WarSclerotic

Two thirds of Jewish Israelis believe that US president Barack Obama will fail to keep his promise to prevent Iran’s development of nuclear weapons, while only 27% believe he will succeed, according to the monthly Peace Index poll taken by the Israel Democracy Institute and Tel Aviv University, which was released Thursday.The poll of 601 respondents constituting a representative sample of the adult population of Israel was conducted last Monday and Tuesday, the days that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu met with Obama in Washington and delivered his address to the United Nations General Assembly. The headlines in the days ahead of the poll were about the Iranian charm offensive at the UN and the historic phone conversation between Obama and Iranian president Hassan Rouhani.Asked whether the US was projecting weakness on Iran, affirmative answers were given by 60% of Israelis, including 64% of Jewish respondents and 40% of Arab respondents. Only 22% of Israelis said the US was projecting power, including 20% of the Jewish respondents and 31% of the Arab respondents.

When asked the same question about Syria, the results were similar. Sixty three percent of Israelis said the US was projecting weakness. Among Jews, 66% answered affirmatively and 49% of Arab respondents said yes. Twenty three percent said the US was projecting power, including 22% of Jewish respondents and 28% of the Arabs surveyed.

Israeli Jews and Arabs differed starkly in their opinion on whether Iran was really changing its position. Eighty percent of Israeli Jews said they believed that Rouhani’s UN speech calling for an agreement with the West does not indicate a real change, just a change in rhetoric. Only 14% of Israeli Jews said they believed that it does constitute a real change. Among Israeli Arabs, 47% said a real change was underway, while 42% believe that only the rhetoric has changed.

Seventy-seven percent of Jewish Israelis said Netanyahu was right to continue warning the world of the danger Iran poses, while 14% said he should leave that job to American and European leaders.

The measurement error for a sample of this size is 4.5%.

WASHINGTON – The US has decided to alter its military aid to Egypt, the State Department said on Wednesday, after Sunday’s clashes in the Arab world’s most populous nation resulted in the deaths of 57 people.

The US will maintain military aid to Egypt tied by contracts with American defense firms, but will “continue to hold the delivery of certain large-scale military systems and cash assistance to the government pending credible progress toward an inclusive, democratically elected civilian government through free and fair elections,” Jen Psaki, State Department spokeswoman, said in a statement.

The State Department clarified, however, that it would continue to give Egypt support for counter-terrorism efforts in the Sinai peninsula, which borders Israel.

“Large-scale systems” being withheld include F-16 fighter jets, M-181 tanks, Harpoon missiles and Apache helicopters, according to Obama administration officials.

“We’re talking hundreds of millions of dollars in military assistance,” one senior administration official said on Wednesday, in addition to the complete halt of $260 million in cash assistance to the interim government.

“Most of the economic assistance” earmarked for civilian purposes and toward the private sector will continue, another aide said.

“This decision just underscores that the United States will not support actions that undermine our principles,” the official said. “This is a way of expressing that.”

US Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel explained the change in policy in a 40-minute phone call with Egyptian General Abdel Fattah el-Sisi.

“Both wanted to take the steps needed to resume the assistance,” the official said, adding that the two men emphasized the need to reinforce security in the Sinai and Egypt’s border with Israel.

The official declined to comment on whether el-Sisi objected to the cuts.

Clashes throughout Egypt have led to significant bloodletting.

The detainment of former Egyptian president Mohamed Morsi by the Egyptian military has been condemned by the US as a “politicized arrest.”

The State Department says the US has “determined not to make a determination” whether the July 3 event was a coup. US law would require aid be cut if such a determination was made.

While the US has said that foreign military assistance to Israel and other important regional allies would be jeopardized by the ongoing shutdown of the federal government in Washington, State Department deputy spokeswoman Marie Harf said that the timing of the announcement on Egypt policy was “completely coincidental.”

Congresswoman Nita Lowey (D-NY), Ranking Democrat on the House Appropriations Committee, said following the announcement regarding aid to Egypt:

“Stability in Egypt is of critical importance to security in the region and United States interests.  I am working with the Administration to understand how this aid suspension can be accomplished without harming efforts to fight terrorism or promote a transition to democratic governance.  I encourage the Administration to consult closely with Congress on these issues moving forward.”

US Senator Robert Menendez (D-NJ), Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, expressed support for the cut to Egypt’s military aid.

“Our relationship with Egypt is bound by decades of shared concerns to ensure regional stability, maintain the Camp David peace accords, and cooperate on counter-terrorism and border security efforts. Assistance to Egypt that supports these common goals should continue,” said Menendez.  “But ongoing violence in Egypt is troubling, shows no signs of abating, and given these worrisome developments, a pause in assistance is appropriate until the Egyptian government demonstrates a willingness and capability to follow the roadmap toward a sustainable, inclusive and non-violent transition to democracy.”

Prior to the official announcement of the aid withdrawal on Wednesday, The New York Times quoted an Israeli official as warning that the US was “playing with fire.”

The official reportedly stated that US aid to Cairo is part of Israel’s 1979 peace treaty with Egypt and is also an important element of the United States’ standing in the Arab world.

“If America is seen to be turning its back on Egypt, an old ally, how will it be seen? People will see it as the United States dropping a friend,” the Times quoted the official a saying.

Jpost.com staff contributed to this report.