Archive for September 22, 2012

Iran official: German firm planted bombs in parts meant for nuclear program

September 22, 2012

Iran official: German firm planted bombs in parts meant for nuclear program – Israel News | Haaretz Daily Newspaper.

Iranian lawmaker says security experts discovered the explosives in components supplied by Siemens and removed them before detonation; firm denies claims.

By The Associated Press | Sep.22, 2012 | 7:04 PM
An Iranian technician works at the Uranium Conversion Facility just outside the city of Isfahan

An Iranian technician works at the Uranium Conversion Facility just outside the city of Isfahan 410 kilometers south of the capital Tehran, Iran, Feb. 3, 2007. Photo by AP

Iran accused Germany’s Siemens on Saturday of implanting tiny explosives inside equipment the Islamic Republic purchased for its disputed nuclear program, a charge the technology giant denied.

Prominent lawmaker Alaeddin Boroujerdi said Iranian security experts discovered the explosives and removed them before detonation, adding that authorities believe the booby-trapped equipment was sold to derail uranium enrichment efforts.

“The equipment was supposed to explode after being put to work, in order to dismantle all our systems,” he said. “But the wisdom of our experts thwarted the enemy conspiracy.”

Siemens denied the charge and said its nuclear division has had no business with Iran since the 1979 revolution that led to its current clerical state.

“Siemens rejects the allegations and stresses that we have no business ties to the Iranian nuclear program,” spokesman for the Munich-based company Alexander Machowetz said.

Boroujerdi, who heads the parliamentary security committee, alleged that the explosives were implanted at a Siemens factory and demanded the company take responsibility.

Any sale of nuclear equipment to Iran is banned under U.N. sanctions, raising the possibility that if it indeed has some, it may have been acquired through third parties. Boroujerdi did not say when or how Iran obtained Siemens equipment. Despite a wide array of international sanctions, Germany remains one of Iran’s most important trading partners.

The U.S. and its allies suspect Iran’s nuclear work is aimed at producing weapons. Iran says it only wants to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes, and asserts it has been the target of a concerted campaign by Israel, the U.S. and their allies to undermine its nuclear efforts through covert operations.

Some Iranian officials have also suggested in the past that specific European companies may have sold faulty equipment to Iran with the knowledge of American intelligence agencies and their own governments, since the sales would have harmed, rather than helped, the country’s nuclear program.

According to Iran, the alleged campaign has included the abduction of scientists, the sale of faulty equipment and the planting of a destructive computer worm known as Stuxnet, which briefly brought Iran’s uranium enrichment activity to a halt in 2010.

Iran’s nuclear chief, Fereidoun Abbasi, said Monday that separate attacks on Iran’s centrifuges — through tiny explosives meant to disable key parts of the machines — were discovered before the blasts could go off on timers.

Abbasi also told the U.N. nuclear agency in Vienna that “terrorists and saboteurs” might have infiltrated the International Atomic Energy Agency, after the watchdog’s inspectors arrived at the Fordo underground enrichment facility shortly after power lines were blown up through sabotage on Aug. 17.

Iran has repeatedly accused the IAEA of sending spies in the guise of inspectors to collect information about its nuclear activities, pointing to alleged leaks of information by inspectors to U.S. and other officials.

Five nuclear scientists and researchers have been killed in Iran since 2010. Tehran blames the deaths on Israel’s Mossad spy agency as well as the CIA and Britain’s MI-6. Washington and London have denied any roles. Israel has not commented.

Boroujerdi said the alleged leaks of nuclear information to its adversaries by the IAEA may finally push Tehran to end all cooperation with the agency.

“Iran has the right to cut its cooperation with the IAEA should such violations continue,” he said.

Clinton, UN chief urged to cancel Ahmadinejad talk

September 22, 2012

Clinton, UN chief urged to cancel Ahmadinejad talk | The Times of Israel.

Iranian president’s ‘incendiary incitement’ should land him ‘in the docket of the accused rather than at the UN podium,’ says former Canadian justice minister Cotler

September 21, 2012, 6:07 pm 9
Irwin Cotler speaking to a Knesset Committee in March. (photo credit: Miriam Alster/Flash90)

Irwin Cotler speaking to a Knesset Committee in March. (photo credit: Miriam Alster/Flash90)

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad belongs “in the docket of the accused rather than at the podium of the UN,” former Canadian minister of justice and attorney-general Irwin Cotler stated Friday in letters addressed to both UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Cotler, who is also Co-Chair of the Inter-Parliamentary Group for Human Rights in Iran, asked Ban and Clinton to exercise their authority to prevent what he termed an “affront to the United Nations, its charter, and human decency” – allowing Ahmadinejad to address the General Assembly of the international body during its opening session on Wednesday.

“Let there be no mistake about it: A person who pursues the most destructive of weaponry in violation of UN Security Council Resolutions, who incites to genocide, who is complicit in crimes against humanity, who is engaged in a massive repression of the human rights of his own citizens, who assaults the basic tenets of the UN charter — such a person should be the object of an indictment by this international body, rather than the beneficiary of its respected podium,” Cotler wrote.

The former Canadian minister and law professor added that allowing Ahmadinejad to address the UN’s General Assembly constituted a “cruel parody of law and justice that will put us on the wrong side of history.”

Cotler wrote that precedents in international law could forbid war criminals such as Ahmadinejad from entering the United States – and what’s more, from addressing the United Nations.

“Given President Ahmadinejad’s hateful and incendiary incitement, flagrant disregard for principles of international law, massive repression of domestic human rights, and complicity with international terrorism, providing him with an opportunity – indeed privilege – to speak to the community of nations is simply as unacceptable as it is unworthy of the United Nations,” he wrote.

On Thursday, a Republican and Democrat in the US Senate introduced a resolution calling on the UN to exercise its mechanisms to sanction and charge Iranian leaders for violating the UN charter because of “offensive remarks, contemptible statements, and reprehensible policies aimed at the destruction of the State of Israel.”

The non-binding resolution introduced by Sens. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) and Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.) calls, among other measures, for Ahmadinejad and Ayatollah Ali Khameini, Iran’s Supreme Leader, to face charges at the International Criminal Court.

Earlier this week, Argentinian Jewish leaders strongly urged their country’s government to reject Iran’s request for a meeting of their respective foreign ministers at the UN General Assembly next week.

The Argentinian Foreign Ministry on Wednesday announced that Iran’s Ali Akbar Salehi had requested an audience with his Argentine counterpart, Hector Timerman, to discuss the AMIA bombing case.

Syrian rebels down jet; move HQ from Turkey to Syria

September 22, 2012

Syrian rebels down jet; move HQ from Turkey to Syria – Israel News, Ynetnews.

Free Syrian Army says HQ now back in Syria in bid to unite various rebel groups; opposition forces down another one of Assad’s jets

News agencies

Published: 09.22.12, 16:19 / Israel News

The leaders of the rebel Free Syrian Army say they have moved their command center from Turkey to Syria.

Brig. Gen. Mustafa al-Sheikh, who heads the FSA’s Military Council, told The Associated Press that the move aims to unite all rebel groups. He said Saturday that the move was made the week before, without specifying its new location.

FSA commander Col. Riad Asaad issued a video titled “Free Syrian Army Communiqué Number 1 from Inside” that the command has moved to “liberated areas.”

The FSA has been the most prominent of the rebel groups trying to remove President Bashar Assadfrom power. But its commanders have come under criticism in the past for leading from Turkey, and its authority over numerous locally-based networks of fighters is limited.

Also on Saturday, rebel fighters trying to oust Assad reported shooting down a fighter jet as it flew over the northern Syrian town of Atarib in Idlib province.

An eyewitness, an independent journalist who asked to remain anonymous, said rebel fighters were attacking a military base near the town when the jet flew over and rebels shot it down with anti-aircraft guns.

Vastly outgunned, rebels said they need surface-to-air missiles to take down planes and helicopters used by the Syrian military to bombard opposition strongholds.

On August 27 fighters shot down a helicopter on the outskirts of Damascus and three days later rebels said they had brought down a jet in Idlib, near the Turkish border.

Activists say more than 27,000 people, mostly civilians, have been killed in the 18-month-old revoltin Syria.

Despite calling for Assad to step down, the West is wary of arming disparate rebel groups.

‘War with Israel will eventually happen’

September 22, 2012

‘War with Israel will eventually happen’ – Israel News, Ynetnews.

Revolutionary Guard’s Chief Jafari says two nations will surely see military conflict in the future; stresses ‘it is not clear when and where’ war will take place

Dudi Cohen, AFP

Published: 09.22.12, 12:32 / Israel News

A war between Iran and Israel “will eventually happen,” Revolutionary Guards commander General Mohammad Ali Jafarisaid Saturday.

“The war will eventually happen but it is not clear when and where it will take place,” Jafari was quoted by the ISNA and Fars agencies as saying.

Jafari further expressed confidence that the Islamic Republic “will destroy the Jewish state.”

“This cancerous tumor Israel seeks to launch a war against us, but we do not know when it will happen. They (the Israelis) believe the war as the only way to confront us, but they are so stupid that their masters (the US) should stop them,” Jafari said.

“If they start (aggression), this will lead to their destruction,” he declared.

Iranian troops at Friday’s parade  

Last week, Jafari warned that “Nothing will remain” of Israel, should it strike Iran’s nuclear facilities.

Jafari said Iran’s response to any attack would encompass all of Israel’s borders, thus hinting that Tehran will not hesitate to use its regional proxies, Hezbollah and Hamas.

He further cautioned that if attacked, “Iran will no longer be committed to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.”

Also on Saturday, Brigadier General Abdul-Rahim Moussavi, deputy commander of the Iranian Army, warned the Islamic Republic’s enemies of Tehran’s “crushing response” to any strike on its soil.

“In case of an aggression, the enemy will face something that it has never expected,” Moussavi said.

“After all, our enemies are soldiers too, and they know that we have not displayed everything we have,” he told Fars.

If Israel dares “Embark on such a crazy move, it will speed up its annihilation,” he stated.

The military officials’ comments came on the heels of an Iranian power display – a military parade showcasing its ground and air capabilities – held on Friday in Tehran to mark Sacred Defense Week and the 32nd anniversary of the Iraq-Iran war.

As part of the parade, the Revolutionary Guard showcased its various surface-to-surface and surface-to-air missiles.

Iran’s supreme leader orders Revolutionary Guards to stop global operations

September 22, 2012

Iran’s supreme leader orders Revolutionary Guards to stop global operations | The Times of Israel.

Ayatollah Khamenei wants forces to focus on countries in the region, and is worried about a potential Israeli strike, says senior army official

September 22, 2012, 11:44 am 0
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. (photo credit: @khamenei_ir, Instagram)

Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. (photo credit: @khamenei_ir, Instagram)

Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has ordered the country’s powerful Revolutionary Guard Corps to stop its operations around the world, particularly those in Africa and Latin America, according to a senior army official.

The official told Dubai-based Al Arabiya on Friday that Khamenei wants the Guards to focus their efforts on countries in the region, and that he fears a possible Israeli strike. Khamenei is also worried about the effect of crushing international sanctions, particularly on the Islamic Republic’s funding of its military forces, according to the report.

Also on Friday, Iran held a massive parade where it unveiled a new air defense system, Raad.

At the parade, the air force commander of the Revolutionary Guards warned that Israel “would cease to exist” if it launched an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities.

“If a conflict breaks out, the Zionist regime would be able to manage the beginning of the war, but the response and end would be in our hands, in which case the Zionist entity would cease to exist,” said Amir Ali Hajizadeh. “The number of missiles launched would be more than the Zionists could imagine,” he added, according to Iran’s Fars news agency.

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad used the event to lash out at the West over an anti-Islam film produced in the United States and the publication of caricatures of the Prophet Muhammad by a French satirical weekly.

Ahmadinejad said that ”in return for (allowing) the ugliest insults to the divine messenger, they — the West — raise the slogan of respect for freedom of speech.” He asserted that this shows a double standard and “is clearly a deception.” Ahmadinejad called the film a plot conceived by Zionists to cause discord among Muslims.

The parade marked the anniversary of the beginning of the Iran-Iraq war 32 years ago.

According to Fars, Raad, or Thunder, is more advanced than its Russian predecessor and is designed to confront fighter jets, cruise missiles, smart bombs, helicopters and drones.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Washington’s Iran war game vs. real Iranian, Israeli war preparations

September 22, 2012

Washington’s Iran war game vs. real Iranian, Israeli war preparations.

DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 22, 2012, 11:01 AM (GMT+02:00)

 

Ehud Barak and Rahm Emanuel in Chicago

Ill-assorted figures this week cited 2013 as the year in which the United States was expected to go to war on Iran. Among them was Iran’s atomic commission director Fereydoun Abbasi-Davani, former US ambassador to Israel Martin Indyk, and players in the US-Iranian war game staged at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy in Washington, whose heads are close to US President Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
This apparent US-Iranian concord was unusual but not fortuitous, say debkafile analysts.
On the part of Washington, it had a distinct purpose, which was to demonstrate to Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu that an Israeli attack before the US presidential election would be superfluous.
The message was played out in the Saban institute’s war game: The player representing Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said the Americans are tired of the fight and they are led by a weak man with no stomach for the struggle.
The script then proves him wrong: On July 6, 2013, Iranian agents coming in from Venezuela blow up a hotel on the Caribbean island of Aruba killing 137 people, many of them American holidaymakers including nuclear physicists. It was clearly a revenge attack for the assassination of Iranian nuclear scientists.
The next chapter of this scenario had President Obama, portrayed as reelected in November, ordering Iranian Revolutionary Guards headquarters in eastern Iran to be bombed, 40 Iranian security installations shut down by cyber warfare and Tehran warned that US intelligence had the names of Iranian agents in 38 countries and their lives were at risk.
Iran purportedly responds by blocking the Strait of Hormuz, through which the world receives a third of its oil. The players representing the US government then slap down a 24-hour ultimatum for Iran to halt its nuclear program or else face the destruction of all its facilities, along with the entire Iranian military deployment in the Persian Gulf.
Tehran fails to comply and the US and Iran are at war.
This scenario implicitly made the point that since the US election was only weeks off and America would most likely go to war with Iran next year anyway, Israel had no need to jump the gun before November, 2012.
This was most likely the answer Israel’s Defense Minister Ehud Barak received too when he met with Chicago Mayor and Obama’s former chief of staff Rahm Emanuel for lunch at City Hall Thursday, Sept. 20.

The only known result of their conversation was a gift by the mayor to the minister of a six-pack of Chicago’s famous Goose Island 312 beer. Whether Barak shared it with Netanyahu and whether the beer was to their taste was not revealed.
Apart from this message, the Saban Institute war game notably hinged on two basic premises while skipping a third.

The first was that American and Iranian leaders both acted on wrong strategic and intelligence assessments of the other’s intentions and therefore miscalculated each other’s responses. Had they realized this, the war might have been avoided.

A second working assumption was that Iran had scattered half of its stocked enriched uranium in dozens of places across the country to reduce their vulnerability to attack, while keeping the other half in one place. This was taken to signal qualified Iranian willingness for a diplomatic resolution of its controversy with the United States.
Where the Saban war game erred was in leaving the Syrian factor out of the equation.
debkafile’s military sources point out that Syrian President Bashar Assad is using the same strategy as Iran for his chemical and biological arsenal. Half has been distributed and placed in the care of an estimated 20 Syrian army units; the other half reposes at fixed storage sites – a device indicating to Washington and Moscow that he is open to negotiating an end to the war before deciding to loose his weapons of mass destruction against Syrian rebels.

The Washington think tank’s war game fails to take into account that Iranian and Syrian steps are so closely synchronized that Syrian already looms large as the most likely venue for the approaching core event of a conflict pitting the US and Israel against Iran. Syria and Iran have become almost interchangeable against their shared foes.
Elite units of Iran’s al Qods, the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) external arm, are being airlifted into Syria and Lebanon, as the IRGC chief Gen. Ali Jafari, disclosed Sunday, Sept. 16. I

Iranian troops are now deployed on Israel’s northern and eastern borders.
Israel responded Wednesday, Sept. 19, with a snap military exercise, the largest the IDF has staged in many years, on its borders with Syria and Lebanon.
Not all the Israeli units taking part in the drill returned to home basewhen the drill was over. Substantial military strength, estimated at two divisions, is therefore building up and facing the Iranian troops across the border in Syria and Lebanon.

Indeed, that same Wednesday saw more than one telling event in the same incendiary context:  Iran’s foreign minister Ali Akbar Salehi paid an unscheduled visit to Damascus for talks with Assad on his way home from a meeting in Cairo with Egyptian, Turkish and Iraqi foreign ministers. They gathered on the initiative of Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi for another go at resolving the Syrian disaster. Saudi Arabia which is deeply committed to backing the rebels was pointedly absent.
Iran played ball with Egypt for the purpose of lining up its diplomatic ducks for the war to come by putting together a potential Muslim bloc to stand against the US-Israel-Arab grouping. Tehran is looking ahead to the inevitable propsect of peace negotiations taking off amid the fury of war – or as soon as it ends.
Shortly after the Israeli drill, US intelligence officials accused Iran of “secretly transporting large quantities of weapons and military personnel, almost daily, under the cover of civilian aircraft – via Iraqi airspace – to aid embattled Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.”

The accent on “almost daily” confirmed that a major buildup of Iranian military strength is in progress in Syria. Typically, Iran is disguising its actions by using civilian aircraft.

As Israel’s Threat to Bomb Iran Looms, U.S. Vows to Keep Aircraft Carrier Strike Group in Persian Gulf | PBS

September 22, 2012

As Israel’s Threat to Bomb Iran Looms, U.S. Vows to Keep Aircraft Carrier Strike Group in Persian Gulf | PBS NewsHour.

By: Daniel Sagalyn

USS ENTERPRISE, North Arabian Sea | The U.S. Navy is vowing to keep commercial sea lanes open in the international waters off Iran, despite a view among a small number of critics that Washington’s military muscle may inadvertently stoke tensions with Tehran in the event of a crisis.

Israel has threatened to bomb Iranian nuclear facilities if that nation’s uranium enrichment and other activities suspected of building an atomic weapon do not abate.

In response to the saber rattling, Iran has threatened to mine one of the most important waterways in the world, the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20 percent of the world’s oil flows.

Along with coalition partners, the United States this week launched the largest ever military exercise to rehearse finding and destroying sea mines. U.S. brass has said it will continue to maintain an aircraft carrier strike group in the Persian Gulf. There also is a second carrier strike group in the Middle East located in the Arabian Sea.

But some observers say that in the event of a crisis — such as an Israeli attack on Iran — maintaining an aircraft carrier off the shores of Iran in the confined and crowded Gulf could make matters worse.

“Putting vulnerable carriers in the Persian Gulf is not a good idea, as it would facilitate crisis instability, not crisis stability,” said John Mearsheimer of the University of Chicago. “They are just too vulnerable, and thus having them in the Persian Gulf would create powerful incentives for us to strike quickly at the Iranian military assets that threaten those carriers.”

Nonetheless, he said, “the U.S. would go to great lengths” to shut down immediately any war between Israel and Iran.

“I do not think we would join the attack. We do not want to fight another war in the Middle East, especially against Iran,” Mearsheimer said. “So we are not going to be looking for ways to bomb Iran or get ourselves involved in the fight. Indeed, we will be trying to do just the opposite. In that situation, you would definitely want the carriers outside the Persian Gulf.”

But U.S. Navy leaders reject the notion that deploying these floating armadas can have any negative consequences.

Rear Adm. Walter Carter, commander of the Enterprise Carrier Strike Group, said an aircraft carrier in the Persian Gulf would not make matters worse in the event of a shooting war between Israel and Iran.

“I would tell you it’s the opposite,” he said. “What we bring here is not a mission of instability. We bring here a mission of stability and security.”

The one-star admiral stressed that the ongoing drill to find and destroy mines is purely a defensive exercise.

“Make no mistake about it,” Carter said, “we are here to make sure that the global communication line” that supports free trade in and out of the region remains open.

The aircraft carrier plays an important support function in hunting mines, he insisted.

“There [are] really three aspects of anything that has to do with mines that are out there: There is the air aspect, there is a surface aspect. And then there is an explosive ordnance disposal aspect,” Carter said. “So obviously a carrier strike group, with all the capabilities that we bring, we bring all those pieces to bear.”

When asked what specifically the carrier would do in the exercise, which is receiving intense media attention, Carter responded, “Well, just like anything, it would be mostly about find, fix, finish. How you would basically locate [mines], and then of course there is a security aspect as well (meaning protecting the mine hunting ships from attack). But again without getting into any details, we are here in a support role.”

Bahrain, where the U.S. Naval 5th fleet is based, appreciates the U.S. military’s presence in the region and is particularly concerned about the spillover of radiation from any Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities, according to Fawaz bin Mohammed Al Khalifa, president of Manama’s Information Affairs Ministry.

“This exercise sends assurance” to nations that depend on Middle Eastern oil, including Japan and China, he said.

PBS NewsHour deputy foreign affairs and defense editor Daniel Sagalyn is in the Persian Gulf covering the International Mine Countermeasures Exercise, which runs Sept. 16-27.

MK Danny Danon: We Have the Military Capability to Make Sure Iran Does not Become Nuclear

September 22, 2012

MK Danny Danon: We Have the Military Capability to Make Sure Iran Does not Become Nuclear (INTERVIEW Part 3) | Jewish & Israel News Algemeiner.com.

Israeli MK and Deputy Knesset Speaker Danny Danon. Photo: World Likud.

One of Israel’s rising political stars, MK Danny Danon is Deputy Speaker of the Knesset and a member of  Prime Minister Netanyahu’s governing Likud party. Visiting the United States to promote his newly published book, Israel: The Will to Prevail, published by Palgrave Macmillan, Danon sat down with The Algemeiner to discuss an array of pressing issues. Subjects covered include President Obama’s relationship with Israel, the Iranian nuclear threat and possible steps that Israel might take, and the recent killing of the U.S. Ambassador to Libya in a violent Islamist attack on the country’s U.S. consulate.

Below is the third installment of the interview focused on the Iranian nuclear threat and Israel’s efforts to prevent Iran from achieving nuclear armament. Part 1 can be read here, and part 2 can be read here.

AJ:  Do you think it’s likely that Israel will take military action against Iran?

DD: Yes, it’s an option.  We’re getting ready for that.  We’re preparing on one hand the military for that, and on the other hand the home front, which is harder because there will be retaliation, not only from Iran but from Hezbollah and Hamas. So it means that it will be unpleasant for a few weeks in Israel.  But if we look at the other option to sit idly by and not do anything, to allow Iran to become nuclear – I don’t think it’s an option.

AJ: There’s a lot of discussion here in the United States about Israel drawing America into a war.  What does Israel want from the United States?

DD: We are asking for the moral decision of President Obama.  I think when you have to identify right and wrong, we expect for Obama to say ‘We support Israel.  They’re the good guys in this game.’ Then you can actually discuss what it means. It can be certain kinds of missiles.  It can be support in the U.N.  You can discuss it among allies.

But I think what we see today is that we don’t even get this kind of moral support from the United States.

AJ:  Has Israel ever implied or asked the United States to take military action on its own?

DD: No, but we do think it should be a joint effort, that it shouldn’t only be a war of Jews against Iran.  It should be a joint effort of the Western societies, including the United States of America.  And the threat is not only on Israel; it’s a threat to the American people, as well.

AJ: There’s a lot of different talk about a timeline, a time frame.  Where do you think things are holding at the moment?  It seems like the clock keeps changing, the red line keeps moving.  How much time do you think there is?

DD: We can argue about the month, but let’s put it this way – in 2013 it will be the end game.  We will get to the point where we have to take action, so even if the people in the U.S. Army are right and we are wrong, we are not talking about years.  We are talking about months. If it will not be November, it will be May of next year.  Still you need to take action, and I don’t see the willingness to confront the reality here in the U.S.

AJ:  There’s been some recent talk here from the administration that Israel doesn’t have the capability to do that much damage at all.  Do you think there’s any truth to that?

DD: First of all, let’s put the facts on the ground.  The U.S. has much more capability than Israel.  By all means – the special missiles, the bunker buster missiles that you have, special missiles that the U.S. has that Israel doesn’t.  It will be much easier and much more effective if the U.S. would join the effort.  But if nobody’s there, we do have the capability.  I can’t go into specifics, but we have the military capability to make sure Iran does not become nuclear.

AJ:  To completely neutralize or only to delay?

DD: Well, you know, there’s no 100 percent in this decision, but for sure to delay and maybe even to completely destroy its capability.

AJ:  Comparing to what Syria had in 2007, how many times bigger would you say Iran’s nuclear infrastructure is?

DD: It’s much, much bigger.  It’s spread in many locations.  We’re not talking about an in-and-out operation like we did in 1981 with the Osirak reactor in Iraq. It’s a different story, and that makes it much more complex. Refueling, ammunition, it’s much harder for Israel rather than if the U.S. would be involved in such an attack.

AJ: Do you think Israel might use an EMP warhead in an attack like this?

DD: I don’t know.  First we need to make the decision, and then we will let the army recommend about how to achieve the decision.

Israel is America’s Shield

September 22, 2012

Israel is America’s Shield – Ken Blackwell – Page 1.

By Ken Blackwell

 

9/22/2012

 

 Editor’s Note: This column was coauthored by Bob Morrison.

 

We are used to hearing that America defends Israel. President Obama assures Israel that he has their back. That may be convincing talk in the `hood, but it rings hollow from this invertebrate administration to talk about anyone’s back. Actually, we may have all that backward. It may well be that Israel that is defending us. Israel may yet prove America’s Shield.

 

All the usual chin-pullers and deep thinkers are warning of the parade of horribles that will descend on the world if Israel strikes Iran to prevent the mullahs from getting nuclear weapons. Why, says Georgetown University think tanker Anthony Cordesman, “a strike by Israel will give rise to regional instability and conflict as well as terrorism.”

 

What else, Dr. Cordesman, do we see daily in that region? Our TV sets seem to have “Mideast Turmoil” painted on their screens. Instability? Where is the stability? Conflict? What else does the region export but conflict? Terrorism? Sen. John McCain tries to assure us that the young Egyptians in Tahrir Square all idolize Mark Zuckerberg. The truth is Mark Zuckerberg, or anyone else who is Jewish, could not last a day in Tahrir Square today.

 

We have been fed a line of rubbish by the talking heads and Mideast “experts” for twenty years. Let’s start with legitimizing the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO). The idea that Yasser Arafat or Mahmoud Abbas could ever reform and behave like true democrats was always an illusion. They are terrorists plain and simple. Arafat even invented airline hijacking for terror purposes. It did not matter that he got a Nobel Peace Prize, or that he was welcomed to the White House by Bill Clinton. He was always a mass murderer.

 

And the Saudis? They are our special friends, are they not? President Obama even bowed to the Saudi King Abdullah in London. Well, we can find evidence of their friendship in the official 9/11 Commission Report. There on page 122 we learn that then-Vice President Al Gore went to Saudi Arabia in 1998 to ask then-Crown Prince Abdullah for access to Madani al-Tayyib. The Saudis were holding this finance director for al Qaeda and we wanted to talk to him. Madani al-Tayyib was said to have been the key figure who had to approve every al Qaeda expenditure over $1,000. The report deadpans the next line. The United States never obtained access to Tayyib. This man might have unraveled the entire attack on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, if only our friends the Saudis had let us at him. They declined. With friends like the Saudis, who needs enemies?

 

Instead of more of this tripe from experts who should long ago have been discredited and disregarded, we recommend reading Columnist David P. Goldman in Asia Times.

 

Writing as “Spengler” Goldman lays out the case for what will happen if Israel does not strike the Iranians. It is a far more realistic and compelling picture than the “save Mideast stability” crowd offers.

 

Goldman warns that without an Israeli strike, we will likely see:

 

 

A nuclear-armed Iran;

 

 

Iraq’s continued drift towards alliance with Iran; An overtly hostile regime in Egypt, where the Muslim Brotherhood government will lean on jihadist elements to divert attention from the country’s economic collapse; An Egyptian war with Libya for oil and with Sudan for water; A radical Sunni regime controlling most of Syria, facing off an Iran-allied Alawistan ensconced in the coastal mountains; A de facto or de jure Muslim Brotherhood takeover of the Kingdom of Jordan; A campaign of subversion against the Saudi monarchy by Iran through Shi’ites in Eastern Province and by the Muslim Brotherhood internally; A weakened and perhaps imploding Turkey struggling with its Kurdish population and the emergence of Syrian Kurds as a wild card; A Taliban-dominated Afghanistan; and Radicalized Islamic regimes in Libya and Tunisia.

 

Suddenly, the case for Israeli action begins to look a lot more persuasive than the tired old “stability” arguments.

 

Goldman writes that Israeli action may actually slow America’s slide into impotence. Whoever wins the presidential election here, it seems no military action against Iran by the U.S. would be possible in the next 4-6 months, and by then it could be too late.

 

Once before, from May to August 1940, America’s fate was being decided “over there.” In the Cabinet War Rooms in London during those fateful days, Winston Churchill made the decision not to negotiate with mass murderers, not to give in. Despite being bombed on a daily basis, Churchill and his War Cabinet colleagues stood firm–and in that process, this Dreadnought Democracy was America’s Shield. Churchill’s courage protected us, too.

 

Before Osama bin Laden ever dreamed of flaming towers collapsing in Manhattan, Adolf Hitler dreamed the same dream. He even took steps to equip Nazi suicide bombers, to bring about the destruction of what he then regarded as a Jewish Citadel. We can thank God that Winston Churchill stood between Hitler and us. And we will thank God if Benjamin Netanyahu does the same thing for us now.

 

Don’t wait, Israel: Shield America. Strike Iran’s nuclear weapons program before it’s too late for all of us.

 

 

Ken Blackwell

Ken Blackwell, a contributing editor at Townhall.com, is a senior fellow at the Family Research Council and the American Civil Rights Union and is on the board of the Becket Fund for Religious Liberty. He is the co-author of the new bestseller The Blueprint: Obama’s Plan to Subvert the Constitution and Build an Imperial Presidency, on sale in bookstores everywhere..

From the Border to the Litani River

September 22, 2012

From the Border to the Litani River.

In the six years since the Second Lebanon War, Hezbollah has established four new lines. What is this new ground defense plan comprised of, and what challenge does it pose?
IDF soldiers in the Second Lebanon War (Photo: AP)
IDF soldiers in the Second Lebanon War (Photo: AP)

The heads of Hezbollah called the Second Lebanon War “a godly victory.” From their perspective, the organization survived approximately 34 days against one of the best and strongest militaries in the world. It continued launching rockets towards the Israeli homefront from the first day of the war until its end. Above all else, it prevailed.

Following the war, a lengthy process of drawing conclusions began within Hezbollah, as those in the organization knew that not everything worked. The organization suffered heavy losses during face-to-face combat with the IDF, experienced unforgivable intelligence incursions, found it difficult to handle Israel’s total air superiority, and failed to effectively express its arsenal of obstacles on the ground. At the start of the war, Hezbollah had an impressive arsenal of ground defense measures that included charges, mines, and well-concealed hole traps in the field.

Their potential was large and destructive. Many charges were laid in various places, including traps in open areas, in traffic lanes, and in villages. They also prepared numerous, concealed hole traps in key positions and in bottlenecks. However, due to the absence of a professional operational rationale based on field analysis that combined the defensive layouts, these traps were not actually armed or operated. In fact, without integrating these measures into an orderly ground defense plan, they were not able to express their available measures in combat. As such, the IDF was able to circumvent these obstacles.

In the six years after the war, Hezbollah has undergone a profound change in their ground readiness vis-à-vis the IDF. What is this change, and what challenge will it pose for the IDF in the event of another war? In order to assess this, we must understand Hezbollah’s operational perception, which is derived from a diagnosis of the enemy’s weaknesses as compared to the relative advantages of the organization. What is clear is that Hezbollah’s new engineering perception is integrated into a comprehensive and updated operational doctrine.

 

Preparing for a Maneuver
Hezbollah estimates that in the next conflict, the IDF will carry out a faster and more significant maneuver than in 2006. This perception, along with the limitations imposed on the organization after the Second Lebanon War, resulted in two main changes. Hezbollah transitioned from open areas (including underground bunkers near the border with Israel, nicknamed “natural reserves” by the IDF) to villages and urban areas, while simultaneously constructing lines of defense from the border up to their various assets set deep in Lebanon.

Hezbollah wants to exhaust Israel through “blood and economics.” This means preserving the ability to launch rockets towards Israel’s homefront while exacting a toll in lives and halting the economy. In order to meet this goal, the organization must be able to protect its launch sites at all times. The transition from villages to cities preserves the launch sites better than before. As such, Hezbollah shifted its main headquarters from the “nature reservations” in open areas to fortified underground hideouts within the compounds of cities and villages.

 

Four Lines of Defense
Hezbollah’s lines of defense are meant to preserve their primary assets: the heads of the organization, its headquarters, and its capability to launch projectiles at Israel’s homefront. For this purpose, they established four primary lines.

The first line, in close proximity to the international border, is for collecting intelligence within the villages and for deterrence; it is not meant to block IDF forces.

The second line protects the expanses near villages where the headquarters and the launch sites are located. This line contains engineering obstacles on the axes, while the outskirts of the villages are controlled with antitank and sniper fire. This line also contains underground systems intended for combat, command and control, and to transfer backup logistics to forces between the headquarters and various combat layouts.

The third line is located just outside the village, city, or compound, and its purpose is to protect assets when defense measures change according to the defense objective.

The fourth line (a major change Hezbollah made) is indicative of the organization’s operational perception. This line represents a combat expanse built from the north of the Litani River. It provides resistance for the more distant launch layouts, launch continuity, and an operational breathing space. The establishment of this expanse also addresses the possibility of the IDF vertically outflanking Hezbollah by sea or from the air, and supports the foremost lines of defense, especially from the perspective of troop morale.

The transition from open spaces to built-up areas allows Hezbollah to adjust its engineering obstacles better than in the previous war. They can now determine defense measures in every line and combat space, which are controlled in part by fire and observation. Some of the obstacles – mostly the ones in the road axes (charges and mines) – can be operated by advanced operating systems located at observation points.

Due to the nature of the guerrilla warfare that adopted Hezbollah, the organization is able to repeatedly lay charges along the same axes, thereby making it more difficult for the IDF to keep them “clean.” Furthermore, establishing the underground expanse in villages and cities provides the organization with numerous defense possibilities that utilize the advantages of the urban and rural expanse.

By developing the engineering threat, they create an area that is saturated with roadside explosive charges inside closely constructed expanses. In an attempt to guide the movement of IDF forces to necessary passages via embankments and construction waste, they conceal these charges and operate them from within the constructed expanse using various sophisticated operating systems.

The underground center within the constructed and thicket-laden areas is surrounded by advanced charges and has booby-trapped entrances. As part of Hezbollah’s defense tactics, some of the buildings are also booby-trapped and even serve to draw in IDF forces. In addition, a considerable part of the structures and launch points are properly camouflaged, as well as the tunnel openings and the underground center.

Many of the obstacles in the open and mountainous areas are positioned at key points and in vital passages that make it more difficult to circumvent the area. The mine-laying lines on and near axes, which emphasize the secondary defense expanse, are integrated and supervised in the new deployment. This allows for a much more professional operation than in 2006.

A Challenge for the IDF
Hezbollah cannot hide its new deployment, which is documented by numerous visible measures and even by the Lebanese and global media.
The field organization and the integration of the engineering capabilities pose an actual challenge to the IDF.

What is the engineering challenge? First, it is important to point out that the engineering obstacles create very complex areas for confrontations, even for professional forces (combat engineering battalions or engineering companies in the infantry brigades), and especially for forces that are not familiar with this field.
With regards to the professional engineering forces, challenges include the ability to identify charges in general and in crowded and constructed areas in particular, as well as the detection of concealed charges, including hole traps in traffic axes and in indispensable crossings.

Locating the underground center, even before it becomes a complex combat site, is a complicated and difficult engineering challenge, as is the destruction of charges and underground layouts. Dealing with an area strewn with explosive obstacles, such as mines and charges, demands that the engineering forces possess planning capabilities alongside an intelligent, professional combat duration.

The issue of axes and the need to keep them open and clear of charges, even with mines opened in a guerrilla combat environment, is a task of the highest importance. It is enough to recall the difficulty in opening the logistic axes in Lebanon in 2006, and this was before Hezbollah refined the threat.

With a multitude of engineering challenges expected at Hezbollah’s various defense lines, it is clear that things will be better if there are more engineering forces close to the maneuvering forces. Moreover, additional engineering forces will allow for a relatively quick maneuver that will narrow the friction between obstacles and charges.

The issue of engineering intelligence is a crucial one: the more the IDF prepares, the easier it will be to overcome obstacles. In addition, providing unique engineering capabilities to the ordinary engineering forces will allow for greater professional flexibility in operating the forces. Lastly, in the field of robotics, it is better if unmanned capabilities are improved and distributed more widely. In an environment saturated with explosive obstacles, and with emphasis on the crowded urban expanse, one of the only measures that will ensure professional capability, while considerably reducing casualties among IDF forces, are the “robots” and the various unmanned tools.

In all, the reorganization of the field, in combination with the various engineering obstacles, creates a significant challenge for IDF forces. It is clear that the next war will be characterized by combat in urban expanses with crowded structures and populaces. As a result, the engineering threat will only increase, since the constructed area plays into the hands of the defender, primarily in terms of engineering obstacles, which includes underground obstacles.

The ground maneuver will remain one of the IDF’s central operational principles against Hezbollah, as was declared by Major General Sami Turgeman, the commander of the IDF’s Ground Forces, during the International Fire Conference (May 21-24, 2012). As such, the IDF must prepare intensively in order to provide a proper response to the complex challenges that already exist in Lebanon, as well as for those to come in the future.