Archive for September 16, 2012

Dan Meridor: Netanyahu is not trying to push the US into a corner

September 16, 2012

Dan Meridor: Netanyahu is not trying to push the US into a corner | The Times of Israel.

Deputy prime minister is convinced that despite public disputes, Israel and the US are on the same page when it comes to Iran

September 16, 2012, 8:59 am 0
Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Intelligence and Atomic Energy Dan Meridor in his office, in April (photo credit Noam Moskowitz/ Flash90)

Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Intelligence and Atomic Energy Dan Meridor in his office, in April (photo credit

Responding to US Defense Secretary Leon Panetta’s Friday statement in Foreign Policy that Israel’s insistence that the US draw a “red line” would place the US in an untenable position, Deputy Prime Minister Dan Meridor denied Sunday that the prime minister was trying to push the US to take a position against its will, but said that it was important to show determination on the issue.

Despite the recent public dispute between Washington and Jerusalem over setting “red lines” for Tehran,  Meridor said in an interview to Israel Radio he is convinced that the Israeli and US governments are on the same side, and are both determined to prevent a nuclear-armed Iran.

“Conflicts between Washington and Jerusalem are not desirable, but occur from time to time,” said Meridor. “It’s preferable for all that differences be discussed behind closed doors, but in an open world like ours, sometimes things come out.”

Even as the war of words on Iran continued to make headlines on both sides of the Atlantic, most recently with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s interview on NBC, Meridor focused on the achievements of the two governments’ cooperation, citing the rigorous economic sanctions on Iran which he asserted has prevented Tehran from taking the final steps towards nuclear armament.

“I would not make light of President Obama’s assertion that he would not allow a nuclear armed Iran. If I was an Iranian leader, I would dwell on that from morning to night,” said Meridor, who is also Minister of Intelligence.

Meridor said that the campaign against Iran was of an “unprecedented scale with a huge risk to us and to the entire regional, and world, order,” and stressed that in dealing with the Iranian threat there have been successes as well as failures.

On one hand, because of its fear of the world’s response, Iran has not achieved a nuclear weapon, but on the other hand, it hasn’t stopped its attempts entirely either, said Meridor. He credited Netanyahu for bringing the issue to the forefront of world attention and added that the goal was to see Iran end its nuclear activities and fail to reach even the threshold stage of nuclear weapon development.

“An Iran that is a decision away from achieving nuclear weapons is also a nuclear-armed Iran,” said Meridor, referring to Obama’s assurance that the United States would not allow Iran to manufacture a nuclear weapon.

The US and Israel became embroiled in a standoff last week after first US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and then President Barack Obama both publicly said they would not set “red lines” on Iran’s nuclear program, beyond which military action would be used.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had called for such lines as a way of calming Israeli fears over Iran’s drive toward a nuclear weapon.

After Clinton’s comments, Netanyahu rebuked Washington, saying a country that would not set “red lines” had no right telling Israel not to take military action itself.

On Friday, Panetta seemed to admonish Netanyahu over his attempt to push the US into committing to an ultimatum, saying that was not how the real world works.

“What [leaders] have are facts that are presented to them about what a country is up to, and then they weigh what kind of action is needed to be taken in order to deal with that situation,” he said. “I mean, that’s the real world. ‘Red lines’ are kind of political arguments that are used to try to put people in a corner.”

The US is insistent that it is committed to Israel’s security, even without going along with Netanyahu’s demands.

On Friday, Obama told a group of rabbis that there was no distance between Washington and Jerusalem on the Iranian issue.

Netanyahu doesn’t mince words when ‘Israel’s future is at stake’

September 16, 2012

Israel Hayom | Netanyahu doesn’t mince words when ‘Israel’s future is at stake’.

On the eve of what could be Israel’s most dramatic year yet, the prime minister puts the cards on the table in the clearest way possible: “I don’t say things in a blunt way, but in an honest way. I tell the truth. I could make nice and word things delicately, but our existence is at stake.”; “The only thing guiding me is not the U.S. elections but the centrifuges in Iran. It is not my fault that the centrifuges aren’t more considerate of the Americans’ political timetable.”

Shlomo Cesana and Hezi Sternlicht
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu tells it like it is to Israel Hayom.

|

Photo credit: Maya Baumel Birger

Netanyahu: Iran Puts Zealotry Above Survival

September 16, 2012

Netanyahu: Iran Puts Zealotry Above Survival – Defense/Security – News – Israel National News.

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu says Iran’s leaders are guided by “unbelievable fanaticism” and can’t have nuclear weapons.

 

By Elad Benari

First Publish: 9/16/2012, 5:43 AM
 Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu
AFP/Pool/File

 

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu said on Saturday that Iran’s leaders are guided by “unbelievable fanaticism.”

 

Netanyahu’s comments, quoted by AFP, were made as part of an interview to be aired on NBC television’s “Meet the Press” on Sunday. Parts of the interview were made available on Saturday.

 

“I think Iran is very different. They put their zealotry above their survival. They have suicide bombers all over the place. I wouldn’t rely on their rationality,” Netanyahu said, suggesting Iran cannot be contained in the same way as the Soviet Union during the Cold War.

 

He added, “Since the advent of nuclear weapons, you have countries that had access to nuclear weapons who always made a careful calculation of cost and benefit. But Iran is guided by a leadership with an unbelievable fanaticism.”

 

Netanyahu made a link between Iran’s hardline leadership and the wave of violent protests against U.S. and other Western diplomatic posts around the world triggered by an amateur Internet film made in the United States that denigrates Islam and its Prophet Mohammed.

 

“It’s the same fanaticism that you see storming your embassies today. You want these fanatics to have nuclear weapons?” he asked.

 

Netanyahu said that critics who argue that taking action against Iran’s nuclear program was “a lot worse” than a nuclear-armed Tehran, or that an Iran with nuclear weapons would stabilize the Middle East, “have set a new standard for human stupidity.”

 

The comments come amid reports that U.S. President Barack Obama this week rejected an appeal by Netanyahu to spell out a specific “red line” that Iran could not cross in its nuclear program. Obama rejected the idea during a phone conversation with Netanyahu on Tuesday.

 

The telephone conversation came after a tense day between the sides. It began with comments by Netanyahu that the Obama administration had no “moral right” to restrain Israel from taking military action on its own if it refused to put limits on Iran. It continued with reports that the White House had rebuffed a request by Netanyahu’s office for a meeting with Obama during the meeting of the United Nations General Assembly in New York this month. The White House denied those reports, saying the two were simple not in New York at the same time.

U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta joined Obama on the weekend and dismissed Netanyahu’s “red line” demand, saying that red lines “are kind of political arguments that are used to try to put people in a corner.

As Israel eyes Iran and anti-US protests flare, Middle East presents frightening prospects – Telegraph

September 16, 2012

As Israel eyes Iran and anti-US protests flare, Middle East presents frightening prospects – Telegraph.

Anti-US riots show why President Barack Obama’s support for the Arab Spring may yet backfire, especially if Israel intervenes against Iran, says Richard Spencer.

As Israel eyes Iran and anti-US protests flare, Middle East presents frightening prospects

The US is concerned at the ambiguous response of the new government in Egypt, where the police failed to protect their embassy Photo: Amr Abdallah Dalsh/REUTERS

When President Barack Obama decided to support the Arab Spring last year, it was as if a bomb disposal expert had decided to conduct a controlled explosion on a clearly unstable device without knowing quite what was inside.

He must have known there would be flames, and casualties, but even as it burns, the final damage remains impossible to guess at.

The riots spreading across the Muslim world in protest at a crude film mocking the Prophet Mohammed are in a way the least of his problems: the “known unknowns”, as the former US defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld might say.

Far more frightening are the prospects of former allies, like Egypt, turning hostile; of anti-American Islamist groups seizing power or causing mayhem in war-torn countries like Syria.

Or of “The Big One” – an attack on Iran by Israel prompting a violent response by Tehran and its proxies, with ordinary Muslims across the region incensed at another military intervention in the Middle East.

Particularly since 9/11, any perceived offence to Islam has been met with protests. In the wake of the publication in a Danish newspaper of cartoons showing the Prophet in 2005, there were deaths in Colonel Gaddafi’s Libya and Mohammed Karzai’s Afghanistan, in Nigeria and Lebanon.

This time, the US is concerned at the ambiguous response of the new government in Egypt, where the failure by police to protect the embassy in Cairo was made worse by a slow personal reaction from President Mohammed Morsi.

His Muslim Brotherhood was vitriolic in its criticism of the US for not having somehow stopped the film being shown, while Mr Morsi’s condemnation of the embassy attack was half-hearted.

But Egypt’s ambiguity is also normal. Few Middle Eastern governments have the courage to stand up to their Islamist elements when they think they have public opinion on their side.

The US is equally wary about the Egyptian government’s improving relations with Iran, with which it had a frosty relationship under Mr Morsi’s deposed predecessor, Hosni Mubarak. Hence Mr Obama’s equivocal response when asked in a recent interview whether the new regime in Cairo was an ally or an enemy. He replied simply that it was “new and trying to find its way”.

Mr Morsi does not want to offend Washington yet. He is, after all, seeking debt forgiveness and is also still in recipient of two billion US dollars a year in military aid. But he has also extended a hand, not of friendship perhaps but at least of co-operation, to Iran, by attending a recent meeting of the Non-Aligned Movement there and inviting Tehran to join talks on the future of Syria.

Expressions of alarm at this development – politely expressed as doubts as to whether Iran can play a “constructive role” over Syria – have already started to emanate from Western foreign ministries.

Governments across the Arab world are also nervous at what the events of the last 18 months have unleased, in particular the danger that a sectarian conflict in Syria could get out of hand. The likes of Saudi Arabia also worry that pro-democracy uprisings will not stop at dictatorships but spread to monarchies.

Such fears make America’s already difficult calculations over Iran almost impossible.

Two years ago, American allies like Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, secure in their control over their people and wealthy beyond even their dreams due to sky-high oil prices, saw a rising Iran as their only threat.

While their public postures focused on their hostility to Israel, their private demands, memorably revealed by Wikileaks, were for “the head of the snake” to be cut off in Iran. It seemed to ensure that if America, or Israel, did attack Iran, America’s Middle Eastern front line in the Gulf would be solid in its support.

Now, as Iran behaves like a wounded bear over its likely loss of its Syrian friend, the Sunni world is suddenly nervous. But even so, it is clear they think that now is not the time to throw another western military intervention into the mix.

And nor do their backers – which is why a succession of envoys have been sent by Western leaders, including David Cameron, begging Benjamin Netanyahu to lay off.

It is less than two months to the US election. The forces of anti-Americanism have a well-tuned instinct for the weaknesses imposed by the American electoral cycle, and it may be no coincidence that the risk President Obama took 18 months ago in backing the Arab Spring is coming back to haunt him right now.

He would say, probably rightly, that he had no other option than his semi-controlled explosion. But as embassies burn and Israel weighs its options, the fact that it had a well-timed fuse may prove difficult for him.

Armada of British naval power massing in the Gulf as Israel prepares an Iran strike – Telegraph

September 16, 2012

Armada of British naval power massing in the Gulf as Israel prepares an Iran strike – Telegraph.

An armada of US and British naval power is massing in the Persian Gulf in the belief that Israel is considering a pre-emptive strike against Iran’s covert nuclear weapons programme.

Armada of British naval power massing in the Gulf as Israel prepares an Iran strike

The Strait of Hormuz is only 21 miles wide at its narrowest point  Photo: ALAMY

Battleships, aircraft carriers, minesweepers and submarines from 25 nations are converging on the strategically important Strait of Hormuz in an unprecedented show of force as Israel and Iran move towards the brink of war.

Western leaders are convinced that Iran will retaliate to any attack by attempting to mine or blockade the shipping lane through which passes around 18 million barrels of oil every day, approximately 35 per cent of the world’s petroleum traded by sea.

A blockade would have a catastrophic effect on the fragile economies of Britain, Europe the United States and Japan, all of which rely heavily on oil and gas supplies from the Gulf.

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most congested international waterways. It is only 21 miles wide at its narrowest point and is bordered by the Iranian coast to the north and the United Arab Emirates to the south.

In preparation for any pre-emptive or retaliatory action by Iran, warships from more than 25 countries, including the United States, Britain, France, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, will today begin an annual 12-day exercise.

The war games are the largest ever undertaken in the region.

They will practise tactics in how to breach an Iranian blockade of the strait and the force will also undertake counter-mining drills.

The multi-national naval force in the Gulf includes three US Nimitz class carrier groups, each of which has more aircraft than the entire complement of the Iranian air force.

The carriers are supported by at least 12 battleships, including ballistic missile cruisers, frigates, destroyers and assault ships carrying thousand of US Marines and special forces.

The British component consists of four British minesweepers and the Royal Fleet Auxiliary Cardigan Bay, a logistics vessel. HMS Diamond, a brand-new £1billion Type 45 destroyer, one of the most powerful ships in the British fleet, will also be operating in the region.

In addition, commanders will also simulate destroying Iranian combat jets, ships and coastal missile batteries.

In the event of war, the main threat to the multi-national force will come from the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps navy, which is expected to adopt an “access-denial” strategy in the wake of an attack, by directly targeting US warships, attacking merchant shipping and mining vital maritime chokepoints in the Persian Gulf.

Defence sources say that although Iran’s capability may not be technologically sophisticated, it could deliver a series of lethal blows against British and US ships using mini-subs, fast attack boats, mines and shore-based anti-ship missile batteries.

Next month, Iran will stage massive military manoeuvres of its own, to show that it is prepared to defend its nuclear installations against the threat of aerial bombardment.

The exercise is being showcased as the biggest air defence war game in the Islamic Republic’s history, and will be its most visible response yet to the prospect of an Israeli military strike.

Using surface-to-air missiles, unmanned drones and state-of-the-art radar, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards and air force will combine to test the defences of 3,600 sensitive locations throughout the country, including oil refineries and uranium enrichment facilities.

Brigadier General Farzad Esmaili, commander of the Khatam al-Anbiya air defence base, told a conference this month that the manoeuvres would “identify vulnerabilities, try out new tactics and practise old ones”.

At the same time as the Western manoeuvres in the Gulf, the British Response Task Forces Group — which includes the carrier HMS Illustrious, equipped with Apache attack helicopters, along with the French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle – will be conducting a naval exercise in the eastern Mediterranean. The task force could easily be diverted to the Gulf region via the Suez Canal within a week of being ordered to do so.

The main naval exercise comes as President Barack Obama is scheduled to meet Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, today to discuss the Iranian crisis.

Many within the Obama administration believe that Israel will launch a pre-emptive strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities before the US presidential elections, an act which would signal the failure of one of Washington’s key foreign policy objectives.

Both Downing Street and Washington hope that the show of force will demonstrate to Iran that Nato and the West will not allow President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the Iranian leader, to develop a nuclear armoury or close Hormuz.

Sir John Sawers, the head of MI6, the Secret Intelligence Service, reportedly met the Israeli prime minister and Ehud Barak, his defence secretary, two weeks ago in an attempt to avert military action against Iran.

But just last week Mr Netanyahu signalled that time for a negotiated settlement was running out when he said: “The world tells Israel ‘Wait, there’s still time.’ And I say, ‘Wait for what? Wait until when?’

“Those in the international community who refuse to put red lines before Iran don’t have a moral right to place a red light before Israel.”

The crisis hinges on Iran’s nuclear enrichment programme, which Israel believes is designed to build an atomic weapon. Tehran has long argued that the programme is for civil use only and says it has no plans to an build a nuclear bomb, but that claim has been disputed by the West, with even the head of MI6 stating that the Islamic Republic is on course to develop atomic weapons by 2014.

The Strait of Hormuz has long been disputed territory, with the Iranians claiming control of the region and the entire Persian Gulf.

Rear Admiral Ali Fadavi of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps recently boasted that “any plots of enemies” would be foiled and a heavy price exacted, adding: “We determine the rules of military conflict in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.”

But Leon Panetta, the US defence secretary, warned that Iranian attempts to exercise control over the Strait of Hormuz could be met with force.

He said: “The Iranians need to understand that the United States and the international community are going to hold them directly responsible for any disruption of shipping in that region — by Iran or, for that matter, by its surrogates.”

Mr Panetta said that the United States was “fully prepared for all contingencies” and added: “We’ve invested in capabilities to ensure that the Iranian attempt to close down shipping in the Gulf is something that we are going to be able to defeat if they make that decision.”

That announcement was supported by Philip Hammond, the Defence Secretary, who added: “We are determined to work as part of the international community effort to ensure freedom of passage in the international waters of the Strait of Hormuz.”

One defence source told The Sunday Telegraph last night: “If it came to war, there would be carnage. The Iranian casualties would be huge but they would be able to inflict severe blows against the US and British.

“The Iranian Republican Guard are well versed in asymmetrical warfare and would use swarm attacks to sink or seriously damage ships. This is a conflict nobody wants, but the rhetoric from Israel is unrelenting.”