Archive for September 2010

IAEA: Syria stonewalling threatens nuclear probe

September 7, 2010

IAEA: Syria stonewalling threatens nuclear probe – Israel News, Ynetnews.

UN agency slams Damascus for failing to provide documents related to suspected nuclear site bombed by Israel in 2007, refusing to allow inspectors access to it

Reuters

P{margin:0;} UL{margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-right: 16; Syria’s refusal to allow UN inspectors access to a desert site where secret nuclear activity may have taken place is endangering potential evidence in the investigation, the International Atomic Energy Agency said.

It has been over two years since the IAEA was allowed to inspect the site, bombed to rubble by Israel in 2007. Syria, an ally of Iran, denies ever having an atom bomb program.

“With time, some of the necessary information may deteriorate or be lost entirely,” the IAEA chief Yukiya Amano wrote in a confidential report obtained by Reuters.

US intelligence reports have said the site, known as either al-Kibar or Dair Alzour, was a nascent North Korean-designed nuclear reactor to produce bomb fuel.

Earlier this year the IAEA gave some weight to suspicions of illicit atomic activity at the site by saying that uranium traces found in a 2008 visit by inspectors pointed to nuclear-related activity.

“The features of the building and its connectivity to adequate cooling are similar to what may be found at a nuclear site,” the latest report said.

The agency wants to re-examine the site so it can take samples from rubble removed immediately after the air strike.

Amano urged Syria to cooperate and criticized it for failing to provide documents related to Dair Alzour and making only statements “limited in detail” about it.

He also repeated a call for IAEA access to three other Syrian sites under military control whose appearance was altered by landscaping after inspectors asked for access.

//

Washington’s envoy to the IAEA said last month a “number of countries” were beginning to ask whether it was time to invoke the IAEA’s “special inspection” mechanism to give it the authority to look anywhere necessary in Syria at short notice.

The agency last resorted to special inspection powers in 1993 in North Korea, which still withheld access and later developed nuclear bomb capacity in secret.

The IAEA lacks legal means to get Syria to open up because the country’s basic safeguards treaty covers only its one declared atomic facility, an old research reactor.

Americans wake up to Islamism

September 7, 2010

Lion’s Den: Americans wake up to Islamism.


What began as a local zoning issue has morphed into a national debate with potential foreign-policy repercussions.

The furor over the Islamic center variously called the Ground Zero mosque, Cordoba House and Park 51 has large implications for the future of Islam in the US and perhaps beyond.


The debate is as unexpected as it is extraordinary. One would have thought that the event that made Islam a national issue would be an act of terrorism. Or the discovery that Islamists had penetrated the US security services. Or the dismaying results of survey research. Or an apologetic presidential speech.

But no, something symbolic roiled the body politic – the prospect of a mosque in close proximity to the World Trade Center’s former location.

What began as a local zoning issue has morphed into a national debate with potential foreign-policy repercussions.

Its symbolic quality fit a pattern established in other Western countries: Islamic coverings on females spurred repeated national debates in France from 1989 onward.

The Swiss banned the building of minarets. The murder of Theo van Gogh profoundly affected the Netherlands, as did the publication of anti- Muhammad cartoons in Denmark.

Oddly, only after the Islamic center’s location had generated weeks of controversy did the issue of individuals, organizations and funding behind the project finally come to the fore. Personally, I do not object to a truly moderate Muslim institution near Ground Zero; conversely, I object to an Islamist institution being constructed anywhere.

Indeed, building the center in such close proximity to Ground Zero, given the intense emotions aroused, will likely redound against the longterm interests of Muslims in the US.

THIS NEW emotionalism marks the start of a difficult stage for Islamists in the US. Although their origins as an organized force go back to the founding of the Muslim Student Association in 1963, they came of age politically in the mid-1990s when they emerged as a force in US public life.

I was fighting Islamists back then, and things went badly. It was, in practical terms, just Steven Emerson and me versus hundreds of thousands of Islamists. He and I could not find adequate intellectual support, money, media interest or political backing.

Our cause felt hopeless.

My lowest point came in 1999, when a retired US foreign service officer named Richard Curtiss spoke on Capitol Hill about “the potential of the American Muslim community” and compared its advances to Muhammad’s battles in seventh-century Arabia. He flat-out predicted that, just as Muhammad had prevailed, so too would American Muslims.

While Curtiss spoke only about changing policy toward Israel, his themes implied a broader Islamist takeover of the US. Disconsolate, I could not fight his prediction.

But 9/11 provided a wake-up call, ending Emerson’s and my sense of hopelessness. Americans reacted not just to that day’s horrifying violence, but also to the Islamists’ outrageous insistence on blaming the attacks on US foreign policy, their blatant denial that the perpetrators were Muslims, and the intense popularity of the attacks among Muslims.

Scholars, columnists, bloggers, media personalities and activists became more knowledgeable about Islam, developing into a community focused on the Islamist threat, a community that now feels like a movement.

The Islamic Center controversy represents the movement’s emergence as a political force, offering an angry, potent reaction inconceivable just a decade ago.

The energetic push-back of recent months finds me partially elated: Those who reject Islamism and all its works now constitute a majority and are on the march. For the first time in 15 years, I feel I may be on the winning team.

But I have one concern: the team’s increasing anti-Islamic tone. Misled by the Islamists’ insistence that there is no such thing as “moderate Islam,” my allies often fail to distinguish between Islam (a faith) and Islamism (a radical utopian ideology aiming to implement Islamic law in its totality). This amounts not just to an intellectual error but a policy dead-end. Targeting all Muslims conflicts with basic Western notions, lumps friends together with foes, and ignores the inescapable fact that Muslims alone can offer an antidote to Islamism. As I often note, radical Islam is the problem, and moderate Islam is the solution.

This lesson learned, the defeat of Islamism can come into sight.

The writer (www.DanielPipes.org) is director of the Middle East Forum and Taube distinguished visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution of Stanford University.

Barak signs military deal with Russia

September 7, 2010

Barak signs military deal with Russia.

Israel and Russia made history on Monday, signing for the first time a military agreement that will increase cooperation on combating terrorism and the proliferation of nuclear weapons, but also could lead to the sale of Israeli weaponry to the Russian military.

Defense Minister Ehud Barak and his Russian counterpart, Anatoly Serdyukov, signed the agreement during a ceremony in Moscow. Later in the day, Barak met with Prime Minister Vladimir Putin at his private residence in Sochi.

Russia is particularly interested in acquiring Israeli unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). In 2009, Russia bought 12 drones from Israel Aerospace Industries, following its war with Georgia, during which Georgian military forces used Israeli Elbit Systems Hermes 450 UAVs.

The Russian army is training 50 soldiers to operate the 12 pilotless aircraft, Interfax reported.

Israel recently put plans to establish a joint venture with Russia to manufacture UAVs on hold, amid concerns regarding the transfer of sensitive technology.

On Monday, Serdyukov said, following his meeting with Barak, that it was important to borrow experience and know-how from the Israeli armed forces for the modernization of Russian armed forces.

Barak’s visit to Russia comes amid Israeli concerns regarding Moscow’s sale of advanced military technology to Syria and Iran.

Israel is particularly worried by a deal to supply Syria with advanced supersonic P-800 Yakhont cruise missiles, which would pose a major threat to Israel Navy ships if transferred to Hizbullah. During the 2006 Second Lebanon War, Hizbullah hit the Israel Navy missile corvette ‘Hanit’ with an Iranian-supplied surface-to-sea missile, killing four sailors.

Barak said that Russia was an important world power and played a dominant and influential role in the Middle East. He briefed Serdyukov and Putin on Israel’s strategic standing in the region and the way it views the various threats it faces, particularly from Iran, Syria and Lebanon.

The two defense ministers agreed to meet again soon, either in Israel or Russia.

“Security issues are our No. 1 priority,” Barak said. “We will not compromise on Israel’s security.”

AP contributed to this report.

UN report: Iran has enough uranium for three nuclear devices

September 7, 2010

UN report: Iran has enough uranium for three nuclear devices – Haaretz Daily Newspaper | Israel News.

IAEA report raises concerns over Iran’s rejection of IAEA decisions regarding identity of nuclear program inspectors and says Iran has prevented inspectors from entering nuclear sites.

By Yossi Melman

Iran has accelerated its nuclear program and currently possesses a sufficient supply of enriched uranium to make three nuclear devices, assuming it speeds up enrichment to 90 percent, according to a new report by the International Atomic Energy Agency.

The report was presented ahead of a discussion by the IAEA board of governors, as well as the organization’s General Assembly, which will meet in Vienna this month.

Iran nuclear plant in Bushehr, AP Technicians measuring parts of Iran’s Bushehr nuclear power plant in this undated photo.
Photo by: AP

According to the findings, Iran currently has 22 kilograms of uranium enriched at levels of 20 percent, and a total of 2.8 tons of uranium enriched at 3.5 percent. The material is being supervised by IAEA inspectors and Iran cannot make use of it for military purposes without this being known to the international community.

The report raises concerns, however, over what is described as Iran’s consistent rejection of the IAEA decisions regarding the identity of the inspectors, and points out that in June Iran prevented two inspectors it did not like from entering its nuclear sites.

Iran’s efforts to interfere in the organization’s ability to inspect its nuclear sites are also highlighted in the report, which essentially suggests that Tehran is following a predetermined path – that Western intelligence services have argued is aimed at achieving military nuclear capabilities.

Experts say the recent batch of sanctions are not deterring Tehran from its goal. Both Israeli and American intelligence organizations believe that if Iran continues to progress technologically at this pace, it will acquire military nuclear capability by 2014.

Hizballah strikes US troops in Iraq, clears way for anti-Israel Eastern Front

September 6, 2010

DEBKAfile, Political Analysis, Espionage, Terrorism, Security.

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 6, 2010, 12:00 PM (GMT+02:00)

Why did Nasrallah devote his pro-Palestinian speech to Iraq?

debkafile‘s military sources report increased Hizballah involvement in actions to terrorize, subvert and destabilize Iraq. A US intelligence source told debkafile‘s Iraq and counter-terror sources Monday Sept. 6: “Hizballah is striking US targets in Iraq as sub-contractor for Iran and Syria.”
According to the Sunday Times of Sept. 5, Iranian “firms” in Kabul are shelling out $1,000 to Taliban for every American soldier they kill in Afghanistan.
These developments make nonsense of the dire predictions heard from some American military experts that an Israeli strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities would unleash a wave of anti-US terror in Iraq and Afghanistan. It is happening anyway without Israel lifting a finger against Iran or its aggressive allies.
debkafile‘s counter-terror sources can exclusively reveal the nature and makeup of Hizballah’s operation in Iraq:  The Lebanese terrorists are working directly and through two Iraqi Shiite affiliates.
1. Asaib al-Haq (League of the Believers):  Under a variety of names, such as the Qais Khazalis for its commander, this group spent the last four years under the tutelage of Hizballah officers at Revolutionary Guards bases in Iran.A few weeks ago, the Lebanese officersleft Iran and crossed into Iraq disguised as Shiite pilgrims  to spread out in Baghdad and the southern Iraqi towns of Karbala, Najef, Nassiriyeh and Basra from which to attack attack US targets.

2. Kata’ib Hizballah (Hizballah Brigades): This organization is commanded by Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis who visited Damascus on Aug. 21 with the Revolutionary Guards chief Gen. Ali Jafaari. They got together there with Syrian and Hizballah officers to synchronize their campaigns of violence in Iraq, Israel and the West Bank.
The Iraqi operation was clearly uppermost on the mind of Hizballah secretary general Hassan Nasrallah, judging from the number of words he poured out on Iraq in his speech in Beirut on Palestine Solidarity Day of Sept. 3 and the way he bracketed the two “resistance struggles.”
“The steadfastness of the Palestinians, Syria, Iran and the Iraqi people has been able to foil the US plot seeking to partition the region and liquidate its resistance,” he said. “The US withdrawal from Iraq is a sign of weakness and defeat.” Furthermore, “the Americans came to Iraq to stay there and control it, but years later, they were surprised by the early resistance and cited enormous and strategic mistakes in their reading of the Iraqi arena.”

debkafile‘s military sources report that Hizballah’s increased involvement in actions to terrorize, subvert and destabilize Iraq on behalf of Syria and Iran is their first practical step for reviving the Eastern Front which threatened Israel in the days of Saddam Hussein.
In its contemporary re incarnation, the Eastern Front would be orchestrated from Tehran and link up with the armed-to-the-teeth Northern Front composed of Iran’s cohorts, Hizballah, Syria and the Palestinian rejectionists.

‘Mideast peace process poses a strategic threat to Iran’

September 4, 2010

‘Mideast peace process poses a strategic threat to Iran’ – Haaretz Daily Newspaper | Israel News.

Minority Affairs Minister Avishay Braverman: Cancellation of Iran FM’s visit to Cairo is proof of the importance of the peace process.

By Barak Ravid and The Associated Press

Minister of Minority Affairs Professor Avishay Braverman said Saturday that the recently relaunched peace talks between Israel and the Palestinians posed “a strategic threat to Iran.”

Avishay Braverman 30/08/10 David Bachar Minority Affairs Minister Avishay Braverman
Photo by: David Bachar

Speaking at the Shabbat Tarbut event in Haifa, the minister said that “the cancellation of a visit by the Iranian foreign minister to Egypt and the historical events that have occurred in Tehran since the start of peace talks are proof that progress in the talks will lead to an alliance between Israel and the moderate Arab states versus the axis of evil of Iran-Hamas-Hezbollah.”

Braverman was referring to Egypt’s cancellation Friday of a meeting that was to include Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki over remarks he had made earlier, accusing of Arab leaders of betrayal for cooperating with the U.S.-sponsored peace talks.

Mottaki was quoted in the Iranian media on Tuesday as saying that the Arab leaders meeting in Washington in order to launch the renewal of peace talks with Israel are traitors to their respective peoples. Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and Jordanian King Abdullah II both attended the official launch of the direct talks in Washington.

Hassan Nasrallah, Secretary General of the Lebanese militia Hezbollah, also criticized the negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians. In a speech he gave on Friday in honor of pro-Palestinian “Jerusalem Day,” Nasrallah said that “these negotiations were born and have died.”

Nasrallah added, “Palestine from the river to the sea is the property of the Palestinian people, the Arabs and the Muslims, and no person has the right to give any of it away, not a grain of sand or a drop of water.”

Nasrallah blessed the Hamas for the attacks it carried out this past week and said, “This is the message, and this is the way to liberate Jerusalem and Palestine. Hamas and other resistance fighters of their kind should hear voices of support from the entire Arab and Muslim world.”

Sources close to Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas said that by the end of the first round of talks between Israel and the PA in Washington, the mood of the Palestinian delegation had turned around 180 degrees.

The London-based newspaper Al-Hayat announced Saturday morning that the Palestinian delegation had expressed satisfaction with the Americans’ intention to include all of the core issues in the peace agreement that is supposed to be finalized before the end of 2011.

Arab League chief Amr Moussa also expressed cautious optimism on Friday that the current round of talks between Israel and the Palestinians will be the final round. According to Moussa, participating in an economic conference in Italy, the Arab world is read for comprehensive peace with Israel in exchange for withdrawal to the 1967 borders, including in East Jerusalem.

Iran threatens Israel’s Dimona reactor, will destroy Israel in nuclear war

September 4, 2010

DEBKAfile, Political Analysis, Espionage, Terrorism, Security.

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DEBKAfile Special Report September 4, 2010, 9:21 AM (GMT+02:00)

Israels’ power reactor at Dimona, Negev

A top Iranian general said Friday, Sept. 3: “Iran hopes there won’t be a need to target the nuclear facility of the Zionist regime, but if there is, Israel would receive dreadful retribution.” Gen. Hasan Firouzabadi, supreme commander of Iran’s military and Revolutionary Guards armed forces, went on to say, “Our developed weapons can hit any part of the Zionist regime.”

Firouzabadi was the first senior Iranian military figure to publicly indicate Tehran readiness for the Middle East’s first nuclear war. Saturday, Sept. 4, Israeli ambassador in Washington Michael Oren reported that Hizballah had posted in South Lebanon 16,000 rockets, altogether quadrupling the number ranged on the Israeli border four years ago (in violation of UN resolution 1701).
Their range now covered every part of Israel as far south as Eilat with enhanced precision.
This would obviously include Dimona.
In Havana, Fidel Castro again warned that a nuclear conflict was inevitable if the United States, in alliance with Israel, tried to impose international sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program. His speech to students was highlighted by the Iranian media.
A few hours earlier, Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told a pro-Palestinian rally that the talks re-launched between Israel and the Palestinians must fail. “The fate of Palestine will be decided through resistance and not in Washington,” he declared.
As thousands shouted “Death to America! Death to Israel!” the Iranian president mocked Arab leaders by yelling: “The people of the Middle East are capable of ridding the region of the state of Israel even if their leaders chose not to.” He pointed a finger at Abdullah King of Jordan and Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, who took part in the ceremonial opening of Israel-Palestinian talks in Washington on Sept. 2, for a broad hint that their peoples would rise up against them.
Ahmadinejad then sneered at his favorite targets: “I want to say that no only the Zionists, but even their masters are too small to lay a finger on the Iranian nation and its rights.”  By’ “rights,” he referred to Iran’s development of nuclear weapons, which he said they were “too small” to halt.

debkafile‘s Iranian sources stress that Iranian threats to the Jewish state have becoming increasingly harsh and pugnacious marking their contempt for the Netanyahu government’s non-response and what they take as Israel’s tacit surrender to the activation of their first nuclear reactor at Bushehr on Aug. 21.

Day of Anti-Israel Protest Reveals Iran’s Internal Rift – WSJ.com

September 4, 2010

Day of Anti-Israel Protest Reveals Iran’s Internal Rift – WSJ.com.

[IRAN] Reuters

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, facing criticism from domestic opponents, waves during an Quds Day demonstration in Tehran Friday.

Iran’s government used annual pro-Palestinian demonstrations Friday to renew its threat to wipe Israel off the map, while dissident leaders accused the regime of using verbal attacks on Israel to divert attention from its battle with domestic political opponents.

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad delivered a long speech during religious services, attacking Washington’s efforts to mediate between Israel and the Palestinians and saying no one has the right to negotiate away any Palestinian land.

Mr. Ahmadinejad called on all Muslims to prepare for a final battle to free Jerusalem, claimed by both Israelis and Palestinians as their capital. “People of the region should be alert and ready so when the time comes we can fight our final and decisive battle” against Israel, he said.

The annual event, Quds Day, is a show of support for Palestinians in their conflict with Israel and is held on the last Friday of the Muslim holy month of Ramadan. It was initiated in 1979 by the leader of Iran’s Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who declared the liberation of Jerusalem a religious duty for all Muslims.

This year, the day was also marked by bitter criticism of Mr. Ahmadinejad’s administration by his opponents. Dissident leader Mir Hossein Mousavi, issued a statement saying the government was using Israel as an excuse to crush its critics.

“The orchestrated violence against the opposition shows that the occupation of Jerusalem and Israel is just an excuse. They consider their real enemy people who are fighting to free our country from oppression,” said Mr. Mousavi’s statement.

Mr. Mousavi also condemned an attack on another opposition leader, Mehdi Karroubi, whose house was raided Thursday night by militia members loyal to the government. Gunmen stormed Mr. Karroubi’s Tehran residence and shot at his bodyguards. Mr. Karroubi wasn’t hurt.

Mr. Karroubi and Mr. Mousavi had called on supporters to take to the streets in an Quds Day protest. But after the attack, they told people to stay home. Opposition supporters posted hundreds of messages online on social networks and websites, saying the Iranian government treats its domestic critics worse than Israelis treat Palestinians.

“Let’s all forget about Quds Day and focus on freeing Iran,” wrote a man who gave his name as Adel, on website sahamnews.org, which is aligned with the Green Movement opposition.

The homes of Mr. Karroubi and Mr. Mousavi remained under siege Friday, according to opposition websites. Phone lines to the leaders’ houses were also cut, the websites reported.

Government forces in the central city of Shiraz raided the mosque of a reformist cleric, Grand Ayatollah Ali Mohamad Dastgheib, and beat his students with batons, according to news reports and photos posted online.

Brig. Gen. Mohamad Reza Naghdi, commander of the Basij forces, a paramilitary group under the command of the Revolutionary Guards Corps, said in an interview with the Mehr News Agency that Iran is “just looking for an excuse to wipe Israel off the map.”

During government-organized Quds Day demonstrations in Tehran and other major cities, thousands of government supporters—many of them employees of public institutions—were bused to specific locations heavily monitored by security forces. The areas were closed off with check points and antiriot police to keep out opposition supporters.

Protestors carried banners and chanted “Death to Israel” and pledged their backing for Gaza and Lebanon, two places where Arabs have battled Israel.

In Lebanon, the Shiite party Hezbollah also staged a demonstration. Its leader, Seyed Hassan Nasrallah, blasted the current round of Middle East peace talks. “These negotiations were born dead. Talks with the Israelis are fruitless and they serve only to give legitimacy to the occupation,” said Mr. Nasrallah.

The rhetoric against the negotiations from Iran and Hezbollah underscores the challenges Palestinian leaders face in trying to strike an agreement with Israel. Analysts say that unless Israel’s real enemies, Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran, are on board, it will be difficult for any peace deal to hold.

—Nada Raad in Beirut contributed to this article.

US envoy Oren warns: Hizbullah has 15,000 rockets on border

September 4, 2010

US envoy Oren warns: Hizbullah has 15,000 rockets on border.


Ambassador says Islamist group amassing arsenal in southern Lebanon with long enough range to hit Eilat; missiles now hidden beneath hospitals, homes and schools to avoid Israeli Air Force strikes.

Hizbullah has an arsenal of approximately 15,000 rockets amassed on Lebanon’s border with Israel, including some with a long enough range to hit the southern city of Eilat, US envoy Michael Oren told AFP on Friday.

“The Syrian-Iranian backed Hizbullah poses a very serious threat to Israel…Hizbullah today now has four times as many rockets as it had during the 2006 Lebanon war. These rockets are longer-range. Every city in Israel is within range right now, including Eilat,” he said..

Oren expressed Israeli concerns with Hizbullah’s concealment of the weapons as well.

“In 2006, many of their missiles were basically out in the open, in silos and the Israeli air force was able to neutralize a great number of them…Today those same missiles have been placed under hospitals, and homes and schools because Hizbullah knows full well if we try to defend ourselves against them, we will be branded once again as war criminals.”

This was not the first time that Oren has warned of the threat that Hizbullah poses to Israel. Following a clash on the northern border between the Lebanese Army and IDF soldiers last month, in which Lebanese soldiers opened fire on two IDF officers, killing one and seriously wounding the other, Oren warned that the distinction between Lebanon’s Army and Hizbullah has become “cloudy.” He expressed concerns that advanced weaponry given to the regular army could find its way into the hands of the Islamist group.

Following the border clashes and Oren’s warnings, the US Congress voted to suspend $100 million in aid to the Lebanese Armed Forces.

September 3, 2010

DEBKAfile, Political Analysis, Espionage, Terrorism, Security.
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report September 3, 2010, 8:40 AM (GMT+02:00)

Israeli warships targeted

Tehranand its extremist and terrorist allies, having failed to abort Barack Obama’s initiative for direct Israel-Palestinian diplomacy, have hit back with two belligerent steps. debkafile‘s military sources disclose that Syria and the Lebanese Hizballah have set up a joint military command for sinking Israeli warships, and Hamas has brought all 13 Palestinian rejectionist organizations under one roof for a sustained bid to intensify terror operations against Israel.
At a news conference in Gaza early Friday, Sept. 3 – shortly after the Washington talks were rated positive – a Hamas military arm spokesman announced the creation of a single command encompassing all 13 Palestinian rejectionist groups operating out of the Gaza Strip and Damascus for a concerted campaign of terror against Israel.
In answer to a question, Abu Obeida said the new policy of expanded attacks may well rain missiles on Tel Aviv. “From now on, everything is open,” the Hamas spokesman said.
At that moment, Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu was on a flight home from Washington, surrounded by an intense PR effort to present him as emerging from his first conversation with Palestinian Authority Chairman Mahmoud Abbas as a super-peacemaker. The Americans, the Palestinians and his own aides were well aware that the ceremonial inauguration of the talks had yielded very little after their goals were sharply pared down. No accord but only a document of general principles is now expected to come out of the continuation of the dialogue – once every two weeks in the coming year. This, too, would oblige Israel to withdraw from large sections of the West Bank. Further steps were relegated to the distant future.
In the meantime, Syria, Hizballah and the Palestinian terrorist community are using the very act of diplomacy as the impetus for a violent response.
Whereas the prime minister’s rhetoric in Washington laid heavy emphasis on the negotiations measuring up to Israel’s security needs, in practice, he refrained from ordering an Israeli reprisal against the Hamas command centers which ordered two attacks on West Bank roads, although four Israeli civilians paid with their lives and two more were injured.
Syria, Hizballah and the Palestinian terrorist commands operating out of Damascus, Gaza, Beirut and Sidon to took this restraint as a starting signal for reviving concerted attacks on Israel.
Syrian President Bashar Assad and Hizballah leader Hassan Nasrallah decided to expand the secret military cooperation pact they recently concluded – to which no Israeli political or military leader has so far responded – to the Mediterranean Sea, where their operational and intelligence assets will together seek out and try and sink Israeli missile ships and submarines.
To this end, they have earmarked marine units and their Iranian- and Russian-made shore-to-ship missile force – the largest of its kind in the world – as well as Syrian assault helicopters flown by crews trained to strike seaborne targets. The Hizballah marine unit was trained and equipped by Iranian Revolutionary Guards marine instructors.
The Mediterranean coastal strip from Syrian Latakia in the north, running through the Lebanese ports of Tripoli, Sidon and Tyre and down south to the Gaza Strip, have been declared a joint sea front dedicated to attacking Israeli targets.
High-ranking Israeli military sources told DEBKA file Thursday night that while it was hard to imagine Syrian or Hizballah managing to hit Israeli submarines, they are quite capable of fomenting violence on the sea and attacking Israeli naval craft and bases. Their joint command means they are sharing intelligence on Israeli naval activity and monitoring the movements of vessels while still in Israeli territorial waters and before they take up stations opposite the Lebanese or Syrian coasts.
Our military sources add that, from the strategic viewpoint, the Washington dialogue and the disproportionate
hype surrounding it were counter-productive in that it led to the resumption of Hamas terrorist activities on the West Bank and strengthened the military partnership between Syria and Hizballah for aggression against Israel. Netanyahu’s single-minded focus on diplomacy at the expense of neglecting rising threats and blocking military activity allowed these perils to develop and abound.
His restraint did not help Mahmoud Abbas’ failing fortunes at home. His standing took a bad knock from the way Hamas managed to pull off two terrorist operations on the West Bank. In a desperate bid to show they were in control, Palestinian security sources reported Thursday night that two suspects were in custody for Monday’s drive-by shooting near Hebron and they had leads to the perpetrators.
debkafile‘s counter-terror sources disclose that the two “suspects” are the used car salesmen who sold the vehicle the Hamas gunmen used in their attack. They had no clues to offer about the identities or whereabouts of the purchasers who have disappeared without a trace.
Netanyahu is scheduled to continue his talks with Abbas in Sharm el-Sheikh on Sept. 14-15 – and again at fortnightly intervals during the coming year under Washington’s watchful eye. It is hard to see how they can keep going in a climate of rising military tensions and expanding terrorist outbreaks.