Archive for January 16, 2011

WikiLeaks: Iran developing nuclear bomb with help of more than 30 countries

January 16, 2011

WikiLeaks: Iran developing nuclear bomb with help of more than 30 countries – Haaretz Daily Newspaper | Israel News.

The Norwegian newspaper Aftenposten quotes U.S. diplomatic cables as saying that Iran is racing to achieve nuclear bomb before its economy collapses due to sanctions.

By Reuters

Iran has been developing contacts in more than 30 countries to acquire technology, equipment and raw materials needed to build a nuclear bomb, a Norwegian newspaper said on Sunday, citing U.S. diplomatic cables.

Aftenposten said that according to the cables, obtained by WikiLeaks, more than 350 Iranian companies and organizations were involved in the pursuit of nuclear and missile technology between 2006 and 2010.

Iran nuclear plant in Bushehr, AP Technicians measuring parts of Iran’s Bushehr nuclear power plant in this undated photo.
Photo by: AP

Iran says its nuclear program has purely peaceful aims but the West suspects is designed to develop a weapons capability.

“For years, Iran has been working systematically to acquire the parts, equipment and technology needed for developing such weapons, in violation of UN sanctions against the country’s nuclear and missile program,” Aftenposten said.

Aftenposten has said that it has all 250,000 U.S. cables leaked to WikiLeaks, most of which have not yet been published, and is gradually releasing them.

It cited sources as saying Iran is racing to develop nuclear weapons before its already crippled economy succumbs to the sanctions. “A race exists between the bomb and financial collapse,” the daily cited a cable quoting a French nuclear expert.

Iran was practically out of uranium, which it needs to enrich for use in weapons, forcing Tehran to look abroad for more radioactive material, cables said.

“Iran’s limited domestic supply of uranium makes it practically impossible to supply the nation’s current and future nuclear power plant capacity,” said a U.S. State Department note from February 2009.

“Consequently, the Iranians are likely to be forced into dealing with foreign suppliers to get uranium for their domestic nuclear industry,” it added.

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said earlier this month that the sanctions had set back Iran’s nuclear program, giving major powers more time to persuade Tehran to change tack.

Tehran is due to hold talks with the major powers on the nuclear program in Istanbul on January 21-22.

Israel: New Submarines Make Their Way to the IDF Navy

January 16, 2011

Israel: New Submarines Make Their Way to the IDF Navy.

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By Israel News Agency Staff

Jerusalem, Israel —- January 15, 2011 …… The Israel Navy is now preparing to receive a new submarine. In the last two enlistment cycles for the IDF Submarine Flotilla Corp, there was an increase by 30 percent for combat soldiers trained for the position, a result of two new submarines acquired by Israel from Germany.

IDF Navy officials explain that the submarines’ arrival will increase the number of such vessels in the IDF and their reach in deterring an attack on Israel. In order to have enough combat soldiers to successfully operate the new submarines, more IDF combat fighters will complete the course each cycle.

Hundreds of Israel Defense Forces soldiers completed their naval course just two weeks ago.

“We’re at the peak of a process and we’re slowly adding more crews to be trained for the position,” explains Commander of the Naval Training Base, Col. Ronen Nimni. “Additionally, we made sure to increase the number of commanders to maintain more personalized instruction for soldiers.”

Until today, the mix of IDF naval officers has mostly included those for the IDF Missile Boat Flotilla. As a result of the new additions, however, this could change,” says the IDF spokesperson’s office. The training base explains there might be a 35 percent increase in the number of IDF cadets trained for submarines.

The decision to increase the number of IDF combat soldiers and officers in the Israel Submarine Flotilla also affects logistics at the Naval Training Base including a need for more spacious rooms for soldiers, more classrooms and more instructors. “The training base is prepared for any increase in the number of officers and combat soldiers,” says commander of submarine operations school, Maj. I.

Private security analysts tell the Israel News Agency that the IDF Submarine Flotilla has become the most potent weapon in the IDF’s arsenal of weapons, overshadowing the elite Israel Air Force.

“Israel submarines deliver real time INTEL from all over the globe on Islamic terror threats against Israel. From this INTEL we are able to neutralize threats before they become actual.”

“Although Israel has never confirmed nor denied having planted the Stuxnet computer cyber war virus which has neutralized much of Iran’s nuclear program against Israel and Europe, it is believed that if Stuxnet did not deploy, the IDF submarine fleet was more than ready to physically destroy each and every missile targeting Israel and Europe. And Israel’s Mossad remains ready to neutralize those politicians and technicians in Iran who are behind the development of the Iran nuclear program.”

Iran President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad recently admitted that that a computer worm incapacitated centrifuges of the Iran military nuclear program.

“The Israel submarine fleet runs very deep and very silent. They can sit in one position for months off the shores of an enemy state in both a defensive and offensive mode,” says the analyst. “There is no doubt that Israel maintains a very strong and potent edge for making a first strike and last strike in the next war.”

 

“The Israel submarine fleet runs very deep and very silent. They can sit in one position for months off the shores of an enemy state in both a defensive and offensive mode,” says the analyst. “There is no doubt that Israel maintains a very strong and potent edge for making a first strike and last strike in the next war.”

According to The Telegraph Israel acquired the capability of launching a nuclear strike against Iran and Syria from submarines before 2003. This would place Israel and the IDF among a handful of countries able to deliver atomic weapons from land, sea and air.
With US help, Israel technicians have modified US-supplied cruise missiles to carry nuclear warheads. Commentators believe that the disclosure, in the Los Angeles Times, was intended as a message to Iran about the risks of its nuclear ambitions.

The Israel government does not comment on its nuclear capacity. But experts agree that Israel has the world’s sixth largest nuclear arsenal with some 400 warheads, deployed on subs, fighter aircraft and ground units.

The Israel Navy is said to maintain daily contact and cooperation with the US, UK, Germany, France and members of NATO. Israel’s participation in monthly and annual war games with US and European allies has transcended into one very large, democratic, military force completely coordinated to meet and neutralize any Islamic Jihadist terror threat around the world.

Foreign media reports state that Israel’s secret effort to acquire a nuclear bomb began in 1956 when France supplied a nuclear reactor and technical help. By 1968 Israel had a nuclear capability.

In June 2002, former US State Department and Pentagon officials confirmed that the US Navy observed Israeli missile tests in the Indian Ocean in 2000, and that the Dolphin-class vessels have been fitted with nuclear-capable cruise missiles of a new design. In November 2005, outgoing German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder approved the sale of two modernized Dolphin-class submarines to Israel for a total cost of $1.27 billion. A third of the cost will be financed by the German government.

Israel is hoping to acquire two more submarines that are even more advanced in the near future, the Meko A-100.

If the Israel navy purchases the two vessels, it reportedly will arm them with air-defense capability, thus creating the world’s first air defense corvettes – and giving the Israel surface fleet independent air cover for the first time.

Israel has allegedly deployed a permanent submarine presence in the Persian Gulf to maintain a 24/7 eye on Iran, according to media reports. The three German built submarines are reportedly equipped with nuclear cruise missiles.

“Flotilla 7” is comprised of three submarines that have visited the region before – the Dolphin, the Tekuma and the Leviathan. Each IDF crew includes between 35 to 50 soldiers and is commanded by a colonel.

At least one will remain in the area at all times, until further notice, according to “Colonel O,” the commander of the IDF force quoted in the reports. “We are an underwater assault force, operating deep and far – very far – from our borders,” he said.

The submarines can stay submerged as deep as 2,000 feet below the surface, for as long as a month, and can remain at sea for some 90 days.

The force is intended primarily as a deterrent, however. “The 1,500 kilometer range of the submarines’ cruise missiles can reach any target in Iran,” noted a IDF naval officer quoted by British newspaper The Sunday Times.

Israel Navy Commander Maj.-Gen. Eliezer Marom told those completing Israel’s 98th Submarine Commando course: “The Submarine Commando was established over 50 years ago, and has taken part in countless national security operations. The daring and courage of the submariners, and the professional manner in which they operate this advanced war machine, are the secret of the commando’s success.”

The objectives of the Submarine Commando is to destroy enemy ships, ensure control of port entries, espionage and provide aid to other Israeli and ally forces. The Navy’s Dolphin subs are among the most advanced conventional submarines in the world and are the IDF’s most complex and expensive assets.

“We are always found in operational activity, that is why our abilities are among the highest in the world,” says Eyal (a Colonel in Israel’s navy) who is retiring after twenty years of service in Israel’s submarine fleet. “For years the submarine fleet has been an important strategic arm of the IDF, however since the attack on the U.S.S. Cole in Yemen, 9/11 and the Second Gulf War it is more than just that.”

Stuxnet Worm Used Against Iran Was Tested in Israel – NYTimes.com

January 16, 2011

Stuxnet Worm Used Against Iran Was Tested in Israel – NYTimes.com.

This article is by William J. Broad, John Markoff and David E. Sanger.

The Dimona complex in the Negev desert is famous as the heavily guarded heart of Israel’s never-acknowledged nuclear arms program, where neat rows of factories make atomic fuel for the arsenal.

Over the past two years, according to intelligence and military experts familiar with its operations, Dimona has taken on a new, equally secret role — as a critical testing ground in a joint American and Israeli effort to undermine Iran’s efforts to make a bomb of its own.

Behind Dimona’s barbed wire, the experts say, Israel has spun nuclear centrifuges virtually identical to Iran’s at Natanz, where Iranian scientists are struggling to enrich uranium. They say Dimona tested the effectiveness of the Stuxnet computer worm, a destructive program that appears to have wiped out roughly a fifth of Iran’s nuclear centrifuges and helped delay, though not destroy, Tehran’s ability to make its first nuclear arms.

“To check out the worm, you have to know the machines,” said an American expert on nuclear intelligence. “The reason the worm has been effective is that the Israelis tried it out.”

Though American and Israeli officials refuse to talk publicly about what goes on at Dimona, the operations there, as well as related efforts in the United States, are among the newest and strongest clues suggesting that the virus was designed as an American-Israeli project to sabotage the Iranian program.

In recent days, the retiring chief of Israel’s Mossad intelligence agency, Meir Dagan, and Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton separately announced that they believed Iran’s efforts had been set back by several years. Mrs. Clinton cited American-led sanctions, which have hurt Iran’s ability to buy components and do business around the world.

The gruff Mr. Dagan, whose organization has been accused by Iran of being behind the deaths of several Iranian scientists, told the Israeli Knesset in recent days that Iran had run into technological difficulties that could delay a bomb until 2015. That represented a sharp reversal from Israel’s long-held argument that Iran was on the cusp of success.

The biggest single factor in putting time on the nuclear clock appears to be Stuxnet, the most sophisticated cyberweapon ever deployed.

In interviews over the past three months in the United States and Europe, experts who have picked apart the computer worm describe it as far more complex — and ingenious — than anything they had imagined when it began circulating around the world, unexplained, in mid-2009.

Many mysteries remain, chief among them, exactly who constructed a computer worm that appears to have several authors on several continents. But the digital trail is littered with intriguing bits of evidence.

In early 2008 the German company Siemens cooperated with one of the United States’ premier national laboratories, in Idaho, to identify the vulnerabilities of computer controllers that the company sells to operate industrial machinery around the world — and that American intelligence agencies have identified as key equipment in Iran’s enrichment facilities.

Seimens says that program was part of routine efforts to secure its products against cyberattacks. Nonetheless, it gave the Idaho National Laboratory — which is part of the Energy Department, responsible for America’s nuclear arms — the chance to identify well-hidden holes in the Siemens systems that were exploited the next year by Stuxnet.

The worm itself now appears to have included two major components. One was designed to send Iran’s nuclear centrifuges spinning wildly out of control. Another seems right out of the movies: The computer program also secretly recorded what normal operations at the nuclear plant looked like, then played those readings back to plant operators, like a pre-recorded security tape in a bank heist, so that it would appear that everything was operating normally while the centrifuges were actually tearing themselves apart.

The attacks were not fully successful: Some parts of Iran’s operations ground to a halt, while others survived, according to the reports of international nuclear inspectors. Nor is it clear the attacks are over: Some experts who have examined the code believe it contains the seeds for yet more versions and assaults.

“It’s like a playbook,” said Ralph Langner, an independent computer security expert in Hamburg, Germany, who was among the first to decode Stuxnet. “Anyone who looks at it carefully can build something like it.” Mr. Langner is among the experts who expressed fear that the attack had legitimized a new form of industrial warfare, one to which the United States is also highly vulnerable.

Officially, neither American nor Israeli officials will even utter the name of the malicious computer program, much less describe any role in designing it.

But Israeli officials grin widely when asked about its effects. Mr. Obama’s chief strategist for combating weapons of mass destruction, Gary Samore, sidestepped a Stuxnet question at a recent conference about Iran, but added with a smile: “I’m glad to hear they are having troubles with their centrifuge machines, and the U.S. and its allies are doing everything we can to make it more complicated.”

In recent days, American officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity have said in interviews that they believe Iran’s setbacks have been underreported. That may explain why Mrs. Clinton provided her public assessment while traveling in the Middle East last week.

By the accounts of a number of computer scientists, nuclear enrichment experts and former officials, the covert race to create Stuxnet was a joint project between the Americans and the Israelis, with some help, knowing or unknowing, from the Germans and the British.

The project’s political origins can be found in the last months of the Bush administration. In January 2009, The New York Times reported that Mr. Bush authorized a covert program to undermine the electrical and computer systems around Natanz, Iran’s major enrichment center. President Obama, first briefed on the program even before taking office, sped it up, according to officials familiar with the administration’s Iran strategy. So did the Israelis, other officials said. Israel has long been seeking a way to cripple Iran’s capability without triggering the opprobrium, or the war, that might follow an overt military strike of the kind they conducted against nuclear facilities in Iraq in 1981 and Syria in 2007.

Two years ago, when Israel still thought its only solution was a military one and approached Mr. Bush for the bunker-busting bombs and other equipment it believed it would need for an air attack, its officials told the White House that such a strike would set back Iran’s programs by roughly three years. Its request was turned down.

Now, Mr. Dagan’s statement suggests that Israel believes it has gained at least that much time, without mounting an attack. So does the Obama administration.

For years, Washington’s approach to Tehran’s program has been one of attempting “to put time on the clock,” a senior administration official said, even while refusing to discuss Stuxnet. “And now, we have a bit more.”

Finding Weaknesses

Paranoia helped, as it turns out.

Years before the worm hit Iran, Washington had become deeply worried about the vulnerability of the millions of computers that run everything in the United States from bank transactions to the power grid.

Computers known as controllers run all kinds of industrial machinery. By early 2008, the Department of Homeland Security had teamed up with the Idaho National Laboratory to study a widely used Siemens controller known as P.C.S.-7, for Process Control System 7. Its complex software, called Step 7, can run whole symphonies of industrial instruments, sensors and machines.

The vulnerability of the controller to cyberattack was an open secret. In July 2008, the Idaho lab and Siemens teamed up on a PowerPoint presentation on the controller’s vulnerabilities that was made to a conference in Chicago at Navy Pier, a top tourist attraction.

“Goal is for attacker to gain control,” the July paper said in describing the many kinds of maneuvers that could exploit system holes. The paper was 62 pages long, including pictures of the controllers as they were examined and tested in Idaho.

In a statement on Friday, the Idaho National Laboratory confirmed that it formed a partnership with Siemens but said it was one of many with manufacturers to identify cybervulnerabilities. It argued that the report did not detail specific flaws that attackers could exploit. But it also said it could not comment on the laboratory’s classified missions, leaving unanswered the question of whether it passed what it learned about the Siemens systems to other parts of the nation’s intelligence apparatus.

The presentation at the Chicago conference, which recently disappeared from a Siemens Web site, never discussed specific places where the machines were used.

But Washington knew. The controllers were critical to operations at Natanz, a sprawling enrichment site in the desert. “If you look for the weak links in the system,” said one former American official, “this one jumps out.”

Controllers, and the electrical regulators they run, became a focus of sanctions efforts. The trove of State Department cables made public by WikiLeaks describes urgent efforts in April 2009 to stop a shipment of Siemens controllers, contained in 111 boxes at the port of Dubai, in the United Arab Emirates. They were headed for Iran, one cable said, and were meant to control “uranium enrichment cascades” — the term for groups of spinning centrifuges.

Subsequent cables showed that the United Arab Emirates blocked the transfer of the Siemens computers across the Strait of Hormuz to Bandar Abbas, a major Iranian port.

Only months later, in June, Stuxnet began to pop up around the globe. The Symantec Corporation, a maker of computer security software and services based in Silicon Valley, snared it in a global malware collection system. The worm hit primarily inside Iran, Symantec reported, but also in time appeared in India, Indonesia and other countries.

But unlike most malware, it seemed to be doing little harm. It did not slow computer networks or wreak general havoc.

That deepened the mystery.

A ‘Dual Warhead’

No one was more intrigued than Mr. Langner, a former psychologist who runs a small computer security company in a suburb of Hamburg. Eager to design protective software for his clients, he had his five employees focus on picking apart the code and running it on the series of Siemens controllers neatly stacked in racks, their lights blinking.

He quickly discovered that the worm only kicked into gear when it detected the presence of a specific configuration of controllers, running a set of processes that appear to exist only in a centrifuge plant. “The attackers took great care to make sure that only their designated targets were hit,” he said. “It was a marksman’s job.”

For example, one small section of the code appears designed to send commands to 984 machines linked together.

Curiously, when international inspectors visited Natanz in late 2009, they found that the Iranians had taken out of service a total of exactly 984 machines that had been running the previous summer.

But as Mr. Langner kept peeling back the layers, he found more — what he calls the “dual warhead.” One part of the program is designed to lie dormant for long periods, then speed up the machines so that the spinning rotors in the centrifuges wobble and then destroy themselves. Another part, called a “man in the middle” in the computer world, sends out those false sensor signals to make the system believe everything is running smoothly. That prevents a safety system from kicking in, which would shut down the plant before it could self-destruct.

“Code analysis makes it clear that Stuxnet is not about sending a message or proving a concept,” Mr. Langner later wrote. “It is about destroying its targets with utmost determination in military style.”

This was not the work of hackers, he quickly concluded. It had to be the work of someone who knew his way around the specific quirks of the Siemens controllers and had an intimate understanding of exactly how the Iranians had designed their enrichment operations.

In fact, the Americans and the Israelis had a pretty good idea.

Testing the Worm

Perhaps the most secretive part of the Stuxnet story centers on how the theory of cyberdestruction was tested on enrichment machines to make sure the malicious software did its intended job.

The account starts in the Netherlands. In the 1970s, the Dutch designed a tall, thin machine for enriching uranium. As is well known, A. Q. Khan, a Pakistani metallurgist working for the Dutch, stole the design and in 1976 fled to Pakistan.

The resulting machine, known as the P-1, for Pakistan’s first-generation centrifuge, helped the country get the bomb. And when Dr. Khan later founded an atomic black market, he illegally sold P-1’s to Iran, Libya, and North Korea.

The P-1 is more than six feet tall. Inside, a rotor of aluminum spins uranium gas to blinding speeds, slowly concentrating the rare part of the uranium that can fuel reactors and bombs.

How and when Israel obtained this kind of first-generation centrifuge remains unclear, whether from Europe, or the Khan network, or by other means. But nuclear experts agree that Dimona came to hold row upon row of spinning centrifuges.

“They’ve long been an important part of the complex,” said Avner Cohen, author of “The Worst-Kept Secret” (2010), a book about the Israeli bomb program, and a senior fellow at the Monterey Institute of International Studies. He added that Israeli intelligence had asked retired senior Dimona personnel to help on the Iranian issue, and that some apparently came from the enrichment program.

“I have no specific knowledge,” Dr. Cohen said of Israel and the Stuxnet worm. “But I see a strong Israeli signature and think that the centrifuge knowledge was critical.”

Another clue involves the United States. It obtained a cache of P-1’s after Libya gave up its nuclear program in late 2003, and the machines were sent to the Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Tennessee, another arm of the Energy Department.

By early 2004, a variety of federal and private nuclear experts assembled by the Central Intelligence Agency were calling for the United States to build a secret plant where scientists could set up the P-1’s and study their vulnerabilities. “The notion of a test bed was really pushed,” a participant at the C.I.A. meeting recalled.

The resulting plant, nuclear experts said last week, may also have played a role in Stuxnet testing.

But the United States and its allies ran into the same problem the Iranians have grappled with: the P-1 is a balky, badly designed machine. When the Tennessee laboratory shipped some of its P-1’s to England, in hopes of working with the British on a program of general P-1 testing, they stumbled, according to nuclear experts.

“They failed hopelessly,” one recalled, saying that the machines proved too crude and temperamental to spin properly.

Dr. Cohen said his sources told him that Israel succeeded — with great difficulty — in mastering the centrifuge technology. And the American expert in nuclear intelligence, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, said the Israelis used machines of the P-1 style to test the effectiveness of Stuxnet.

The expert added that Israel worked in collaboration with the United States in targeting Iran, but that Washington was eager for “plausible deniability.”

In November, the Iranian president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, broke the country’s silence about the worm’s impact on its enrichment program, saying a cyberattack had caused “minor problems with some of our centrifuges.” Fortunately, he added, “our experts discovered it.”

The most detailed portrait of the damage comes from the Institute for Science and International Security, a private group in Washington. Last month, it issued a lengthy Stuxnet report that said Iran’s P-1 machines at Natanz suffered a series of failures in mid- to late 2009 that culminated in technicians taking 984 machines out of action.

The report called the failures “a major problem” and identified Stuxnet as the likely culprit.

Stuxnet is not the only blow to Iran. Sanctions have hurt its effort to build more advanced (and less temperamental) centrifuges. And last January, and again in November, two scientists who were believed to be central to the nuclear program were killed in Tehran.

The man widely believed to be responsible for much of Iran’s program, Mohsen Fakrizadeh, a college professor, has been hidden away by the Iranians, who know he is high on the target list.

Publicly, Israeli officials make no explicit ties between Stuxnet and Iran’s problems. But in recent weeks, they have given revised and surprisingly upbeat assessments of Tehran’s nuclear status.

“A number of technological challenges and difficulties” have beset Iran’s program, Moshe Yaalon, Israel’s minister of strategic affairs, told Israeli public radio late last month.

The troubles, he added, “have postponed the timetable.”