Archive for January 5, 2020

Trump threatens to hit 52 Iranian sites if Tehran attempts reprisal 

January 5, 2020

Source: Trump threatens to hit 52 Iranian sites if Tehran attempts reprisal | The Times of Israel

US president cautions Iran against taking revenge for Soleimani killing, saying targets will be hit ‘very fast and very hard,’ as tensions soar amid fears of all-out war

US President Donald Trump delivers remarks on Iran at his Florida Mar-a-Lago property, Jan. 3, 2020. (AP Photo/ Evan Vucci)

US President Donald Trump on Saturday issued stern warnings to Iran as tensions soared following the US killing of Iranian general Qassem Soleimani, threatening to his dozens of sites should Tehran attempt to take revenge.

Trump blamed Soleimani for recent attacks on Americans in his response to threats from Iranian officials, who have vowed retribution for the killing.

“Iran is talking very boldly about targeting certain USA assets as revenge for our ridding the world of their terrorist leader who had just killed an American,” Trump wrote on Twitter.

“If Iran strikes any Americans, or American assets, we have targeted 52 Iranian sites,” Trump wrote. “Some at a very high level & important to Iran & the Iranian culture, and those targets, and Iran itself, WILL BE HIT VERY FAST AND VERY HARD.”

Donald J. Trump

@realDonaldTrump

….hundreds of Iranian protesters. He was already attacking our Embassy, and preparing for additional hits in other locations. Iran has been nothing but problems for many years. Let this serve as a WARNING that if Iran strikes any Americans, or American assets, we have…..

Donald J. Trump

@realDonaldTrump

….targeted 52 Iranian sites (representing the 52 American hostages taken by Iran many years ago), some at a very high level & important to Iran & the Iranian culture, and those targets, and Iran itself, WILL BE HIT VERY FAST AND VERY HARD. The USA wants no more threats!

He said the number of sites represented “the 52 American hostages taken by Iran many years ago,” apparently referring to the 1979 Tehran embassy crisis.

Late Saturday night, the president tweeted again, this time warning Iran that the US will hit Iran “harder than they have ever been hit before!”

Trump followed up with another tweet, saying the US would use its “brand new beautiful” military equipment “without hesitation” if the Iranians retaliate.

Donald J. Trump

@realDonaldTrump

They attacked us, & we hit back. If they attack again, which I would strongly advise them not to do, we will hit them harder than they have ever been hit before! https://twitter.com/dancrenshawtx/status/1213583859402657793 
Dan Crenshaw

@DanCrenshawTX

For those claiming there’s “no plan,” that this was “reckless”:

Step #1 of any strategy is to stop letting terrorist regimes attack us without repercussion.

Why is this basic truth of foreign policy so controversial?https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/01/03/petraeus-on-qassem-suleimani-killing-says-trump-helped-reestablish-deterrence/ 

Iran has vowed harsh retaliation for the death of Soleimani, the mastermind of its regional military strategy. He was killed early Friday near the Baghdad international airport along with senior Iraqi militants in a targeted US airstrike ordered by Trump.

The strike has raised fears of an all-out war, but it’s unclear how or when Iran might respond. Any retaliation was likely to come after three days of mourning declared in both Iran and Iraq. All eyes were on Iraq, where America and Iran have competed for influence since the 2003 US-led invasion.

Trump said he ordered the strike, a high-risk decision that was made without consulting Congress or US allies, to prevent a conflict. US officials say Soleimani was plotting a series of attacks that endangered American troops and officials, without providing evidence.

In his Saturday Twitter thread, Trump said that Soleimani “badly wounded many” Americans, and killed many people in his lifetime, including recently “hundreds of Iranian protesters.”

He blamed Soleimani for attacks on the US embassy in Baghdad earlier this week and said the Iranian was was “preparing for additional hits in other locations.”

Iranian revolutionary students stormed the American embassy in Tehran in 1979 and took 52 US staffers hostage for 444 days, less than nine months after the toppling of Iran’s American-backed shah. The US broke off diplomatic relations with Iran in 1980 and ties have been frozen ever since.

Protesters burn a US flag during a demonstration against the killing of Iranian general Qassem Soleimani in Tehran, Iran, Jan. 3, 2020. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

On Friday, Trump said “Soleimani was plotting imminent and sinister attacks on American diplomats and military personnel, but we caught him in the act and terminated him.”

“We took action last night to stop a war. We did not take action to start a war,” he said, adding: “We do not seek regime change.”

Before deciding on the strike, Trump was reportedly angered for days about the killing of a US contractor in Iraq on December 27, and ordered the airstrike on the Iranian general’s convoy as a response to the contractor’s killing and the storming of the US embassy by pro-Iranian protesters.

The US is seeing indications that Iran has stepped up its readiness to launch short- and medium-range ballistic missiles, according to a Saturday CNN report. US intelligence is conducting surveillance by various means to assess when the missiles could be ready to launch, the report said, citing an unnamed US official with direct knowledge of the issue.

Meanwhile, another unnamed US official told CNN that American defense chiefs were holding intense discussions as they try to ascertain whether Iran plans to retaliate in the next few days, with “conflicting views” on when a major attack may come.

An assault was definitely expected “within weeks” at maximum, the official said.

On Saturday a contingent of US troops set out from Fort Bragg, North Carolina, to Kuwait to serve as Middle East reinforcements. A US military spokesperson said that a total of 3,500 American soldiers will be deployed within a few days.

US paratroopers prepare equipment and load aircraft for deployment from Fort Bragg, North Carolina, January 4, 2020. (US Army/Spc. Hubert Delany III)

The UK sent two warships Saturday to protect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz at the mouth of the Persian Gulf.

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo on Saturday spoke to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu about Iraq and the Iranian threat to the region. It was the pair’s third phone conversation in the past week; Pompeo is believed to have briefed Netanyahu about the strike ahead of time.

Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has said Tehran will react with “harsh revenge” to the hit on the popular general, who was his personal friend.

A senior Iranian commander on Saturday threatened that some 35 US targets in the Middle East, as well as Tel Aviv, were within reach of Tehran to avenge the killing of Soleimani.

Soleimani was the architect of Iran’s regional policy of mobilizing militias across Iraq, Syria and Lebanon, including in the war against the Islamic State group. He was also blamed for attacks on US troops and American allies going back decades.

An image published on Ali Khamenei’s official website on September 25 showing Khamenei, the Iranian supreme leader, left, alongside Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah, center, and Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani. (Khamenei.ir)

After the early Friday attack, the US-led coalition has scaled back operations and boosted “security and defensive measures” at bases hosting coalition forces in Iraq, a coalition official said on the condition of anonymity according to regulations.

In a thinly veiled threat, one of the Iran-backed militia, Kataeb Hezbollah, or Hezbollah Bridages, called on Iraqi security forces to stay at least 1,000 meters (0.6 miles) away from US bases starting Sunday night.

“The leaders of the security forces should protect their fighters and not allow them to become human shields to the occupying Crusaders,” the warning statement said, in reference to the coalition bases. The group is founded by Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, a senior Iraqi militia commander who was killed in the same strike.

On Saturday evening, a series of rockets were launched and fell inside or near the Baghdad Green Zone, which houses government offices and foreign embassies, including the US Embassy.

No one was injured by a Katyusha rocket that fell inside a square less than one kilometer from the embassy, according to an Iraqi security official who spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak to reporters. Another rocket in Baghdad landed about 500 meters from As-Salam palace where the Iraqi President Barham Salih normally stays in Jadriya, a neighborhood adjacent to the Green Zone, the official said.

Another security official said three rockets fell outside an air base north of Baghdad were American contractors are normally present. The rockets landed outside the base in a farm area and there were no reports of damages, according to the official.

 

Iran poised to strike US forces, pulls militia chiefs out of Iraq. Trump: We have targeted 52 Iranian sites – DEBKAfile

January 5, 2020

Source: Iran poised to strike US forces, pulls militia chiefs out of Iraq. Trump: We have targeted 52 Iranian sites – DEBKAfile

Iran began gearing up for a revenge strike on US targets in Iraq on Saturday night, Jan 4, DEBKAfile’s exclusive military sources report. The Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) took their medium-range ballistic missiles out of storage and began positioning them at various points along Iran’s border with Iraq, ready for launch.

Their range covers most of the US bases in the country. Another strong indication that Tehran was poised to strike back for the death of the IRGC Al Qods chief Qssem Soleimani came from the hurried withdrawal during the day of most of the Iraq Shiite militia chiefs and their senior staff. They crossed the border into Iran and were taken to IRGC bases.

Saturday night, too, the Kata’ib Hezballah militia warned Iraqi army units and security agents to be out of US military facilities by Sunday 7 p.m. A red flag was unfurled over the revered Jamkaran Mosque of Qom, Iran’s religious center, denoting the Islamic Republic’s coming retaliation for the death of Qassem Soleimani at American hands.

Responding to Iran’s preparations for war, President Donald Trump warned in a series of tweets that if Iran strikes any Americans, or American assets, “We have … targeted 52 Iranian sites, some at a very high level & important to Iran & the Iranian culture… Iran itself, WILL BE HIT VERY FAST AND VERY HARD.”  The figure 52 recalled the 52 American hostages held at the Tehran embassy by Shiite revolutionaries in 1979-81. It also raised the stakes against Tehran’s threat to strike “35 American targets, including warships in the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz and Tel Aviv.”

Some 3,000 US troops form the 82nd Airborne Division have been deployed to the Middle East, joining the 750 soldiers shipped earlier to Kuwait.

On Saturday morning, DEBKAfile reported that the US had begun targeting Iraq’s pro-Iranian militia chiefs after terminating their master

The US air force continued to hunt down pro-Iran militia chiefs early Saturday, Jan 4, after killing their master, thus revealing America’s follow-up tactics for ridding Baghdad of Tehran’s grip. Those tactics started unfolding 24 hours earlier. Killed alongside Qassem Soleimani, the mastermind of Iran’s network of proxies, was also Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, head of the Popular Mobilization Units (PMU) the umbrella grouping of Iran’s Shiite militias in Iraq.

Since cutting down their master, the Trump administration has clearly launched a systematic war to eliminate the militia chiefs through whom Tehran maintains its grip on Baghdad.

Early Saturday, another US air strike hit the convoy of Shebl al-Zaidi, head of the Imam Ali Battalions, near Camp Taji military compound north of Baghdad. Six people were killed, most likely including Al Zaidi and his lieutenants, according to US officials. The PMU while confirming the strike claimed it hit “a medical convoy” – evidently taken aback by the new tempo of American attacks.

Shebl al-Zaidi, reportedly one of the more vicious Shiite leaders, was jailed during the US occupation of Iraq, and has been photographed with Qassem Soleimani,

In any event, the US strike happened and it attested to the new orders issued to the US command in Iraq:  go on the offensive against the pro-Iranian Iraqi militias and target them with planes, helicopters or drones whenever their leaders try moving about on the roads and highways.

These tactics spearhead the Trump administration’s preset goals:

  1. To end the extremist Shiite militias’ control of Baghdad and push them out to the periphery.
  2.  To establish mainstream Iraqi government rule in the capital – initially under an American air force and military shield.
  3. To use the impetus created by the ending of Qassem Soleimani’s career and that of his Iraqi agent Al-Muhandis for terminating the reign of those militia chiefs and their hierarchies.

This extremely ambitious, long-term program, which relies on first-rate intelligence, is the Trump administration’s answer to the critics who claim that the high-risk assassination of Qassem Soleimani was performed without a strategy or follow-up planning.

It is most likely to be an American initiative without European coalition partners. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said on Friday that European allies had not been as “helpful” as he had hoped over the Soleimani killing. Later, French President Emmanuel Macron urged those involved to act with “restraint,” while British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab said de-escalation would be key. “The Brits, the French, the Germans all need to understand that what we did, what the Americans did, saved lives in Europe as well,” Pompeo said.

Nonetheless, coalition spokesman Col. Myles Coggins contradicted the Pentagon’s statement about the fresh air strike on Saturday, stating, “The OIR did NOT conduct airstrikes near Camp Taji (north of Baghdad) in recent days.”

Moving forward, the Pentagon assigned a first batch of 750 extra troops to the Middle East for the protection of American personnel, to be followed by 4,000 more.  DEBKAfile adds: A US brigade of 700 officers and men is on standby in Italy to fly to a military airfield made ready for its intake at Halat in north Lebanon, should it be necessary to defend the Beirut embassy against potential attack by the pro-Iran Hizballah militia of Lebanon.