Archive for April 25, 2011

San Francisco Sentinel » The Ultimate Ally

April 25, 2011

San Francisco Sentinel » Blog Archives » The Ultimate Ally -The -’realists’ are wrong: America needs Israel now more than ever – By Ambassador Michael Oren.

The -’realists’ are wrong: America needs Israel now more than ever – By Ambassador Michael Oren

Foreign Policy Magazine
Israel Ambassador to The United States

What is the definition of an American ally? On an ideological level, an ally is a country that shares America’s values, reflects its founding spirit, and resonates with its people’s beliefs. Tactically, an ally stands with the United States through multiple conflicts and promotes its global vision. From its location at one strategic crossroads, an ally enhances American intelligence and defense capabilities, and provides ports and training for U.S. forces. Its army is formidable and unequivocally loyal to its democratic government. An ally helps secure America’s borders and assists in saving American lives on and off the battlefield. And an ally stimulates the U.S. economy through trade, technological innovation, and job creation.

Few countries fit this description, but Israel is certainly one of them. As U.S. President Barack Obama told a White House gathering, “The United States has no better friend in the world than Israel,” a statement reflecting the positions of Democrats and Republicans alike. The importance of the U.S.-Israel alliance has been upheld by successive American administrations and consistently endorsed by lawmakers and military leaders. It should be unimpeachable. But for some it is not.

michael-oren
Ambassador Michael Oren

Rather than viewing Israel as a vital American asset, an increasingly vocal group of foreign-policy analysts insists that support for the Jewish state, including more than $3 billion in annual military aid, is a liability. Advocates of this “realist” school claim that the United States derives little strategic benefit from its association with Israel. The alliance, they assert, arises mainly from lobbyists who place Israel’s interests before America’s, rather than from a clearheaded assessment of national needs. Realists regard the relationship one-dimensionally — America gives Israel aid and arms — and view it as the primary source of Muslim anger at the United States. American and Israeli policies toward the peace process, the realists say, are irreconcilable and incompatible with relations between true allies.

By definition, realists seek a foreign policy immune to public sentiment and special interest groups. In this rarefied view, the preferences of the majority of the American people are immaterial or, worse, self-defeating. This would certainly be the case with the U.S.-Israel alliance, which remains outstandingly popular among Americans. Indeed, a Gallup survey this February showed that two out of three Americans sympathize with Israel. Overall, since the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan — and in spite of Israel’s responses to the second intifada and rocket attacks from Lebanon in 2006 and Gaza in 2008 — support for Israel in the United States has risen, not declined.

The surveys prove that most Americans do not accept the argument that U.S. support for Israel provokes Islamic radicals or do not especially care even if it does. In a Senate hearing last year, Gen. David Petraeus, then head of U.S. Central Command, testified that the Arab-Israeli conflict “challenges … our ability to advance our interests.” Critics of the U.S.-Israel relationship seized on the remark as evidence of the alliance’s prohibitive costs — an interpretation Petraeus strenuously rejected — but the incident wrought no change in popular opinion. In fact, a CNN survey taken later that week showed that eight out of 10 Americans still regarded Israel as an allied or friendly state.

That kind of popular foundation for the Israeli-American alliance is all the more important at a time of great upheaval in the Middle East. As Iran’s malign influence spreads and Turkey turns away from the West, Israel’s strategic value in the region, both to the United States and to pro-Western Arab governments, will surely increase. Following Hezbollah’s recent takeover of Lebanon and the political turmoil in Egypt, Jordan, and the Persian Gulf, Israel is the only Middle Eastern country that is certain to remain stable and unequivocally pro-American. In Israel alone, the United States will not have to choose between upholding its democratic principles and pursuing its vital interests.

And yet, for all their urgency, the close ties between the United States and Israel are hardly new. Their roots extend further than Israel’s creation 63 years ago — rather, they took hold with the Pilgrims’ arrival in North America.

THE FORBEARS WHO LANDED on Plymouth Rock in 1620 considered themselves the founders of a “New Israel.” Committed to studying Hebrew and bridging the Old and New Canaans — the Holy Land and America — they pledged to restore the Jews to their ancestral homeland. Far from peripheral, this “restorationist” movement flourished in colonial America and widely influenced the Founders: Thomas Jefferson and Benjamin Franklin wanted the likeness of Moses leading the children of Israel to serve as the Great Seal of the newly independent United States. John Adams wrote that he “really wish[ed] the Jews again in Judea an independent nation.” Abraham Lincoln similarly backed the “noble dream” of a re-created Jewish state, as did Woodrow Wilson, a descendant of Presbyterian ministers, who declared, “To think that I … should be able to help restore the Holy Land to its people.”

America’s commitment to the Zionist movement to create a Jewish state deeply influenced Harry S. Truman. A fervid Baptist and past member of the restorationist American Christian Palestine Committee, Truman made the United States the first nation to recognize Israel on May 14, 1948. None of the predictions of his realist advisors — that recognition would trigger an Arab oil embargo, Europe would fall to the Soviet Union, and Israel would turn communist — became a reality.

The spiritual attachment to the reborn Jewish state has continued to resonate in America, the nation with the highest frequency of church attendance in the industrialized world. Many Americans have also been drawn to the Zionist story of pioneering, hearing in it echoes of their own national narrative. Theodore Roosevelt, who fancied himself a frontiersman, urged that “the Jews be given control of Palestine” and that “a Zionist state around Jerusalem” be created. In a similar vein, Rev. John Haynes Holmes, on talking with Palestinian Jews in 1929, “could think of nothing but the early English settlers who came to the bleak shores of Massachusetts.… Here is the same heroism dedicated to the same ends.”

Israel emerged not only as a Jewish and pioneering state, but also as a democracy. In urging Truman to recognize Israel in 1948, White House counsel Clark Clifford argued that “in an area as unstable as the Middle East … it is important to the long-range security of our country … that a nation committed to the democratic system be established, one on which we can rely.” The fact that Israelis cherished the same values enshrined in the U.S. Constitution — free speech and assembly, respect for individual rights, an independent judiciary — created another layer of affinity with Americans. John F. Kennedy said Israel “carries the shield of democracy and honors the sword of freedom,” and Bill Clinton likened Israel to America, “an oasis of liberty, a home to the oppressed and persecuted.”

While grappling with the challenges posed by its large Arab minority and, since the Six-Day War, the Palestinians of the West Bank and Gaza, Israel has remained the Middle East’s only functional democracy. In a region in which some countries deem homosexuality a capital offense, Israel has hosted gay pride parades and provides shelter for Palestinian homosexuals. And in contrast to the Middle Eastern leaders who hold themselves above the law, a former Israeli president was recently convicted of sexual offenses, the verdict handed down by three judges — two women and an Arab. Withstanding pressures that have crushed many liberal societies, Israel is one of a handful of states that has never experienced interregna of nondemocratic rule.

Americans intrinsically value these facts — and that appreciation is reciprocated in Israel. As there are streets in the United States named for David Ben-Gurion and Golda Meir, so, too, can one find Washington and Lincoln streets in Israel. Alone in the Middle East, Israel hosts memorials for Kennedy and Martin Luther King Jr. and two exact replicas of the Liberty Bell.

STILL, ACCEPTING THE DISPASSIONATE definition of America’s interests, can Israel realistically be considered an ally? Has it traditionally stood by the United States on issues of world importance and in periods of crisis? Is American support for Israel based on calculated estimates of national interests, or is it the product of pressure from richly funded lobbies?

Israel has always sided with the United States on major global issues. At the United Nations and in other international institutions, the two countries’ voting patterns are virtually identical, as are their policies on human rights and international law. Beginning with the Korean conflict and throughout the Cold War, Israel backed America’s military engagements, and it has maintained that support in the struggle with radical Islam. In times of danger, especially, Israel has responded to America’s needs. Acceding to Richard M. Nixon’s request to intervene to save Jordan from Syrian invasion in 1970, Israel mobilized its army, and in 1991, in spite of missile attacks from Iraq, Israel honored George H.W. Bush’s request not to retaliate.

Israel is not, of course, situated in some geographical backwater, but at the junction of paramount American interests. Its prominence on the eastern Mediterranean littoral, at the nexus of North Africa and Southwest Asia, has enabled the United States to minimize its military deployments in the area. In the Persian Gulf, by contrast, the absence of a dependable and sturdy ally like Israel has impelled the United States to commit hundreds of thousands of troops and trillions of dollars. Secretary of State Alexander M. Haig’s observation 30 years ago still resonates today: “Israel is the largest American aircraft carrier in the world that cannot be sunk, does not carry even one American soldier, and is located in a critical region for American national security.”

The strategic synergy between the United States and Israel melds into tactical realities. U.S. troops train with their Israel Defense Forces (IDF) counterparts in aerial combat and special operations. U.S. Navy ships routinely dock in Haifa, Air Force planes refuel at Israeli bases, and the Marines will soon use an Israeli laser to pinpoint targets. In addition to pre-positioning $800 million of arms and medical equipment in Israel, the United States guarantees by law its commitment to preserving Israel’s “qualitative military edge,” enabling the Jewish state to defend itself, by itself, against Middle Eastern adversaries. As Assistant Secretary of State Andrew Shapiro put it, “Israel is a vital ally and a cornerstone of our regional security commitments,” and, accordingly, the two countries have developed the world’s most advanced anti-ballistic missiles. Together with the X-band radar station in the Negev — manned by the first American troops deployed permanently on Israeli soil — these systems can protect friendly nations from Iranian rockets.

In the intelligence field, in particular, the cooperation between Israel and the United States is vast. According to Maj. Gen. George J. Keegan Jr., former head of U.S. Air Force intelligence, America’s military defense capability “owes more to the Israeli intelligence input than it does to any single source of intelligence,” the worth of which input, he estimated, exceeds “five CIAs.” Israeli and American intelligence agencies continuously exchange information, analyses, and operational experience in counterterrorism and counterproliferation. The U.S. Department of Homeland Security and its Israeli counterpart also share technical know-how in defending ports and terminals from terrorist attacks, countering unconventional weapons and cyberthreats, and combating the drug trade. On the battlefield, Israeli armament protects Bradley and Stryker units from rocket-propelled grenades, while Israeli-made drones and reconnaissance devices surveil hostile territory. U.S. fighter aircraft and helicopters incorporate Israeli concepts and components, as do modern-class U.S. warships. The IDF has furnished U.S. forces with its expertise in the detection and neutralization of improvised explosive devices (IEDs), the largest cause of American casualties.

Israel not only enhances America’s defenses — it also saves American lives. A kibbutz-based company in the Galilee has provided armor for more than 20,000 U.S. military vehicles. “Two days ago, my patrol was ambushed by insurgents using 7.62mm PKM Machineguns,” David C. Cox, a platoon sergeant in Iraq, wrote the manufacturers. “None of the rounds penetrated the armor of the vehicle, including one that would have impacted with my head.” Marine gunner Joshua Smith, whose Israeli-armored vehicle tripped an IED near Marja, Afghanistan, described how his unit “walked away smiling, laughing, and lived to fight another day.” Military medical experts from both countries also meet annually to discuss advances in combat care. One such breakthrough was a coagulating bandage, the brainchild of a Jerusalem start-up company, a million of which have been supplied to U.S. forces (and even applied by a Tucson SWAT team medic to stanch the life-threatening head wound of Rep. Gabrielle Giffords).

In return for its aid to Israel, the United States receives not only an armed but an innovative ally, enhancing America’s military edge. That contribution is real and requires no lobbyists to fabricate it. While organizations such as the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) press Israel’s case in government and in popular forums, they represent American citizens who view the alliance with Israel as a national American interest. By contrast, the lobbyists for the Arab states and their domestic oil industries represent foreign interests. The hundreds of millions of dollars they have spent on lobbying and public relations campaigns and donations to influential universities such as Harvard and Georgetown have vastly exceeded the budgets of Israel’s advocates in Washington.

Pro-Israel groups neither determine America’s course in the Middle East nor derail it. Responding to the realists’ charge that a so-called Israel Lobby exerts undue influence over American policies, White House Middle East special advisor Dennis Ross wrote in this magazine that “never in the time that I led the American negotiations on the Middle East peace process did we take a step because ‘the lobby’ wanted us to. Nor did we shy away from one because ‘the lobby’ opposed it.” A 30-year veteran of Middle East diplomacy, Ross concluded that pro-Israel groups “don’t distort U.S. policy or undermine American interests.”

Understandably, the most sober assessment of American interests is conducted by the U.S. military. The alliance with Israel, Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Adm. Mike Mullen told Congress in March, “is of extraordinary value.” Israel, according to America’s highest-ranking officer, is “absolutely critical” to U.S. national security.

ISRAEL IS AMONG THE FEW COUNTRIES in the world — and the only Middle Eastern state — to consistently stand alongside the United States on strategic issues. But the U.S.-Israel relationship is far from one-dimensional. The two countries also cooperate in a broad range of nonmilitary fields — humanitarian, commercial, and scientific.

Close coordination with the United States enabled Israeli medical teams to arrive first on the scene in earthquake-devastated Haiti. They similarly assisted the victims of Turkish and Indonesian quakes and of famines in Somalia, Mauritania, and Kenya. Together with the U.S. Agency for International Development, Israel’s Agency for International Development Cooperation has trained more than 200,000 people from Africa, South America, and Asia in fields as diverse as agrobusiness and ophthalmology. Since 1985, American and Israeli scientists have jointly consulted for developing countries on public health and women’s issues.

Israel also assists the American people by stimulating trade, spurring technological innovation, and creating jobs. Despite a population of just 7.7 million people, Israel is America’s 20th-largest customer in the world, surpassing Russia and Spain. Warren Buffett’s first foreign investment was a $4 billion stake in Iscar, an Israeli tool manufacturer. “I believe in the Israeli market and the Israeli economy,” Buffett explained. Between 2000 and 2009, direct U.S. investment in Israel totaled $77.2 billion, while Israelis invested $51.4 billion in the United States. More than 25 years ago, America’s very first free trade agreement was signed — with Israel.

Google, Microsoft, IBM, Intel, AOL, and Motorola are just some of the high-tech companies with major research and development operations in Israel. In addition to providing software and hardware for most American computers and mobile phones, Israel also pioneered the USB flash drive, the ingestible microcamera, advances in drip irrigation, and the portable MRI. Through Better Place, the world’s first comprehensive electric-car system, Israel is poised to help Obama achieve his goal of placing 1 million electric vehicles on America’s roads by 2015. “It’s no exaggeration to say that the kind of innovation going on in Israel is critical to the future of the technology business,” observed Microsoft Chairman Bill Gates on a 2005 visit to Israel. After the United States and China, Israel is the most represented country on the Nasdaq stock exchange.

And at a time when American corporations are outsourcing to Asia, Israel is outsourcing to the United States: Tens of thousands of Americans are employed by Teva, the world’s leading generic-drug producer, and by dozens of Israeli high-tech, textile, and defense plants throughout the United States. The nearly 6,000 projects mounted by three U.S.-Israel foundations have generated myriad American jobs, as does the $3 billion in American military aid to Israel, $2.25 billion of which is spent in the United States.

IN SPITE OF THE OVERWHELMING ADVANTAGES of the U.S.-Israel alliance, the realists still insist that it stokes Muslim rage and renders Americans more vulnerable to terrorism. To substantiate their claim, the realists quote Osama bin Laden as well as the state-controlled Middle Eastern media. But bin Laden initially justified his attacks on America’s profligacy and only later, after his setbacks in Afghanistan, linked them to Israel. An influential Saudi Wahhabi book published online describes the United States as “the source of evil, moral corruption, oppression, despotism, and aggression … in the world” and makes no mention of Israel. Neither do recently published diplomatic papers from the Middle East or most of the demonstrations that have convulsed the region.

The official U.S. documents released by WikiLeaks show that Arab rulers are not preoccupied with Israel but with the perils posed by Iran. One report recounted Saudi King Abdullah urging the United States to “cut off the head of the snake” — Iran — and to attack the country’s nuclear facilities at once. Bahrain’s king warned that “the danger of letting [the Iranian nuclear program] go on is greater than the danger of stopping it.” The word “Israel” does not appear.

Middle Eastern populations, meanwhile, have shown that they, too, are less concerned with Israel than with urgent issues at home. When able to express themselves freely, they have preferred to focus on political rights and economic opportunity. Conspicuously absent from the protests that swept the region in 2011 were burning Israeli — or American — flags or any reference to the U.S.-Israel relationship.

Although emerging Arab governments might in the future — as in the past — seek to gain legitimacy by harnessing anti-Israeli sentiment, the claim that American support for the Jewish state axiomatically translates into anti-Americanism in the Middle East is no longer sustainable.

***

Israel is America’s staunchest ally in the Middle East, but even the warmest friendships are never disagreement-free. This was certainly the case with the Anglo-American relationship during World War II, modern history’s most celebrated alliance, but one that was riven by disputes over military planning and postwar arrangements.

The United States and Israel could not, therefore, realistically be expected to concur on all of the Middle East’s labyrinthine issues. Ronald Reagan, for example, condemned Israel’s attack on an Iraqi nuclear reactor in 1981, and Israel objected to his sale of advanced jets to Saudi Arabia.

The realists say that the gaps between Israeli and American policies on the peace process are unbridgeable. The United States, they maintain, is committed to creating a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Gaza, with East Jerusalem as its capital. Israel allegedly opposes these goals and thwarts them by building in those areas.

But historically, progress in the peace process has been directly related to the strengthening of America’s alliance with Israel. That bond convinced Arab rulers that they had no conventional military option against Israel and fortified Israelis to make the concessions necessary for peace. American security assurances — including guarantees of continued oil supplies from Sinai and the replacement of evacuated air bases — enabled Israel to withdraw from an area three times its size and to conclude the 1979 peace treaty with Egypt.

The realists ignore or dismiss this linkage, as they do Israel’s record of seeking peace. In the euphoric aftermath of the Six-Day War, Israeli leaders offered to create a West Bank Palestinian state, but Palestinian leaders rejected the plan. Israel in 2000 offered the Palestinians sovereignty over virtually the entire West Bank, all of Gaza, and part of Jerusalem, but the Palestinians refused the deal and instead killed more than 1,000 Israelis in terrorist attacks. In 2005, Israel provided the Palestinians with the chance to create a peaceful prototype in Gaza, but it quickly devolved into a launching pad for thousands of rockets. In spite of these traumas, a significant majority of Israelis — 66 percent, when recently asked by the Tel Aviv University Peace Index — still favor the two-state solution, testifying to their commitment to peace.

Settlements, meanwhile, have never been the impediment to peace. They did not preclude the signing of the Egyptian and Jordanian treaties or 16 years of Israeli-Palestinian negotiations. Israel uprooted all 21 settlements in Gaza and received war, not peace. Later, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu froze West Bank construction for an unprecedented 10 months, but the Palestinians still refused to negotiate. Internal Palestinian documents published recently by Al Jazeera reveal that Palestinian negotiators in 2008 were willing to concede the bulk of the Israeli communities in the West Bank, as well as most of the Jewish neighborhoods built over the 1967 line in Jerusalem, as part of a peace arrangement. Israeli leaders were ready to sign; the Palestinians again walked away.

Blind to Israel’s record of peacemaking, the realists also overlook the broad confluence of American and Israeli policies toward the process. Both insist that there is no alternative to direct negotiations and no solution to the conflict other than two states for two peoples. They understand that the Palestinian state, situated opposite Israel’s narrowest and most populous area, will have to be demilitarized and that Israel will require detailed security guarantees. And they agree that any peace treaty must provide for mutual recognition between the nation-states of the Jewish and Palestinian peoples, signifying an end to all claims.

American and Israeli positions also dovetail on the most monumental — and potentially divisive — Middle Eastern issue: Iran. A nuclear-armed Iran, both countries hold, will imperil every pro-Western Middle Eastern state and ignite a nuclear arms race in an inherently unstable region. The United States and Israel have promoted international sanctions designed to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, while keeping all options on the table. Americans know that, at a time of transformation in the Middle East balance of power, Israel remains the region’s only credible foil to Iran.

Ultimately, the litmus test of any alliance is not whether the partners agree on every issue, but rather the ways they deal with discord. During World War II, the United States and Britain bridged their differences and achieved victory. America and Israel have similarly worked through their differences and are together striving for a different triumph — peace.

WHO ARE AMERICA’S ALLIES in the world today? Which countries are both capable and willing to advance American interests? A truly realist assessment would strive to answer these questions and fairly weigh Israel’s worth.

In the Middle East, every Arab or non-Arab Muslim country has at times vacillated in its support of the United States or adopted anti-American positions. Some regimes have also placed oil embargoes on Americans and bankrolled their enemies. Although democratic governments may yet emerge in some Middle Eastern states, autocracy, monarchy, and dictatorship remain the region’s norm. And even elected representatives can be profoundly hostile to the United States, as in Iran, Lebanon, and Gaza.

Elsewhere in the world, new powers are arising, but few are likely to act as American allies in the realist sense. Others will be robust competitors. America’s European allies, meanwhile, are further restricting the conditions under which their forces fight and drastically slashing defense budgets. British military sources estimate that troop numbers will soon be reduced to 80,000, leaving Britain with its smallest army since the 1820s. With similar cuts expected in Germany, Italy, and France, the United States will become harder-pressed to rely on European support during crises.”[W]e won’t be able to defend the security on which our democratic societies … depend,” NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen has warned. “We risk a Europe increasingly adrift from the United States.”

Israel is the only Middle Eastern state never to oppose America on major international issues. Its fundamental interests, like its values, are America’s. For the price of annual military aid equaling roughly half the cost of one Zumwalt-class destroyer, the United States helps maintain the military might of one of the few nations actively contributing to America’s defense. It reinforces the only country capable of deterring Hamas and Hezbollah and impeding the spread of Iranian hegemony. According to published sources, the Israel Defense Forces is larger than the French and British armies combined. The IDF is superbly trained and, when summoned, capable of mobilizing within hours.

These benefits of the U.S.-Israel relationship are of incalculable value to the United States, far outweighing any price. Americans know that Israelis have always stood by them, ready to share technology, intelligence, and innovation — ready to aid them in conflict and to make the painful sacrifices for peace. Israel may be one of a handful of countries that fully fits the definition of ally, but its willingness to support the United States unwaveringly makes it the partner par excellence, America’s ultimate ally.

Iran under virus attack (or the West under Propaganda Propagation) | ITworld

April 25, 2011

Iran under virus attack (or the West under Propaganda Propagation) | ITworld.

Iran military official who threatened Stuxnet retaliation announces second virus attack

By Kevin Fogarty

Iran has intercepted and stopped a second large-scale cyber attack by intercepting a virus no one has ever heard of and of which Iran has offered no evidence.

The attack comes from a virus called “Stars,” according to Gholamreza Jalali, an Iranian military official who leads the civil defense organization Passive Defense, which is responsible for defending against sabotage.

Jalali is the same official who called a week ago for legal reprisals against Siemens, the United States and Israel for the Stuxnet attack.

“Fortunately, our young experts have been able to discover this virus and the Stars virus is now in the laboratory for more investigations,” Jalali said in a report posted on his organization’s web site, according to AP and Reuters reports.

It may be true that Iran is under attack by another Stuxnet-quality virus, but you couldn’t tell that from the type or amount of information Jalali let out.

“The virus is congruous and harmonious with the (computer) system and in the initial phase it does minor damage and might be mistaken for some executive files of government organizations,” he is quoted as having said (my Farsi is weak and his web site, not surprisingly, doesn’t include English translations).

That’s great, but could mean anything from “will run on Windows systems” to “can conceal itself as Stuxnet did for two years, pretending to be a legitimate process while taking down as many as 1,000 of the 9,000 centrifuges in the Natanz enrichment plant.”

There’s never much information about a virus attack this soon after it’s first announced. Considering the source of the report and his agenda, I take the report itself with a grain of salt.

None of the major anti-virus sites has any record of a recent Stars virus, though several old ones have star in the name and at least one includes the word as part of really bad fake love-letter dialogue.

This is the guy who said Iran neutralized Stuxnet before it did any damage, just as he’s saying it intercepted Stars before it did anything.

His now-weekly comments are either an attempt to make noise internationally and put pressure on Israel or to pressure other factions within his own government to do more than they have in retaliation.

“Perhaps the Foreign Ministry had overlooked the options to legally pursue the case,” he said last week about the Iranian government’s follow-up to Stuxnet. “It seems our diplomatic apparatus should pay more attention to follow up the cyber wars staged against Iran.”

Jalali also warned in both missives that the West could still launch another cyberattack at any time, despite the decomposition of Stuxnet as an immediate threat.

Sounds as much like a politician using his current office to run for a higher one as it does a military guy evaluating the quality of his country’s response to the previous attack.

A Cornell law school professor suggests Jalali might be getting more vocal because of the second attack, which is also possible.

I just think Iran is more likely to use a phony or vastly-overblown second “attack” for a social-engineered counterattack (propaganda), than it is that it was able to intercept and neutralize a second virus of the same quality and potential effectiveness of Stuxnet.

Either way, the claim is getting a lot of coverage and I’m sure we’ll hear more about it. The fewer technical details we get the less I’ll believe it’s a real attack and the more it will seem as if it were either a total fake or a run-of-the-mill virus given a new name and placed in the Kangaroo Court dock to play the role of Renewed Threat From the West.

Syrian deaths soar as tanks, snipers, commandos mow down civilians

April 25, 2011

DEBKAfile, Political Analysis, Espionage, Terrorism, Security.

DEBKAfile Special Report April 25, 2011, 4:40 PM (GMT+02:00)

At least 8 Syrian tanks invade Daraa

Bashar Assad has launched all-out war on his people. Tanks firing artillery, APCs, infantry units, commandoes and snipers were deployed for the first time at daybreak Monday, April 25 in cities across Syria for the most brutal assault on any Arab anti-government protest in the four-month uprising.

In the first few hours, hundreds are estimated to have been massacred (over and above the 350 shot dead in the last three days) and thousands injured. Denied medical attention, they are left in the streets to die.

debkafile‘s military sources report that protest centers in cities with populations of 2-3 million have been stormed by Syrian troops backed by tanks firing automatic 120-mm guns at random, commandoes dropped by helicopter and snipers.

The military offensive to break the back of the uprising (which debkafile Saturday, April 23 first disclosed Assad had decided to launch) is led by his younger brother Maher Assad at the head of the Republican Guard and the 4th Division which is made up mostly of the Assad’s Alawite clan. Its first target Sunday night was the southern town of Deraa where the protest movement began and the Mediterranean coastal town of Jableh.
Monday, Syria shut its land borders to Jordan to conceal the scale of the carnage inflicted on the border town of Deraa from outside eyes. Foreign correspondents have been banned from the country since the uprising began.

Monday, indiscriminate fire was also reported in Duma, a dissident suburb of the capital Damascus. By Monday afternoon, thousands of soldiers had spread out across the North, South and Center of the country, apparently preparing to storm the large cities and protest centers of Hama, Homs, Latakiya and the Kurdish north.
While times may have changed, Bashar is his father’s son. In 1982, President Hafez Assad turned his artillery on a district of Hama and slaughtered 25-30,000 civilians to smash a Muslim Brotherhood revolt. The operation was commanded by Rifat Assad, Bashar’s uncle, today an opposition leader in exile.
The incumbent president’s killing fields extend not to one but to a score of Syrian cities with unimaginable consequences.
And yet no Western power is rushing to help the pro-democracy protesters of Syria who are dying in their hundreds day by day. And the verbal condemnations coming from Washington and European capitals are soon buried under layers of inaction.

Sunday, April 24, debkafile reported:   Bashar Assad’s tanks and infantry made their first assaults Sunday night, April 24 on Jableh on the Mediterranean and Daraa in the south, after a 48-hour bloodbath by his security forces claiming up to 350 lives failed break the five-week countrywide uprising against his rule. Video-clips show tanks converging on the two towns with soldiers running in their wake while heavy gunfire continued to resound in Hama, al-Nuaimeh near Daraa and Saraqeb, southwest of Aleppo.

The Syrian ruler continues to ignore all the evidence that by massacring civilian protesters he has only magnified their numbers and Sunday decided to press ahead with his last resort for piling on the violence by deploying trained infantry men and tanks in a final attempt to smash the five-week uprising, debkafile‘s military sources report.

The southern epicenter of the uprising Daraa has resisted the most ruthless attempts to suppress its protest rallies. Less has been heard about Jableh, a town of 80,000 situated between Banias and Latakia. Anti-Assad demonstrators have barricaded themselves inside the Abu Bakr Siddiq Mosque, one of Syria’s main Sufi centers.

Rapprochement Between Egypt And Iran in Anticipation of Renewal of Relations

April 25, 2011

Rapprochement Between Egypt And Iran in Anticipation of Renewal of Relations.

Egyptian Foreign Minister Dr. Nabil Al-‘Arabi has recently expressed his country’s willingness to turn over a new leaf in its relations with Iran, as part of its new post-revolution foreign policy, marked by an openness to maintaining good relations with all countries and organizations worldwide and a desire to improve Egypt’s regional status. Accordingly, contact has been made between the two countries with an eye toward the renewal of full diplomatic relations between them. This included an official visit to Cairo by Iran’s ambassador to the U.N., Mohammad Khazaee.

Ahmadinejad’s government was quick to praise Egypt for its initiative, and has depicted post-Mubarak Egypt in the Iranian press as eager to renew ties with Iran.[1] Tehran has asked that the rapprochement be public and take place at the level of foreign ministers, and Iranian spokesmen have stressed the need to expedite the improvement of economic and trade relations specifically. The interest of Ahmadinejad’s government in publicizing the renewal of Egypt-Iran relations presumably lies in the fact that this will be a sore blow to Israel, the U.S., and the West – to which Mubarak’s Egypt had been an outspoken ally – and at the same time it will constitute a significant achievement for the resistance camp and for Iran’s Islamic Revolution. It should be noted that in 2008, Ahmadinejad initiated a similar campaign to advance relations with Cairo, which met with intense criticism from his opponents at home and which ultimately did not bear fruit.[2]

The recent initiative has also met with hesitancy and criticism, both from the opposition in Egypt and from Ahmadinejad’s critics in Iran, who say that rapprochement between the two countries should not be rushed, considering that the situation has not fundamentally changed, even following the ouster of Hosni Mubarak. Egyptian senior officials were also quick to assure the Gulf states and to calm their fears over the rapprochement between Egypt and Iran.

This document will provide an overview of the recent initiative for rapprochement between Egypt and Iran:

Iran and Egypt Step Up Diplomatic Relations

In late March, 2011, Egyptian Foreign Minister Dr. Nabil Al-‘Arabi announced his county’s intent to turn over a new leaf in its relations with other countries, including Iran, pointing to the historical ties between the two countries and explaining that Iran is not Egypt’s enemy.[3] Mojtaba Amani, director of Iran’s interest office in Cairo, reported that Iran’s Foreign Ministry and Majlis welcomed Al-‘Arabi’s statements and that a dialogue between the two countries had been initiated with an aim to fully renewing the relations.

Tehran requested that the rapprochement take place publicly and at the level of foreign ministers. To this end, on April 4, 2011, Amani met with Al-‘Arabi and gave him a letter from Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi in which the latter welcomed the rapprochement initiative. It was also reported that, in the letter, Salehi asked to meet with Al-‘Arabi in Cairo or Tehran.[4] Amani said that Iran wished for Egypt to be strong and to regain the regional status it deserved.[5] Notwithstanding Tehran’s request that the contacts be held at the level of foreign ministers, it dispatched its U.N. ambassador, Mohammad Khazaee, to Cairo on April 12, 2011 to meet with Egyptian senior officials over the initiative.[6]

In Tehran, Iranian Majlis National Security Committee Chairman Alaeddin Boroujerdi expressed support for the rapprochement, while calling to curb the harmful influence the U.S. and Israel might exert on it. Hossein Ebrahimi, deputy-chairman of the Iranian Majlis National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, said that Egypt’s opposition to Israel and its adoption of the model provided by Iran’s Islamic Revolution provided Iran and Egypt with common ground, and called for an exchange of ambassadors between the two countries. A source at Iran’s interest office in Cairo said that the reports that Egypt had set conditions for rapprochement were mistaken.[7]

The website Iran Diplomacy expounded on Tehran’s economic interest in renewing relations with Cairo, as well as stressing Iran’s ability to influence Egypt’s domestic politics. The website stated that the ongoing and extensive discussion over the Iran-Egypt Development Bank was a manifestation of Iran’s desire to deepen its economic ties with Egypt and to enjoy a greater share in the market of this country, with its population of 80 million. It should be noted that Iran’s U.N. ambassador, Mohammed Khazaee, served as Iran’s deputy minister of finance and is a member of the bank’s directorate.[8]

The website estimated that though the U.S. and Israel currently had considerable economic and security influence in Egypt, if Tehran increased its own influence there, it would quite rapidly manage to compel Egypt’s  military regime to concede to the demands of Egypt’s Islamist stream, which the website said had widespread public support. It also said it that the expected entry of the Muslim Brotherhood into Egypt’s government institutions would alter the military and political situation on the Egyptian-Israeli border.[9]

Criticism in Egypt and Iran: Nothing Has Changed to Justify the Rapprochement

Alongside Iran’s official support for the rapprochement with Egypt, critics of Ahmadinejad voiced concern and disapproval over the initiative. For example, an article in the Iranian daily Jomhouri-e Eslami, known for its criticism of the Iranian president, claimed that the ouster of Mubarak had not changed anything in Egypt to justify Iran’s renewal of relations with it, as the old regime of the military elite was still firmly in place.[10] Likewise, Kazem Jalali, rapporteur of the Majlis National Security Committee, cautioned against rushing into renewing relations with Egypt, calling upon Iran to do so gradually and in response to the unfolding events in the region.[11]

Calls against hurrying the rapprochement were also heard Egypt. A number of concerns were voiced in this regard: that Iran’s intent was to turn Egypt into an Iranian satellite and to isolate it from the other Arab countries;[12] that Egypt would undergo “Shi’itization” which would lead to a social rift;[13] that Iran would undermine Egypt’s sovereignty and interfere in its domestic affairs; and that Egypt’s interests in the Gulf would be compromised.[14] In a recent article, the former editor of the Egyptian government daily Roz Al-Yousef, ‘Abdallah Kamal, who was an associate of Mubarak and was recently replaced in his post at the newspaper, defended Egypt’s foreign policy under former foreign minister Ahmad Abu Al-Gheit, who had opposed rapprochement with Iran. Kamal claimed that the new policy contradicted the goals of the revolution, as Iran itself silenced protestors and suppressed demonstrations. He also pointed out that Iran attacked Egypt’s Arab allies, such as Saudi Arabia and Bahrain.[15] A similar position was expressed by journalist Osama ‘Agag, who held several senior posts in the Egyptian government press under the Mubarak regime. He opposed the rapprochement on the grounds that Iran did not allow other countries to play a leading role in the region and excluded them from handling regional crises.[16]

Cairo: We Have No Intention of Forging a Strategic Alliance with Iran

The warming of relations between Iran and Egypt raised concerns among the Gulf states, in light of their own tense relations with Tehran, prompting Egyptian Foreign Minister Al-‘Arabi to declare that Cairo considered the stability and Arabness of the Gulf a red line not to be crossed.[17] Another source at the Egyptian foreign ministry clarified that Egypt’s goal in rapprochement was to establish “basic normalized relations with Tehran, no more and no less… which is nothing unusual, considering the fact that the Gulf states themselves have embassies in Tehran.” He said that Egypt wished to raise the level of representation from interest offices to embassies, but that it had no intention of forging a strategic alliance with Iran. The source added that Egypt would not sway from its commitment to the united Arab stance, which calls for proper relations between the countries of the region while steering clear of mutual intervention.[18]

The Egyptian government daily Al-Ahram elucidated Egypt’s interest in renewing relations with Iran while rejecting the criticism: “The Foreign Minister’s… recent statements to the effect that [post-]revolution Egypt needs to maintain proper relations with all the world countries, including Iran, [mark] the return of rationality to Egyptian diplomacy after years of being dominated by narrow tendencies and views. This diplomacy experienced years of drought, during which Egypt’s role in the region and the world diminished, causing others – the useless or incompetent – to try to fill this role, while the Egyptians looked on [in dismay] but could do nothing about it.

“Those formerly responsible for Egypt’s diplomatic affairs [under Mubarak] tried to explain that the renewal of relations between Egypt and Iran would mean a capitulation on Egypt’s part, and a recognition of Iran’s infiltration of the Gulf and of Tehran’s [status] as the leading power in the region. However, the fact is that the renewal of relations between the two countries means [nothing more than] normalizing relations, as [Foreign] Minister Nabil Al-‘Arabi said, which is to say, maintaining normal relations without either side having supremacy over the other.

“Likewise, these relations do not mean keeping silent over Iranian policies that are unacceptable to Egypt or that negatively influence [Egypt’s] sister countries. Any role that Egypt is to play in the region and the world will depend on the number of cards it holds. One of these cards is its relations to the countries of the world, such that it can have a positive influence on these countries. Egypt is unlikely to serve as a mediator, or to carry out any other role, unless it has relations with all [relevant] sides and can persuade one side or another on a given position.

“Egypt, by its very nature, has cards that enable it to serve a prominent regional and international role. But the great revolution has given it additional important cards, chiefly that it is [now] a democratic country which honors the rights of its citizens and is a source of inspiration for other countries whose peoples hope to effect change in a civilized and progressive manner, through an alliance between the military and the people that will benefit the country. If Egypt’s role in the international arena has regressed for many years, the revolution and the changes it has effected guarantee that Egypt’s former role will be restored as soon as possible, and even strengthened.”[19]

Endnotes:

[1] For example, see Fars TV (Iran), April 8, 2011. On April 11, 2011, Press TV, the English-language website of Iran’s broadcasting authority, purportedly cited an interview in the German daily Der Spiegel with the chief of the Supreme Council of the Egyptian Armed Forces, Field Marshal Muhammad Hussein Tantawi, in which he expressed support for Al-‘Arabi’s statements and called for the strengthening of ties with Iran. Both Al-‘Arabi, on April 7, and Der Spiegel, on April 8, denied that such an interview had taken place. According to The Egyptian Gazette, the source of the false report was the Kuwaiti daily Al-Anba. The Egyptian Gazette (Egypt), April 7, 2011.

[2] See MEMRI Special Dispatch No.2074, “Iranian Film Calling Sadat Traitor Strains Egypt-Iran Relations,” October 7, 2008, http://www.memri.org/report/en/0/0/0/0/0/0/2874.htm; MEMRI Inquiry & Analysis Series Report No.426, “Iran’s Attempts to Renew Relations with Egypt,” March 12, 2008, http://www.memri.org/report/en/0/0/0/0/0/0/2627.htm; MEMRI Inquiry & Analysis Series Report No.364, “Dispute in Iran over Renewing Relations with Egypt,” June 15, 2007, http://www.memri.org/report/en/0/0/0/0/0/0/2253.htm; MEMRI Inquiry & Analysis Series Report No.38, “Developments in Egyptian-Iranian Relations, Part II: Egyptian Concerns and Ambitions,” August 15, 2000, http://www.memri.org/report/en/0/0/0/0/0/0/360.htm; MEMRI Inquiry & Analysis Series Report No.37, “Developments in Egyptian-Iranian Relations, Part I: An Apprehensive Rapprochement,” August 14, 2000, http://www.memri.org/report/en/0/0/0/0/0/0/359.htm;

[3] Al-Ahram (Egypt), March 29, 2011; Roz Al-Yousef (Egypt), March 30, 2011.

[4] Fars (Iran), April 5, 2011; Al-Dustour (Egypt), April 4, 2011.

[5] Al-Ahram (Egypt), April 12, 2011.

[6] Fars (Iran), April 12, 2011.

[7] Majlis Website (Iran), April 3, 2011; Khabar Online (Iran), April 7, 2011; Fars (Iran), April 5, 2011.

[8] IRNA (Iran), April1 13, 2011.

[9] Iran Diplomacy (Iran), April 14, 2011.

[10] Jomhouri-e Eslami (Iran), April 7, 2011.

[11] Al-Ahram (Egypt), April 6, 2011.

[12] Al-Misriyoun (Egypt), April 7, 2011.

[13] Al-Misriyoun (Egypt), April 12, 2011.

[14] Al-Yawm Al-Saba’ (Egypt), April 7, 2011.

[15] Roz Al-Yousef (Egypt), March 31, 2011.

[16] Al-Akhbar (Egypt), April 9, 2011.

[17] Al-Masri Al-Yawm (Egypt), April 7, 2011.

[18] Al-Ahram (Egypt), April 5, 2011.

[19] Al-Ahram (Egypt), April 8, 2011.

Syrian forces sweep into Deraa and Douma – Al Jazeera

April 25, 2011

Syrian forces sweep into Deraa and Douma – Middle East – Al Jazeera English.

Reports of shooting and heavy armour as Syrian soldiers join unprecedented crackdown against anti-government protests.
Last Modified: 25 Apr 2011 06:12

Syrian President Bashar Assad’s security forces opened fire on pro-democracy protesters across the country Monday, reportedly killing 13 in the coastal town of Jabla and another five in the southern town of Daraa.

Security forces backed by armored vehicles entered Daraa overnight and opened fire, a resident told Al Jazeera television Monday. Eight tanks were deployed in the old quarter of Daraa, a witness said, adding that several bodies were lying in the main street.

Syrian Anti government protester, AP, April 22 2011. Syrian anti-government protesters carry banner in Arabic that reads “Daraa is our torch, Douma is our model,” April 22 2011.
Photo by: AP

A witness in Daraa said snipers on government buildings and security forces in army fatigues had been shooting at random at houses since tanks moved in just after dawn prayers.

“People are taking cover in homes. I could see two bodies near the mosque and no one was able to go out and drag them away,” the witness said.

Activists on social media posted footage of what they said were troops firing early Monday throughout Daraa. The sound of heavy gunfire punctuates the footage, as well as the labored, frightened brejhing of the activist filming the footage.

The activist repeats the date, the location and says: “The army forces are entering Daraa. They are shelling the city of Daraa.”

The video could not be independently verified and all witnesses spoke on condition of anonymity for fear of reprisals. Syria has banned nearly all foreign media and restricted access to trouble spots since the uprising began, making it nearly impossible to get accurate assessments of the situation on the ground.

Syria forces appear to planning a major security operation, closing off all Syrian land border crossings with neighboring Jordan on Monday.

A senior diplomat in the Jordanian capital confirmed that the two main Syrian crossings at Daraa and Nassib on the Syrian side were closed to traffic.

An official told Reuters the “timing is related to what appears to be a major security operation that is taking place right now”.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported on Monday that pro-Assad forces shot dead at least 13 civilians Jabla.

The security forces and gunmen loyal to Assad deployed in the old Sunni quarter of Jabla on Sunday after a pro-democracy protest in the town the previous night, rights campaigners in contact with Jabla said.

A human rights campaigner reported that Syrian forces were continuing a brutal crackdown Monday, storming the Damascus suburb of Duma, shooting at unarmed civilians and arresting residents.

Civilians had been wounded in the shooting, an activist said.

“There are injured people. Scores have been arrested. The security [forces] are repeating the same pattern in all the centers of the democratic uprising. They want to put down the revolution using the utmost brutality,” the rights campaigner told Reuters from Damascus.

The campaigner said all telecommunications with Duma had been cut, but one activist managed to escape the suburb after the attack began at dawn and report on the situation.

Despite Assad’s caoncellation of decades-long emergency laws, his forces have continued to clash with protesters, killing more than 100 Syrians on Friday in the most brutal crackdown since the pro-democracy protests began some six weeks ago.

Syrian security forces detained dozens of opposition activists and protesters in raids on Sunday, yet another indication that Assad has little intent of relinquishing his authoritarian rule.

At least 18 said killed as Syrian forces in tanks, APCs fire on protesters

April 25, 2011

At least 18 said killed as Syrian forces in tanks, APCs fire on protesters – Haaretz Daily Newspaper | Israel News.

Following weeks of protests, Syrian security forces appear to planning major security operation; all land border crossings with neighboring Jordan closed.

By Avi Issacharoff and News Agencies

Syrian President Bashar Assad’s security forces opened fire on pro-democracy protesters across the country Monday, reportedly killing 13 in the coastal town of Jabla and another five in the southern town of Daraa.

Security forces backed by armored vehicles entered Daraa overnight and opened fire, a resident told Al Jazeera television Monday. Eight tanks were deployed in the old quarter of Daraa, a witness said, adding that several bodies were lying in the main street.

Syrian Anti government protester, AP, April 22 2011. Syrian anti-government protesters carry banner in Arabic that reads “Daraa is our torch, Douma is our model,” April 22 2011.
Photo by: AP

A witness in Daraa said snipers on government buildings and security forces in army fatigues had been shooting at random at houses since tanks moved in just after dawn prayers.

“People are taking cover in homes. I could see two bodies near the mosque and no one was able to go out and drag them away,” the witness said.

Activists on social media posted footage of what they said were troops firing early Monday throughout Daraa. The sound of heavy gunfire punctuates the footage, as well as the labored, frightened brejhing of the activist filming the footage.

The activist repeats the date, the location and says: “The army forces are entering Daraa. They are shelling the city of Daraa.”

The video could not be independently verified and all witnesses spoke on condition of anonymity for fear of reprisals. Syria has banned nearly all foreign media and restricted access to trouble spots since the uprising began, making it nearly impossible to get accurate assessments of the situation on the ground.

Syria forces appear to planning a major security operation, closing off all Syrian land border crossings with neighboring Jordan on Monday.

A senior diplomat in the Jordanian capital confirmed that the two main Syrian crossings at Daraa and Nassib on the Syrian side were closed to traffic.

An official told Reuters the “timing is related to what appears to be a major security operation that is taking place right now”.

The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported on Monday that pro-Assad forces shot dead at least 13 civilians Jabla.

The security forces and gunmen loyal to Assad deployed in the old Sunni quarter of Jabla on Sunday after a pro-democracy protest in the town the previous night, rights campaigners in contact with Jabla said.

A human rights campaigner reported that Syrian forces were continuing a brutal crackdown Monday, storming the Damascus suburb of Duma, shooting at unarmed civilians and arresting residents.

Civilians had been wounded in the shooting, an activist said.

“There are injured people. Scores have been arrested. The security [forces] are repeating the same pattern in all the centers of the democratic uprising. They want to put down the revolution using the utmost brutality,” the rights campaigner told Reuters from Damascus.

The campaigner said all telecommunications with Duma had been cut, but one activist managed to escape the suburb after the attack began at dawn and report on the situation.

Despite Assad’s caoncellation of decades-long emergency laws, his forces have continued to clash with protesters, killing more than 100 Syrians on Friday in the most brutal crackdown since the pro-democracy protests began some six weeks ago.

Syrian security forces detained dozens of opposition activists and protesters in raids on Sunday, yet another indication that Assad has little intent of relinquishing his authoritarian rule.

Syrian Army Storms Town Where Uprising Began – NYTimes.com

April 25, 2011

Syrian Army Storms Town Where Uprising Began – NYTimes.com.

BEIRUT, Lebanon — The Syrian army deployed tanks into the restive city of Dara’a in southern Syria and carried out arrests in poor towns on the capital’s outskirts Monday in a sharp escalation of a crackdown on Syria’s five-week-old uprising, according to human rights activists and accounts posted on social networking sites. They said at least five people were killed in Dara’a and bodies were in the streets.

The move into Dara’a seemed to signal a new chapter in a crackdown that has already killed more than 350 people, with the single highest toll on Friday. So far hewing to a mix of promised concessions and blunt force, the government indicated Monday that it had chosen the latter, seeking to crush a wave of dissent in virtually every Syrian province that has shaken the once-uncontested rule of President Bashar al-Assad.

Residents said at least eight tanks entered Dara’a at dawn from four directions, and there were reports of artillery and mortars being used. Phone lines were cut to the area, making first-hand accounts difficult, and nearby border crossings with Jordan were reportedly sealed. But video smuggled out of the town showed a cloud of black smoke rising on the horizon and volleys of heavy gunfire echoing in the distance.

Protesters said the toll was almost sure to rise. Bodies were in the streets, but snipers on rooftops prevented residents and medical personnel from retrieving them.

“The army forces have invaded the city of Dara’a,” one resident said breathlessly as he filmed footage Monday morning. “They are heading toward the center of the city.”

Other smuggled footage showed heavily armed soldiers taking up positions behind walls, a few feet away from a tank parked in what appeared to be a leafy, main street. Witnesses quoted by organizers said some tanks were moving toward the Omari Mosque, a landmark there that has served as a headquarters of sorts for demonstrators.

“God is great, Bashar,” one protester cried on video posted on the Internet, addressing President Bashar al-Assad by his first name. “Why are you attacking us?”

The town of low-slung buildings and about 75,000 inhabitants has become almost synonymous with the revolt, which has posed the greatest challenge to four decades of rule by the Assad family. Protests erupted there in March after security forces arrested a group of high school students accused of scrawling anti-government graffiti on a wall, galvanizing demonstrations that have spread to virtually every province in Syria.

Other activists said Syrian security forces also entered two towns on the capital’s outskirts – Douma and Maadamiah – carrying out dozens of arrests. Clashes have been especially pronounced in the poor, restive towns that encircle Damascus, and activists said there were reports of shooting during the raids that began Monday morning there.

Residents reported that security forces had surrounded the towns on Sunday. Anyone leaving or entering, they said, was searched, in an apparent attempt to stop protesters from marching on the capital, a bulwark of the Assad family’s rule.

In Jabla, a coastal city inhabited by Syria’s Sunni Muslim majority and members of the minority Alawite sect, from which the government draws much of its support, security forces killed at least 12 people in a crackdown that began Sunday and persisted into the night. One resident said protesters burned an army car and took a soldier hostage.

“The army is deployed all over the area,” said another resident who gave his name as Abu Ahmed. “I can’t describe how bad the situation was all night. It’s a street war.”

He said the shootings had exacerbated tension between Sunnis and Alawites in the city, a potentially dangerous manifestation in a country with a mosaic of religious and ethnic minorities, many of whom fear the government’s collapse may endanger them.

“The plate has shattered,” he said, using an Arabic expression. “There’s strife between us now, it’s been planted, and the problem is going to exist forever in Jabla.”

The widening crackdown comes amid reports that scores of residents have gone missing in Syria since Friday, many of them from the restive city of Homs and those towns near Damascus, activists say. In Saqba, one of the capital’s suburbs, an organizer said that 100 people had disappeared Friday, with no record of their arrest.

“There is going to be much more bloodshed,” said Wissam Tarif, head of Insan, a Syrian human rights group, “All the signals from my perspective indicate that.”

Mr. Tarif said his organization had compiled the names of 217 people, in all, who had disappeared since early Friday. At least 70 of them were from the towns near the capital’s outskirts and 68 others were from Homs, Syria’s third-largest city and the site of especially vigorous protests the past week. Taken together, he said the group had documented names of missing from 17 cities and villages.

“It just doesn’t stop,” he said. “Names keep pouring in.”

The crackdown is yet another indication that the government’s decision to lift draconian emergency rule, in place since 1963, may prove more rhetoric than reform. Though the government has touted its repeal Thursday as a sweeping step, the past few days have proven some of the bloodiest and most repressive since the uprising began. On Friday alone, more than 100 people were killed in 14 towns and cities.

“We don’t trust this regime anymore,” another protester said in Jabla.

Human Rights Watch called on the United Nations to set up an international inquiry into their deaths and urged the United States and Europe to impose sanctions on officials responsible for the shootings and detentions of hundreds of protesters.

“After Friday’s carnage, it is no longer enough to condemn the violence,” said Joe Stork, the deputy Middle East director at the organization, which is based in New York.

Employees of the New York Times contributed to this report from Beirut and Damascus, Syria

BBC News – Syrian army ‘attacks protest city of Deraa’

April 25, 2011

Syria’s army has advanced into the southern city of Deraa, with tanks being used to back troops, according to activists and unverified video footage.

One activist was quoted as saying that security forces were “firing in all directions”, and at least five people were reportedly killed.

Witnesses also said security forces had opened fire in a suburb of Damascus.

A prominent human rights campaigner said President Bashar al-Ashad had launched a “savage war” on protesters.

There have been numerous reports of crackdowns and arrests around Syria over recent days, despite the lifting of an emergency law last week.

On Sunday, at least 13 people were reported to have been killed in the north-western city of Jabla, while dozens of protesters died on Friday.

Deraa is the city in which protesters began calling for political reforms last month. Many are now demanding that President Assad step down.

‘Electricity cut’

One activist told the BBC that in Deraa on Monday, tanks had surrounded al-Omari mosque in the old city and security forces were removing dead bodies from the street.

AFP news agency quoted an activist as saying that an estimated 3,000 members of the security forces had entered Deraa, and snipers had been firing from roofs.

Another activist, Abdullah al-Harriri, told AFP: “The men are firing in all directions and advancing behind the armour which is protecting them,” he said.

“Electricity is cut off and telephone communications are virtually impossible.”

Several reports said that at least five people had been killed.

Foreign journalists have been prevented from entering the country, making information hard to verify.

But the BBC’s Owen Bennett-Jones in neighbouring Lebanon says the use of tanks has not been reported elsewhere in Syria, and would mark a scaling up in the government’s response to protests.

It appears from the latest reports that the government is absolutely determined to use force to suppress the protest movement, he says.

A leading Syrian campaigner, Suhair al-Atassi, said authorities had launched “a savage war designed to annihilate Syria’s democrats”.

Gateway to south

Deraa, where several officials have resigned in protest against the killing of demonstrators, is the main city of Syria’s Hawran region.

Map showing Syria

Situated just a few miles from the border with Jordan, it has long been a gateway to the south.

Many in the north-western town of 80,000 are members of the same Alawite minority as President Assad, and they have generally avoided joining protests until now.

The authorities have reacted erratically to demonstrations – sometimes promising to allow more democracy and freedoms, and other times opening fire on demonstrators.

At least 95 people were reported killed across Syria on Friday and a further 12 on Saturday, as mourners came under fire.

In total, more than 350 people have been killed since demonstrations started in March, activists say.

Campaign group Human Rights Watch called for a UN inquiry and international sanctions against Syria following Friday’s killings, while Western governments have become louder in their criticism of the Syrian government.

US President Barack Obama spoke on Friday of the “outrageous use of violence to quell protests”.

Stuxnet called cyber warfare’s ‘Little Boy’

April 25, 2011

Stuxnet called cyber warfare’s ‘Little Boy’.

Analyst says hope may rest in ‘mutually assured destruction’ doctrine


Posted: April 24, 2011
5:20 pm Eastern

© 2011 WorldNetDaily


Little Boy and Fat Man

Have Little Boy and Fat Man, the nuclear devices dropped on Japan to end World War II in Asia and the Pacific, been replaced by Stuxnet? The question is raised in a report from Joseph Farah’s G2 Bulletin.

Analysts who have viewed the Stuxnet virus, which sabotaged the Iranian nuclear centrifuges, call its use a watershed moment in cyber warfare, because it was the first instance of a specially designed cyber weapon used to attack the industrial infrastructure of a sovereign nation.

The success of the attack has demonstrated that cyber attacks can be not only successful but devastating.

Ralph Langner, an independent cyber security expert based in Germany, and his team of experts, analyzed the code contained in the Stuxnet virus and were surprised by what they found.

Before Stuxnet, viruses were created by hackers and unleashed onto the Internet without concern for the damage they caused.

But Stuxnet was a revolutionary design that only attacked specific electronic components configured in a particular way. In this instance, the target was centrifuges designed for a nuclear plant.

Langner’s analysis showed the virus to be of a highly advanced design.

According to Langner, “code analysis makes it clear that Stuxnet is not about sending a message or proving a concept, it is about destroying its targets with utmost determination in military style.”

In a recent article, David Gerwitz, the cyber terrorism adviser for the International Association for Counterterrorism and Security Professionals, argues that the Stuxnet virus has ushered in an era in warfare and will spark a virtual arms race similar to how Hiroshima sparked the nuclear arms race.

Gerwitz calls the Stuxnet virus the “Little Boy and Fat Man of the digital age,” in reference to the two atomic weapons used by the United States against Japan in World War II.

Little Boy was only 28 inches by 10 feet long, but it weighed in at 8,900 pounds, including its enriched uranium core. It delivered an estimated 16 kilotons of explosive power. Fat Man, 60 inches by 128 inches, was 10,300 pounds, including its plutonium center, and delivered 21 Kt of explosives.

Both were costly and difficult to develop. But computer viruses can be created by nearly any group, individual or state.

Keep in touch with the most important breaking news stories about critical developments around the globe with Joseph Farah’s G2 Bulletin, the premium, online intelligence news source edited and published by the founder of WND.

Read more: Stuxnet called cyber warfare’s ‘Little Boy’ http://www.wnd.com/?pageId=290221#ixzz1KWu0lgGD

Iran reveals second Internet virus attacking country’s nuclear program

April 25, 2011

Iran reveals second Internet virus attacking country’s nuclear program (UPDATE) | Iran | Trend.

(Go ISRAEL !! Unit 8200 strikes again…  )

Iran reveals second Internet virus attacking country's nuclear program (UPDATE)
Details added after the third paragraph (the first version was posted at 13:27)Iranian specialists have found a second virus named “Stars” in the country’s Internet network, Iranian Passive Defense Organization Chairman Gholam Reza Jalalisaid in an interview with the Mehr news agency.He said the specialists are studying the virus and the results will be announced in the coming days.

Last year the “Stuxnet” virus hit the Iranian Bushehr nuclear plant’s computers leading to the suspension of the plant’s work.

The Symantec company, operating in California, said in its report dated July 2010 that the “Stuxnet” virus has hit many countries in the world. According to the company’s report, 60 percent of the virus that infected the world is in Iran’s Internet network.

Iranian Atomic Energy Organization former head Ali Akbar Salehi said the “Stuxnet” virus has not affected main computers of the plant, but it infected some personal notebooks. Despite this, Iranian Passive Defense Organization Chairman Gholam Reza Jalali accused Germany’s Siemens company of a virus attack on Iranian nuclear plants.

According to BBC, SCADA software is produced by Germany’s Siemens. The software is used at large and complex industrial enterprises, including Iran’s nuclear enterprises.
Experts believe that the “Stuxnet” virus is produced only for enterprises operating on SCADA software.

Commenting on the “Stars” virus, Jalali said that the new virus works in accordance with the system and it is unlikely to be disinfected at the initial stage. “The virus can be confused with some state agencies’ files, therefore, our specialists are analyzing the virus,” Jalali said.