Archive for February 16, 2012

New bill to press Obama on Iran strike?

February 16, 2012

New bill to press Obama on Iran strike? – Israel News, Ynetnews.

(Please contact your representative to support this measure! – JW)

US senators lead bipartisan effort to block any foreign policy option that might allow for nuclear Iran; some Democrats reluctant to support measure.

Yitzhak Benhorin

WASHINGTON – As tensions rise over the possibility of an Israeli strike on Iran, US Senators Lindsey Graham (R) and Joe Lieberman (I) are spearheading a resolution calling on Congress to block any foreign policy that might accept a nuclear Islamic Republic, Washington’s congressional paper, The Hill, reported.

According to the report, however, some Democratic senators are reluctant to back the measure that aims to press President Barack Obama to take more aggressive action against Iran.

The legislative measure has gotten support from Senator John McCain (R) as well as several Democrats – while others have opted not to interfere with the commander in chief during an election year.

The unwilling senators have expressed concerned that the resolution is essentially a step towards an authorization of a military strike – an option that is highly unpopular with liberal voters.
ליברמן, גראהם ומקיין לצד שר הביטחון (צילום: אריאל חרמוני, משרד הביטחון)

Graham, Lieberman and McCain with DM Ehud Barak (Photo: Ariel Hermoni, Defense Ministry)

But sources close to the as yet unpublicized bill told the newspaper that the legislation leaves channels for a diplomatic solution, and does not serve as an authorization for military action.

Obama ready to accept nuclear Iran?

The dispute is an indication of Obama’s own difficulties in deciding how to deal with Iran during an election year, should the diplomatic efforts fail to put an end to Tehran’s ambition to obtain atom weapons.

According to the report, some lawmakers and policy experts posit that Obama is prepared to accept a nuclear-armed Iran.

“Many in Congress suspect correctly that Barack Obama has every intention of tolerating Iran with a nuclear weapon despite his protestations to the contrary,” Danielle Pletka, vice president of foreign and defense policy at the American Enterprise Institute, was quoted as saying. “The administration seems more concerned about an Israeli strike on Iran than Iran acquiring a nuclear weapon.”

On Wednesday, the Washington Post has urged the Obama Administration to spell out which Iranian actions will cross its red lines, and what the retribution would be.
אובמה בכינוס בוויסקונסין. חשש מידיים כבולות בשנת בחירות (צילום: MCT)

Obama campaigning in Wisconsin (Photo: MCT)

“(…) Can the Netanyahu government count on the Obama administration to act if a moment of truth arrives?” the editorial pondered.

“For now, several top Israeli officials are skeptical. That is where Mr. Panetta and Mr. Obama should be making an effort. Rather than publicly arguing with Israel, they should be more clearly spelling out US willingness to take military action if Iran is discovered taking steps toward bomb-making.”

‘Give diplomacy a chance’

Obama’s diplomatic aspirations have received reinforcement from his former aide on the Mideast, Dennis Ross, who said in a New York Times op-ed on Tuesday that regardless of Tehran’s recent boastful statements, it might be looking for a way out of the “crippling pressure” that global sanctions have put on the country’s economy.

Ross said that Iran is more isolated than ever, and that “The Obama administration has now created a situation in which diplomacy has a chance to succeed.”

Addressing a possible Israeli strike on the Islamic Republic, Ross claimed that the Jewish state is disinclined to wait and see how the diplomatic option plays out because it might lose the military option.

“That said, Israeli leaders, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, have consistently called for ‘crippling sanctions,’ reflecting a belief that Iran’s behavior could be changed with sufficient pressure,” he writes.

“The fact that crippling sanctions have finally been applied means that Israel is more likely to give these sanctions and the related diplomatic offensive a chance to work. And it should.”

PM in Cyprus: sanctions on Iran not working

February 16, 2012

PM in Cyprus: sanctions on Iran … JPost – Iranian Threat – News.

 

By HERB KEINON 02/16/2012 17:24
Netanyahu says he hopes sanctions will work, but so far they haven’t, calls Iran a regime “that breaks all the rules,” says US and the rest of the world should be worried about Iranian pursuit of nukes.

PM Netanyahu with Cyprus Pres Dimitris Christofias By Amos Ben Gershom / GPO

NICOSIA – Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s tour of Iranian centrifuges halls Wednesday is an indication that the worlds sanctions against Iran are not working, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu said Thursday.

Netanyahu’s comments came during a press conference in Nicosia with Cypriot President Demetris Christofias.

“If anybody needed a reminder that the sanctions have not stopped the nuclear program, it was the guided tour by the Iran’s president in the centrifuge hall yesterday,” he said. “I hope they work, but so far they have not.”

Netanyahu characterized Iran as a regime that “breaks all the rules.” A regime that was formed through the taking of the US embassy in Tehran, Iran — Netanyahu said — has ever since continued to show no respect for international rules. The most recent example, he said, was attacking foreign diplomats and their wives.

“They send children into mine fields, they have suicide bombers, they send tens of thousands of rockets into our cites and towns,” Netanyahu said. “Such a regime should obviously not have an atomic bomb, and I believe that the international community is becoming aware by the day of what it means for Iran” to have nuclear potential, he said.

Asked about whether the US should fear an Israeli attack on Iran, Netanyahu said that Israel, the US and the rest of the world should be concerned about Iran’s pursuit of nuclear weapons.

Israel will strike Iran: – Bergman

February 16, 2012

(Watch this vid Its about 15 minutes long and Bergman is the Israeli journalist that has been so oft quoted over the last week. – JW )

Vodpod videos no longer available.

Israel will strike Iran: – Bergman, posted with vodpod

US gets Barak to backtrack and deny Iran has reached nuclear point of no-return

February 16, 2012

DEBKAfile, Political Analysis, Espionage, Terrorism, Security.


DEBKAfile Special Report February 16, 2012, 1:59 PM (GMT+02:00)

Defense Minister Ehud Barak with Army Chief Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz

By suddenly stating, contrary to all informed estimates, that Iran’s nuclear arms program has not yet reached the point of no return, Israel’s Defense Minister Ehud Barak implied that Israel was in no hurry to strike its nuclear facilities, a message for which Washington has been angling for months.
In a Kol Israel interview from Turkey, Thursday, Feb. 16, the defense minister’s pronouncement contradicted every reliable evaluation, including those of Military Intelligence Chief Maj. Gen. Aviv Kochavi on Feb. 2 and his predecessor Amos Yadlin who wrote on Jan. 26 that Iran had passed  the point of no return four or five years ago. But his words were a perfect fit for the recent assertions by US President Barack Obama and Defense Secretary Leon Panetta that Israel had not yet made up its mind to attack Iran.
Kochavi’s information was detailed: He reported that Iran had amassed 10 kilos of 20-percent enriched uranium and four tons of uranium enriched to 3.5 percent. In his view, nothing remains to stop Iran building a bomb but a decision by its ruler. Once taken, Iran’s nuclear program could produce its first bomb or warhead by the end of this year or early 2013 and four or five by 2015.
The defense minister backtracked on a second issue: While noting that Iran was scattering or burying its nuclear facilities to “impede a surgical strike,” he avoided his previous estimate that no more than three to six months were left before all those facilities had been hidden in what he himself called “zones of immunity.”
Before these changes in outlook, Barak was indirectly criticized by Obama administration officials for underlining the mortal threat to Israel of a nuclear Iran. One official complained, “Israelis are looking at the problem too narrowly.”
The defense minister also toed the Washington line on the show Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad put on Wednesday by inserting a home-made 20 percent grade nuclear fuel rod in a research reactor in Tehran. Listing its nuclear successes, the Iranians also claimed they had installed 3,000 fourth generation centrifuges in Natanz to speed up enrichment to 20 percent.
The US State Department spokesperson dismissed Iran’s claims as “not terribly new and not terribly impressive” – implying there was no cause for rushing into military action.
Barak put it this way: “They are describing a situation that is better and more advanced than the one they are in, in order to create a feeling among all the players that the point of no return is already behind them, which is not true.”
debkafile’s military and intelligence sources recall that, when two years ago, Ahmadinejad and other Iranian officials boasted they were on the way to self-production of nuclear rods and ending their reliance on Russia, American and Israeli insiders belittled the claim. Two years on, Iran has indeed made the leap and is also advancing rapidly on the plutonium-based weapons track.
If Iran can supply all the nuclear fuel rods for fueling the Bushehr reactor, which is now running on recycled fuel rods from Russia, it will be able to use these rods to produce plutonium for nuclear bombs or warheads.
Why the defense minister suddenly changed course is unclear. It is also hard to know if Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu okayed his radical departure from Israel’s information strategy on the nuclear Iran issue.
What is apparent, debkafile’s sources report, is that the change of tune coincides with the reports circulating in Washington and Jerusalem that the US and Iran have agreed to resume nuclear talks shortly.
Those sources point to an article in the New York Times by Dennis Ross, President Obama’s former senior adviser on Iran, entitled “Iran is ready to talk.” Ross is too experienced to go out on a limb and make this sort of statement without being sure of his facts.

Report: Attempt on Barak’s life foiled in Singapore

February 16, 2012

Report: Attempt on Barak’s life foiled in Singapore – Israel News, Ynetnews.

Kuwait’s Al-Jarida newspaper claims Israel was able to prevent assassination attempt on defense minister during his recent visit to Singapore

Kuwait’s Al-Jarida newspaper reported Thursday that Israel was able to prevent an assassination attempt on Defense Minister Ehud Barak, during his visit to Singapore this week.

According to the report, the Mossad – collaborating with local authorities – was able to stop the assassins, who planned on targeting Barak during his visit to the Singapore Air Show.

The newspaper based its report on information from “high ranking Israeli defense officials.”

Al-Jarida went on to quote the sources as saying that prior to Barak’s visit, the Israeli intelligence agency contacts Singapore authorities and gave them “highly classified information suggesting a cell comprising of Iranian and Hezbollahoperatives were planning to assassinate the Israeli defense minister.”

A covert operation based on the information resulted in the arrest of three suspects.

The paper added that the cell had “very accurate information” about Barak’s itinerary and planned to have him under surveillance during his stay in Singapore. The assassination was to take place in Barak’s hotel.

According to the report, the Mossad is taking an active part in the suspect’s interrogation.

Barak: Iran nuclear moves meant to fend off attack

February 16, 2012

Barak: Iran nuclear moves meant … JPost – Iranian Threat – News.

By REUTERS 02/16/2012 09:54
Defense minister says Tehran “priding themselves on achievements that do not yet exist” in order to give impression that too late for strike.

Defense Minister Ehud Barak By Marc Israel Sellem

Defense Minister Ehud Barak said on Thursday Iran’s announcement of new nuclear achievements was exaggerated and meant to fend off action against the Islamic republic.

“They are describing a situation that is better and more advanced than the one they are in, in order to create a feeling among all the players that the point of no return is already behind them, which is not true,” Barak told Israel Radio.

Iran on Wednesday proclaimed advances in nuclear know-how, including new centrifuges able to enrich uranium much faster, a move that may heighten its confrontation with the West over suspicions it is seeking the means to make atomic bombs.

Barak said those announcements were meant to create an impression that any action taken by world powers to curb Iran’s nuclear program would be too late. Iran says it is enriching uranium for peaceful purposes.

Tension between Iran and the West over Iran’s nuclear work has mounted since November, when the United Nations’ International Atomic Energy Agency said Tehran appeared to have worked on designing a nuclear weapon.

Israel, widely believed to be the Middle East’s only atomic power, has said a nuclear-armed Iran would be a threat to its existence. Both Washington and Israel have not ruled out military action to stop Tehran developing atomic bombs.

“They are definitely making progress, but in order to deter anyone dealing with them, or perhaps even to make this seem superfluous, they are priding themselves on achievements that do not yet exist,” Barak said.

The United States, which called Wednesday’s Iranian announcement of nuclear progress “not terribly new and not terribly impressive”, and the European Union have imposed tighter sanctions in recent weeks on both Iran’s oil exports and international financial transactions with Tehran.

US balks as Assad proposes referendum, elections

February 16, 2012

US balks as Assad proposes referendum, elections –.

By OREN KESSLER AND REUTERS 02/15/2012 22:42
Washington dismisses offer as “laughable”; hoping to capitalize on Libya role, France jostles to get in front of any int’l intervention.

Syrian President Bashar Assad offered on Wednesday to hold multiparty elections within four months, while his troops assaulted city districts held by rebels trying to oust him.

Opposition figures immediately spurned the offer, and the United States dismissed it as “laughable.”

Egypt, in its strongest language yet on the crisis, called for change that met the Syrian people’s demands, though it ruled out supporting military intervention.

Under world pressure to end a crackdown that has cost at least 6,000 lives, Assad promised a referendum in two weeks’ time on a new constitution leading to elections within 90 days. At the same time, he made clear he was still intent on crushing the uprising with tanks and troops.

The military unleashed a new offensive in Hama, a city with a bloody history of resistance to Assad’s late father, Hafez, firing at residential neighborhoods with anti-aircraft guns mounted on armored vehicles, opposition activists said.

Artillery also shelled parts of Homs for the 13th day in a row. In Damascus, troops backed by armor swept into the Barzeh district, searching houses and making arrests, witnesses said.

International efforts to halt the carnage have sputtered.

France said it was negotiating a new UN Security Council resolution on Syria with Russia, Assad’s ally and main arms supplier, and also wanted to create humanitarian corridors to ease the plight of civilians caught up in the violence.

“The idea of humanitarian corridors that I previously proposed to allow NGOs to reach the zones where there are scandalous massacres should be discussed at the Security Council,” Foreign Minister Alain Juppé said on French radio.

He said a UN General Assembly vote on Thursday on a nonbinding resolution on Syria would be “symbolic.” It follows a February 4 veto by Russia and China of a draft Security Council resolution that backed an Arab League call for Assad to quit.

France considers the opposition Syrian National Council, whose leader is based in Paris, a legitimate partner, but has said it needs to do more to unite its various sectarian strands.

Paris was also behind the Security Council resolution to create a no-fly zone over Libya that permitted action by foreign military forces, including NATO. Russia believes it was misled on that resolution and has vowed not to make the same mistake twice.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei said he would listen to Juppé’s views, but added: “If the plan is to use the Security Council and United Nations to adopt some language to help legitimize regime change, then I’m afraid international law does not allow this and we cannot support such an approach.”

In Cairo, Egyptian Foreign Minister Mohamed Kamel Amr said deteriorating conditions in Syria demand swift action. “The time has come for the required change to avoid a complete explosion in the situation in Syria,” he said.

Egypt has long been a driving force in the region but has kept a lower profile on Syria as it deals with its own political turmoil. In contrast, Qatar and Saudi Arabia have been flexing their diplomatic muscles, keen to end Assad’s alliance with regional rival Iran.

The Arab League also wants a joint UN-Arab peacekeeping force to be deployed in Syria and has adopted a resolution that would allow its members to arm Syrian rebels.

Western powers are keen to see Assad go but are wary of intervening in Syria.

The referendum promise signaled that Assad wants to win the struggle on his own terms, rather than step down, as the United States, its European allies, Turkey and the Arab League demand.

According to state media, the draft constitution to be put to a vote on February 26 would establish a multi-party system in Syria, under Ba’ath Party rule since 1963. Parliamentary elections would follow within 90 days of its approval.

It would allow the president to be elected for two terms of seven years. Assad’s father was president for 29 years until his death in 2000.

“The political system of the state will be based on a principle of political plurality and democracy will be practiced through the voting box,” Syria TV cited the draft as saying.

It also said new parties cannot be based on a religion or regional interests, a clause that would exclude the outlawed Muslim Brotherhood or autonomy- seeking Kurdish parties.

Melhem al-Droubi, a member of the exiled opposition Syrian National Council and the Muslim Brotherhood, said Assad must resign now.

“The truth is that Bashar Assad has increased the killing and slaughter in Syria. He has lost his legitimacy and we aren’t interested in his rotten constitutions, old or new,” he said.

The United States also dismissed the referendum plan.

“Promises of reforms have been usually followed by increase in brutality and have never been delivered upon by this regime since the beginning of peaceful demonstrations in Syria,” White House spokesman Jay Carney said. “The Assad regime’s days are numbered.”

But President Barack Obama’s administration is struggling to craft a policy in a region thick with US strategic priorities including Iraq and Israel and overshadowed by fears over Iran’s nuclear program.

“The US strategy, as it stands now, is simply too little, too late,” said Steven Heydemann, a Syria expert at the US Institute of Peace in Washington.

The United States cites Syria’s ethnic and sectarian mix, urban population, divided opposition and powerful military to argue against any Libya-style international intervention.

Many analysts believe Assad’s downfall is far from imminent, although he now faces rebels in an armed insurrection as well as peaceful demonstrators.

Syrian forces battered rebel-held areas on Wednesday, although official media restrictions made it impossible to verify the accounts provided by activists.

Tanks deployed near the citadel of Hama shelled the neighborhoods of Faraya, Olailat, Bashoura and al- Hamidiya, and troops were advancing from the airport, opposition sources said.

An activist said communications had been cut in Hama, a Sunni city where Assad’s father crushed an armed Muslim Brotherhood uprising in 1982, killing many thousands of civilians.

In the Damascus operation, witnesses said at least 1,000 soldiers swamped the Barzeh district, a hotbed of opposition to Assad.

In Homs, an explosion hit an oil pipeline feeding a refinery, witnesses said. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported two people killed in Homs’s Baba Amr district in a new wave of shelling in the evening.

Hundreds of people have been killed in the military’s nearly two-week-old bombardment of rebel-held areas of Homs. Activists and aid groups report a growing humanitarian crisis there, with food running short and wounded people unable to get proper care.