Israel Hayom | Demand an end date for negotiations.
Dan Margalit
The first round of talks between the West and Iran is over. Analysts are poring over the resulting documents, but it is hard to interpret their significance.
Every interpretation is influenced by the personal inclination of the person trying to read the subtle hints. Perhaps the Iranians are worried about their economy and are groping for a balance between their ambitions and the minimum that the West will accept. But it is also possible that the Iranians have a single goal in mind: stalling for time.
These are no ordinary negotiations. Time itself is key, as in the treatment of a hemorrhage. Every day that passes makes the situation worse and weakens the West’s bargaining position in two ways. First, it becomes harder to deal with Iran and demand that it stop producing military nuclear capability. Second, the passage of time undermines the U.S.’s status with moderate Arab regimes. Because they expect nothing less than that Israel (quietly) or the West stop the ayatollahs.
As one commentator put it, on this issue moderate Sunni regimes subscribe to “Bibi-ism,” the unequivocal language used by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and the Gulf states all understand that the threat to them is greater than it is to Israel. The world’s assumption is that Israel is a nuclear power. If Iran acquires nuclear weapons it will prefer to first provoke neighboring countries and only then to go after Israel. Arab diplomats speak of this in a whisper with Israeli colleagues and in a modulated voice with the Americans.
Given this concern, no one understands U.S. President Barack Obama’s decision to limit military aid to Egypt. Diplomats from many countries have explained that it would be better in every way for the U.S. to announce that it is continuing aid as usual even if it reduces it, rather than announcing a reduction even if it continues with a regular supply. Certainly as Western and Arab states prepare to face Iranian expansionism.
Under these circumstances, the moderate regimes of the Middle East are looking to Israel, and take an interest in every news story published here about long-range flight training by the Israel Air Force, and every declaration by Netanyahu that Israel will not let Iran acquire nuclear weapons. These are not the bedfellows that the U.S. (or Israel) would wish for, but given the lack of American and Western resolve, this is the least of the evils.
Meanwhile, time passes and the centrifuges continue to spin. The talks have been pushed forward another three weeks, and the same will happen in the next round. From here on, Israel must do more than just repeat its demand that the West not succumb to Iran’s salami tactics. Israel must also demand a target date for completing the talks. Otherwise the negotiations will deteriorate into mere talk.





Recent Comments