Archive for July 5, 2013

Obama’s hopes of a moderate Brotherhood dashed

July 5, 2013

Israel Hayom | Obama’s hopes of a moderate Brotherhood dashed.

Dan Margalit

It’s official: Egypt’s Defense Minister Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi has deposed President Mohammed Morsi. Another revolution made it to the history books. July, with its high temperatures, has a tendency to produce revolutions and regime changes in the land of the Nile.

Sixty-one years ago to the month, Muhammad Naguib and Gamal Abdel Nasser spearheaded the Free Officers’ coup that ousted King Farouk and sent him into exile. In July 2012, Morsi appointed Hesham Kandil as prime minister. His government imploded within the year. Once again, in July.

The United States is celebrating 237 years of independence on Thursday. That the downfall of the Muslim Brotherhood took place on this day is charged with symbolism. U.S. President Barack Obama has actively contributed to the mirage of Egyptian democracy under the Muslim Brotherhood that has developed in the wake of his Cairo Address in 2009, after which he abandoned his ally, former President Hosni Mubarak.

Obama threw his support behind Morsi, dismissing reports that his election was rigged, because he believed the Muslim Brotherhood’s voice was the voice of the Egyptian street.

Obama was convinced that there were moderates in the Muslim Brotherhood. He envisioned a Turkish-style democracy emerging in Egypt, only to discover that Turkey’s Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan was constantly obstructing the American bandwagon’s path.

Obama’s phone call to Morsi reflects a sense of disappointment in Washington over the Muslim Brotherhood’s conduct and their supposed promise of democracy. During the call, Obama hinted that Morsi, only a year into his first term as president, should start packing. Sissi’s announcement late Wednesday night made that suggestion a reality, and Morsi is no longer in charge.

The Muslim Brotherhood’s failure was inevitable; it had nothing meaningful to offer to the tens of millions of starved, unemployed Egyptians or those who, despite their academic backgrounds, are now aimlessly wandering the streets.

Morsi’s departure dashed the romantic hope that there was someone inside the Muslim Brotherhood you could do business with.

For now though, the turmoil continues. Some form of military council will be in charge, but Israel should not shed a tear. Morsi alienated everyone, but because of the geo-political situation, he felt compelled to maintain Israeli-Egyptian cooperation on defense matters. This was evident in the coordinated redeployment of forces in Sinai that was meant to counter the global jihad elements in the peninsula.

There is good reason to believe that these professional ties will continue, perhaps even improve. Although the protesters in Tahrir held on to tradition by chanting anti-Israeli slogans, such chants have more to do with what they were taught to believe than with any core conviction. Their rage is directed at Hamas in the Gaza Strip more than at the Jewish state, because the former represents the Muslim Brotherhood.

From a regional viewpoint, the Muslim Brotherhood has made enormous strides over the past several years.

One state after another fell by the wayside, and the Brotherhood filled in the vacuum. Each victory propelled them to the next.

Among the affected countries, Egypt is the most important; if the Muslim Brotherhood’s gains could be undone in Cairo, perhaps too in other Arab states, one after another.

As they say in Arabic, inshallah (God willing).

Coup? What coup? Many Egyptians see no evil

July 5, 2013

Coup? What coup? Many Egyptians see no evil – Alarabiya.net English | Front Page.

Friday, 5 July 2013
Army soldiers stand guard near supporters (not pictured) of overthrown President Mohamed Mursi and the Muslim Brotherhood, around Cairo University and Nahdet Misr Square in Giza, on the outskirts of Cairo July 4, 2013. (Reuters)
Alastair Macdonald – CAIRO, Reuters

Don’t mention the coup.

Certainly not on Tahrir Square, or pretty much anywhere in polite, liberal society in Egypt.

As military jets periodically screamed over Cairo, even making a formation salute with colored smoke trails, many Egyptians took pains to stress that the toppling of their elected president, announced by a general, was not a “coup.”

“A coup? No!” said Ahmed Eid, 19, a business studies student at Cairo University, as he and his friends snapped souvenir pictures of each other, draped in the national flag, on Tahrir Square. “This was our new revolution!”

“Our president was very bad. The army are our brothers.”

For educated liberals in the capital, ending the year-long presidency of Mohammad Mursi of the Muslim Brotherhood was worth resorting to the national tradition of military force – even at the risk of the new democracy born out of the overthrow of Hosni Mubarak in 2011’s Arab Spring.

With foreign goodwill – and aid dollars – at risk, however, it is now imperative to show Mursi was wrong when – from the Republican Guard barracks where he is detained – he branded the maneuver against him “a total military coup.”

Many outside Egypt found it hard to fault Mursi’s logic. But Egyptians have proven creative in contradicting him.

Not a “coup” but a “popular impeachment” was one original expression, put forward by Amr Moussa.

A foreign minister under Mubarak, he now leads of one of the liberal parties that endorsed the “roadmap” back to democracy spelled out by the armed forces chief on Wednesday when he went on television, in full uniform, to suspend the constitution.

“Some Western media insist what happened in Egypt was a coupd’etat. In fact, this was unfair,” Moussa, who headed the Arab League until two years ago, told Reuters – as military helicopters clattered overhead near the Nile riverbank.

“This was a popular uprising, a popular revolution,” headded. “In fact it was a popular impeachment of the president.”

The army did not take the initiative, he said, it heeded mass protests which put millions on the streets on Sunday.

“It didn’t come as a result of a meeting between a few officers,” he said. “It was the people who insisted.”

A little understanding

The wild euphoria on Tahrir Square, reprising that which greeted Mubarak’s end, offered support to that view.

“I hope that the response coming from Washington and …from several Western capitals will be to understand,” Moussa said, well aware that aid may depend on that. “Yes, indeed, former president Mursi was democratically elected but after that, his performance was … against the will of the people.”

Over at the Foreign Ministry, Mohamed Kamel Amr, a career diplomat who tendered his resignation as foreign minister to Mursi after Sunday’s mass protests, is still in his office -he’ll remain there now until an interim government arrives.

He was busy on Thursday, working the phones, calling U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry among others to insist that Washington should have no worries about cutting off aid to Cairo because “definitely what happened was not a military coup.”

In Amr’s view, “a military coup means the military will come, overthrow a civilian government and sit in their place.”

“What happened actually is totally the opposite,” he said. “There is … no political role whatsoever, for the military.

“You cannot not tell me that this is a military coup. This is not a military coup. On the contrary, this is the total opposite of a military coup.

“This is not a military coup in any way.”

Many outside observers, don’t see it that way: “I understand Egyptians are sensitive about the word ‘coup’ because of the negative connotation,” said Shadi Hamid of the Brookings Doha Center. “But that doesn’t change reality – it’s a coup.

“This is not just a coup, but a textbook coup. There’s no way to know the true ‘will of the people’ without elections.”

With aid on the line, he conceded, it’s not just semantics.

But among the snack vendors, flags and post-party squalor of Tahrir on Thursday, in between barnstorming military fly-pasts, it was hard to find anyone ready to criticize the generals.

“The army are with us, with the revolution,” laughed Katya Ramzi, 64, as she strolled, flag in hand, with daughter Heidi.

“This is not a coup.”

(Additional reporting by Shadia Nasralla; Editing by PeterGraff)

Egypt skittish ahead of massive Islamist protests

July 5, 2013

Egypt skittish ahead of massive Islamist protests | The Times of Israel.

Backers of deposed president Morsi plan rallies against military overthrow, with many fearing street violence

July 5, 2013, 8:59 am
Supporters of Egypt's Islamist president Mohammed Morsi chant slogans during a rally in Nasser City, Cairo, on Thursday. (photo credit: AP/Hassan Ammar)

Supporters of Egypt’s Islamist president Mohammed Morsi chant slogans during a rally in Nasser City, Cairo, on Thursday. (photo credit: AP/Hassan Ammar)

CAIRO (AP) — Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood called for a wave of protests Friday, furious over the military’s ouster of its president and arrest of its revered leader and other top figures, underlining the touchy issue of what role the fundamentalist Islamist movement might play in the new regime.

There are concerns of Islamist violence in retaliation for Mohammed Morsi’s ouster, and some former militant extremists have vowed to fight.

Suspected Islamic militants opened fire at four sites in northern Sinai, targeting two military checkpoints, a police station and el-Arish airport, where military aircraft are stationed, security officials said. The military and security responded to the attacks, and one soldier was killed and three were wounded, according to security officials who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to reporters.

The question of the role of the Brotherhood has long been at the heart of democracy efforts in Egypt. President Hosni Mubarak, ousted in 2011, and previous authoritarian regimes banned the group. After Mubarak’s fall, the newly legalized group vaulted to power in elections, and its veteran member Morsi become the country’s first freely elected president.

Now the group is reeling under a huge backlash from a public that says the Brotherhood and its Islamist allies abused their electoral mandate. The military forced Morsi out Wednesday after millions of Egyptians turned out in four days of protests.

Adly Mansour, the head of the Supreme Constitutional Court, with which Morsi had repeated confrontations, was sworn in as interim president.

In his inaugural speech, broadcast nationwide, he said the anti-Morsi protests that began June 30 had “corrected the path of the glorious revolution of January 25,” referring to the 2011 uprising that toppled Mubarak.

The Brotherhood charged the military staged a coup against democracy and said it would not work with the new leadership. It and harder-line Islamist allies called for a wave of protests Friday, naming it the “Friday of Rage,” vowing to escalate if the military does not back down.

Brotherhood officials urged their followers to keep their protests peaceful. Thousands of Morsi supporters remained massed in front of a Cairo mosque where they have camped for days, with a line of military armored vehicles across the road keeping watch.

“We declare our complete rejection of the military coup staged against the elected president and the will of the nation,” the Brotherhood said in a statement, read by senior cleric Abdel-Rahman el-Barr to the crowd outside the Rabia al-Adawiya Mosque in Cairo.

“We refuse to participate in any activities with the usurping authorities,” the statement said, while urging Morsi supporters to remain peaceful. The Rabia al-Adawiya protesters planned to march Friday to the Ministry of Defense.

The Brotherhood denounced the crackdown, including the shutdown Wednesday night of its television channel, Misr25, its newspaper and three pro-Morsi Islamist TV stations. The military, it said, is returning Egypt to the practices of “the dark, repressive, dictatorial and corrupt ages.”

A military statement late Thursday appeared to signal a wider wave of arrests was not in the offing. A spokesman, Col. Ahmed Mohammed Ali, said in a Facebook posting that the army and security forces will not take “any exceptional or arbitrary measures” against any political group.

The military has a “strong will to ensure national reconciliation, constructive justice and tolerance,” he wrote. He spoke against “gloating” and vengeance, saying only peaceful protests will be tolerated and urging Egyptians not to attack Brotherhood offices to avert an “endless cycle of revenge.”

The constitution, which Islamists drafted and Morsi praised as the greatest in the world, has been suspended. Also, Abdel-Meguid Mahmoud, the Mubarak-era top prosecutor whom Morsi removed to much controversy, was reinstated to his post and immediately announced investigations against Brotherhood officials.

Many of the Brotherhood’s opponents want them prosecuted for what they say were crimes committed during Morsi’s rule, just as Mubarak was prosecuted for protester deaths during the 2011 uprising. In the past year, dozens were killed in clashes with Brotherhood supporters and with security forces.

The swift moves raise perceptions of a revenge campaign against the Brotherhood.

The National Salvation Front, the top opposition political group during Morsi’s presidency and a key member of the coalition that worked with the military in his removal, criticized the moves, saying, “We totally reject excluding any party, particularly political Islamic groups.”

The Front has proposed one of its top leaders, Mohammed ElBaradei, to become prime minister of the interim Cabinet, a post that will hold strong powers since Mansour’s presidency post is considered symbolic. ElBaradei, a Nobel Peace laureate who once headed the UN nuclear watchdog agency, is considered Egypt’s top reform advocate.

“Reconciliation is the name of the game, including the Muslim Brotherhood. We need to be inclusive,” Munir Fakhry Abdel-Nour, a leading member of the group, told The Associated Press. “The detentions are a mistake.”

He said the arrests appeared to be prompted by security officials’ fears over possible calls for violence by Brotherhood leaders. There may be complaints against certain individuals in the Brotherhood “but they don’t justify the detention,” he said, predicting they will be released in the coming days.

Morsi has been under detention in an unknown location since Wednesday night, and at least a dozen of his top aides and advisers have been under what is described as “house arrest,” though their locations are also unknown.

Besides the Brotherhood’s top leader, General Guide Mohammed Badie, security officials have also arrested his predecessor, Mahdi Akef, and one of his two deputies, Rashad Bayoumi, as well as Saad el-Katatni, head of the Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party, and ultraconservative Salafi figure Hazem Abu Ismail, who has a considerable street following.

Authorities have also issued a wanted list for more than 200 Brotherhood members and leaders of other Islamist groups. Among them is Khairat el-Shater, another deputy of the general guide who is widely considered the most powerful figure in the Brotherhood.

The arrest of Badie was a dramatic step, since even Mubarak and his predecessors had been reluctant to move against the group’s top leader. The ranks of Brotherhood members across the country swear a strict oath of unquestioning allegiance to the general guide, vowing to “hear and obey.” It has been decades since a Brotherhood general guide was put in a prison.

Badie and el-Shater were widely believed by the opposition to be the real power in Egypt during Morsi’s term. Badie was arrested late Wednesday from a villa where he had been staying in the Mediterranean coastal city of Marsa Matrouh and flown by helicopter to Cairo, security officials said, speaking on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to talk to reporters.

Mahmoud, the top prosecutor, said he was opening investigations into the killing of protesters during Morsi’s rule. He ordered el-Katatni and Bayoumi questioned on allegations of instigating violence and killing and put travel bans on 36 others, a sign they, too, could face prosecution. He also took steps toward releasing an activist detained for insulting Morsi.

Copyright 2013 The Associated Press.

Morsi has fallen, but Hamas may be as big a loser

July 5, 2013

Morsi has fallen, but Hamas may be as big a loser | The Times of Israel.

Muslim Brotherhood’s Gaza offshoot banked heavily on support from Cairo’s regime. With Islamists being rounded up, Hamas could be forced to circle the wagons

 

July 4, 2013, 11:40 pm

 

Egyptian anti-riot soldiers stand guard in front of a destroyed banner of the Muslim Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party in Cairo, Egypt, Friday, March 22, 2013. (photo credit: AP/Amr Nabil)

Egyptian anti-riot soldiers stand guard in front of a destroyed banner of the Muslim Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party in Cairo, Egypt, Friday, March 22, 2013. (photo credit: AP/Amr Nabil)

 

Thursday was a bad day for the Muslim Brotherhood. The Islamist movement’s leaders were rounded up or forced to go into hiding, a day after seeing their man in Egypt’s presidential palace pushed from power by the military.

In Gaza, Hamas is likely feeling little better watching events unfold across the border. The Palestinian group, an offshoot of the Brotherhood, may come out to be the big loser in Egypt’s upheaval, right behind ousted President Mohammed Morsi and his cronies, analysts said Thursday.

“If Hamas was already screwed before” – with Morsi’s unbendable need for US financial aid trumping his and Hamas’s shared Islamist agenda in the short term – “now it is double screwed,” said Dr. Jonathan Fine,  a lecturer at the Interdisciplinary Center in Herzliya who focuses on terror ideology and religious violence.

 

MK Yisrael Hasson (Kadima), a former deputy commander of the Shin Bet, said in a phone interview that from an Israeli perspective the coup seemed to be a positive development, both regionally and within the internal Palestinian power struggle between Hamas and Fatah.

 

The Muslim Brotherhood, which had “reaped most of the fruits of the Arab Spring,” he said, “have taken a very serious blow.” Likening the rise of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt to the flagship of an armada, he said it was taking water but “has not been sunk.”

 

Hamas, which has designs on a West Bank takeover, had been dealt a blow by the ouster of Morsi and the rise of, at least for now, a more secular leadership in Cairo, Hasson said. The group had seen itself as the vanguard of the Arab Spring — with its own Islamist coup in Gaza in 2007 serving as an example of a triumph over a corrupt and somewhat secular regime. The fall of Morsi may now signal the fragility of Islamist regimes born out of the same spring.

 

As far as Israeli security is concerned, the Kadima MK said it was impossible to know how matters would develop, positing that Hamas, if neglected, could make itself felt by heating up the border. It could also reasonably say that, with a preoccupied Egypt, “now is not the time to let the Jews run wild.”

 

Israel’s security chiefs, he said, will “have to keep their eyes very open, look at things very suspiciously, and they’ll have to not express themselves publicly at all.”

 

What does seem certain, however, is that Hamas has been backed into a very tight spot. “This is a bad blow for the international Muslim Brotherhood, but for its Palestinian affiliate, Hamas, it is especially bad,” said Col. (res) Shaul Shay, a lecturer at IDC and a former military intelligence officer. “They gambled and broke away from Syria, banking on the natural alliance between them and the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, and that hasn’t worked out as planned.”

 

Hamas leadership left Damascus in January 2012, in the midst of the civil war, and has since been at odds with Tehran and Bashar Assad’s regime, severing most of its ties to the so-called axis of resistance.

 

Egypt, though not riven by the sort of sectarian hatred that has been ripping Syria apart, is sure to be unstable in the coming years and may have to weather a period of internal violence. Dr. Mordechai Kedar of the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies said that in light of such violence, Egypt may well “fasten the grip on the terror issue,” doing its utmost to seal the underground border between Gaza and Egypt so as to stop the flow of arms in a westerly direction. “Hamas now becomes suspect of collaboration with Morsi,” he said.

 

Shay, who said that Hamas would likely be extremely careful in its dealings with Egypt – a country on which it depends, no matter the ruler – also said that the Brotherhood lacks an organized militia and might, therefore, be willing to receive arms from Gaza. “The tunnels accommodate two-way traffic,” he noted.

 

With Egypt engaged in its own internal strife on the mainland, the Sinai Peninsula, already unruly and rife with global jihad terror operatives, could develop into an even greater problem, or it could be put down even more forcefully by the new regime in Egypt.

 

“The situation is so so so unique that almost anything could be correct,” said Hasson, who predicted that the Brotherhood would have to think long and hard “how to stay in the game.”

Islamist gunmen stage multiple attacks on Egyptian forces in Sinai

July 5, 2013

Islamist gunmen stage multiple attacks on Egyptian forces in Sinai | JPost | Israel News.

By REUTERS, JPOST.COM STAFF
07/05/2013 03:49
Attackers fire rocket-propelled grenades at Egyptian army checkpoints guarding El-Arish airport close to border with Gaza, Israel; 1 soldier killed and 2 wounded when Rafah police station comes under rocket fire.

Egyptian soldier guards checkpoint in Rafah in Sinai

Egyptian soldier guards checkpoint in Rafah in Sinai Photo: REUTERS

Islamist gunmen staged multiple attacks on security forces in Egypt’s troubled Sinai Peninsula early on Friday, two days after the army overthrew elected Islamist President Mohamed Morsi, security sources and state television reported.

The security sources said a soldier was killed and two were wounded when a police station in Rafah on the border with the Gaza Strip came under rocket fire. The police post is close to the local headquarters of military intelligence.

Earlier, attackers fired rocket-propelled grenades at army checkpoints guarding El-Arish airport, close to the border with the Gaza Strip and Israel, in the latest of a string of security incidents in the lawless region, the sources said.

It was not clear whether the attacks were coordinated and in reaction to Morsi’s removal. Islamist militants believed to have links to al-Qaida have established a foothold in the sparsely populated desert peninsula, sometimes in league with local Beduin smugglers and with Palestinian terrorists from Gaza.

Egypt has struggled to control security in the region since the ousting of autocratic President Hosni Mubarak in 2011.

On Thursday night, Eilat residents reported hearing explosions in the area, sparking fears of a rocket attack, however police had not located any fallen projectiles.

Two blasts were heard at around 9:30 p.m. throughout the southern city, according to witnesses, but the red alert rocket warning siren was not triggered nor were there any reports of injuries or damage.

Security forces launched a search of the area but said they could not confirm what caused the blast. Police informed local residents that it was safe to leave their bomb shelters about an hour after the blasts were heard.

Former IDF chief of staff Gabi Ashkenazi said earlier on Thursday that while he does not envision Morsi’s ouster posing a security threat to Israel, risk could come from Sinai, where decreased presence of the Egyptian army could present an opportunity for Islamist militants to act from the peninsula against Israel.

“This is a scenario that the IDF and the defense system are thinking about, and I’m sure are prepared for,” Ashkenazi said, adding that for the time being, he sees no reason to interfere in Egypt.

Yaakov Lappin and Ben Hartman contributed to this report