News

February 9, 2012

Bloodletting underway in Syria, as rebels falter – CBS News.

 

It’s a bloodletting in Syria. Civilians are facing tanks. There’s every indication the dictatorship is moving to crush, once and for all, the eleven-month-old rebellion against the 40-year dictatorship of the Assad family.

Homs, a city of 1.7 million people, which is a little bit more than Philadelphia, is under siege by tanks and artillery for the fifth day in a row. Scenes like this are playing out in several Syrian cities and towns tonight.

Syria matters because of its neighborhood. It borders both Israel and Iraq. While the government there has banned independent reporting, CBS News correspondent Clarissa Ward got to the battle lines with the rebels.

Syrian rebels carry their wounded after battles with the Assad regime

(Credit: CBS)

Ward found a battle being fought by farmers and workers, very close to home.

Just outside of the city, the rebels moved in on a checkpoint set up by the Syrian army to choke off rebel traffic. The men crept through an olive grove. Then the attack began. As they opened fire, the enemy remained hidden from view.

“You are surrounded,” the rebel leader called out to the Syrian soldiers. “Defect and join us.”

But there was no surrender, and the battle raged on

For rebel-held Syrian towns, constant funerals
U.S. mulls humanitarian aid, not arms, for Syrian rebels
Syria’s rebels: Ordinary men fight and die
U.S. closes Syria Embassy, pulls all staffMany of the fighters were young and inexperienced, like Fouad Khashan, a 23-year-old mechanic. Hey was among the group that was yelling “charge!” as they lobbed grenades at the enemy. But the bullets kept on coming.

Moments later Fouad was hit. Under fire, the commander struggled to lift his limp body. Other men joined in to help.

They tried to reclaim this checkpoint. They haven’t been able to do it yet and now there is a casualty. Someone has been hurt very badly. They try to take him to a hospital.

By the time they got him there, Fouad was dead.

At the hospital, body after body was hurried up the stairs. The men weeping for their fallen brothers.

“The honor of the Arabs is dead,” said one man, who then cursed President Assad.

Later, with guns blazing and crowds chanting, the dead were carried home. Where the women waited, their wailing piercing the night air.

“Bashar al Assad is a dog,” one woman cried.

At least four people were killed in the fighting Wednesday.

The rebel fighters are simply no match for the army regulars. They have no military training. They’re not physically fit. They’re up against an army with artillery, tanks. Soon the Syrian army will begin to use air power as well.

Many rebels say at this point there’s no turning back. Too much damage has been done. Too much blood has been shed. They’ve been living under repression 40 years. They want to speak their minds with freedom, choose their own government. And they’re willing to die to get there.

Will America sacrifice Israel?

February 9, 2012

Will America sacrifice Israel? – Israel Opinion, Ynetnews.

Op-ed: Israel-Iran countdown has already begun, but will Washington help the Jewish State?

Giulio Meotti

Historian Niall Ferguson writes in Newsweek that “Israel and Iranare on the eve of destruction in a new Six Day War.” Bret Stephens in the Wall Street Journal warns that if Israel will not destroy Tehran the Jewish State will risk another Yom Kippur scenario.

The Israel-Iran countdown has already begun, but will Washington help the tiny Jewish State? Will Israel strike Iran even without America’s “green light?”

American taxpayers fund some 20-25% of Israel’s defense budget, with the Jewish State being the largest recipient by far of American aid since World War II. Moreover, the United States has cast 40 vetoes to protect Israel in the UN Security Council.

IDF relies on American support (Photo: IDF Spokesman's Office)
IDF relies on American support (Photo: IDF Spokesman’s Office)

The above facts have made Israel highly dependent on the US for economic, military and diplomatic support. There is a quid pro quo for such support, but also a limit to what even that degree of dependence can buy.

Former Prime Minister Menachem Begin once told a US ambassador: “We’re not a vassal state.” But it seems he got it wrong. Over the years, Israel has becomes subservient to the United States and “America’s 51st state.” It is no wonder perhaps that Obama’s Administration fomented a war on Jerusalem and treated Israel like a banana republic.

Washington doesn’t support Israel because the Jewish State’s democracy or respect for human rights. America’s interest in Israel’s strategic value – rather than shared values, the Holocaust or “David and Goliath” – has always been the primary motivation for US aid. But it can change tomorrow, especially if Israel’s survival becomes a heavy burden for Washington.

That’s why Israel must remember that she is America’s ally and client, but not friend.

The first US presidents after Israel was established – Truman, Eisenhower, Kennedy and Johnson – gave nothing to Jerusalem. If Israel’s birth in 1948 had depended solely on US support, the Jewish State would not have been reborn then.

Truman maintained a US embargo against arms sales to the Israeli and Arabs, which was effective only against Israel. Eisenhower expelled Israel from Sinai and Gaza without a peace treaty. Prior to the Six Day War, Abba Eban approached Johnson and all he got was an arms embargo on the Middle East.

Israel can stand tall in the face of its powerful ally because it never asked American soldiers to spill their blood for its defense. It’s Washington that must beg for Israel’s alliance, as it cannot afford disengagement from the only democracy in that dark region.

But will the US eventually be compelled to sacrifice Israel on the altar of realism, when Iran’s knife will descend on Isaac? And will the Jewish state’s leadership dutifully bind Israel on the altar?

‘Iran must attack Israel by 2014’

February 9, 2012

‘Iran must attack Israel by 2014… JPost – Iranian Threat – News.

By JPOST.COM STAFF 02/09/2012 11:34
Khamenei strategist releases document providing legal, religious justification for annihilation of Jewish people.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei prays By REUTERS

Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s strategist provided the legal and religious justification for the annihilation of Israel and the Jewish people, in a document published on conservative Farsi website Alef. Reports of the document began to circulate the internet this week.

The document, written by strategy specialist Alireza Forghani, outlined the reasons why, “In the name of Allah, Iran must attack Israel by 2014.”

Claiming to only represent the personal opinion of its author, and not the Iranian government, the doctrine was published on a website believed to have close ties with the Ayatollah.

Forghani called the Jewish state a “cancerous tumor for the Middle East” and  reminded his readers that “All our troubles are due to Israel!”

“Every Muslim is obliged to equip himself against Israel,” he urged, reasoning that if the Muslim world does not attack Israel in the near future, “the opportunity could be lost and it may not be possible to stop them.”

The document explained that the war against Israel must be carried out in the name of “defensive jihad” – or the protecting of Islam against aggressors “who want to gain domination over the Muslims and kill them.”

It also clarified that although Israel had yet to strike Iran, its occupation of Palestinian lands already justifies an attack as Islam dictates that “the political borders [of the world] cannot divide Muslims and the earth is divided into two parts – Muslim countries and non-Muslim countries.”

Forghani pointed out that Israel is the only country in the world with a Jewish majority, using the findings of the Israel Central Bureau of Statistics’s last consensus for veracity.

He posited that since Israel requires US and western support in order to attack Iran, the latter should take advantage of western “passiveness” to “wipe out Israel.”

The document also provides a “concise description of mid- and long-range ballistic missiles that can target territories of this regional cancerous tumor” and destroy Israel in “less than nine minutes.”