WarSclerotic

Don’t pressure America – Opinion – Israel News | Haaretz Daily Newspaper.

Obama does not want to be sucked into a Syrian war whose outcome and impacts cannot be predicted.

More serious is the fact that intelligence is merely the preface to action. The obvious operational by-product would be the involvement of American troops in the fighting in Syria – a decision that must be made with the utmost seriousness by the U.S. president after consulting military, Congressional and NATO leaders and Syria’s regional neighbors – Turkey, Jordan, and also Israel. The decision should not be made because of blatant urging by Israel.

President Barack Obama objected to the decision of his predecessor, George W. Bush, to invade Iraq. Among other things, Bush relied on mistaken intelligence. The invasion was, therefore, the result of the dubious success of Iraqi deceit – more than anything Saddam Hussein wanted to persuade Iran and Israel, the enemies he sought to deter, that he had weapons of mass destruction.

The intelligence failure of the war in Iraq led both statesmen and intelligence officials to be more cautious when it comes to the Iranian nuclear program. For five and a half years, since the autumn of 2007, American assessments in this matter have been hesitant, and elicited more questions than exclamation points. In this respect, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s open efforts to wage war on Iran have so far been stymied – and whether Israeli or American, it is the same, because even if at first only the Israel Defense Forces operates, the American Air Force and Navy could be dragged in, in response to an Iranian response.

Obama does not want to be sucked into a Syrian war whose outcome and impacts cannot be predicted. He must weigh all the interests. Credibility and deterrence are on one side of the scale; priorities of the next three years of this administration (budget, foreign and domestic relations ) on the other.

Israel has a supreme security interest in preventing chemical weapons and advanced missiles from spilling over to Hezbollah or global jihadists. It is right for Israel to act to preserve the taboo on the use of gases, but Israel must not be seen as intervening in the question of American involvement.

Israel ambivalent about US intervention in Syria – Israel News, Ynetnews.

Israel views Obama’s response as way to test reliability of statements regarding nuclear Iran, but weary that action in Syria might divert attention from Iranian issue

Yitzhak Benhorin

WASHINGTON – US President Barack Obama’s response to Syrian President Bashar Assad’s use of chemical weapons against rebels and civilians is perceived by Jerusalem officials as an important test of Obama’s reliability regarding statements he had made on the Iran nuclear issue, the New York Times wrote Saturday.

However, even as the newspaper noted that a US intervention in Syria would show Tehran that Obama was not afraid to act, a senior Israeli official voiced concerns that action in Syria might divert attention from Israel’s main concern – Iran’s nuclear program.

The report in the New York Times follows growing pressure on the US Congress to declare North Syria a “no fly zone” as well as claims by both Israeli and US governments that Assad used chemical weapons, including Sarin gas, in an attack on Aleppo.

Obama has said in the past that chemical weapons would signify a “red line” in the Syrian civil war and that if such warfare were launched, the world would not stand idly by. Friday, however, at a White House meeting with Jordan’s King Abdullah, Obama said that the US must gather more evidence before taking any action.

The White House hinted in a briefing held shortly before the meeting that there was still more evidence to be collected in order to back the emerging assessment that the Assad army had, to a limited extent, used chemical weapons.

The US government emphasized that there had indeed been limited use of sarin gas within Syria. Still, officials said, there was no evidence showing who was responsible for its use.

The Pentagon is preparing options for military action for the moment when it becomes clear beyond doubt that the Assad regime indeed used chemical weapons against its own people. Such an attack would take place against chemical sites and command and control centers of the Syrian army, with the option of introducing US Special Forces to Syrian soil, without activating the regular US military.

An Israeli source warned in the New York Times that there were potential consequences to bombing chemical weapons sites, saying such actions could cause the very catastrophe that they were meant to prevent.

At the same time, the source said, sending forces to protect chemical sites was also not necessarily an option, as they were likely to find themselves in the midst of a civil war.

In addition to pressures from within the US, Israel and other countries in the Gulf are closely following Obama’s responses to the events in Syria, in order to gauge his level of seriousness when it comes to taking action against Iran, should Tehran cross US’s red line – initiating the process of building an atomic bomb.