Archive for May 9, 2013

Syria opposition torn regarding sentiments on Israeli strike

May 9, 2013

Syria opposition torn regarding sentiments on Israeli strike | News , Middle East | THE DA

BEIRUT: Syrian opposition figures fighting to unseat the regime of President Bashar Assad reacted with a mixture of cautious optimism and anger to the massive Israeli missile strike against Syrian military facilities over the weekend.

For many Syrians whose calls for Western military assistance have fallen on deaf ears over the past 26 months, the intervention from an historic Arab foe presents an awkward convergence of interests.

The strikes Sunday came from a key ally of the United States, which has been at the forefront of calls for Assad to step down.

This poses a conundrum for opposition groups seeking to establish their post-Assad credentials in a country traditionally suspicious of the West’s agenda in the region and deeply hostile to Israel.

But while some welcomed the move as a brief strategic victory in a bitter stalemate, the strike drew wide condemnation from most Arab leaders and opposition groups.

“The villain foreign aggressor is combined with the aggression of a monstrous internal army against our people; both are acts of aggressors,” former Syrian National Coalition president, Sunni preacher Ahmad Moaz al-Khatib, tweeted Monday.

A post by a man called Hassan al-Rastanawi originally appeared on the The Free Syrian Army’s Facebook page praising the strike, but the group afterward distanced itself from the remarks, saying it was someone pretending to an FSA spokesman.

“[Rastanawi] is unknown to the FSA and does not represent any group affiliated to the FSA,” said an actual FSA spokesman.

“The FSA leadership has [always] considered, and still considers, the Israeli enemy as a foe which will remain as such until the complete liberation of the Arab territories from its dirty claws,” the statement said.

The Syrian regime was quick to draw a link between opposition forces and Israel, with the Foreign Ministry claiming the strike was “proof” there was coordination between Israel and what it calls “terrorist groups” operating on the ground.

Similarly, Hezbollah said Israeli airstrikes aimed to boost the morale of Sunni Islamist rebels fighting Assad.

Israeli officials have said the strikes were not meant to influence its neighbor’s civil war but only to stop Iranian missiles reaching Hezbollah for possible future use against the Jewish state.

The head of the National Coordination Body, the so-called internal opposition that rejects foreign intervention and calls for a political solution to the conflict, suggested in a statement published Tuesday in the Syrian newspaper Damas Post that the strikes served Israel’s interests alone.

“We do not want anyone’s intervention … neither Zawahri nor Hezbollah,” wrote veteran France-based Syrian dissident Haitham Manna, referring to Al-Qaeda chief Ayman Zawahri, to whom the Sunni jihadist Nusra Front recently pledged allegiance.

“Israeli considerations related to intervention in Syria stem only from Israeli interests and its assessment of the balance of forces on the ground.”

That sentiment was echoed by activists and opposition fighters on the ground Sunday.

“We refuse this kind of attack. … It’s absolutely unwelcome in Syria,” said Abu Rami, a spokesman for the Homs’ Syrian Revolution General Command.

“Israel is convinced that the Syrian rebels are almost close to the end of this conflict and are afraid heavy weapons could fall under the control of the rebels,” he told The Daily Star via Skype.

Others, however, expressed a cautious optimism, saying the fact that a strike against Assad came from Israel was unimportant in the long term.

“The reaction of Syrians toward the Israeli attack is very ambivalent. Syrians, as you know, are deeply anti-Israeli. This is not merely an ideological thing; it is rather built on past experience,” said one Syrian opposition figure who asked not to be identified because he was still working inside Syria.

“Also, fundamentally, Israel is an objective ally of regimes such as Assad’s, so all Syrians know the Israeli motives are not related to their interests,” he said. “In a few minutes the Israeli army managed to target and hit several key positions in the heart of Damascus. This confirms that limited strikes … could provide significant relief to the opposition.”

“We are in a situation where one of our enemies is fighting another of our enemies,” he added. “Israel is a long-term enemy that we have gotten used to facing. But for now, the most brutal and vicious enemy is the regime. Israel is not raping women or torturing kids.”

“The strikes have hit the depots of the same missiles that are being launched at Syrian civilians … So it’s difficult for people to complain.”

Syrian opposition figure and history professor at Ohio State University, Amr al-Azm, said the attacks presented a kind of “reversal” of the opposition position, but that ultimately, they would not affect Syrians’ view of Israel.

“Early on there was a distinct concern, mostly from the internal peaceful activists that the outside diaspora, which is primarily that the [Muslim Brotherhood] would arrive riding U.S. tanks and somehow steal the revolution,” Azm said. “There was deep suspicion that the external opposition was working for a Western agenda,

“But once the [regime] bombs started raining down on them, they were begging for an intervention.”

Azm agreed that the Israeli strikes were mostly perceived as serving Israeli interests and not launched in aid of the Syrian people.

“What difference does it really make if it’s the U.S. or the Israelis? They are both missiles,” he said.

“Like it or not, the Israelis did us a favor. It doesn’t mean a new détente with them. But for a very brief moment, our interests and theirs converged.”

“It’s a temporary thing, but it doesn’t change anything on the ground. The Israelis are still considered the aggressors. Our opinion of them is the same.”

What Was the Objective Of Israel’s Airstrikes on Syria?

May 9, 2013

What Was the Objective Of Israel’s Airstrikes on Syria? – Al-Monitor: the Pulse of the Middle East.

Smoke rises after shells exploded in the Syrian village of Al Rafid, close to the cease-fire line between Israel and Syria, as seen from the Israeli occupied Golan Heights, May 7, 2013. (photo by REUTERS/Baz Ratner)
By: Fehim Tastekin Translated from Radikal (Turkey).
ORİJİNAL YAZIYI TÜRKÇE OKUYABİLİRSİNİZ

We are told that the targets of the Israeli airstrikes against Syria were Iranian-made Fateh-110 missiles. But if we look at the places hit, we see two administrative buildings, a research center, an air defense unit and a weapons armory. There is no cargo on the road to Lebanon. What is the aim of Israel, which has attacked Syria three times since January using Hezbollah as a pretext?

We first have to recognize that Israel’s Syria policy is intentionally kept obscure. Israel is satisfied with the Damascus regime maintaining the status quo on the Golan Heights, but it is also essential for Israel to remove Syria from the resistance axis that nurtures Hezbollah. Openly supporting the opposition, however, would strengthen President Bashar al-Assad’s hand, so Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has ordered his ministers to keep quiet.

Although Israel hesitates when it sees the alternatives to Assad, if the regime were to survive this war it would nevertheless mean nightmares for Israel. Although split over supporting the opposition, Israel has decided that the rebels have to win. I am reaching these conclusions based on the assessments Israeli experts provided to Agence France-Presse.

Preparation for intervention?

The latest operation followed Israel’s attempts to mold public opinion. This was voiced, for example, by former Defense Minister Ben-Eliezer, who said that the Syrians were using chemical weapons and those weapons were reaching the stores of Hezbollah, therefore intervention was justified. In the meantime, the Syrian army again made a mockery of predictions that the regime’s end was near, by inflicting heavy blows on armed groups around Homs and Damascus in recent weeks. Pressures by France and Britain on the EU and Obama administration’s decision to reassess weapons support are signs that the situation on the ground is not all well. It was at this critical juncture that Israel moved.

The following questions are therefore important: Is the United States having Israel do what it cannot do itself? Are Israeli attacks trying to test the regime’s level of reaction? Is this a preparation for a more comprehensive intervention?

Of course Israel wants to show its seriousness over the transfer of game-changer weapons to Hezbollah. Everybody got the message. But we have to consider that Hezbollah could just be a pretext and Israel is arbitrarily expanding the conflict’s dimensions.

Amos Gilad of the Israel Defense Ministry, in contrast to Ben-Eliezer, says Hezbollah was not after chemical weapons and that those weapons were under Assad’s control. There are increasing suspicions that there is an Israeli conspiracy. For example, according to Lawrence Wilkerson, an aide of former US Secretary of State Colin Powell, the use of chemical weapons in Syria could be a covert Israeli operation.

Making it easy for Israel

If the objective of the attack — that was launched with a green light from the United States — wasn’t just a nasty blow to Syria, then we have to consider the opportunism of Israel. Israel was perfectly at ease when launching an attack that could be a casus belli. Netanyahu did not hesitate to go on his five-day trip to China, meaning he wasn’t expecting retaliation. How come he was so comfortable? There are three reasons: the US’s irrevocable security guarantees, tough days its enemies in the region are living through and the overlapping of its interests with the bloc that has become enemies of Assad.

For the United States, there is not much of a risk of a new front opening after the Israeli attack. Israel is already technically at war with Syria and Hezbollah. Damascus did not retaliate following earlier attacks. The probability of retaliation by Hezbollah is higher, but the Shiite organization is shackled by the election process in Lebanon. The cost of any move that could set fire to Lebanon as in 2006 could be much higher this time. A new war with Israel could lead to the disintegration of Lebanon, which is already experiencing tense sectarian conflict because of the war in Syria.  Israel’s real enemy Iran is busy with coming elections in June. Their priority is to safely pull through it without suffering another “green wave” as in 2009.

To find a place in the Sunni bloc

Israel is also comforted by its joint interests with the Sunni bloc regarding the Syrian crisis. According to an Israeli official who spoke to The Sunday Times, Israel wants to join the “moderate Sunni crescent” alongside Turkey, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Israel is proposing to share its defense systems and defend Jordan with Arrow missiles in return for access to radars in Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Add to that the Arab League’s decision to amend the Arab Peace Plan to include exchange of territory.

Perhaps a bit provocative but the real question is this: In response to its handling of Syria, will a place be found for Israel in the “Sunni axis” it is dreaming of?

Israeli- and Hizballah-controlled enclaves take shape inside Syria

May 9, 2013

Israeli- and Hizballah-controlled enclaves take shape inside Syria.

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report May 8, 2013, 10:13 PM (IDT)
Israeli field hospital on Golan

Israeli field hospital on Golan

Syrian rebel forces continued to fall back this week against superior Syrian forces in the north, center and south. Wednesday, May 8, they lost the important town of Kirbet Ghazaleh in the Horan province of southern Syria. For the first time in two months, the main transit route opened up for Syrian troops to reach the Jordanian border from Damascus and the opposition forces holding ground along the Syrian-Israeli border.

The rocky Golan plateau split between Syria and Israel by a demilitarized zone is beginning to move onto center stage.
Tuesday, Bashar Assad was quoted as saying the Golan will be the “front line of resistance” after giving radical Palestinians under his wing permission to install missiles there against Israel. Unidentified Syria military sources vowed to attack the Israeli army vehicles crossing the line to evacuate wounded rebels in need of medical care. Our military sources say that if Israeli army vehicles, presumably unmarked, are indeed entering Syria to pick up injured rebels, they are most likely alerted by local liaison agents in the battle zones who guide them to the spots were the injured men are waiting.

The pro-Al Qaeda Jabhat al-Nusra will have deduced that the contact points between these local Syrian agents and the IDF are located in the 8 sq. km separation zone on the Golan, which has been patrolled by UN Disengagement Observer (UNDOF) peacekeepers since Israel and Syria signed an armistice in 1974.
Hence the abduction of four peacekeepers Monday. The rebel Islamist Yarmouk Martyrs Brigade which claimed responsibility released a photograph of the kidnapped UN troops sitting barefoot on a carpet and wearing light-blue U.N. armored vests, three of which were marked “Philippines.”
This incident highlighted the high strategic importance of the Golan plateau.
Israel has set up a large field hospital near the Tel Hazakah observation and military post on Golan which overlooks southern Syria and northern Jordan. There, incoming Syrian war wounded are vetted and examined by Israeli army medics who decide whether to patch them up and send them back, or judge them badly hurt enough for hospital care. The seriously hurt are moved to one of the the nearest Israeli hospitals in Safed or Haifa.
This arrangement suggests a kind of security zone is evolving on the Israeli-Syrian border which may recall the alliance which evolved between Israel and the Maronite Christians of South Lebanon out of the 1976 Lebanese civil war.

Israel then set up medical facilities for treating Lebanese Christian war wounded at several points on what came to be called the Good Fence. The Maronites willingly pushed Palestinian terrorist forces back from the border and were given permits to work in Israel and other benefits.  The South Lebanese Army established at the time with 2,500 militiamen functioned effectively under Israeli command for two decades.
The whole system collapsed when in 2000 Ehud Barak, then prime minister, pulled Israeli forces out of the buffer zone and back to the border. It was then that Hizballah moved in.
No one has actually referred to the potential of the Lebanese scheme in one form or another growing out of Israel’s initial medical ties with certain non-Islamist Syrian rebel militias across the Golan border. But it may be happening on the quiet

Foreign-controlled enclaves are in a more advanced condition in other parts of Syria under the Hizballah and/or Iranian forces assisting the Syrian army’s fight against rebel forces.
Hizballah has completely encircled Al-Qusayr, the central Syrian town which commands the main routes between Damascus, Homs and Lebanon. Civic leaders have sent emissaries to Hizballah commanders offering to capitulate against a pledge not to ravage the town and to save its inhabitants.

In Damascus, Hizballah’s troops along with Iranian Basij militiamen command the Shiite holy places.
And in the southwest, they are securing a cluster of 30 Shiite villages opposite South Lebanon, not far from the intersection of the Israeli-Syrian-Lebanese borders.
By pouring fighting men into Syria, Hizbballah is gambling on Israel not taking advantage of its heavily diluted strength on home ground to strike Hizballah strongholds in Lebanon or its supply routes from Syria.
Both Hizballah and Israeli appear to be in the process of relocating their lines of confrontation from Lebanon to Syria. Israel’s air strike Sunday, May 5, which hit Hizballah and Iranian targets, may have been the first skirmish between them on Syrian territory. It is unlikely to be the last.

Report: Russia delivers supersonic cruise missiles to Syria

May 9, 2013

Report: Russia delivers supersonic cruise missiles to Syria – Israel News | Haaretz Daily Newspaper.

Military source confirms delivery of missiles, according to an AFP report; second official says missiles will protect Syria from ‘possible attack from the sea.’

By and Reuters | Dec.01, 2011 | 10:35 PM | 16
A Yakhont missile.

A Yakhont missile. Photo by Haaretz Archive

Russia has delivered supersonic cruise missiles to Syria, AFP reported on Thursday.

A military source told the Interfax news agency, “The Yakhont supersonic anti-ship cruise missiles have been delivered to Syria,” although it was not made clear exactly when the shipment was made.

A second Russian official speaking to Interfax said the missiles “will be able to protect Syria’s entire coast against a possible attack from the sea.”

Russia signed a contract reportedly worth at least $300 million in 2007 to supply Syria with cruise missiles, and Russia intended to deliver a total of 72 of the missiles to Syria, AFP reported.

It was not clear how many of the missiles have so far been delivered by Russia to Syria.

The delivery was made amid the continuing violent crackdown of Syrian President Bashar Assad’s regime against the opposition, which according to a UN statement made on Thursday, has claimed 4,000 lives since March this year.

While international pressure against the Assad regime has increased over the past month, Moscow has stood by its ally, criticizing further sanctions slapped on Syria by Western and Arab League states.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov rejected calls at the United Nations for an arms embargo against Syria on Tuesday, saying that a similar move against Libya had proved one-sided, helping rebels to topple Gadhafi in August.

“We know how that worked in Libya when the arms embargo only applied to the Libyan army. The opposition received weapons, and countries like France and Qatar publicly spoke about it without shame,” he told a news conference.

Russia has close political and strategic relations with Assad’s government and has been one if its main arms suppliers. Syria accounted for 7 percent of Russia’s total of $10 billion in arms deliveries abroad in 2010, according to the Russian defense think-tank CAST.

Thousands of Hezbollah fighters in Syria protecting Assad regime’s escape route

May 9, 2013

Thousands of Hezbollah fighters in Syria protecting Assad regime’s escape route – Middle East – Israel News | Haaretz Daily Newspaper.

Units of the Lebanese militia and Iran’s Revolutionary Guard are also guarding strategic sites used to store WMD and missiles.

By | May.09, 2013 | 1:50 AM | 1
A torn picture of Assad.

A torn picture of Syria’s President Bashar Assad is seen on a government building in east Syria May 8, 2013. Photo by Reuters

The number of fighters Hezbollah has sent to the aid of Syrian President Bashar Assad in the civil war in his country is believed have reached a few thousand.

The fighters are taking an active part in the most important battle for the survival of the Syrian dictator − securing the narrow corridor that still links Damascus in the south to the big cities of Hama, Homs and Aleppo ‏(where the regime still maintains partial control‏), and especially to the Alawite enclave in northwestern Syria.

Particularly harsh fighting has taken place recently around the town of al-Qusayr, near Homs in central Syria, as rebels attempt to cut off Damascus from the regions the regime controls in the north.

Various reports have come out in Lebanon on Hezbollah fighter casualties during battles against the rebels. Sunni activists opposed to Hezbollah say 500 fighters have been injured and, according to media close to Hezbollah, 180 have been killed. Hezbollah’s focus on the civil war in Syria has led to sharp criticism of the organization in Lebanon.

In addition to protecting the corridor critical to Assad, Hezbollah units are also guarding strategic sites in which weapons of mass destruction are stored, along with the Syrian army’s missiles. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards are also apparently involved in this task.

Risk of retaliation

Sources in Israel say the risk has fallen now of a direct response by Syria following claims by Assad’s regime that Israel was responsible for two aerial attacks in its territory late last week. Israel did not publicly declare responsibility for the two attacks. Assad initially ignored the first attack last Thursday night, as he commonly did after actions attributed to Israel before the civil war broke out. He apparently did so thinking that a response would ratchet up tensions with Israel, while restraint would take the issue off the public agenda.

But on Sunday, after the second attack, Syria publicly accused Israel of the bombardments. It apparently did so for two reasons: First, leaks from the American administration revealed Israeli responsibility for the attacks despite Jerusalem’s policy of keeping mum. And second, the bases and weapons stores that were bombarded for the second time were very close to Damascus ‏(the site is just three kilometers from the presidential palace‏).

The regime had difficulty denying these bombardments, with the sound of the explosions clearly heard in the capital and clouds of smoke appearing in photographs Syrian civilians took with their cellphones.

As Western intelligence services reported, the target of both bombardments was a large shipment of surface-to-surface Iranian medium-range Fateh-110 missiles.

The missiles had been brought to Damascus about a week before and the Iranians had intended to send them to Hezbollah in Lebanon soon. These missiles, with their range of 250 kilometers and great precision, cross Israel’s red line and require immediate destruction.

According to security sources, the Iranian missiles are much more precise than their Syrian-made counterpart, the M-600 now in the hands of Hezbollah.

For example, if they were aimed from Lebanon at the Hadera electric power station, the release of a volley of such missiles would almost certainly result in a direct hit.

This would have been the most precise weaponry Hezbollah would have, no less precise than the drones outfitted with explosives and carrying a relatively heavy warhead of 450 kilograms, which the organization already has.

Sources in Israel say they doubt Assad’s statement Monday that he would respond to what he said were Israel’s attacks by “renewing resistance on the border of the Golan Heights.”

Palestinian factions

The Syrian president spoke specifically about actions by Palestinian groups, but most of the Palestinian factions have already cut ties with the regime and are expressing a clear position in favor of the Sunni opposition. The main Palestinian group still standing by the regime, Ahmed Jibril’s group, has lost most of its operational capabilities in recent decades. But the security establishment is preparing for the possibility of Syrian revenge action on the Golan or abroad, which could come at a later time.

Assad also claimed that Israel has intervened on the side of the rebels because his forces have scored some successes recently. Sources in Israel deny that Israel wants to take sides in the civil war in Syria, but the impression is that the regime is very far from victory and that the adversaries are trapped in a kind of paralyzing tie that does not permit a win by either side.

Report: Israel warns U.S. about Russian arms sale to Assad

May 9, 2013

Report: Israel warns U.S. about Russian arms sale to Assad – Diplomacy & Defense – Israel News | Haaretz Daily Newspaper.

Information provided by Israel indicates Syria has been making payments to buy advanced S-300 air defense missile batteries, Wall Street Journal reports.

By Reuters | May.09, 2013 | 4:26 AM | 11
S-300 air defense missiles.

An archive photo of an S-300 air-defense missiles launcher, left, and a S-300 missiles guidance station, right, at an undisclosed location in Russia. Photo by AP

Israel warned the United States in recent days that Russia plans to sell advanced ground-to-air missile systems to Syria despite Western pressure on Moscow to hold off on such a move, the Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday.

The newspaper said U.S. officials had confirmed they were analyzing the Israeli reports but would not comment on whether they believed the sale of S-300 missile batteries was near.

No comment was immediately available from officials at the Pentagon or U.S. State Department.

The government of Syrian President Bashar Assad has been seeking to purchase the advanced S-300 missile batteries, which can intercept both manned aircraft and guided missiles, from Moscow for many years.

Western nations have repeatedly urged Russia to block the sale, which they argue could complicate any international intervention in Syria’s escalating civil war.

The Journal said the information provided to Washington by Israel showed that Syria has been making payments on a 2010 agreement with Moscow to buy four batteries for $900 million, including a payment made this year through Russia’s foreign-development bank, known as the VEB.

The paper said the package included six launchers and 144 operational missiles, each with a range of 125 miles (200 miles), with an initial shipment expected in the next three months.

While the effectiveness of Syria’s aging air force is unclear, most experts believe that its air-defense missile system, which was upgraded after an alleged Israeli strike in 2007 on a suspected nuclear site, remains quite potent.