Archive for October 2012

France: Iran seems on track for nukes by mid-2013

October 21, 2012

France: Iran seems on track for nukes by mid-2013 – Israel News, Ynetnews.

FM Laurent Fabius says that experts established that Tehran has compiled full array of centrifuges

Associated Press

Published: 10.21.12, 17:29 / Israel News

France’s foreign minister says Iran appears on track to reach the ability to produce a nuclear weapon by the first half of next year.

France is one of six countries that have negotiated with Tehran over its nuclear program, which Iran insists is peaceful.

Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius told Europe-1 radio Sunday that unspecified experts “have established in an absolutely indisputable way” that Iran has compiled a full array of centrifuges that “apparently will allow the ability to go toward possession of the nuclear weapon by the first half of next year, the end of the first half.” He did not elaborate.

Western nations fear Iran may turn its uranium enrichment program toward making weapons, a growing concern as Tehran expands the number of machines it uses to enrich uranium.

Sen. Graham: ‘Time for talking is over’ with Iran

October 21, 2012

Sen. Graham: ‘Time for talking is over’ with Iran – The Hill’s Blog Briefing Room.

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) on Sunday slammed President Obama’s policy towards Iran, saying the “time for talking is over” after reports suggested that Washington and Tehran had reached an agreement on continuing nuclear talks.

“We should be demanding transparency and access to their nuclear program,” Graham, a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, said on Fox News Sunday.

Graham said sanctions imposed on Tehran over its nuclear program have “been a miserable failure” and had failed to prevent Iran from continuing to enrich uranium.

He called the reportsthat administration officials and Iran have agreed to one-on-one talks on Tehran’s nuclear program as just a “ploy by the Iranians” to stall action against its nuclear program.

The White House on Saturday denied those reports, with National Security Council spokesman Tommy Vietor saying that the White House remained open to such one-on-one talks.

“We continue to work … on a diplomatic solution and have said from the outset that we would be prepared to meet bilaterally,” Vietor said in a statement.

Graham said that the Iranians were using the upcoming presidential election for their own policy advantage.  “I think it’s pretty obvious they’re trying to continue dialogue using our election cycle in a pretty clever way,” he said.

“There’s a pattern here: We talk, they enrich, Graham said. “It needs to stop. We need to have red lines coordinated with Israel and end this before it gets out of hand.”

Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.), also appearing on Fox News Sunday, defended the president’s policy, arguing that the sanctions regime imposed on Iran by the U.S. and other countries is working.

“There’s unrest in the streets of Tehran and the leaders in Iran are feeling it, Durbin said. “That’s exactly what we want the sanctions program to do.”

He said The New York Times report about the one-on-one talks with Iran is “a clear indication that the sanctions regime that President Obama has put together with Israel and many other nations across the world is putting pressure on Iran to sit down and acknowledge that they cannot have a nuclear weapon,” calling it “a positive step forward.”

Graham and Durbin also sparred on the show about the Obama administration’s handling of the attack on the U.S. consulate in Libya that resulted in the death of four Americans.

Graham hammered the Obama administration for not beefing up the security of the consulate in Benghazi or closing it after the violence in the region grew, calling it a “death trap long in the making.”

“I am totally convinced this is going to go down in history as one of the most major breakdowns of national security in a very long time,” Graham said.

The South Carolina Republican also lambasted the administration for initially saying an anti-Islam Web video incited the attack on the consulate.

“This was not a spontaneous riot. There never was a mob,” he said. “It was a seven hour planned attack.”

Durbin said the intelligence community initially told administration officials that “they believed [the attack] had something to do with this video but they were going to gather” more evidence to be sure.

“We aim to have a thorough investigation, get to the bottom of it, and as the president said, hold those accountable who did it,” Durbin said.

The Illinois senator also criticized Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.) for releasing more than 100 pages of documents detailing the embassy’s requests for more security, saying Issa was putting the lives of Libyans who are helping the U.S. at risk. The report includes the names of many Libyans who have aided the U.S. in that volatile country.

Durbin slammed it as “an effort to get a political toehold in this election” and called it “unacceptable.”

Israel Disaster Drills Prepare Nation For War

October 21, 2012

Israel Disaster Drills Prepare Nation For War | Orange UK.

Israel is conducting mass casualty drills to train the nation for a national disaster which focuses on responding to an earthquake but which military officials admitted was also a rehearsal for how to respond to war.

Mired in conflict since before its birth in 1948, Israel’s first ever national disaster drill envisages 7,000 dead, 70,000 casualties and 170,000 made homeless as a consequence of an earthquake along the Rift Valley fault.

However, Brigadier General Mickey Tessler of Israel’s military Home Front Command told Army Radio: “It is very important to emphasise that whoever is ready for earthquakes perforce increases his readiness level for various events, including wartime events.”

A conflict with Iran looms largest in the Israeli mind at the moment. It may be triggered by a unilateral strike against Tehran’s alleged nuclear weapons programme. It would be certain to provoke a counter-attack from Iran directly using long-range ballistic missiles and through its Lebanese surrogate, Hizbollah.

The latter is believed to have a new arsenal of missiles capable of reaching every major population centre in the Jewish state.

The quake drill also coincides with the largest ever joint US-Israeli military exercise, Austere Challenge 2012, which has seen 3,500 US troops arrive in the country.

On Sunday, Israel’s public was asked to evacuate buildings and schools at 11am local time and similar drills ordered by text message, on TV announcements and with sirens are part of the exercise’s night-time programme.

Children across the country also participate, carrying out enactments of the drills in schools.

While many Israeli buildings have safe shelters built into them, the advice during the current exercise is for people to find open outdoor spaces due to a recent assessment by the Home Front Command that around 70% of buildings in the coastal areas – which house just under half of Israel’s population – do not meet the earthquake resistance standards set in 1980.

Meanwhile, the joint US-Israeli Austere 12 exercise will see soldiers from both countries deployed in numerous locations, including near civilian areas.

A spokesperson for the Israeli Defence Force has warned that the public may notice increased military activity and some roads may be closed for short periods of time.

Much of the operation will focus on testing the defences against attacks from the air.

Missile protection systems such as the David’s Sling and the Iron Dome batteries will be tested as well as Israel’s medium range Patriot and Arrow2 missiles.

However, it is thought only a small amount of live fire will be used, with the majority of scenarios using computer simulation.

The timing of the joint operation follows a slight diminishing of the war rhetoric emanating from the Israeli prime minister’s office.

Speaking at the UN General Assembly, Benjamin Netanyahu indicated the window in which to prevent Iran progressing its nuclear programme towards a weapon stretched into next year – a timescale widely perceived as an extension on previous comments by Mr Netanyahu.

The Austere 12 operation was originally due to take place two months ago, but was postponed. Both Israel and US spokesmen deny this was due to the prospect of an imminent strike on Iran.

In third debate, will Romney offer the clarity on Iran that Israel has sought from Obama?

October 21, 2012

In third debate, will Romney offer the clarity on Iran that Israel has sought from Obama? | The Times of Israel.

Analysis: The challenger has yet to set out a clear vision that differentiates him from the president on the most immediate, significant threat to Israel and world security: a nuclear-armed Iran

October 21, 2012, 4:09 pm 0
Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, left, and US President Barack Obama wave to the audience before the first presidential debate at the University of Denver earlier this month (photo credit: AP/Charlie Neibergall)

Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, left, and US President Barack Obama wave to the audience before the first presidential debate at the University of Denver earlier this month (photo credit: AP/Charlie Neibergall)

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has spent much of the past two months calling President Barack Obama to task over his lack of clarity and “trust me” attitude (at least from the Israeli perspective) on Iran.

True, Obama has said repeatedly that Iran must be prevented from obtaining a nuclear weapon and that the prospect of a nuclear Iran would be taken with utmost seriousness in a second Obama term.

“I very much appreciate the president’s position, as does everyone in my country,” Netanyahu told the United Nations last month.

But Israel’s fear is not that Obama doesn’t comprehend the danger — the possibility of Iran using the bomb if it gets one, its capacity to remake the regional balance of power, a Middle East nuclear arms race, a potential nuclear-armed Hezbollah… — but that Washington is too wary of war and too trusting in imperfect intelligence to act before it’s too late.

Obama will not order a military strike on Iran’s nuclear program, Netanyahu hinted at the UN, until Iran has produced enough highly enriched uranium to build a nuclear bomb, and then actually begins construction on that bomb. For its part, the administration has said that US intelligence agencies will detect that construction work in time to stop it militarily.

This was exactly the view expressed by Vice President Joe Biden at the vice-presidential debate on October 11, when he told moderator Martha Raddatz that “both the Israelis and we will know if [the Iranians] start the process of building a weapon.”

But American and Israeli intelligence agencies are nowhere near that good, Netanyahu pointed out. “For over two years, our intelligence agencies didn’t know that Iran was building a huge nuclear enrichment plant under a mountain” near the Iranian city of Qom. Indeed, they didn’t know Libya had a nuclear program until Muammar Gaddafi came clean, or that Syria was building a reactor until shortly before Israel bombed it.

The Obama-Netanyahu face-off, made public by Netanyahu, has led many angry Democrats to accuse Israel’s prime minister of meddling in the American elections. Israeli officials, meanwhile, say Netanyahu spoke out only because the American administration would not heed his concerns when they were made in private.

“They think they’re big and we’re small, so what worries us doesn’t have to worry them,” a senior Israeli official said of the US administration in a conversation with the Times of Israel this week. “And they don’t feel they have to change their policy just because we’re worried,” added the official, who is familiar with Israel’s intelligence and plans on Iran.

There are hints that Netanyahu’s publicity stunts have worked. The White House seems to be taking more seriously Netanyahu’s concerns about imperfect intelligence and the timing for preventing an Iranian nuclear weapon. For one thing, Netanyahu’s public campaign on the issue seems to have abated. For another, insiders suggested Obama and Netanyahu have spoken a great deal in recent weeks, and Israeli and American intelligence officials have begun to reexamine and deepen coordination on the issue.

Enter Mr. Romney

Well over 100,000 US voters are thought to live in Israel, many of them voting absentee in battleground states such as Florida. And many more Americans, Jews and Christians alike, see their voting choice as influenced at least partly by their belief in an American foreign policy that supports Israel’s security.

Perhaps for this reason, Romney has positioned himself as a close political ally of Netanyahu. He made a show of speaking aggressively about Iran while visiting Israel in July, and has vowed to prevent the Iranian regime from acquiring not only nuclear weapons, but even a “nuclear weapons capability.”

Many observers have taken “capability” to mean something similar to what Netanyahu is calling for, suggesting Romney plans to stop Iran before it has enriched enough uranium to build a bomb.

But unlike Netanyahu and Obama, Romney has not said clearly what “capability” might mean or where he would draw the red line.

It is not enough to offer bravado and harsh rhetoric, Israeli officials say privately, or to ask Israelis for their trust when it comes to their national survival. America’s record is too checkered for a small nation such as Israel to trust its fate to election-season promises. Just ask Kurdish survivors of Saddam’s 1992 assaults what they think of American leadership and promises.

Since he raised the issue as a point of distinction between himself and the president, many Israelis feel Romney owes them, and those voters he is trying to court on the basis of his Israel policies, the same clarity and specificity Netanyahu has demanded from Obama.

If Israelis could ask a question in Monday’s presidential debate — the final debate, focused on foreign policy —  it might be: Will a Romney administration follow in Obama’s footsteps in asking Israelis to relinquish control of their fate and trust their very survival to the accuracy of American intelligence and the reliability of Washington politics? Or will he go beyond campaign bluster to offer a clear, specific alternative for dealing with the world’s most immediate and profound security threat?

IRGC chief: Strike possibility on Iran is zero

October 21, 2012

IRGC chief: Strike possibility on Iran is zero – Trend.Az.

IRGC chief: Strike possibility on Iran is zero

Azerbaijan, Baku, Oct.21/ Trend /D.Khatinoglu/

It is impossible to strike on Iran, commander of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, General Mohammad Ali Jafari said.

According to ISNA report, Jafari said on Sunday that regarding enemies’ situations, the possibility of a military operation against Iran is zero, that’s why the enemies started economic war against Tehran.

He said that IRGC is completely ready for defending the country against any invasion.

Talking about Syria’s crisis, Jafari said that enemies’ attempt to destroy Bashar al-Assad’s regime has failed.

IRGC chief’s statement about impossibility of a strike on Iran appeared, when he said on Sep.22 that Israel will eventually go beyond threats and will attack Iran.

The statement was criticized by some Iranian authorities.

Iran is the major ally for the Syrian government which reportedly committed violence against opposition and people, which has left 30, 000 dead.

Earlier, Jafari said that some Iranian Quds forces, an elite branch of IRGC, are in Syria to help Bashar al-Assad’s regime.

During a press conference in Tehran Jafari said on Sep.16 that “everybody knows that IRGC has a special force, namely Quds, to export Islamic revolution and help Muslim communities in the world.

He said that some Quds members are in Syria, but it does not mean that we have military presence there.

Quds elite force is a branch of IRGC, tasked with exporting Iran’s Islamic revolution occurred in 1979 and responsible for IRGC extraterritorial operations.

Jafari said that Iran renders financial, counseling and mental health assistance to Syria, rather than military.

In response to a question whether Iran will react to foreign military strike on Syira regarding a security agreement between Tehran and Damascus, Jafari said that this depends on conditions and circumstances.

IRGC chief commander called Syria as frontier of resistance against “Zionist regime”, Iran’s major fatal enemy, saying Israel has reached to deadlock.

Netanyahu, Dichter emphasize lessons of IDF drill

October 21, 2012

Netanyahu, Dichter emphasize lessons of … JPost – National News.

( Like I said, earthquake drill my ass…! – JW )

By JPOST.COM STAFF
10/21/2012 14:19
Ministers participate in drill as IDF takes over TV, broadcasts, issuing instructions on what to do during an earthquake.

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu at IDF drill. Photo: GPO

Prime Minister Netanyahu and Homefront Defense Minister Avi Dichter emphasized the importance of a strong home front defense following the IDF Home Front Command national earthquake drill on Sunday.

Netanyahu commented: “Ministers are, first of all, Israeli citizens and like everyone, we are taking part in the drill. No other government has invested as much in home front defense and we still have many plans and much work yet before us. I want Israeli citizens to be protected.”

Underlying the main goal of the drill, Netanyahu continued: “In the event of a missile attack we want people to run inside their homes and in an earthquake we want people to run outside their homes.”

Dichter added: “We must continue to foster a ‘culture of preparedness’ so that when the earth shakes, we as a country do not tremble.”

“An earthquake is a natural disaster that can not be prevented, so our goal is to prevent the disaster becoming a catastrophe. We must be prepared for every scenario,” Dichter warned.

The IDF Home Front Command kicked off its first national earthquake drill on Sunday at 11 a.m. The command, together with all emergency services and government ministries, simulated a major earthquake causing 7,000 “casualties.”

The Home Front Command took over TV and radio broadcasts, and sent out text message alerts issuing instructions on what to do during an earthquake. The same will happen at 7 p.m.

The advice to civilians was to try and get outside.

In any real earthquake, the Israel Police would have initial command of the situation, but if wide-scale destruction occurs, the Home Front Command would take charge.

Emergency responders were not told of the specifics of the drill, and were expected to react to unknown factors as the exercise developed. Emergency planners have also taken into account the threat of enemy missile fire following an earthquake.

“If I could choose between the scenario of an earthquake and the scenario of a missile attack on Israel, I’d choose the second, because of the scope of damage [that an earthquake would cause], and [because of] our deterrence abilities,” Dichter said last week.

Yaakov Lappin contributed to this report.

Home Front Command holds national earthquake drill

October 21, 2012

Home Front Command holds national earthquake drill – Israel News, Ynetnews.

( Earthquake drill?  My ass… This is prep for a nuclear attack.  Read the numbers below. – JW )

First nationwide earthquake exercise to simulate 5.0-7.0-magnitutde tremors, tsunami warning. Home Front Command to interrupt media broadcasts, alert public to ‘national disaster situation’

Yoav Zitun

Latest Update: 10.21.12, 13:03 / Israel News

  The Home Front Command held a nationwide earthquake drillSunday, as part of its annual emergency drill, “Turning Point 6.”

The drill, which is the first of its kind in Israel, will simulate several strong earthquakes, ranging 5.0-7.0 in magnitude, in northern and southern Israel, as well as aftershocks. Additional disaster scenarios include a tsunami warning and a subsequent flood.The ministry said as many as 170,000 people could be displaced, 28,000 buildings are expected to sustain severe damage, 29,000 building will suffer mediocre damage and hundreds of thousands of other structures will suffer light damage.

The drill is supervised by the Home Front Defense Ministry. As part of the exercise, the Home Front Command will alert the public of a “national disaster situation” via television and radio broadcasts.

The alerts were broadcast on Israel Radio and Army Radio, as well as on channels 1, 2, 10, 9 and 23.

The drill also saw the Home Front Command use its SMS alert system, which is supposed to send residents of the affected areas text messages alerting them to the situation and providing further instructions.

Magen David Adom emergency services tested their new internal alert system as well, which is meant to alert all emergency personnel – paramedics, EMTs and doctors – of a nationwide emergency.

Rescue drill (Photo: Yaron Brener)

The Home Front Command’s earthquake directives are as follows:

  • If possible, get out of buildings and closed areas immediately.
  • If you are unable to get outside and the space includes a fortified room, go there but keep the door open.
  • If the space does not include a fortified room, go to the stairwell.
  • If you are outside, stay outside and try to get as far away as possible from any building or power lines.
  • If you are in a car, stop driving and remain in the car. Avoid stopping near bridges or overpasses.

Dozens of cities took take part in the drill. The military used a lot in Holon – a large city in central Israel – to simulate the collapse of a building as a result of the quake and the subsequent mass-casualty event.

Over the next few days the Home Front Command will hold several mass-casualty event drills in various cities nationwide.

Home Front Defense Minister Avi Dichter said that, “The last time we had a major earthquake was in 1927. This 80-year gap has put us in a disadvantage, according to experts.

“We can’t prevent an earthquake from happening, so our goal is to stop a disaster from turning into a catastrophe.”

Learn from others’ experience

Police Operations Directorate Commander Nisim Mor told Ynet that the preparations for the complex, multi-disciplinary drill have been taking place since the beginning of the year.

Thousands of police officers, soldiers and Border Guard officers took part in the exercise, which also simulated the destruction of roads and infrastructure.

PM Netanyahu, Minister Dichter at the drill (Photo: GPO)

“Experience worldwide has shown that time, especially the first few days, are critical in such cases,” he said.

“We know that there will be a problem deploying forces and that the point of the exercise is to drill how we can overcome a chaotic situation.”

The drill, he added, is focused on earthquakes and natural disasters, but “The lessons learned are sure to be very useful in cases of an attack on the home front.”

According to the Home Front Defense Ministry’s national disaster steering committee data, a 7.0-magnitude quake may result in as many as 7,000 fatalities, 8,500 serious casualties, 37,000 mild casualties and 9,500 people who may find themselves trapped in collapsed buildings.

Top ministers: Israel knows nothing of breakthrough in Iran-U.S. nuclear talks

October 21, 2012

Top ministers: Israel knows nothing of breakthrough in Iran-U.S. nuclear talks – Israel News | Haaretz Daily Newspaper.

New York Times cites U.S. officials as saying that Tehran, Washington agree to direct talks following secret negotiations; Ya’alon: Secret talks take place, without results.

 

By | Oct.21, 2012 | 10:34 AM | 7

 

Bushehr nuclear power plant in Iran

Israel didn’t receive any information concerning a reported breakthrough in secret nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran, senior government ministers said on Sunday, amid reports of Iran’s agreement to hold direct talks with the United States.

On Saturday, the New York Times cited U.S. officials as saying that Washington and Tehran had agreed for the first time to launch one-on-one negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program, a result of secret talks between top American officials and aides to Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

 

According to the report, the sides agreed to hold a meeting immediately after the identity of the next U.S. president is determined in the November 6 presidential elections. The White House was quick to deny the report, saying that no such meeting was set.

However, according to a report by NBC news earlier Sunday, senior officials in U.S. President Barack Obama’s administration confirmed that back-door talks had taken place, adding that a meeting has yet to be set.

Speaking to NBC reporter Andrea Mitchell, the U.S. officials added that Israel, as well as the other nations involved in Iran talks – Russia, China, Germany, Britain, and France – were all updated on the talks.

 

Later on Sunday, Iran denied the report, with Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi saying: “We don’t have any discussions or negotiations with America.”

 

“The [nuclear] talks are ongoing with the P5+1 group of nations. Other than that, we have no discussions with the United States,” he added.

Despite these reports, however, a string of top Israeli officials indicated that Israel had no knowledge of secret talks, with Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman telling Army Radio that he knew nothing of the matter and that Israel wasn’t updated.

Lieberman also attacked the idea of renewing negotiations with Iran or of lifting some of the sanctions imposed on Tehran, saying that the international community must instead increase economic measures against the Islamic Republic.

Vice Prime Minister and Strategic Affairs Minister Moshe Ya’alon also denied the report, saying he wasn’t aware of any information concerning any direct talks between Washington and Tehran planned to take place following the election.

“It’s no secret that clandestine contacts between the Americans and the Iranians had taken place, and that there had been attempts to take advantage of the fact that the United States is part of the talks the six powers are holding with the Iranians in order to advance direct negotiations,” Ya’alon said, adding that “Iran has consistently refused to hold above-board talks with the United States.”

In addition, aides to Defense Minister Ehud Barak emphasized that the information published in the New York Times report was not known to defense establishment officials.

Israel’s Ambassador to the U.S. Michael Oren told the New York Times that Israel wasn’t told of talks with Iran, if such negotiations did in fact take place.

Despite these comments, the Prime Minister’s Office refused to comment on the report, and it was not yet clear if Netanyahu would refer to the New York Times piece in the traditional photo-op opening the weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem on Sunday.

Iran denies report of plans for nuclear talks with US

October 21, 2012

Iran denies report of plans for nuclear talks with US – Israel News, Ynetnews.

Just like Washington, Tehran says no secret negotiations held with US; adds only avenue of nuclear compromise discussed vis-à-vis P5+1

Reuters

Published: 10.21.12, 14:00 / Israel News

Iran denied on Sunday a report in a US newspaper that it had plans for direct talks with the United States over its disputed nuclear program.

The New York Times reported, citing Obama administration officials, that the United States and Iranhad agreed in principle to one-on-one negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program, though the White House quickly denied the report.

“We don’t have any discussions or negotiations with America,” Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi said in a news conference on Sunday.

“The (nuclear) talks are ongoing with the P5+1 group of nations. Other than that, we have no discussions with the United States.”

The P5+1 are comprised of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council – China, France, Germany, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States, and Germany.

Several rounds of talksthis year between Iran and world powers, dubbed the P5+1, have failed to yield a breakthrough.

A spokesman for the US National Security Council also denied the NTY’s report.

“It’s not true that the United States and Iran have agreed to one-on-one talks or any meeting after the American elections,” Tommy Vietor said in a statement.

“We continue to work with the P-5 on a diplomatic solution and have said from the outset that we would be prepared to meet bilaterally.”

Ya’alon: Israel would welcome US-Iran talks, if they work

October 21, 2012

Israel Hayom | Ya’alon: Israel would welcome US-Iran talks, if they work.

White House denies New York Times report that the U.S. secretly agreed to one-on-one nuclear negotiations with Iran • Foreign minister: I want to believe the denial. Iran has deceived the West time and time again • Iran also denies direct talks.

Reuters and Israel Hayom Staff
Iran’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has reportedly agreed to begin direct talks after the U.S. elections, but is he just buying time?

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Photo credit: AP