Archive for December 2011

EU open to talks with Iran, without preconditions

December 31, 2011

EU open to talks with Iran, with… JPost – Iranian Threat – News.

(I’ve lost track of how many times Iran has used phoney “talks” as a stalling tactic. – JW)

European Union flags in Brussels

   BRUSSELS – The European Union is open to meaningful talks with Tehran provided there are no preconditions on the Iranian side, an EU foreign policy spokesman said on Saturday.Earlier, Iran’s semi-official Mehr news agency quoted a senior official as saying that Iran’s nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili will write to the EU’s foreign affairs chief to express Tehran’s readiness for fresh nuclear talks with major powers.

“Jalili will soon send a letter to Catherine Ashton over the format of negotiations … then fresh talks will take place with major powers,” said Iran’s ambassador to Germany Alireza Sheikh Attar.

EU foreign policy spokesman, Michael Mann, said in an email to Reuters that Catherine Ashton wrote to Jalili in November and had not yet had a response.“We continue to pursue our twin-track approach and are open for meaningful discussions on confidence-building measures, without preconditions from the Iranian side,” he said.

Talks between Iran and the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, the United States, Russia, China, Britain and France, plus Germany (P5+1) stalled in January.The EU is considering a ban – already in place in the United States – on imports of Iranian oil, although diplomats and traders say awareness is growing in the EU that such a ban could damage the bloc’s economy without doing much to hurt Iran.

Iranian Oil Minister Rostam Qasemi said imposing sanctions on Iran’s oil exports would lead to a leap in prices.

“Undoubtedly the price of crude will increase dramatically if sanctions are imposed on our oil … It will reach at least over $200 per barrel,” the Aseman weekly quoted Qasemi on Saturday as saying.

During military drills in 2009, Iran test-fired its surface-to-surface Shahab-3 missile, said to be capable of reaching Israel and U.S. bases in the Middle East.

Washington has expressed concern about Tehran’s missiles, which include the Shahab-3 strategic intermediate range ballistic missile with a range of up to 1,000 km (625 miles), the Ghadr-1 with an estimated 1,600 km range and a Shahab-3 variant known as Sajjil-2 with a range of up to 2,400 km.

Iranian media have said the latest naval exercise differed from previous ones in terms of “the vastness of the area of action and the military equipment and tactics that are being employed”.

Iranian missile spin closes Hormuz for five hours

December 31, 2011

DEBKAfile, Political Analysis, Espionage, Terrorism, Security.

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report December 31, 2011, 12:16 PM (GMT+02:00)

 

USS Stennis cruises Persian Gulf waters

By a media trick, Tehran proved its claim that closing the Strait of Hormuz is as “easy as drinking water,” debkafile reports.  First thing Saturday morning, Saturday, Dec. 31, Iran’s state agencies “reported” long-range and other missiles had been test-fired as part of its ongoing naval drill around the Strait of Hormuz. Ahead of the test, Tehran closed its territorial waters. For five hours Saturday, not a single warship, merchant vessel or oil tanker ventured into the 30-mile wide Hormuz strait, waiting to hear from Tehran’ that the test was over.

Instead, around 0900 local time, a senior Iranian navy commander Mahmoud Moussavi informed Iran’s English language Press TV that no missiles had been fired after all. “The exercise of launching missiles will be carried out in the coming days,” he said.
For five hours therefore, world shipping obeyed Tehran’s warning and gave the narrow waterway through which one-fifth of the world’s oil passes, a wide berth. They stayed out of range of a test which, debkafile‘s military sources report, aimed to demonstrate for the first time that Shahab-3 ballistic missiles which have a range of 1,600 kilometers and other missiles, such as the Nasr1cruise marine missile, are capable of reaching Hormuz from central Iran.

The Moussavi statement was not aired on Iran’s Farsi-language media. It was not necessary; Tehran had demonstrated by this ruse that it could close the vital waterway for hours or days at any moment.

Friday night, shortly after Tehran reported the missile-firing test was to take place the next morning, Washington announced the $3.48 billion sale to the United Arab Emirates of 94 advanced THAAD missiles with supporting technology.

Like the $30 billion sale of 84 F-15 fighter jets to the Saudi Arabia announced this week, delivery dates were not specified.  The first F-15s for Saudi Arabia are due some time in 2015. It must therefore be said that the announced sophisticated US arms sales to the Persian Gulf nations bear only tangentially on the current state of tension in the region around Iranian threats.
The Hormuz missile stratagem has given Tehran three advantages in its face-off with Washington and the Gulf Arab governments:
1.  It gave credibility to the threats issued by Iranian military chiefs last week regarding free passage in the Strait of Hormuz and Western sanctions:
On Dec. 29, Navy commander Adm. Habibollah Sayari said it was “really easy” for Iran’s armed forces to shut the strait, adding “But today, we don’t need [to shut] the strait because we have the Sea of Oman under control and can control the transit.”

The next day, Deputy Commander of the Revolutionary Guards Gen. Hossein Salami said the United States was not in a position to tell Tehran “what to do in the Strait of Hormuz. Any threat will be responded to by threat… We will not relinquish our strategic moves if Iran’s vital interests are undermined by any means.”

2. For Tehran, closing the vital waterway to international traffic without firing a shot – even for a few hours – served to rebut the warning given by US Fifth Fleet spokeswoman Lt. Rebecca Rebarich on Dec. 29. She said: “Anyone who threatens to disrupt freedom of navigation in an international strait is clearly outside the community of nations: any disruption will not be tolerated.”

It also addressed the dispatch of the USS John C. Stennis aircraft carrier through the strait into the Sea of Oman in proximity to Iran’s ten-day Velayati 90 naval drill. The Stennis, accompanied only by a single destroyer, demonstrated US confidence in its military muscle against any Iranian threat.
As the Stennis passed through the big US air base at al-Udeid, Qatar, went on high alert.
3. Tehran did not explain why its war game, designated in advance a display of Iranian naval and air control of the Strait of Hormuz and the Sea of Oman, suddenly morphed into a ballistic missile test; nor its postponement.

debkafile‘s military sources report that the Iranians were in fact sending a message to the Gulf rulers and the US bases on their soil that they would not escape missile retaliation for a possible US or Israel attack on the Islamic Republic’s nuclear facilities or harsh sanctions.

Iran’s navy commander says test firing of missiles has been delayed, denies earlier report

December 31, 2011

Iran’s navy commander says test firing of missiles has been delayed, denies earlier report.

Al Arabiya

 

 

A rocket is fired from an Iranian military vessel during war game exercises on the Sea of Oman near the Strait of Hormuz in southern Iran. (Reuters)

A rocket is fired from an Iranian military vessel during war game exercises on the Sea of Oman near the Strait of Hormuz in southern Iran. (Reuters)

 

 

Iran’s senior navy commander denied state media reports that the Islamic Republic had test-fired long-range missiles during a naval drill on Saturday, saying the missiles would be launched in the coming days.

Mahmoud Mousavi told Iran’s English-language Press TV : “The exercise of launching missiles will be carried out in the coming days.”

He did not say exactly when the launches would start, but explained they would involve tests of “medium- and long-range missiles” to evaluate their operational effectiveness.

The navy exercises started December 24 and are due to end on Monday.

 

 

The semi-official Fars news agency had earlier reported that Iran had test-fired long-range and other missiles during the exercise on Saturday.

The 10-day naval drill in the Gulf began last week as Iran showed its resolve to counter any attack by enemies such as Israel or the United States.

Tehran threatened on Tuesday to stop the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz in the Gulf if it became the target of an oil embargo over its nuclear ambitions, a move that could trigger military conflict with countries dependent on Gulf oil.

Tensions with the West have risen since the U.N. nuclear watchdog reported on Nov. 8 that Iran appears to have worked on designing an atomic bomb and may still be pursuing research to that end.

Iran denies this and says it needs nuclear technology to generate electricity to meet growing domestic demand.

During military drills in 2009, Iran test-fired its surface-to-surface Shahab-3 missile, said to be capable of reaching Israel and U.S. bases in the Middle East.

Washington has expressed concern about Tehran’s missiles, which include the Shahab-3 strategic intermediate range ballistic missile with a range of up to 1,000 km (625 miles), the Ghadr-1 with an estimated 1,600 km range and a Shahab-3 variant known as Sajjil-2 with a range of up to 2,400 km.

Iranian media have said the naval exercise differed from previous ones in terms of “the vastness of the area of action and the military equipment and tactics that are being employed”.

Twenty percent of the world’s oil moves through the Strait of Hormuz, at the entrance of the Gulf, making it the “most important chokepoint” globally, according to information released Friday by the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Around 14 crude oil tankers per day pass through the narrow strait, carrying a total 17 million barrels. In all, 35 percent of all seaborne oil transited through there this year.

On Thursday, a U.S. aircraft carrier and an accompanying missile cruiser passed through the zone where the Iranian navy was conducting its drill. U.S. officials insisted it was a routine passage.

No confrontation occurred, though an Iranian military aircraft flew in close to record video of the aircraft carrier, which was then shown on state television.

Analysts and oil market traders have been watching developments in and around the Strait of Hormuz carefully, fearing that the intensifying war of words between arch foes Tehran and Washington could spark open confrontation.

With tensions rising, the United States said it has signed a $29.4-billion deal to supply Saudi Arabia with 84 new fighter jets.

The sale was a “strong message” to the Gulf region, Washington said.

 

Oil minister warns of price increases

 

Iran’s oil minister said crude prices will rise to more than $200 per barrel if foreign sanctions are imposed on the country’s oil exports over its disputed nuclear work, the Aseman weekly reported on Saturday.

“Undoubtedly the price of crude will increase dramatically if sanctions are imposed on our oil … It will reach at least over $200 per barrel,” minister Rostam Qasemi was quoted by Reuters as telling the weekly.

 

Letter to EU

The semi-official Mehr news agency quoted a senior official as saying that nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili would write to EU foreign affairs chief Catherine Ashton to express Tehran’s readiness for fresh nuclear talks with major powers.

“Jalili will soon send a letter to Catherine Ashton over the format of negotiations … then fresh talks will take place with major powers,” said Iran’s ambassador to Germany Alireza Sheikh Attar.

Talks between Iran and the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, the United States, Russia, China, Britain and France, plus Germany (P5+1) stalled in January.

The EU is considering a ban ─ already in place in the United States ─ on imports of Iranian oil, although diplomats and traders say awareness is growing in the EU that such a ban could damage the bloc’s economy without doing much to hurt Iran.

Syrian National Council joins hands with other groups to chart ‘transition period’

December 31, 2011

Syrian National Council joins hands with other groups to chart ‘transition period’.

Al Arabiya

 

 

Two major Syrian opposition forces have come together and signed an accord which sets out rules for a transitional period as and when the regime is toppled. (Reuters)

Two major Syrian opposition forces have come together and signed an accord which sets out rules for a transitional period as and when the regime is toppled. (Reuters)

 

 

The Syrian National Council (SNC) opposition group has signed a political agreement with another faction of dissidents laying the ground rules for a “transitional period” should the regime be toppled, a statement said.

The SNC, a major umbrella of factions opposed to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, signed the deal with the National Coordination Body for Democratic Change in Syria, NCB chief Hassan Abdel Azim told AFP on Saturday.

According to the statement received by AFP in Nicosia, the NCB and the SNC signed an agreement “which sets out the political and democratic rules for the transitional period,” should Assad be ousted by a pro-democracy uprising that erupted in March.

The accord also “determines the important parameters for Syria’s future which aspire to ensure that the homeland and every citizen’s rights are treated with dignity, and for the foundation of a civil democratic state,” according to an English-language text from the NCB.

 

 

The deal was signed late Friday in Cairo by SNC chief Burhan Ghalioun and the NCB’s Haytham Manna and “will be deposited as an official document with the Arab League” on January 1, said the statement.

Speaking to AFP from Damascus, NCB chief Abdel Azim said the agreement underscores the need for the opposition to close ranks in a bid to fend off any foreign intervention in the country.

“Opposition factions inside and outside Syria must unite their efforts,” he said.

“A common political vision is needed to ensure a total change in Syria and achieve the goals of the peaceful revolution to avoid the dangers of foreign military intervention,” he added.

The SNC is a coalition of 230 members, including the banned Muslim Brotherhood and liberal figures who are determined to end Assad’s 11-year autocratic rule. Only 100 of its members live in Syria.

The NCB is an umbrella group of Arab nationalist figures, socialists, independents, Marxists and also comprises members of Syria’s minority Kurdish community. The coalition is staunchly opposed to any international military intervention.

The agreement, posted on the Internet, calls for the protection of civilians in Syria, where a government crackdown on dissent has left more than 5,000 people dead since March according to U.N. estimates.

It also opposes foreign military intervention and says “the transition period starts with the fall of the regime and all its symbols.”

The pact voices support for the so-called dissident Free Syrian Army that has been battling regular army troops.

 

No let up in violence

As many as 38 people were shot dead by the Syrian security forces, Al Arabiya reported on Friday citing Syrian activists at the Local Coordination Committees.

Syrian forces were accused of firing nail bombs Friday to disperse protesters as tens of thousands of people flooded streets across the country to make their voices heard to Arab monitors, according to AFP.

Friday also saw more than 100,000 protesters stage a sit-in in Douma as the Arab observers toured the city, Syrian activists said.

The Arab League mission has been tainted by some controversy, with some opposition members unhappy with the head of the observers General Mohammed Ahmed Mustafa al-Dabi — a veteran Sudanese military intelligence officer.

For some, Dabi is a controversial figure because he served under Sudan’s President Omar al-Bashir who is wanted by the International Criminal Court for alleged war crimes committed in Darfur region.

“The observers must remain in the cities they visit to protect civilians,” said prominent human rights lawyer Haytham Maleh who is also a member of the main opposition Syrian National Council.

Around 66 monitors are currently in Syria but there are plans to deploy between 150 and 200 observers.

More deaths, protests in Syria

December 31, 2011

More deaths, protests in Syria – Israel News, Ynetnews.

Hundreds of thousands of Syrians rally across nation; dozens killed, including troops

Associated Press

Hundreds of thousands of Syrians poured into the streets across the nation Friday in the largest protests in months, shouting for the downfall of the regime in a defiant display invigorated by the presence of Arab observers, activists said.

As many as 38 people were killed by security forces in several cities across Syria, al-Arabiya reported, citing Syrian activists.Five members of the security forces were also killed in a shooting in the city of Homs, the British-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said.

Rami Abdul-Raham, who heads the British-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, said the crowds were largest Friday in Idlib and Hama provinces, with 250,000 people each. Other massive rallies were held in Daraa province and the Damascus suburb of Douma, he said.

Despite skepticism over the Arab League mission, it has energized the protest movement, with tens of thousands turning out this week in cities and neighborhoods where the observers are expected to visit.

The huge rallies have been met by lethal gunfire from security forces, apparently worried about multiple mass sit-ins modeled after Cairo’s Tahrir Square. In general, activists say, security forces have launched attacks when observers were not present. But there have been some reports of firing on protesters while the monitors were close by.

The Local Coordination Committees, an activist coalition, said at least 130 people, including six children, have been killed in Syria since the Arab observers began their one-month mission on Tuesday.

Meanwhile, Pro-Assad groups turned out for rallies in Damascus and several other cities, waving portraits of the president, in an apparent bid to show the regime has public support during the observer visit. On Friday, Russia’s Foreign Ministry said an initial assessment by Arab League observers in Syria was “reassuring.” Moscow is one of Syria’s few remaining allies following more than nine months of violence.

“Moscow appraises with satisfaction the real beginning of the Arab League activities in Syria,” the Foreign Ministry said in a statement. “The situation there is reassuring, clashes have not been recorded.”

Reuters and Ynet contributed to the story

US seals $3.48B missiles, technology sale to UAE

December 31, 2011

US seals $3.48B missiles, technology sale to UAE – Israel News, Ynetnews.

Deal includes 96 missiles, supporting technology and training intended to boost Mideast alley’s defense

Associated Press

The United States has reached a deal to sell $3.48 billion worth of missiles and related technology to the United Arab Emirates, a close Mideast ally, as part of a massive buildup of defense technology among friendly Mideast nations near Iran.

Pentagon spokesman George Little announced the Christmas Day sale on Friday night. He said the US and UAE have a strong defense relationship and are both interested in “a secure and stable” Persian Gulf region.

The deal includes 96 missiles, along with supporting technology and training support that Little says will bolster the nation’s missile defense capacity.

The deal includes a contract with Lockheed Martin to produce the highly sophisticated Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, or THAAD, weapon system for the UAE.

Tom McGrath, vice president and program manager for Lockheed Martin’s THAAD program in Dallas, said in a statement it was the first foreign military sale of the THAAD system.

THAAD interceptors are produced at Lockheed Martin’s Pike County Facility in Troy, Alabama. The launchers and fire control units are produced at the company’s Camden, Ark., facility.

Building up allies’ defense

Wary of Iran, the US has been building up missile defenses of its allies, including a $1.7 billion deal to upgrade Saudi Arabia‘s Patriot missiles and the sale of 209 Patriot missiles to Kuwait, valued at about $900 million.

On Thursday, the Obama administration announced the sale of $30 billion worth of F-15SA fighter jets to Saudi Arabia.

Under the fighter jet agreement, the US will send Saudi Arabia 84 new fighter jets and upgrades for 70 more. Production of the aircraft, which will be manufactured by Boeing Co., will support 50,000 jobs and have a $3.5 billion annual economic impact in the US.

All the sales are part of a larger US effort to realign its defense policies in the Persian Gulf to keep Iran in check.

The announcement came as US officials weighed a fresh threat from Tehran, which warned this week it could disrupt traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital Persian Gulf oil transport route, if Washington levies new sanctions targeting Iran’s crude exports.

Arab League monitor in Syria: We don’t aim to topple Assad

December 30, 2011

Arab League monitor in Syria: We don’t aim… JPost – Middle East.

Syrian anti-Assad protest.

    BEIRUT – An Arab League monitor told an angry crowd in Syria that his team’s job was only to observe, not to help them remove the president they have been rebelling against for nine months, live video on Al Jazeera showed on Friday.

“Our goal is to observe…it is not to remove the president, our aim is to return Syria to peace and security,” he said, speaking over a loudspeaker from a podium at a mosque filled with protesters in the Damascus suburb of Douma.
But the observer, who did not give his name, said he promised to convey the protesters’ sufferings.

“From what I have heard there is blood being shed,” he said. “That is for sure.”

A team of around 60 monitors has already arrived from a delegation that should ultimately number 150 and is expected to inspect Syria for about one month. They will check whether President Bashar al-Assad’s forces are implementing a peace plan that calls for an end to a crackdown on anti-government revolt.

Activists say they believe many monitors are pro-government or that they feel it is too difficult to communicate with the team away from government escorts. Inside the Douma mosque, the restless crowd seemed suspicious of the monitors.

A speaker from the mosque tried to calm the audience, pleading with them to let the monitor speak. But a man immediately broke the silence, shouting “My son is a martyr, they killed him,” rousing chants of “With blood and soul we will redeem the martyrs.”

The monitor, who asked the audience not to film him but who was broadcast on Al Jazeera Live, said: “We as monitors are not supposed to speak but the situation has forced me to say something: We are monitoring the elements of the protocol signed between the Arab League and the government.”

“This is a humanitarian mission to convey the existing problems and solve the crisis.”

The protocol requires that Syrian forces withdraw from cities and release detainees believed to still number in the thousands.

More than 5,000 people have been killed as the government tries to crush the protests. It says it is fighting Islamist militants steered from abroad who have killed 2,000 members of the security forces.

Syria forces fire ‘nail bombs’ as death toll mounts; hundreds of thousands demonstrate

December 30, 2011

Syria forces fire ‘nail bombs’ as death toll mounts; hundreds of thousands demonstrate.

Demonstrators protest against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in Amude. (Reuters)

Demonstrators protest against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in Amude. (Reuters)

As many as 32 people have been shot dead by the Syrian security forces, Al Arabiya reported citing Syrian activists at the Local Coordination Committees.

The dead people were mostly in Hama, Daria, Mudamiya in Damascus, Deraa, Telkakh and Baalaba in Homs.

More than 100,000 protesters performed a sit-in in Douma as the Arab observers toured the city, Syrian activists said.

Huge protests were organized in most of the Syrian cities after the activists called for a “Friday of Marching to the Freedom Squares.”

Syrian forces were accused of firing nail bombs Friday to disperse protesters as tens of thousands of people flooded streets across the country to make their voices heard to Arab monitors, according to AFP.

Protesters called for the ouster and prosecution of President Bashar al-Assad, whose autocratic regime has been blamed for the deaths of more than 5,000 people since pro-reform protests erupted in March.

“This Friday is different from any other Friday. It is a transformative step. People are eager to reach the monitors and tell them about their suffering,” activist Abu Hisham in Hama told Reuters.

Activists urged monitors, who started this week a mission to implement an Arab League peace plan, to protect civilians from the regime’s wrath.

“We urge you to make a clear distinction between the assassin and the victim,” activists of the Syrian Revolution 2011 said in a statement posted on their Facebook page.

“Our revolution which was launched nine months ago is peaceful,” they said.

Heavy clashes, meanwhile, broke out between Syrian security forces and army defectors in the Damascus suburb of Douma on Friday, Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said.

Huge demonstrations rocked northwestern Idlib province and Douma, a Damascus suburb where protesters clashed with security forces who fired “nail bombs” to disperse them, said the Observatory.

At least 24 protesters were hurt when security forces fired “nail bombs to disperse tens of thousands of demonstrators in Douma,” the watchdog said, adding that the protesters “hurled stones” in retaliation.

“An activist in the city told the Observatory that he was hurt by shrapnel from those bombs,” the Britain-based group said in a statement received by AFP in Nicosia.

The reported use of nail bombs could not be independently verified.

In Douma, security forces also fired “stun grenades and tear gas” at protesters as 60,000-70,000 demonstrators headed to city hall, where Arab League observers visited the previous day.

It was the “biggest ever demonstration” in the restive suburb since March, it added.

Further north in Idlib province, which borders Turkey, more than 250,000 protesters took the streets in various locations, the Observatory reported.

Protests also took place in Homs, which activists have dubbed the “martyr” city as hundreds have died there in a government crackdown on dissent over the past few months.

In the Damascus neighborhood of al-Kadam, security forces fired live rounds of ammunition at worshippers who emerged from midday prayers apparently to prevent them from joining the protests, said the Observatory.

Protests in Aleppo, Syria’s second city in the north and economic hub, was “brutally” crushed by regime loyalists, it added.

The Observatory’s Rami Abdul Rahman told AFP activists are determined to make their voices heard to the monitors despite the bloody crackdown which activists say has killed more than 100 people since monitors arrived Monday.

“The Arab League’s initiative is the only ray of light that we now see,” said Abdel Rahman.

The mission has been tainted by some controversy, with some opposition members unhappy with the head of the observers General Mohammed Ahmed Mustafa al-Dabi — a veteran Sudanese military intelligence officer.

Dabi this week ruffled feathers by saying Syrian authorities were so far cooperating with the mission and by describing his visit to Homs as “good.”

For some, Dabi is a controversial figure because he served under Sudan’s President Omar al-Bashir who is wanted by the International Criminal Court for alleged war crimes committed in Darfur region.

“The observers must remain in the cities they visit to protect civilians,” said prominent human rights lawyer Haytham Maleh who is also a member of the main opposition Syrian National Council.

Speaking to Arab news channels, Maleh said the Arab League must increase the number of monitors to ensure they can verify Assad’s regime is implementing all the terms of the plan to end the violence.

Around 66 monitors are currently in Syria but there are plans to deploy between 150 and 200 observers.

“The presence of the observers in Homs broke the barrier of fear,” Abdul Rahman said in reference to some 70,000 demonstrators who flooded the streets of the central city Tuesday when the monitors kicked off their mission.

Western powers have urged Syrian to give them full access and Britain’s minister for the Middle East and North Africa Alistair Burt echoed those concern on Thursday.

Damascus must “meet fully its obligations to the Arab League,” including withdrawing security forces from cities, he said.

But Syria’s key ally Russia — which has resisted Western efforts to push through the U.N. Security Council tough resolutions against Damascus — said Friday it was happy with the mission so far.

“Judging by the public statements made by the chief of the mission (Sudanese general Mustafa) al-Dabi, who in the first of his visits went to the city of Homs … the situation seems to be reassuring,” the Foreign Ministry said on its website.

Activist video from Homs over the months has depicted a trail of death and destruction sowed by the military, with hundreds of killings of civilians reported.

“Unfortunately, reports show that the violence has continued in Syria over the past few days,” Britain’s Minister for the Middle East and North Africa, Alistair Burt, said, according to Reuters.

“I urge the Syrian government to meet fully its obligations to the Arab League, including immediately ending the repression and withdrawing security forces from cities. The Syrian government must allow the Arab League mission independent and unrestricted access …” Burt said.

In Brussels, a spokesperson for European Union foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton said the EU also “urges Syria to comply with the action plan of the Arab league in all its components” including “an immediate end of violence, the release of political prisoners, pulling the military out of cities.”

The mission has so far failed to end Syria’s nine-month orgy of violence in response to demands for Assad to step down, although it was never advertised as a peacekeeping operation.

An Arab League member from a Gulf State played down expectations for the mission.

Even if its report turns out to be negative it would not “act as a bridge to foreign intervention” but simply indicate that “the Syrian government has not implemented the Arab initiative,” the delegate told Reuters.

“The delegation is not meant to search or inspect anything other than this. It is not a fact-finding mission or an investigative committee … The commission is meant to tell the League if Syria has committed to withdrawing its military from cities and to check if those who were detained during recent events have been released, and if Arab and international media are able to report on the situation freely or not.”

Syria says it is fighting Islamist militants steered from abroad who have killed more than 2,000 of its security forces personnel. Activist sources do not dispute that there has been a significant toll among the security forces.

Imperial overdrive: Red alert over Iran — RT

December 30, 2011

Imperial overdrive: Red alert over Iran — RT.

(The view from Russia. – JW)

Published: 30 December, 2011, 19:05

A handout picture from US Navy dated February 21, 2007, shows the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS John C. Stennis as it conducts operations in the Gulf (AFP Photo / US Navy / Ronald Reeves)

A handout picture from US Navy dated February 21, 2007, shows the Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS John C. Stennis as it conducts operations in the Gulf (AFP Photo / US Navy / Ronald Reeves)

TAGS: Conflict, Military, Nuclear, Politics, Iran, USA, Libya, War, Global economy, Syria

2011 will be remembered as the year the US, Britain, France and Israel went into Imperial Overdrive in North Africa and the Middle East. Will 2012 be remembered as the year those same Western Allies unleashed World War III?

­It is not news anymore to say that the West will soon attack Iran, maybe Syria. They have been threatening to do that for years now, certainly ever since the failed Israeli invasion into Southern Lebanon in mid-2006, when they were routed by Hezbollah.

So what is different today? For starters, general circumstances have changed dramatically in the Region. Genuine popular dissent inside key Muslim countries has been used by the Western Allies to train, fund and arm local criminal and terrorist organizations, dubbed “freedom fighters”, as their proxies.

Country after country has fallen victim to the CIA’s, MI6’s and Mossad’s “dirty tricks departments”, and other Western-style terrorist organizations. Results range from moderate “regime change” in Tunisia and Algeria; via horrendous “violence by our boys” in Egypt, Yemen and Bahrain; all the way to outright military attack, civil war and political assassination. Such as the one in Libya, where Hillary Clinton boisterously laughed when she learned Muammar Gaddafi had been murdered live on TV by “her thugs”.

The whole region has been set on fire. Not that other regions of the world are not on fire too; however the pyrotechnics used by the Global Power Elite vary in nature in each geography. For example, Europe, the US and Britain are being set alight using financial terrorism resembling a neutron bomb, which kills people off while leaving assets and banks standing.

Now in Iran the stage seems set for a final show-down. It has taken so long only because Israeli, British and US planners are not stupid; they know that messing with Iran is not like messing with Iraq or Pakistan or Afghanistan or Libya. Messing with Iran will bring Western Allies very dangerously close to messing with Russia and China. If I were in their shoes, I would not do that. Unless…

Unless World War III is what they are looking for. Now, why would they do that?  Perhaps, because they have realized that there is just no peaceful way of achieving their dream of World Government. Perhaps because they have understood that the financial quicksand they have backed themselves into is so devastating that it cannot be cleaned up with purely financial, monetary and “legal” measures, in which case…

Nothing beats a good war! Perhaps, because wildcard Israel is so very much in control (or should I say, out of control) that they are imposing the “Sampson Option” not only on themselves, but also on their controlled Western Allies and the whole planet if need be. “After me, the Flood!”

Things in the Strait of Hormuz are extremely dangerous and volatile. After being systematically threatened with unilateral military attack, invasion, and even nuclear strikes, now the Iranians are showing their muscle too. On 24th December, Iran began a 10-day spate of military maneuvers in the strait that has all but put the US, UK and Israel on red alert. A US aircraft carrier force is now in the area and their helicopters have flown dangerously close to Iranian forces. Any spark could set off a conflagration.

Meanwhile, Syria is falling into meltdown. Meanwhile, Israel is preparing “Cast Lead II” over and inside Gaza. Meanwhile, Hezbollah is ready to strike Israel with tens of thousands of very deadly short-range “Katyushka” rockets.

A key sign of impending war is an article just published in the January/February 2012 issue of Foreign Affairs, the official journal of the New York-based Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). It carried the ominous title of Time to Attack Iran: Why a Strike Is the Least Bad Option, by Matthew Kroenig. This man was, until last July, special advisor to the Pentagon for “Defense Strategy on Iran” – Newspeak for “let’s beat the hell out of Iran”.

The CFR is the key Global Power Elite think-tank, founded in 1919 together with its London sister organization, the Royal Institute of International Affairs (also known as Chatham House). Its more than 4500 members are deeply embedded into the uppermost echelons of public and private power in the US, controlling banking, industry, media, academia, the military and government.

Key government posts are always controlled by one of their lot, irrespective of whether the Democrats or Republicans are in power. The CFR is integrated into an intricate network of similar organizations that includes the Trilateral Commission, Brookings Institution, American Enterprise Group, Project for a New American Century, Bilderberg and others. They all operate in streamlined coordination, consistency, synchronization and – most important – with a common purpose.

In his article, Mr Kroenig, assesses how “American pundits and policymakers have been debating whether the United States should attack Iran and attempt to eliminate its nuclear facilities,” concluding that, “The only thing worse than military action against Iran would be an Iran armed with nuclear weapons.”

He warns against “skeptics of military action (who) fail to appreciate the true danger that a nuclear-armed Iran would pose to US interests in the Middle East and beyond.”  

This reflects Defense Secretary Leon Panetta’s recent remarks when addressing the Brookings Institution’s pro-Israel “Saban Forum” bringing together US and Israeli military strategists that repeated the usual Baby Bush “all options are on the table” threats.

Mr. Kroenig talks of the “dangers of deterrence” and gives the Obama Administration unequivocal advice: “The truth is that a military strike intended to destroy Iran’s nuclear program, if managed carefully, could spare the region and the world a very real threat and dramatically improve the long-term national security of the United States.”

As these pyromaniacs get ready to ignite the regional and global powder keg, one key question looms ever larger: what will Russia do?

­Adrian Salbuchi for RT

Adrian Salbuchi is a political analyst, author, speaker and international radio/TV commentator from Argentina.

Dangerous game

December 30, 2011

THE DAILY STAR :: Opinion :: Editorial :: Dangerous game.

This week’s escalation of rhetoric about the Strait of Hormuz by Iran might be entertaining for the most cynical of people, anxious to hear about something other than popular uprisings in Arab countries.

But it is an extremely dangerous game of brinksmanship, which could have catastrophic consequences. The actual closure of the Strait might be aimed at the United States, and depending on how the developments play out, such an act would truly be devastating, on the level of a Sept. 11 moment. But instead of one country bearing the brunt of the event, it would be the entire world, since 40 percent of global oil exports pass through this body of water.

With varying levels of intensity, the world will say no to this threat, but a cycle of such rhetoric could easily spin out of control.

When Tehran’s leaders want to blast the U.S., it is certainly their right to do so, provided that the blasting in question involves words, and not military operations. But when the rhetoric moves into the realm of issuing concrete threats about taking such a step as closing Hormuz, Tehran’s leaders should remember that they are playing with fire, and should consider their steps with extreme care.

If they are trying to avoid dealing with their own domestic problems, a “diversion” by using threats about the global economy could lead to something catastrophic. The threats and counter-threats will increase tension in the region, and the possibility that a simple incident on the ground sparks a larger conflagration.

There is already enough violence and tension in the Middle East, and wasted resources and possibilities for growth. The United States and Israel have been mulling the idea of attacking Iran already, to halt its nuclear program, although the former seems more inclined to follow a path of sanctions and negotiations to resolve the matter.

Iran should read the signals in its immediate vicinity, such as Saudi Arabia, and the news of the latest big-ticket deal involving advanced fighter aircraft from Washington.

Iran should also recall that the U.S. has just freed itself of the quagmire of Iraq. It will presumably focus more now on its military bases in the Gulf and its economic interests there. The U.S. will not stand by idly if Iran continues its bluster, or actually carries out one of its threats.

A military conflict over the Strait of Hormuz could rapidly disintegrate into widespread violence in a range of countries, whether it’s the scenario of Israel launching its own attack, or Iraq becoming even more unstable, as side-battles are fought there.

In short, no one will be safe from the fire. It is time for Tehran, as well as Washington, to view the situation soberly and determine how much of a risk each is willing to take – and how predictable the results of any action may be.tar.com.lb)