Archive for April 15, 2012

On nuclear talks, one step sideways, two steps back

April 15, 2012

Israel Hayom | On nuclear talks, one step sideways, two steps back.

Iran and the P5+1 are presenting the world with a new approach – succeeding in negotiations without making progress • The six powers delighted in “new initiatives” • The problem is that Iran rejected the same initiatives two years ago.

Boaz Bismuth, Israel Hayom Correspondent, Istanbul

 

EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton and Iran’s chief nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili.

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Photo credit: AP

A strange meeting took place in Istanbul on Saturday. Both sides to the renewed nuclear talks between Iran and the major world powers tried to present a new concept: succeeding in negotiations without making any progress. Under these circumstances, it came as no real shock to anyone that the big achievement coming out of the talks was the general agreement that there is even an issue to discuss, and there is also a date and a venue for the next round: May 23, in Baghdad.

The talks between Iran and the five world powers (Russia, China, the U.S., Britain, France plus Germany), were “constructive and useful,” E.U. foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton announced on Saturday.

“We have agreed that the nonproliferation treaty forms a key basis for what must be serious engagement to ensure all the obligations under the treaty are met by Iran while fully respecting Iran’s right to the peaceful use of nuclear energy,” she said. “We expect that subsequent meetings will lead to concrete steps toward a comprehensive negotiated solution which restores international confidence in the exclusively peaceful nature of the Iranian nuclear program.”

While the six powers communicated their stance, Iran gained precisely what it was after: time. It is no wonder that Iran’s leaders were all smiles following the meeting. “We didn’t expect to be received in this way,” said one member of the delegation from Tehran. “We didn’t think that the world powers would display such a positive attitude.”

He added that the Western delegations were enthused by the fatwa (Islamic decree) issued by Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei against nuclear weapons, calling it an example for other nations. The head of the Iranian delegation, Saeed Jalili, also presented the meeting as a big achievement, telling reporters that the West understood that “for the Iranian people the language of threats and pressure doesn’t work.”

The nuclear talks between Iran and the West resumed after a 15-month hiatus. Iran promised “new initiatives” and the world powers tried to persuade Iran to accept Western demands: Halt uranium enrichment to 20 percent, decommission the underground Fordo nuclear facility and allow impromptu International Atomic Energy Agency inspections at suspected nuclear sites.

On the eve of the talks, Ashton met with Jalili at the Iranian consulate in Istanbul, and the two later dined together. That same evening, Jalili’s second-in-command met with the heads of the Russian and Chinese delegations, both of whom oppose imposing further sanctions on the Islamic Republic. On the other hand, according to French news agency AFP, the Iranian delegation “spurned a request from their U.S. counterparts for what would have been a rare bilateral meeting on the sidelines in Istanbul.”

On Saturday morning, the Iranian delegation arrived at the Istanbul convention center. Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu smiled from ear to ear when he shook Jalili’s hand, following a private meeting between them the previous night. But in fact, the Turks are furious at the Iranians, who asked to relocate the second round of talks from Istanbul to Baghdad.

During a break in the talks, a Western diplomat said that the “new” Iranian initiative was to swap the uranium enriched to 20% in its possession for internationally supervised nuclear fuel. Iran even offered to hand the uranium it has enriched to 3.5% over to Russia and France to be turned into nuclear fuel. The problem is that this very initiative includes the same propositions Iran itself rejected two years ago.

In any case, in light of the Iranians’ euphoria, one of the heads of the European delegations sought to dampen the enthusiasm. “The Iranians will act as though they are on top, but they forget that they are not in a normal situation – the burden of proof is on them,” one European diplomat told Israel Hayom. “They are playing for time, but this time there are debilitating sanctions in place.”

The talks with Iran

April 15, 2012

Israel Hayom | The talks with Iran.

The talks with Iran

Elliott Abrams is a senior fellow for Middle East Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. This piece is reprinted with permission and can be found on Abrams’ blog “Pressure Points” here.

Happy talk is one of the great concerns we should all have about the talks with Iran in Istanbul, which just concluded with an agreement to meet again on May 23 in Baghdad.

What happened in Istanbul? Judging from the account in The New York Times, not much. The EU’s Lady Catherine Ashton says the talks were “useful and constructive,” but there is no real reason to believe this. The Times continues:

“The decision to meet again appeared to reflect what European and American officials saw as a serious commitment from Iran to negotiate. However the initial statements from the delegates after the talks ended did not suggest that any concrete proposals or confidence-building measures had been made or agreed to.”

Right. In fact, the problem is made even more obvious in this comment:

“I don’t think they would come if they weren’t serious,” one Western diplomat said.

Really? Looking back on all the negotiations with the North Koreans, including those of the Obama administration (and those led in the Clinton administration by Undersecretary of State Wendy Sherman, who also led the U.S. delegation in Istanbul), would we judge that the North Koreans “wouldn’t have come if they weren’t serious?”

Serious about what, one might ask? About delaying a possible Israeli military strike, or about negotiating an end to their own nuclear program? The fact that there appear to have been no concrete proposals discussed, yet the next meeting is delayed now for five weeks, suggests skepticism about Iranian “seriousness.”

The late May meeting will be in Baghdad, because that is where Iran wants it to take place. What will happen there? The Times notes that:

“There will be enormous pressure on the parties for the Baghdad meeting, since very little of substance appeared to have been discussed here. The Istanbul meeting was intended, according to the six powers, mainly to test Iran’s willingness to engage in a serious process to resolve doubts about whether its nuclear program was aimed at producing nuclear weapons.”

This is a bit mysterious: How was it that Iran’s seriousness was tested in a meeting where no concrete proposals appear to have been made, much less agreed to? Those diplomats who leaked to the Times spoke about some things Iran might be asked to do, perhaps in the next meeting. “While those measures do not appear to have been agreed to, the talks at least did not end in failure,” said the Times. How could they end in failure if Iran’s only purpose, and the key purpose of the P5+1 diplomats as well, was only to have another meeting? It appears that all present have at least one common goal: making an Israeli strike harder. This suggests that the next meeting will not “end in failure” either; it will agree to yet another meeting, presumably in July. After all, if concrete proposals are tabled one mustn’t rush the Iranians; they must have time to take them home to Tehran and think them through.

It is hard to know what the Iranians make of all this, except perhaps that diplomacy is fun. Note that Sherman requested a private one-on-one meeting with the head of the Iranian delegation. As I write this, there are conflicting reports as to whether her request was accepted or rejected, but all accounts are very clear on one point: She was the one asking, not Saeed Jalili. This action ensures that the U.S. appears to Iran as a suitor, anxious for these talks to succeed – and apparently more anxious than is Iran.

It will take a few days and more leaks to find out what transpired in Istanbul. Perhaps there is reason to be hopeful, but from what we can see today that depends on what you are hoping for: stopping Israel, or stopping Iran’s nuclear program.

From “Pressure Points” by Elliott Abrams. Reprinted with permission from the Council on Foreign Relations.

Netanyahu: Istanbul talks gave Iran a gift

April 15, 2012

Netanyahu: Istanbul talks gave I… JPost – Iranian Threat – News.

 

 

04/15/2012 17:05
PM decries fact that next talks on May 23: “Iran now has 5 weeks during which it can continue to enrich uranium without limit.”

PM Netanyahu with US Senator Joe Lieberman

Photo: Moshe Milner / GPO

Iran received a five-week gift from the world powers at Saturday’s talks in Istanbul, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu said Sunday in Israel’s first formal reaction to the negotiations between Iran and the P5+1 group of world powers.

“My initial impression is that Iran has been given a freebie,” Netanyahu said, referring to the fact that the second round of talks won’t be held until May 23 in Baghdad.

Iran, he said, now has “five weeks to continue enrichment without any limitation, any inhibition. I think Iran should take immediate steps to stop all enrichment, take out all enrichment material and dismantle the nuclear facility in Qom.”

Netanyahu, in comments made before meeting visiting  US Senator Joe Lieberman, said the world’s “greatest practitioner of terrorism” must not have the ability to develop atomic  bombs.

The prime minister’s comments came despite a positive reaction to the talks by both the US and the EU.

After a day in which diplomats had spoken of a more engaged tone from Iranian officials compared to the 15 months of angry rhetoric on either side that has filled the hiatus since the last meetings, EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton called the talks useful and constructive.

She said the negotiating powers wanted Iran to meet its international obligations – it is a signatory to the treaty which prevents the spread of nuclear weapons – and should reciprocate in negotiations.

The talks were never expected to yield any major breakthrough but diplomats believed a serious commitment from Iran would be enough to schedule another round of talks for next month and start discussing issues at the heart of the dispute.

Reuters contributed to this report.

Iran demands U.S., Europe hold off attack as long as nuclear talks continue, sources say

April 15, 2012

Iran demands U.S., Europe hold off attack as long as nuclear talks continue, sources say – Haaretz Daily Newspaper | Israel News.

( Surprise, surprise… – JW )

Western and Turkish diplomats say meeting was held in a positive atmosphere.

By Zvi Bar’el

The round of nuclear talks between the six major world powers and Iran ended on Saturday in Istanbul without a significant breakthrough but with an agreement to reconvene next month. Sources close to the talks told Haaretz that the Iranians are demanding an American and European commitment not to carry out a military attack on their country as long as the talks continue.

Western and Turkish diplomats said Saturday’s meeting, which involved the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council – the United States, Russia, Britain, France and China – in addition to Germany and the Iranians, was held in a positive atmosphere.

Iranian chief negotiator Saeed Jalili, right, and EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton. Iranian chief negotiator Saeed Jalili, right, and EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton before their meeting in Istanbul April 15, 2012.
Photo by: AP

“They met in a constructive atmosphere,” said Michael Mann, a spokesman for European Union foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton, after the morning session of talks Saturday. “We had a positive feeling that they did want to engage.”

Iran’s ISNA news agency reported that an American envoy had asked for a meeting with Iran’s chief nuclear negotiator, Saeed Jalili and that Jalili had accepted, but another news agency, Fars, later denied that.

The Istanbul talks were the first such meeting for 15 months. A second round is scheduled to take place in the Iraqi capital Baghdad on May 23.

Expectations for the talks in Istanbul had been low at the outset. The United States termed them a last chance at a diplomatic solution to the crisis over the Iranian nuclear program. The U.S. and Israel have not ruled out military action to destroy Iran’s nuclear sites.

The major drama at the talks in Turkey was simply the fact that they took place, this time without prior conditions. In January last year, the Iranians refused to enter into discussions without a commitment to lift international sanctions against their country. For its part, the U.S. had refused at the time to discuss removing sanctions without a halt by the Iranians of their nuclear fuel enrichment operations.

This time around, among the details leaked from the conference hall was an indication that the world powers would agree to continued Iranian nuclear enrichment activities at the relatively low level of 3.5 percent, and would not require that the Fordo underground facility near the Iranian city of Qom be dismantled. The world powers would require continuous monitoring of nuclear fuel production sites, according to the leaks.

Western officials have made clear their immediate priority is to persuade Tehran to cease the higher-grade uranium enrichment it began in 2010. It has since expanded that work, shortening the time it would need for the relatively rapid development of nuclear weapons. Iran has signaled some flexibility over limiting its uranium enrichment to a fissile purity of 20 percent, compared with the 5 percent level required for nuclear power plants, but also suggests it is not ready to do so yet.

A Turkish government source told Haaretz that following a series of contacts by Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan with the Iranian leadership, there was a sense that Iran was ready to forgo uranium enrichment at a level of 20 percent for a short period, but would demand the immediate lifting of some of the international sanctions in return and the gradual scrapping of others.

Also to be considered in the next round of discussions is a Russian proposal for a blueprint for the talks including a time line, in an effort to build a sense of trust between Iran and the Western powers. The plan would call for Iran to gradually halt uranium enrichment while the West would at the same time remove sanctions. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has vowed that his country would not cede its right to enrichment activities, claiming that they are designed for peaceful purposes.

White House sees ‘positive first step’ in Iran talks

April 15, 2012

White House sees ‘positive first… JPost – Iranian Threat – News.

By HILARY LEILA KRIEGER, HERB KEINON, REUTERS
04/15/2012 04:17
Ashton says she wants to see talks move to more “sustained process of dialogue”; Tehran rejects US request for bilateral meeting on the sidelines of nuclear summit; Israel waiting to see how it plays out.

Iran nuclear talks in Istanbul Photo: REUTERS/Tolga Adanali/Pool

Talks in Istanbul on Saturday among negotiators from Iran and six world powers including the United States represented “a positive first step” in addressing international concern over the Iranian nuclear program, the White House said.

The parties in Turkey discussed Iran’s nuclear program for the first time in more than a year and agreed to reconvene in Baghdad on May 23.

Ben Rhodes, deputy national security adviser, said the United States sees room to negotiate over how Iran can meet international obligations under its nuclear program, which Tehran says is for energy and medical purposes but global powers fear is meant to create a weapon.

Catherine Ashton, the European Union’s foreign policy chief who has headed negotiations for the six international powers including the United States and Russia, told a news conference after a day of talks in Istanbul that they arranged to meet the Iranian delegation again in Baghdad on May 23.

“We want now to move to a sustained process of dialogue,” Ashton told a news conference, saying negotiators would take a “step-by-step” approach. “We will meet on May 23 in Baghdad.”

“The discussions on the Iranian nuclear issue have been constructive and useful,” she said. “We want now to move to a sustained process of serious dialogue, where we can take urgent, practical steps to build confidence.”

After a day in which diplomats had spoken of a more engaged tone from Iranian officials compared to the 15 months of angry rhetoric on either side that has filled the hiatus since the last meetings, Ashton called the talks useful and constructive.

She said the negotiating powers wanted Iran to meet its international obligations – it is a signatory to the treaty which prevents the spread of nuclear weapons – and should reciprocate in negotiations.

The talks were never expected to yield any major breakthrough but diplomats believed a serious commitment from Iran would be enough to schedule another round of talks for next month and start discussing issues at the heart of the dispute.

Saeed Jalili, the chief Iranian negotiator, told a news conference that “progress” had been made.

“We witnessed progress,” Jalili said. “There were differences of opinion… but the points we agreed on were important.”

“The next talks should be based on confidence-building measures, which would build the confidence of Iranians,” Jalili said, adding an Iranian request for lifting of sanctions should be one of the issues included.

Iran has been hit by new waves of Western economic sanctions this year.

Western participants had said previously that agreeing to meet for a second round of talks would constitute a successful day. It may remove some heat from a crisis in which warnings from Israel of a possible strike against Iranian facilities have stoked fears of a major war in an already unsettled Middle East.

Israel made no comment Saturday on the talks in Istanbul, with one official explaining that any comment Israel would make at this time would not be “prudent.”

“We are waiting to see how the talks play out,” the official said.

Last week, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu said the talks should lead to the removal from Iran of all enriched uranium, a halt to all further enrichment, and the closure of the underground nuclear facility at Qom.

Defense Minister Ehud Barak set the bar a bit lower, saying that while Iran should have to give up its entire stockpile of uranium enriched to 20 percent, believed to be about 120 kilograms, and transfer the majority of its 5 tons of 3.5 enriched uranium out of the country, it would be able to keep a minimum amount for energy purposes.

Barak also said Iran must open all of its nuclear facilities to the IAEA, disclose its entire history of activity relating to its nuclear weapons program, and suspend all enrichment activity. If Iran complied with these conditions, he said it would be possible to agree to an arrangement whereby a third country would transfer fuel rods to Iran for the purpose of activating the Tehran Research Reactor.

Iran turned down a request by the US for a rare bilateral meeting on the sidelines of the nuclear talks in Istanbul on Saturday, the official Iranian news agency IRNA reported.

There was no comment from US diplomats, whose country has not had direct ties with Tehran for more than three decades.

IRNA’s report followed contradictory accounts from two other Iranian news agencies on prospects for a meeting between Jalili and the head of the US delegation, Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Wendy Sherman.

The US and Iran broke off diplomatic ties after the 1979 Islamic revolution which toppled the US-backed shah and both sides view each other with deep mistrust.

“The Iranian delegation rejected the request of Wendy Sherman, the representative of the American delegation, for a bilateral meeting,” IRNA said.

The semi-official Fars news agency had earlier quoted an “informed source” as denying a report by a third agency, ISNA, that Jalili accepted a request for a meeting with a US envoy.

Non-Iranian diplomats attending the talks in Istanbul had questioned the ISNA report but still said Saturday’s meeting between Iran and the six powers – the United States, Russia, France, China, Germany and Britain – had gone well.

IRNA said Iranian diplomats in Istanbul did hold bilateral meetings on Saturday with Russian delegates and with Ashton, the main representative of the negotiating group of international powers, as well with the Turkish hosts, who are not party to the negotiations.

The talks between Iran and six world powers resumed after a 15-month gap, as delegates sought to find ways of resolving a dispute over Tehran’s nuclear program and easing fears of a new Middle East war.

The West accuses Iran of trying to develop a nuclear-weapons capability. Iran says its program is peaceful. Tehran agreed to resume talks with the six – the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany – after more than a year of escalating rhetoric and tensions.

One diplomat described the atmosphere as “completely different” from that of previous meetings, as Western delegates watched out for signs that Iran was ready to engage seriously after more than a year of threats and accusations.

The talks are unlikely to yield any major breakthrough, but diplomats believe a serious commitment from Iran could be enough to schedule another round of talks for next month and start discussing issues at the heart of the dispute.

“The atmosphere is constructive, the conversation is businesslike. As of the moment, things are going well,” Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov, who led the Russian delegation, was quoted as saying by Interfax news agency.

Tehran agreed to resume talks with the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, plus Germany, after more than a year marked by escalating rhetoric and tensions.

The US and Israel have not ruled out military action to destroy Iran’s nuclear sites.

In the run-up to the Turkey meeting, Western diplomats said they hoped for enough progress to be able to schedule a new round of negotiations, possibly in Baghdad, next month.

During the morning round of talks Iranian chief nuclear negotiator Jalili did not state the kind of preconditions that he did in the last meeting in early 2011, a diplomat said.

“He seems to have come with an objective to get into a process which is a serious process,” the envoy said. “I would say it has been a useful morning’s work.”

Iran says it will propose “new initiatives” in Istanbul, though it is unclear whether it is now prepared to discuss curbs to its enrichment program. But the atmosphere was positive.

“They met in a constructive atmosphere,” said Michael Mann, a spokesman for Ashton, after the morning session of talks. “We had a positive feeling that they did want to engage.”

Ashton, who is the main representative of the US, France, Russia, China, Germany and Britain at the talks, added: “What we are here to do is to find ways in which we can build confidence between us and ways in which we can demonstrate that Iran is moving away from a nuclear weapons program.”

In a rare opinion piece in an American newspaper, the Iranian foreign minister took to the pages of The Washington Post Thursday to urge that the parties enter negotiations on a basis of mutual respect and equality.

Ali Akbar Salehi wrote that it was important that “all sides will be committed to comprehensive, long-term dialogue aimed at resolving all parties’ outstanding concerns” and that “all sides make genuine efforts to reestablish confidence and trust.” He referred to Iran’s stated opposition to weapons of mass destruction and its continued willingness to enter a dialogue with world powers despite international sanctions.

Yet he warned, “If the intention of dialogue is merely to prevent cold conflict from turning hot, rather than to resolve differences, suspicion will linger. Trust will not be established.”

The United States cut diplomatic ties with Iran in 1980 after Iranian students held 52 American diplomats hostage for 444 days, and the two sides have held very rare one-to-one meetings since then.

Iran, one of the world’s largest oil producers, says its nuclear program has solely peaceful objectives – to generate electricity and produce medical isotopes for cancer patients.

But its refusal to halt nuclear work – which can have both civilian and military uses – has been punished with intensifying US and EU sanctions against its lifeblood oil exports.

“Given that oil revenue accounts for over half of government income, the budget will be under significant strain this year as oil exports fall as a result of sanctions and oil production is cut back by Iran as its pool of buyers begins to shrink,” said Dubai-based independent analyst Mohammed Shakeel.

Western officials have made clear their immediate priority is to persuade Tehran to cease the higher-grade uranium enrichment it began in 2010. It has since expanded that work, shortening the time it would need for any weapons “break-out.”

Iran has signaled some flexibility over limiting its uranium enrichment to a fissile purity of 20% – compared with the 5% level required for nuclear power plants – but also suggests it is not ready to do so yet.

IDF drills dropping ammo behind enemy lines

April 15, 2012

IDF drills dropping ammo behind enemy lines – JPost – Defense.

04/15/2012 02:03
IDF develops long-range power-propelled parachute capable of carrying supplies to troops.

IDF soldier, tank outside northern Gaza
Photo: Reuters

Ahead of a possible future conflict in the north, the IDF logistics directorate held an exercise last week to improve its delivery of ammunition and supplies to forces operating deep behind enemy lines.

During the drill, the IDF practiced dropping ammunition, food, supplies and even Hummer vehicles from C-130 Hercules transport aircraft behind enemy lines to forces that are cut off from regular logistics lines.

In line with lessons learned from the Second Lebanon War in 2006, the IDF has put a strong emphasis in recent years on improving its ability to create supply lines to forces operating in Lebanon, Gaza or Syria.

The IDF has, for example, developed a long-range power-propelled parachute capable of carrying supplies to troops.

Called “Flying Elephant,” the parachute is designed to carry one ton of supplies and will be powered by a propeller engine and launched by a catapult system.

Once airborne, it will lift up cargo with a specially-designed handle. It will then use GPS to locate the landing site and has a level of accuracy of approximately 30 meters within designated coordinates.

In another improvement, the IDF recently completed the installation of new software for the Tzayad digital army program enabling commanders to also monitor logistics supply levels.

Tzayad creates a digital picture of a battlefield and allows units to share information on the location of friendly and hostile forces, as well as imagery collected from ground and aerial sensors.

The IDF has also developed a new cargo container that can be carried underneath transport helicopters without slowing down the speed of the aircraft.

To enable the fast speeds, the new container comes with built-in wings that were aerodynamically engineered to prevent wind resistance, which would otherwise slow down the helicopter or the parachute.