Author Archive

Mullahs Ahoy

February 11, 2014

Mullahs Ahoy – The Washington Free Beacon.

Pentagon to Iran: Sail wherever you like

(“White House spokesman Jay Carney also said on Monday that the United States has “no evidence” Iranian warships are on the way to the United States.”
Well, there is also no evidence for intelligent life in the White House.
– Artaxes)

Iranian navy personnel  / AP
Iranian navy personnel

BY:
February 11, 2014 4:59 am

The U.S. Defense Department said on Monday that Iranian warships are allowed to sail into the Atlantic Ocean so long as “they understand the responsibilities” of cruising so close to the U.S. border.

The Pentagon’s pronouncement comes just days after Iran announced that warships were approaching the U.S. maritime border in response to America’s naval presence in the Persian Gulf.

Asked to respond to Iran’s pointed military rhetoric, Pentagon spokesman Bill Speaks told the Washington Free Beacon that it would not be an issue for Iranian ships to enter the Atlantic.

“Freedom of the seas applies to all maritime nations, all navies, everywhere—so long as they understand the responsibilities, which come with that freedom,” Speaks said. “So, if they are able to send their ships to the Atlantic, I’m sure they won’t be surprised to find many, many others already there.”

Speaks added that there is no solid evidence that Iranian ships are sailing towards the United States.

“On the Iranian claim, at this point, this is merely an announcement, not an actual deployment,” he said.

Iranian naval commanders struck a much less conciliatory tone, threatening to sink U.S. warships and kill American soldiers.

“The Americans can sense by all means how their warships will be sunk with 5,000 crews and forces in combat against Iran and how they should find its hulk in the depths of the sea,” Rear Adm. Ali Fadavi, the commander of the elite Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) Navy, was quoted as saying Sunday in the regional press.

Another Iranian general said that the dispatch of warships to the United States “has a message.”

“Iran’s military fleet is approaching the United States’ maritime borders, and this move has a message,” Iranian Adm. Afshin Rezayee Haddad said according to the semi-official Fars News Agency.

Iran dispatched the war fleet in “response to Washington’s beefed up naval presence in the Persian Gulf,” where American ships are stationed to help keep international shipping lanes safe, according to the report.

U.S. officials with knowledge of Iran’s movements said they were not particularly worried about Iran, which has a history of embellishing its military strength.

“These statements are probably more reflective of Iranian naval propaganda rather than any strategic intent,” one U.S. official told the Free Beacon. “Iranian officials have made similar statements since at least 2011, all of which turned out to be rhetorical posturing.”

Iran would also have a difficult time making it to America, the official said.

“Even if Tehran were serious about sending naval assets to the U.S. maritime border, it would be hard pressed to do so,” the source said. “Traversing thousands of miles would pose logistical challenges even for the world’s most advanced naval forces.”

White House spokesman Jay Carney also said on Monday that the United States has “no evidence” Iranian warships are on the way to the United States.

“Well, first of all, there was an Iranian announcement that they are moving ships close to the United States, and we have no evidence that Iran is in fact sending ships close to the U.S. border,” he told reporters during his daily briefing.

Iran’s amped up military threats against the United States come just one week before Western negotiators are set to meet with Tehran for another round of nuclear negotiations.

The talks could hit speed bumps given a recent series of statements by Iranian leaders who have vowed to keep the nuclear program running at full steam.

One of Iran’s senior negotiators said on Monday that the issue of Tehran’s ballistic missile program would be off the table. The statement prompted quick pushback from the White House.

“Per the Joint Plan of Action, Iran must address the [United Nations] Security Council resolutions related to its nuclear program before a comprehensive resolution can be reached,” Bernadette Meehan, National Security Council spokesperson, told the Free Beacon.

“Among other things, UN Security Council Resolution 1929 prohibits all activities involving ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons, including launches,” Meehan said. “So this issue will need to be addressed during the comprehensive discussions.”

Huge Anti-American Crowds Mark Iran Revolution

February 11, 2014

Huge Anti-American Crowds Mark Iran Revolution – NBC.

(Do they lie when they say they want peace or do they lie when they say “Death to Israel” and “Down with America”? Take your pick. – Artaxes)

ABEDIN TAHERKENAREH
 
By Ali Arouzi

TEHRAN — Anti-American and anti-Israel sentiment ran high on the streets of Tehran on Tuesday as hundreds of thousands celebrated the 35th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution.

Chants of “Death to Israel” and “Down with the U.S.” reverberated and groups of young people approached NBC News’ crew to deliver their message of anger and distrust.

“I have a message for Mr. Obama: My option on the table is the destruction of Israel, be sure of that,” 22-year-old student Jamshid said during the events marking the 1979 toppling of Shah Reza Pahlavi, a close U.S. ally.

 “I have a message from the people of Iran to Mr. Obama and [Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin] Netanyahu — we are ready for big war,” another young man told NBC News.

The virulent anti-Western and anti-Israeli statements come as the government of President Hassan Rouhani steers the country towards a rapprochement with the West. In November, the regime agreed to cap its nuclear enrichment program in exchange for an easing of Western sanctions.

Also on Tuesday, Rouhani said that Iran would pursue peaceful atomic research “forever,” and lashed out at Western statements that a military solution to a nuclear dispute with Tehran remained an option.

“I say explicitly to those delusional people who say the military option is on the table, that they should change their glasses … Our nation regards the language of threat as rude and offensive,” Rouhani told the crowds.

Despite the political message, the anniversary events also had a carnival feeling. Posters of Supreme Leader Ali Hosseini Khamenei stood next to stalls selling food, T-shirts and balloons in the shape of Spider-Man and Miley Cyrus.

On Saturday, Khamenei said the United States was trying to undermine the country’s government.

“The Iranian nation should pay attention to the recent negotiations and the rude remarks of the Americans so that everyone gets to know the enemy well,” state news agency Fars quoted him as saying.

The statements are markedly different to more conciliatory language some officials have used during negotiations.

On Feb. 2, the country’s foreign minister said it would be a “disaster” if Tehran did not turn an interim agreement to defuse a decade-old dispute over its nuclear program into a permanent deal.

“What I can promise is that we will go to those negotiations with the political will and good faith to reach an agreement because it would be foolish for us to only bargain for six months,” Mohammad Javad Zarif said. “That would be a disaster for everybody – to start a process and then to abruptly end it within six months,” he said.

Reuters contributed to this report.

Is Obama seeking an opening to Iran the way Richard Nixon did with China?

February 11, 2014

Is Obama seeking an opening to Iran the way Richard Nixon did with China? – Human Events.

Is Obama seeking an opening to Iran the way Richard Nixon did with China?

 

By: Michael Barone
2/11/2014 06:00 AM

Is Barack Obama trying to shift alliances in the Middle East away from traditional allies and toward Iran? Robert Kaplan, author and geopolitical analyst for the Stratford consulting firm, thinks so.

In a realclearworld.com article, Kaplan argues that the Obama administration sees the recently elected Iranian President Hassan Rouhani “as a potential Deng Xiaoping, someone from within the ideological solidarity system who can, measure-by-stealthy-measure, lead his country away from ideology and toward internal reform.”

Such a development, he goes on, is “something that could, in turn, result in an understanding with the West.”

That of course is not what the president and Secretary of State John Kerry say they’re up to. They say they’re trying to get Iran to agree to stop its nuclear weapons development. No talk of a new alliance.

But Kaplan’s view provides a more convincing explanation of what they’ve actually been doing. It helps explain why Obama and Kerry remain equable in the face of Iranian officials’ public statements that they have not given up their nuclear program.

It also helps explain their adamant opposition to the sanctions bill supported by 59 senators and a large majority in the House. That bill would apply enhanced sanctions if and only if the administration did not achieve its stated goals at the end of the six-month negotiating period agreed to in November and that took effect, after resolution of “technical” issues, in January.

Obama spokesmen say the sanctions legislation might torpedo the negotiations and even lead to war. The Iranians, brought to the table by sanctions, will walk out if more sanctions are threatened.

That makes little sense. Particularly because in his State of the Union message Obama said that he would be the first to insist on more sanctions if negotiations failed. Why oppose legislation that would make his own threat more credible?

It would make sense, however, if Obama is trying to construct, in Kaplan’s words, “a concert of powers that would include America, Iran, Russia and Europe,” all opposed to Sunni al-Qaida terrorists.

Kaplan compares Obama and Kerry on Iran with Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger on China, attempting to reconcile with a long-shunned adversary based on shared common interests.

But there are significant differences between Nixon and Kissinger’s opening to China and what Kaplan says Obama and Kerry are doing today.

The first is that Nixon and Kissinger waited until they had strong concrete evidence that China’s leaders had interests consistent with America’s.

As a candidate, Nixon wrote a 1967 Foreign Affairs article saying “we cannot simply afford to leave China forever outside the family of nations.” But he called that a long-run goal, dependent on China “accepting the basic rules of international civility.”

In office, Nixon and Kissinger listened to Chinese officials’ denunciations of the Soviets and Soviet diplomats’ alarm over China. But only after they observed a Soviet arms buildup and armed clashes on the China-Soviet border did they actively pursue communications with China through intermediaries.

Iran’s mullah regime has been sponsoring armed attacks on Americans for 35 years. Its assaults on al-Qaida-type terrorists have been limited, so far as the record shows, to a bit of help in Afghanistan a decade ago.

The second difference between Iran now and China then is that Obama and Kerry, in Kaplan’s account, place much stock in Rouhani as a change agent who will modify the character of a regime hostile to the U.S. for 35 years.

Previous administrations have seen earlier Iranian presidents as change agents too. Former Defense Secretary Robert Gates in his book “Duty” notes that every president since Jimmy Carter has tried to reach out to Iranian leaders “and every one of them has failed to elicit any meaningful response.”

The reason is that the firmly anti-American supreme leaders, Ayatollahs Khomeini and Khamenei, hold the real power, not the occasional smiling front-man president.

Nixon and Kissinger did not rely on some internal reformer to turn China around. Deng Xiaoping’s economic reforms started four years after Nixon resigned, and his name does not appear in Kissinger’s memoir “The White House Years.”

The Nixon-Kissinger opening did not rely on regime change — Kissinger’s account portrays them as puzzled by internal Chinese politics — but on a demonstrated common interest in cabining in the Soviet Union.

Do Obama and Kerry really believe that we share such a common interest with the mullahs’ Iran?

Michael Barone, senior political analyst for The Washington Examiner, is a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, a Fox News Channel contributor and a co-author of The Almanac of American Politics. 

Obama’s Precarious Iran Policy

February 10, 2014

Obama’s Precarious Iran Policy – Commentary Magazine.


02.10.2014 – 11:50 AM

As American peace efforts toward Iran have meandered along, Western diplomats have been eagerly pointing to the moderate and supposedly promising statements coming from Iranian president Rouhani and Foreign Minister Mohammed Zarif. Amidst the Geneva negotiations between the Iranians and the P5+1 nations, not only has the Obama administration been backing away from using force to halt Iran’s nuclear program, but the president has spoken firmly about his will to stop Congress from implementing further sanctions against Iran. Yet, just as Obama’s clamor for peace with Iran is becoming most frantic, Iran is once again giving every indication that it is clamoring for war.

Writing at Mosaic, Michael Doran, a former security advisor in the Bush administration, makes the case that President Obama is essentially so allergic to the prospect of intervention in the Middle East that it may well have always been his strategy to acquiesce in the face of the Iranian bomb. Doran’s case is as disturbing as it is compelling, for as he points out, if containment rather than prevention had been Obama’s strategy from the outset then he hardly could have expressed this openly. Rather, he would have been at least compelled to publicly adopt the appearance of staunch opposition to a nuclear Iran. Yet, consistently, both in the case of Iran and Syria, Obama has expressed tough words, backed up by the kind of inaction that gives every reason to doubt the sincerity with which those words were offered.

One might have thought that the Iranians would have seized the opportunity that Obama was presenting them with–to pay lip service to reciprocating his own platitudes for peace, and in return they could rest assured that America would never get serious about intervention. Iran’s previous president, Ahmadinejad, never quite caught on and a series of crippling sanctions were the result of his fierce rhetoric and his refusal to even feign cooperation. It seemed that Rouhani was different in this respect and that he had learned that mild words could easily purchase sanctions relief and enthusiastic engagement from Western governments eager to renew trade relations.

It is, then, a sign of just how unpredictable Iran can be that over the last few days Iran has abruptly resumed the rhetoric of war. On Friday, as has now been widely publicized, Iranian state television ran a documentary featuring simulated footage of an Iranian bombardment of Israel’s cities as well as an air strike on a U.S. naval carrier. This appears to have been coordinated with a series of aggressive statements made by the regime over the weekend. These included an Iranian admiral announcing that Iran has dispatched warships to the north Atlantic, while both Iran’s defense minister and the Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ naval commander spoke of Iran’s ability to strike American forces. And perhaps most significantly of all, the nation’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei accused the Americans of being liars in their peace efforts with Iran. Khamenei also mockingly spoke of how he found it “amusing” that the U.S. thought Iran would reduce its military capabilities.

As Doran points out, the so called interim agreement between Iran and the West is designed in such a way so that negotiations can in fact run on indefinitely without reaching the end goal of forcing Iran to relinquish its nuclear capabilities. It is in Iran’s interest to try and keep this interim period open for as long as possible. The next round of talks are due to commence on February 18 and to run for five months. Iran may have decided that with part of the sanctions already lifted, it would be advantageous to delay the start of these negotiations by causing a minor diplomatic crisis. By pursuing a stop-start strategy on these talks, Iran can drag out the period in which it is still permitted to enrich, while sanctions have been scaled down and the threat of further sanctions are being held off, giving it time to cross the threshold of full weapons capabilities.

As the recent statements from the Iranian leaders demonstrate, the Obama administration can talk peace all it likes; the Iranians, however, may still have no interest in reciprocation. What they know full well is that by even threatening war, with a White House that is clearly intimidated by the prospect of military intervention, Tehran can keep America running scared.

Iran says it has tested fragmentation missile

February 10, 2014

Iran says it has tested fragmentation missile – THE TIMES OF ISRAEL.

(More peaceful stuff coming … – Artaxes)

Defense minister claims successful trials of ballistic missile and laser-guided plane- or ship-fired missile

By Times of Israel staff and AFPFebruary 10, 2014, 7:05 pm

A missile displayed during a military parade outside Tehran.  (photo credit: AP/Vahid Salemi)

A missile displayed during a military parade outside Tehran. (photo credit: AP/Vahid Salemi)

TEHRAN — Iran said Monday it has “successfully tested” two missiles on the eve of the 35th anniversary of its Islamic revolution, the official IRNA news agency reported.

Iran’s ballistic missile programme has long been a source of concern for Western nations because it is capable of striking its arch-foe Israel.

“The new generation of ballistic missile with a fragmentation warhead, and a Bina laser-guided surface-to-surface and air-to-surface missile, have been successfully tested,” Defence Minister Hossein Dehgan said.

He said the new ballistic missile could “evade anti-missile systems” and was capable of “great destruction.”

The other missile can be fired from a plane or a boat to strike military targets with “great precision,” he added.

President Hassan Rouhani, elected last year on promises to engage the West diplomatically, congratulated the Iranian people and Supreme Guide Ayatollah Ali Khamenei over the tests, IRNA reported.

The UN Security Council, the United States and the European Union have long imposed sanctions on Iran’s ballistic missile programme.

Iranian officials have said they will not discuss the missile programme at talks with world powers later this month on Tehran’s controversial nuclear activities.

Western nations and Israel suspect Iran is covertly pursuing nuclear weapons alongside its civilian program, allegations denied by Tehran.

Iran claims new generation of 15-times-faster centrifuges

February 10, 2014

Iran claims new generation of 15-times-faster centrifuges – THE TIMES OF ISRAEL.

(“We have the ability to enrich uranium at 60 percent grade if one day we need it for peaceful works”… Like peaceful nuclear bombs? – Artaxes)


Tehran nuclear chief reserves right to resume enrichment to 60% if needed; Israeli team to meet US negotiators ahead of next week’s nuclear talks

By Times of Israel staff and AFP |February 10, 2014, 6:28 pm

International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors (2nd and 3rd left) and Iranian technicians at Natanz nuclear power plant south of Tehran on January, 20, 2014 (Photo credit: Kazem Ghane/IRNA/AFP)

International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors (2nd and 3rd left) and Iranian technicians at Natanz nuclear power plant south of Tehran on January, 20, 2014 (Photo credit: Kazem Ghane/IRNA/AFP)

Iran’s nuclear chief declared that his country has developed a new generation of centrifuges 15 times more powerful than those currently being used to enrich uranium, and said it might resume enrichment to 60% if necessary.

“We unveiled a new generation of centrifuges that surprised the Westerners,” said Ali Akbar Salehi on Monday. “This new machine is 15 times more powerful than the previous generation,” he claimed, according to Iran’s state broadcaster IRIB.

Salehi added that the development did not violate the November 24 Geneva interim agreement between Iran and six world powers that has imposed curbs on Tehran’s nuclear drive. “We successfully argued that this was allowed within the research and development article in the agreement,” Salehi said.

Talks between Iran and the six powers — the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany — on a long-term, “comprehensive” accord are due to start in Vienna on February 18. Ahead of them, Israel’s Minister for Strategic Affairs is to lead a delegation for talks with the chief US negotiator with Iran, Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Wendy Sherman.

Sherman last week told a Senate hearing that Iran’s ballistic missile program would be addressed in the comprehensive deal.

But on Monday Iran’s deputy foreign minister Abbas Araqchi, who is also a senior Iranian nuclear negotiator, said “the defense-related issues are a red line for Iran.”

“We will not allow such issues to be discussed in future talks,” he said.

Sherman also argued that Iran does not require an unfinished heavy water reactor in Arak – which could one day produce plutonium as a by-product – nor the underground Fordo uranium enrichment site for its civilian nuclear program.

But another Iranian nuclear negotiator, Majid Takhte Ravanchi, on Monday reiterated that Iran would not accept the closure of “any of its nuclear sites.”

Last week, Salehi said Iran could make changes to Arak’s design to produce less plutonium and “allay the worries.”

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu lambasted the US and the international community for the Geneva deal, which he called a “historic mistake,” and he is demanding that Iran’s entire “military nuclear” capability be dismantled under a permanent accord. US President Barack Obama, by contrast, has said he could envisage Iran being left with a heavily supervised enrichment capability under a permanent deal.

Iran currently has nearly 19,000 centrifuges, including 10,000 of the so-called first generation being used to enrich uranium. Some 1,000 second generation machines, three to five times more powerful, have been installed but are not in service. Under the November deal, Iran cannot increase the number of its centrifuges.

Iran's Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi, center, arrives for the Security Conference in Munich, Germany, on Sunday. (photo credit: AP Photo/Matthias Schrader)

Iran’s Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi, center, arrives for the Security Conference in Munich, Germany, on Sunday. (photo credit: AP Photo/Matthias Schrader)

Salehi did not say when the new centrifuges would become operational, but said a first machine was to be delivered to a medical centre in Karaj, west of Tehran, “within two or three months.”

In a recent interview with The Times of Israel, former Israeli Ambassador to the US Michael Oren warned that Iran was continuing to develop its centrifuges, and that more sophisticated models would enable it to speed more quickly to nuclear weapons if it chose to try to break out to the bomb. “If the talks break down,” he warned, “and you [the Iranians] quickly install your additional 9,000 centrifuges, among them the IR2s, which really give you [the equivalent of] about 24,000 centrifuges. And you have a stockpile [of enriched uranium]. And maybe you’ve done some research and development, that actually gives you some [centrifuges] closer to an IR3, which has an even higher rate of accumulation than the IR2s, how long is it going to take you [to break out]?”

In his remarks Monday, Salehi also said that despite the current halt in Iran’s uranium enrichment above the 5% grade, as agreed in the Geneva interim deal which took effect in late January, Iran has not and will not give up its right to enrich uranium to the 20% grade and may even resume enrichment to 60% if needed.

“We have met our needs to the 20-percent-enriched fuel (for the Tehran research reactor and medical purposes) and we have enough fuel, but we have not lost our right to produce 20 percent fuel,” he said, according to the Fars news agency.

He claimed Iran was entitled to enrich uranium to any level it wanted, and said, “We have the ability to enrich uranium at 60 percent grade if one day we need it for peaceful works.”

Iran says will not negotiate missile programme

February 10, 2014

Iran says will not negotiate missile programme – The Daily Star.

Febuary 10, 2014 10:59 AM (Last updated: February 10, 2014 02:21 PM)
Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi speaks during United Nations day in Tehran, on October 22, 2013. AFP PHOTO/ATTA KENARE
Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi speaks during United Nations day in Tehran, on October 22, 2013. AFP PHOTO/ATTA KENARE

TEHRAN: Iran’s ballistic missile program will not be discussed in nuclear negotiations with world powers, the deputy foreign minister said in statements published Monday.

The remarks by Abbas Araqchi, who is also Iran’s lead negotiator in talks with world powers, came a week before negotiations were to resume on a comprehensive accord over Tehran’s nuclear ambitions.

“Iran’s defence-related issues are not up for negotiations,” Araqchi said, according to media reports.

“We will not discuss any issue other than the nuclear dossier in the negotiations,” he added.

US lead negotiator in the talks, Wendy Sherman, last week told a Senate hearing that Iran’s ballistic missile program would be addressed in the comprehensive deal.

“The defence-related issues are a red line for Iran. We will not allow such issues to be discussed in future talks,” said Araqchi.

Western nations and Israel have long suspected Iran of covertly pursuing nuclear weapons alongside its civilian program, allegations denied by Tehran.

Tehran insists its program — boasting long-range missiles with a maximum range of 2,000 kilometres (1,200 miles), enough to reach Israel — is an integral part of its defence doctrine.

It also denies ever seeking atomic weapons, saying its nuclear activities are for peaceful medical and energy purposes.

Iran struck an interim nuclear deal with world powers in November under which it agreed to roll back parts of its nuclear work in exchange for the release of billions of dollars in frozen assets and limited relief from crippling sanctions.

Talks on a comprehensive nuclear agreement are due to resume on February 18 in Vienna.

Iranian poet executed for ‘waging war on God’

February 10, 2014

Iranian poet executed for ‘waging war on God’ – Al Jazeera.

(These are the kind of reforms you can expect from the “moderate Iranian regime” ™.
And the world wants to allow nukes in the hands of these stone age barbarians? – Artaxes)

Death sentence carried out on ethnic Arab Hashem Shaabani, accused of being an “enemy of God” and a threat to security.

Last updated: 10 Feb 2014 04:37

A human rights groups says more than 300 people have been executed since Rouhani came to power [EPA]

An Arab-Iranian poet and human rights activist, Hashem Shaabani, has been executed for being an “enemy of God” and threatening national security, according to local human rights groups.

Shaabani and a man named Hadi Rashedi were hanged in unidentified prison on January 27, rights groups have said.

Shaabani, who spoke out against the treatment of ethnic Arabs in the province of Khuzestan, had been in prison since February or March 2011 after being arrested for being a Mohareb, or “enemy of God”.

Last July, the Islamic Revolutionary Tribunal found Shaabani and 13 other people guilty of “waging war on God” and spreading “corruption on earth”.

The 32-year-old was the founder of Dialogue Institute and was popular for his Arabic and Persian poems. In 2012, he appeared on Iran’s state-owned Press TV, where human rights groups say he was forced to confess to “separatist terrorism”.

According to BBC Persian, officials from the Ministry of Information informed the condemned men’s families that they had been hanged, and they would be subsequently informed on the location of the men’s burial site.

Shaabani was moved from the area to an unspecified prison before his death, it was reported.

Iran executed 40 people over two weeks of that month, according to Amnesty International. According to the Iran Human Rights Documentation Centre (IHRDC) more than 300 people have been executed since Hasan Rouhani became president in August.

In the past, Tehran has said the death penalty was essential to maintain law and order, and that it was applied only after exhaustive judicial proceedings. Most of the executions in January were for drug related offences, according to Amnesty.

Iran Threatens US: Our Drones And Missiles Can Hit You

February 9, 2014

Iran Threatens US: Our Drones And Missiles Can Hit You – Israel National News.

(… more love coming from the “moderate Iranian regime” ™.
That’s all a cultural misunderstanding. This is their way to say “we love you”.
– Artaxes)

Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ site warns US its drone and missile systems can reach American warships in Persian Gulf.

By Dalit Halevi, Ari Yashar
First Publish: 2/8/2014, 7:29 PM

Members of Iran's Revolutionary Guard (IRGC)

Members of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard (IRGC)
Reuters

Amid the ongoing nuclear talks to convince the West of its “peaceful” nuclear designs, in a move Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei revealed in January is an Islamic “taqiyya” deceptive tactic, Iran continues to roll out military advances and threats.

The official site of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards warned the US that its warships in the Persian Gulf were in range of their Karrar combat drones, as well as their Kowsar anti-ship missiles, both domestically produced.

Karrar drones sport a flight range of 1,000 kilometers (621 miles) and a maximum speed of 900 kilometers per hour (559 mph). They are equipped with 125 to 250 kilogram (275-551 pound) bombs, and can additionally carry a Kowsar-class torpedo for combat against seagoing vessels. The drones are reportedly suitable for attacks deep in enemy territory.

As for the Kowsar missiles; Iran claims they feature remote-control and are built to withstand electronic jamming signals. They are deployed along the Iranian coast on the Persian Gulf.

With these weapons systems, the Revolutionary Guards’ website boasted that American warships in the region “can no longer feel secure”.

The statement comes after a new report from the Pentagon last week admitted that the US would have no clue if Iran obtained nuclear weapons. Iran has been steadily boosting its military capabilities, even as the US has lifted sanctions in the last 2 weeks.

The Islamic Republic has been working in earnest on producing its own domestically-made military hardware in order to circumvent international sanctions.

In December, Iran bragged of its new Qader cruise missile sporting a 200 kilometer (124 mile) range, as well as a new radar system for electronic warfare. In November, the Islamic regime released a new Fotros drone boasting a range of 2,000 kilometers (1,243 miles), making it able to attack Israel.

While this recent round of rhetoric from the Revolutionary Guards particularly threatened the US, last Saturday they announced “if the Islamic nation would unite, it could minimize the breathing room of the US and the West until the Zionist regime would no longer have room to breathe.”

Iranian lawmakers have previously expressed such memorable sentiments as “having a nuclear bomb is necessary to put down Israel,” Israel is “a cancer” in the region, and “only war can free Palestine.”

 

The War of Wills Between U.S. and Iran

February 8, 2014

The War of Wills Between U.S. and Iran – Real Clear World.

By Christopher Griffin

 

Director of National Intelligence James R. Clapper warned Congress last Tuesday that Iran‘s technical progress toward building missile-deliverable nuclear weapons “makes the central issue its political will to do so.” President Obama issued his own warning that evening, telling Congress that he would veto legislation imposing new sanctions if Iran continues its nuclear program. Although Obama promised that he will be “the first to call for more sanctions and stand ready to exercise all options” if diplomacy fails, the United States is quickly losing ground in its contest of wills with Tehran.

Under the Joint Plan of Action announced in November 2013, Iran is committed to only a tactical pause at the nuclear threshold, no more than two months away from a nuclear weapon. A recent report found that even if Tehran irreversibly dismantled 80 percent of its 19,000 installed centrifuges as part of a final agreement, Tehran could still be just six months away from the bomb. For his part, Iranian President HassanRouhani has rejected even these lenient terms, declaring that Iran will not dismantle any of its centrifuges “under any circumstances.”

The interim deal has also allowed Iran to catch its breath from crippling international sanctions. Ignoring the U.S. position that “Tehran is not open for business,” Iran hosted more trade delegations during the first two weeks of 2014 than all last year, and its economy is showingmarked signs of recovery. As both Iranian and European negotiators propose extending the interim period envisioned by the Joint Plan of Action, Tehran’s leaders are confident that they can bank on at least a year to erode sanctions.

Iran is cashing in on its growing prestige. In the months since the Joint Plan of Action was announced, Iran has developed more capable next-generation centrifuges to enrich uranium, worked with its proxy Hezbollah to smuggle anti-ship missiles into Lebanon, continued its support of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s war against the Syrian people, and attempted smuggling weapons to militants in Bahrain.

As Iran’s leaders prepare for the next round of talks, American diplomatic missteps risk bolstering their confidence as much as the lenient terms of the interim deal.

Iran is fully engaged in Syria, where President Obama’s 2013 “red line” debacle over Bashar al-Assad’s chemical weapons attacks has come full circle. It is now clear that Assad will neither meet the deadlines set in the U.S.-Russian plan for destroying his chemical weapons, nor relent from his slaughter of Syrian civilians. While even Secretary of State John Kerry has reportedly admitted that U.S. policy is failing in Syria, the administration has not articulated any meaningful response toAssad’s rope-a-dope strategy toward Washington’s diplomatic outreach.

Tehran can also see Washington’s tepid response to Russia‘s apparent violation of the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty by flight testing a new ground-launched cruise missile. The White House has avoided publicly acknowledging this violation of a keystone arms control agreement for fear of jeopardizing future talks to reduce nuclear arms with Russia – talks that the Russians have already rejected.

As long as Iran believes that the White House values diplomatic process over real-world outcomes, there is little reason for it to believe that Obama has the political will to “exercise all options to make sure Iran does not build a nuclear weapon.”

The American critics of this failing policy must develop their own plan of action, committed to rolling back Iran’s nuclear program.

Advocates of a sane Iran policy must continue to work for what Senator Robert Menendez (D-NJ) has described as a “diplomatic insurance policy” in case Iran refuses to dismantle its nuclear program. In December 2013, Senator Menendez and Senator Mark Kirk (R-IL) introduced the Nuclear Weapon Free Iran Act of 2013, which would impose harsh new sanctions in the event that Iran either violates the interim nuclear deal’s terms or does not negotiate in good faith toward a comprehensive agreement. Despite the president’s veto threat, Iranian intransigence will likely force this bill or similar legislation back onto Congress’ agenda again this year.

Congress should also articulate the minimum acceptable terms for a comprehensive agreement. Even if Iran yields from its no-dismantlement position, the United States should not accept a bad deal that leaves Iran just several months from the bomb. One immediate step that Congress can take is to call on the Obama administration to define Iran’s “practical needs” for a civil nuclear program, and why uranium enrichment is as uneconomical for Iran as it is dangerous for the world.

It is also necessary to highlight Iran’s flaunting of its commitments under the interim agreement and continued provocations throughout the Middle East and abroad. The IAEA’s quarterly reports on Iran this year will detail Tehran’s nuclear activity between the conclusion of the Joint Plan of Action in November 2013 and the agreement’s implementation on January 20, as well as the continued growth of its 3.5 percent enriched uranium stockpile.

Finally, we must reverse the defense cuts that are harming U.S. military capabilities. If the United States cannot meet commitments to vital allies or afford to conduct military operations, no warning to Iran about “all options” being on the table will be credible. This danger was previewed during the summer 2013 debate over Syria, when the Pentagon warned that budget cuts and reduced readiness were a serious concern.

The United States has a long way to go to make up for lost ground in its standoff with Tehran, but the road ahead will be navigable if the current policy’s critics pursue a comprehensive agenda to break Iran’s will to get a nuclear weapon.


Christopher Griffin is the Executive Director of the Foreign Policy Initiative