Archive for May 14, 2010

Diplomats: Iran improving technology for high-grade uranium – Haaretz Daily Newspaper | Israel News

May 14, 2010

Diplomats: Iran improving technology for high-grade uranium – Haaretz Daily Newspaper | Israel News.

Iran first started enriching small amounts of uranium to higher levels in February, saying it wanted to make fuel for a medical research reactor.

A nuclear reactor in Bushehr A nuclear reactor in Bushehr
Photo by: Bloomberg

Iran has been setting up extra equipment which could improve the way it enriches uranium to higher levels, diplomats said, a move which shows Tehran seeking to enhance its atomic work as big powers discuss new sanctions.

Iran first started enriching small amounts of uranium to higher levels in February, saying it wanted to make fuel for a medical research reactor. This raised Western suspicion as Iran is seen to lack the ability to make the fuel assemblies needed.

Western powers, which called the move provocative, fear the Islamic Republic ultimately aims to stockpile potential material for nuclear weapons. Iran says its aims are purely peaceful.

Iran has been using one set or “cascade” of 164 centrifuge machines to refine small amounts of uranium to up to 20 percent purity, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency’s last report in February.

But a system using just one cascade is inefficient, analysts said, as it produces a large proportion of leftover low-enriched uranium (LEU) alongside the sought-after highly enriched material.

In recent weeks Iranian officials have been adding a second cascade at the Natanz pilot plant to allow the leftover material to be re-fed into the machines more easily, obtaining its full potential and making the work more efficient, diplomats said.

“The second cascade is aimed at supporting the work of the first,” a Western diplomat said. It is not yet operational.

The changes do not appear be aimed at increasing the amounts produced or to raise the enrichment level further, moves which would ring alarm bells, diplomats said. But they said the second cascade could be reconfigured to do this should Iran decide to.

This is why the IAEA has been trying to boost monitoring at the site. The work also shows Iran seeking to improve its technique should it wish to expand later.

“It contributes to their knowledge of how to do this recycling at higher levels of enrichment,” said Mark Fitzpatrick of London’s International Institute for Strategic Studies.

“Any acquisition of such tacit knowledge, of knowledge that comes from actually doing the operation, does contribute to any future effort to push for highly enriched uranium.”

The IAEA declined to comment.

Western officials fear Iran’s decision to enrich to higher levels is ultimately meant to advance it on the road to generating arms-grade uranium — refined to 90 percent purity.

Iran denies this and says its operation will only produce 20 percent refined uranium with a capacity of 3 to 5 kg a month, enough to make fuel for the research reactor.

Since the higher enrichment started, the IAEA has sought to improve monitoring and inspections at the site. Talks with Iran have yielded some progress, but IAEA chief Yukiya Amano said earlier this month that arrangements were still not “proper”.

The better monitoring is key because inspectors need to ensure the work is not being diverted for military purposes.

Tehran has said it was forced to enrich to higher levels after the breakdown of a fuel deal with Western powers and IAEA, under which it would have sent 1,200 kg of its low-enriched uranium abroad in return for fuel rods for the medical reactor.

“Iran’s moves make it clear that it is not serious about the fuel proposal,” another Western diplomat said.

The Islamic Republic has voiced optimism about Turkish and Brazilian mediation efforts to revive the fuel offer. Western officials have dismissed the moves as stalling tactics.

Middle East Updatel – Gen. Paul Vallely

May 14, 2010

Middle East Updatel – Gen. Paul Vallely, PJTV « HOME – Other Right Links and Posts – Remember In November!

Former US General Warns of Chemical Attacks against Israel

Gen. Paul Vallely speaks to PJTV exclusively and reveals how Iranian submarines are now equipping Israel’s enemies with Scud missiles armed warheads filled with chemical weapons.

Click here to see the report/interview…

Israel’s Right To Dimona And To The Weapons That Emerge From It | The New Republic

May 14, 2010

Israel’s Right To Dimona And To The Weapons That Emerge From It | The New Republic.

Having failed (and failed abysmally) to curb Iran’s nuclear vault, what’s called the “international community”—a very silly phrase, isn’t it?—is attempting to focus an accusatory spotlight on Israel’s long-held (but ritualistically shrugged off) capacity to make atomic war. The truth is that an Israel without nukes is an axiomatic target for wave combat in which hordes of soldiers, terrorists, and civilians would be deployed almost haphazardly literally to overwhelm the Jewish state.

It is ironic that this fixation on Israel comes at the tail-end of President Obama’s phlegmatic and ultimately failed effort to bring Dr. Ahmadinejad’s Tehran into line. There is meaning to the connivance of both Russia and China in this adventure of the mullahs. But hardly anyone seems to want to make the point.

In any case, as to Israel’s atomic capacity as a guarantee of its survival, Ari Shavit—perhaps the country’s most sage columnist, who publishes weekly in Ha’aretz—has written a very persuasive justification.

And, here, a one-time plea: To the three or four frothers who prevent a sensible discussion of the matters I raise, why don’t you just leave this one alone? Go to The Nation and Matthew Yglesias. You’ll have a very good time.

The Rise of the Ignoramus Jihadist

May 14, 2010

The Rise of the Ignoramus Jihadist | FrontPage Magazine.

It is still widely believed in leftist circles that the generic Islamic terrorist is the product of ignorance and poverty. This idea – that terrorists are a persecuted minority of the ignorant and downtrodden – dovetails neatly with another liberal tenet: that the problem of modern terrorism is amenable to a socioeconomic solution. Typical of this putative class of terrorist is “shoe bomber” Richard Reid. A petty criminal who was arrested in his teens for assaulting an elderly woman, and who was in and out of prison for most his adult life, Reid considered himself a victim of racism. He was thus promising material for conversion to Islam: the Jihadists love to glom onto disaffected and benighted losers to do their dirty work.

But even liberals are coming around to the view that many acts of terror are being planned and carried out by “educated” members of the Islamic middle class, not a few of whom have come from affluent and privileged backgrounds. Marc Sageman, a forensic psychiatrist and former CIA case officer, states in his book Understanding Terror Networks that a high percentage of al-Qaeda operatives are college educated (34 percent) and come from skilled professions (45 percent). A governmental report prepared for the CIA in 1999 entitled “The Sociology and Psychology of Terrorism: Who Becomes a Terrorist and Why?” reached the same conclusion.

However, some qualification of the word “educated” is in order. While secondary education in some Islamic countries like Malaysia is modeled on the Western system, in the Middle East it is largely the responsibility of the madrasahs (religious schools), which are dedicated almost exclusively to religious instruction and indoctrination. Though not all these institutions are stridently anti-Western, the fact that the curriculum is entirely religious-based, i.e., focused on the Quran and the hadith, means that the average madrasah graduate is blissfully unaware of the modern world and thus a receptive vessel for the anti-American narrative promoted by militant jihadists.

For example, if you were to ask a madrasah graduate to explain what role the Christian democracies have played in world affairs in the twentieth century (the Anglo-American alliance that defeated German imperialism in 1918, the Nazi-Fascist Axis in 1945, and international Communism in 1989), they would have no idea what you were talking about. Indeed, so profound is their ignorance of current events and world history, few would even know there had been a Cold War.

If the number of Nobel laureates is any measure—Islam, 20% of the world’s population, has produced 6, while the Jewish community, a tiny minority of 0.2%, has produced 165—intellectual curiosity is not a highly rated virtue in the Koran; “Islam” is a Syriac word meaning submission, which is the surrender of the mind to faith, i.e., the abdication of free conscience and independent thought to the teachings of the Prophet. Most so-called “educated” jihadists, those who see themselves as symbolic emissaries of Islam and are fully convinced of the rectitude of their cause, suffer from a cognitive disorder Thomas Aquinas called “invincible ignorance.” The best (or worst) you can say of graduates of the madrasahs is that their knowledge of history and world affairs is roughly equivalent to that of an average American fourth-grader. In no other culture, society, or religion is the pursuit of knowledge viewed with such virulent contempt and ignorance of the world considered evidence of virtue.

So when we speak of “educated” jihadists we are referring to training and expertise in a specialized technical field or in one of the professions, like medicine. Practically all university-educated jihadists are engineers and technologists. In terms of general education, however, middle-class, university-educated jihadists like Mohammed Atta, Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, and Jordanian double agent Mulal al-Balawi aren’t much better off than ordinary graduates of the illiberal and benighted madrasah, i.e. they reason with the intellectual sophistication of superstitious children. Exposure to Western science and technology does not erase years of obscurantist religious indoctrination and conditioning. Like their fellow supplicants, they have been taught from early childhood to believe that the West, and Israel and America in particular, are their mortal enemies; and that Western Enlightenment values, and the temptations of Western popular culture, constitute a diabolical conspiracy to defile and undermine their religion.

According to a Congressional Research Services report published in 2008, radicalized madrasahs in Afghanistan were incubators for the Taliban movement:

In the 1980s, madrasas in Afghanistan and Pakistan were allegedly boosted by an increase in financial support from the United States, European governments, Saudi Arabia, and other Persian Gulf states all of whom reportedly viewed these schools as recruiting grounds for anti-Soviet mujahedin fighters. In the early 1990s, the Taliban movement was formed by Afghan Islamic clerics and students (talib means “student” in Arabic), many of whom were former mujahedin who had studied and trained in madrasas and who advocated a strict form of Islam similar to the Wahhabism practiced in Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries.

The Madrasahs are, in fact, indispensable to the perpetuation of Islam’s medieval worldview. Deprivation of information about life and the ways of the world is an essential tool for infantilizing generations of Muslim students: isolated from reality, these adolescent novitiates never encounter the world as it is and thus never achieve full adulthood. Their maturation into self-actualized individuals is defeated by a distortion field of fanatical dogma and a rancorous hatred of the infidel; while Islam’s demonstrable inferiority to the West fans a searing humiliation and inchoate resentment that cuts them off from every decent human instinct.

Since these embryonic jihadists have no inclination or opportunity to discover their own humanity they will never sense any solidarity with the community of mankind. In the Muslim view the non-Islamic world constitutes “the other,” i.e., the enemy of Islam. In place of humanity Islam offers its young men the spiritual blessings of imams, mullahs, and ayatollahs, and the unsurpassed exhilaration and exaltation of martyrdom.

But while the motivations of information-deprived terrorists are comprehensible, the complacence of Dar al-Islam is unfathomable. One can only gasp with disbelief on learning that in nuclear-armed Pakistan, an ally which the U.S. has bankrolled with over a billion dollars in aid yearly, 64 percent of the population views the U.S. as an enemy. What is to be said of a country where one in five trust Osama bin Laden more than Barack Obama, and of the population that clings to these beliefs after Taliban militias have penetrated to within sixty miles of Islamabad, and after Al Qaeda has, according to estimates of the World Health Organization, killed 150,000 Muslims in Iraq alone? The forces of paranoia, superstition, and ignorance will not be quelled by reason: the roots of anti-Western sentiment are deep, global, and generational in Islamic society. Indeed, how could it be otherwise in Middle Eastern states where outlawing political debate, saturating the media with anti-Western slogans, and propagating hate speech in mosques and in school textbooks, have become institutionalized strategies to maintain political power and prop up incompetent tyrants?

I happened to be teaching at a government prep school in Malaysia, a country that practices a relatively benign version of Islam, during the siege and occupation of the U.S. embassy in Teheran by revolutionaries of the Ayatollah Khomeini, and I was surprised when a devout but gentle Muslim teacher approached me and half-apologetically explained his admiration for the revered Iranian religious leader who had lately occupied the world stage. I hadn’t expected him to repudiate the Ayatollah for fomenting revolution against the Shaw (self-determination is the right of every decent society) but I was disturbed to hear him countenance the storming, and the imprisonment the staff of, an American embassy that was under the protection of international law.

So sacrosanct is the concept of diplomatic immunity that the Italian Minister Bettino Craxi allowed Mohammed Abbass, leader of the Achille Lauro hijacking, to leave Italy because he had a diplomatic passport issued by Iraq. In the history of revolution, some perpetrated by ruthless and vicious regimes, the taking of hostages of a foreign embassy was unheard of. Moreover, to countenance Ayatollah Khomeini was to countenance his barbaric fatwa against Salmon Rushdie, a criminal incitement to the assassination of a celebrated novelist and blatant attack on the very roots of Western civilization. What did such reckless and defiant acts portend for the future of Islam and the world? The lawless Ayatollah had passed the infallible litmus test for fascism that had been the mantra of every tyrant in history: What’s Mine is Mine and What’s Yours is Mine.

The complacent attitude of my Islamic colleague whose faith in the Iranian Ayatollah was absolute and who believed the revered spiritual leader could do no wrong, was almost as disturbing as the event itself; for me and my generation, his viewpoint bore an eerie resemblance to the mindless adoration of the German people for Adolf Hitler and the Nazi Party. How a gang of inept sociopaths succeeded in taking over the country that gave the world Kant, Goethe and Beethoven is still something of a mystery. When asked about it, most Germans simply shrug and say they awoke one morning and found the Nazis in control. Something like the Nazis’ stealthy seizure of power seems to be taking hold in Islam: a cabal of sociopathic clerics masquerading as a holy religious cause appears to be co-opting Islam in an apocalyptic confrontation with the civilized world with the passive compliance of Islam itself.

The 2005 Pew survey below would seem to indicate that the support of mainstream Islam for violence is diminishing. Such fluctuations in attitude are probably due to increased awareness of the self-liquidating nature of the jihadist philosophy and internal contradictions of Islamic fundamentalism. Such trends can be misleading because the primary cause for jihadist violence still exists, i.e. a culture that has no intellectual tradition, and that uses information deprivation to manipulate the faithful.

As the examples of Nazi Germany, Imperial Japan, and the Khmer Rouge show, unanimity is not a prerequisite for the takeover of a society. With a misinformed, cowed, and submissive populace, a scant minority of determined fanatics can do the job. What Dar al-Islam does not fully understand or refuses to admit, even to itself, is that the rise of child-martyrs and ignoramus-jihadists in its midst holds more peril for Islam than it does for the West.

Dealing with Islamic mentality for the first time can be a startling and eye-opening experience for a Westerner. Confronted with Islam’s negative view of the West, one is beset with an overwhelming sense of futility. The problem lies not in only correcting facts, or in supplanting illusion with objective information; this is a mentality so steeped in obscurantist tradition and ignorance that it has never developed any standard for truth; rather “truth” is something used to hoodwink an opponent. And this is an ignorance so absolute and on a scale so extensive that it is impossible to convey it to anyone who hasn’t experienced it. One quickly realizes that in an ignorance this total any fiction, no matter how outrageous, can not only survive but take permanent residence and flourish.

This is a problem that can only be corrected by a major overhaul of the Islamic educational system. For where there is no concept of truth, there is no idea of free inquiry. Thus, it would appear that the tender-minded liberals had it right after all: this is a socioeconomic problem. The children of Islam are the disadvantaged educationally-deprived victims of deliberate parental abuse and theological violation, and nothing will change until this problem is remedied, either by Islam itself or by the political and cultural disaster that certainly awaits it over the horizon of history.

Finally, for those who question the power of the Mosques and madrasahs to infantilize and dehumanize Muslim society, and to cocoon a population in near absolute ignorance, there was this AP filing on April 19, 2010:

A senior Iranian cleric says women who wear immodest clothing and behave promiscuously are to blame for earthquakes. “Many women who do not dress modestly lead young men astray, corrupt their chastity and spread adultery in society, which increases earthquakes,” the cleric, Hojatoleslam Kazem Sedighi, was quoted as saying by Iranian media. Mr. Sedighi is Tehran’s acting Friday Prayer leader. Women in Iran, one of the world’s most earthquake-prone countries, are required by law to cover from head to toe but many, especially the young, ignore some of the stricter codes and wear tight coats and scarves pulled back that show much of the hair. “What can we do to avoid being buried under the rubble?” Mr. Sedighi asked during a prayer sermon on Friday. “There is no other solution but to take refuge in religion and to adapt our lives to Islam’s moral codes.”

It would probably be disrespectful to suggest that Sedighi is himself getting off on those sexy Iranian bints in tight coats and exposed locks. Nonetheless the lip-smacking relish with which this revered Shiite cleric describes the cause and effect between male arousal and earthquakes is certainly suspicious. Surrealistic decrees from Iran’s delusional leadership have taught us not to be shocked by any communiqués originating in Teheran, but Westerners would probably be surprised to learn how many listeners in Sedighi’s audience actually agree with this childish nonsense. More to the point, the grim-mouthed cleric spouting this vile claptrap is the venerated prayer leader for a regime that is acquiring the capacity to build nuclear weapons and the rocket technology to deliver them.

William Fankboner is the author of The Triumph of Political Correctness and A Hypertext Field Guide to Marshall McLuhan’s Understanding Media. He runs a web site at: http://home.roadrunner.com/~lifetime. His e-mail address is: williefank@aol.com.

Turkey Deploys Air Defense System To ‘Defend’ Syria, Iran Against Israel Raids | Asbarez Armenian News

May 14, 2010

Turkey Deploys Air Defense System To ‘Defend’ Syria, Iran Against Israel Raids | Asbarez Armenian News.

ANKARA (Combined Sources)–High-ranking sources in the Israeli Foreign Ministry expressed displeasure with Turkey Thursday over the deployment of anti-aircraft batteries along the Syrian border in the Iskenderun district.

The Turkish daily Hurriyet meanwhile, quoted a military source as saying that “this move aims at repelling a US or Israeli attack against Iran or Syria.”

The Israeli Foreign Ministry sources noted that if the news published in the Turkish media were true, then Ankara would be taking a side with Damascus and Tehran, instead of preventing the nuclearization of Iran.

In a phone call with Al-Manar TV on Wednesday, Mustafa Ozcan, a Turkish political analyst, said “The news in Hurriyet daily is true. The air defense system was moved from Istanbul to Iskenderun to counter any surprise Israeli air raid, because in 2007 Israeli warplanes used the Turkish airspace to carry out air raids on Syrian targets. Thus Turkey took this precautionary measure so that what happened in 2007 would not happen again.”

Asked whether the cooperation between Israel and Turkey gives the Zionist entity the freedom to use Turkey’s air space, Ozcan replied, “Of course not. Israel cannot do this without prior notice to Ankara because Syria is Turkey’s neighbor and ties between the two countries are developing day after day.”

Russia Tries to Push US Aside

May 14, 2010

DEBKAfile, Political Analysis, Espionage, Terrorism, Security.

Moscow Is on the Make as Lead-Negotiator on Iran
Dmitri Medvedev and Bashar Assad

Russian President Dmitri Medvedev‘s 17-hour visit to Damascus this week – from Monday, May 10 at 8 PM to Tuesday, May 11, at 2 PM – when he left for two days in Ankara – was the high point of a whole new diplomatic and military ball game in the Middle East, just launched by a team of four: Russia, Turkey, Syria and Qatar.
Reporting this development, DEBKA-Net-Weekly‘s sources in Moscow and the Middle East list this nascent bloc’s objectives as being:
1. To deactivate Washington’s threatened sanctions against Iran, whether imposed through the UN Security Council or unilaterally.
2. To allow Iran’s nuclear program to continue as long as it is not proved to be non-civilian.
3. For Moscow to displace Washington in the lead of diplomatic engagement with Iran.
4. To buttress the pro-Tehran Syria-Hizballah-Hamas alignment in the Middle East with the addition of Turkey as a member.
Personally involved in the initial steps of this emerging alliance are Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Recep Erdogan, Syrian President Bashar Assad, Qatar ruler Emir Hamad bin Khalifa Thani, Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu, and surprisingly, a personal representative of Iraqi President Jalal Talabani.

Anointing Moscow senior mediator on Iranian nuclear issue

Our sources disclose that Sunday, May 9, twenty-four hours before Medvedev’s arrival in Damascus, the Turkish, Syrian and Qatari leaders foregathered in Ankara and decided to focus first on breaking up the united stand of the five UN Security Council powers (US, Russia, France, UK and China) plus Germany, who lead the international diplomatic effort to curb Iran’s advance on a nuclear weapon.
Russia was targeted first. The threesome put together a plan of action for Assad to present to its president when he arrived in Damascus the next day. It consisted of three parts:
A. Russia would lead a new initiative to mediate the nuclear issue between Washington and Tehran at the head of a mini-grouping made up of Turkey, Syria and Qatar.
B. Russia would consent to the reprocessing of Iranian enriched uranium to a grade higher than 19.5 percent (which the powers had accepted), but less than weapons grade. The process would take place in Russia or Turkey.
C. Russia would join the three-nation group’s drive to win the support of the European Union and so internationally isolate the United States on the Iranian question.
DEBKA-Net-Weekly‘s sources report that the three rulers behind this initiative fully expected Moscow to be an easy target if offered the lead role. They were encouraged by their contacts during last week with Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin via Russian Deputy Foreign Minister and Presidential Special Envoy to the Middle East Alexander Sultanov.

Tehran maneuvers Moscow into its corner

By going along with this plan, its authors argued, Moscow would eclipse Washington in the diplomatic process with Iran and also be perceived in the Muslim world as the only power able to curb or even torpedo America’s designs on the Middle East. With Russia aboard, China would jump in too, so bringing the Obama administration’s toughened sanctions drive against Iran to a grinding halt.
Throughout these discussions, Assad kept a direct line open to Iranian leaders in Tehran.
He was therefore able to keep Erdogan and Emir Thani abreast of Iranian thinking straight from the horse’s mouth while at the same time opening the door for Iran to drive a hard bargain with Moscow.
Iran was in on the plan, he was told, provided Moscow met the two conditions to be presented to President Medvedev on his arrival in Damascus: First, Russia must scrap its pledge to Washington to refrain from activating Iran’s first nuclear reactor in Bushehr this summer; and, secondly, Moscow must make good on its 2007 contract to supply Iran with advanced S-300 anti-ballistic missile systems, delivery of which is held up by another Kremlin promise to the White House.
Assad explained that Tehran could not bring itself to trust Moscow as honest broker in nuclear diplomacy if it defaulted on its former commitments to Tehran.
And so the three-way meeting in Ankara was slickly maneuvered into seconding Tehran’s most pressing demands of Moscow and bending the Russians to its will.

Medvedev promises Syria a nuclear reactor

DEBKA-Net-Weekly‘s Moscow sources report that the Kremlin knew what was going on and saw in the new plan an opportunity to advance its goals. A consultation with Putin yielded a decision for Medvedev to tell the Syrian ruler that Russia views the three-power group’s plan positively and is prepared to discuss its implementation.
So when they first met Monday, May 10, the Russian president offered his Syrian host four gestures of goodwill for driving the budding alliance forward.
One was consent to stop foot-dragging on the final stages of the Bushehr atomic plant and meet Putin’s former pledge to get it finished this summer.
The second was for Medvedev to meet publicly with the Hamas political secretary Khaled Meshaal who lives in Damascus. This would show Europe and the Arab world that Moscow was taking the most important Middle East allies of Damascus and Tehran under its wing. The event did indeed take place Tuesday, May 11, in Assad’s presence.
A Russian nuclear power station was also promised Syria, notwithstanding the International Atomic Energy Agency’s incomplete probe of Syria’s nuclear weapons projects and procurement of nuclear technology from North Korea.
With regard to the advanced S-300 anti-ballistic missiles, Medvedev said the matter was back on the table with a view to expeditious action.

Moscow’s smiles for Damascus draw frowns from Washington

Although wise to the swirl of inimical activity around the Russian president’s visit to Damascus, DEBKA-Net-Weekly‘s sources in Washington report the Obama administration watched and did nothing – until the S-300 missile question came up and touched a red line.
President Barack Obama reacted by sending his top nuclear adviser, coordinator of weapons of mass destruction Gary Samore, to issue a statement.
Samore told reporters Tuesday, May 11, that because of the setbacks in Iran’s enrichment program, “the nuclear clock is not ticking as quickly as some had feared.”
He then went on to say that the United States had made clear to Russia that delivering a promised advanced air defense system to Iran would have serious implications on US-Russian relations, adding he would be surprised if Russia fulfilled Tehran’s 2007 order for the S-300 air defense system.
These remarks carried a twofold reproof from Washington to Moscow:
First, the Russians were advised not to be in a hurry to join the Turkish-Syrian-Qatari grouping because the setbacks in the Iranian nuclear program had given the Obama administration more time to get tough new sanctions in train, especially when US military action against Iran – and even more, an Israeli military strike – was not in immediate prospect.

The Kremlin is not deterred

The other message from Washington was that a Kremlin decision to deliver S-300 systems to Iran, in breach of Russian prime minister’s pledge to the US president, would generate a serious personal crisis between President Obama and the two Russian leaders, Putin and Medvedev.
The last straw for the US president was the piece of intelligence relayed to Washington this week, first disclosed here by DEBKA-Net-Weekly‘s intelligence sources, that Iranian teams were being secretly trained in the operation of S-300 missiles at Russian bases.
This was the first time President Obama had ever addressed Russian leaders in the language of ultimatum.
Still talking tough, Wednesday, May 12, State Department spokesman Philip Crowley told reporters: “What concerns us is … Syria has not answered questions that have been raised about its compliance with the NPT,” the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. “And all countries that contemplate energy cooperation need to take that into account.”
But Medvedev was not at once deterred by the disapproval radiating from Washington.
He flew directly from Damascus to Ankara to continue discussions with the Turkish prime minister on the mooted Russian-led Muslim group of four and its plan to seize the lead in the international nuclear dialogue with Tehran from the United States.

Iran’s Nuclear-Missile Programs out of Control

May 14, 2010

DEBKAfile, Political Analysis, Espionage, Terrorism, Security.

Iran’s Nuclear-Missile Programs out of Control
Revolutionary Guards’ “Nuclear Warlords” Move in
Mohammad Ali Jafari

Indications that Iran’s nuclear and missile programs have broken away from the organized chain of authority in Tehran and are running on an independent track – or tracks – are reported by DEBKA-Net-Weekly‘s Iranian sources. Even the powerful supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad appear to have been left standing, only with decisions on side-issues with little effect on the main course of the two programs.
So who is in charge? The two programs have always been the responsibility of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Corps, so the short answer would be: the IRGC commander Gen. Mohammad Ali Jafari.
And so it was in early 2010. Five months later, matters are more complicated.
Important decisions about nuclear and missile projects are still subject to Jafari’s approval and he still brings the most important before the supreme leader. However, today, IRGC department heads responsible for the various facets of the programs practice selective secrecy. Projects which they know in advance will meet with the commander’s approval reach his desk, whereas plans he frowns on go forward without this formality.
Iran’s nuclear weapon and missile programs have become the new primary power bases. As such, they are platforms for political and military elite members jockeying for prominence. Some department heads are therefore engaged in fierce turf wars and secretly racing each other for first results.
The powers-that-be have consequently lost control of key elements of Iran’s WMD programs. A striking example is the 1,400-mile range Sajjil-2 ballistic missile, which was test-fired at the end of 2008 and scheduled for deployment in 2012.

Jumping the gun (or nuclear warhead) on Tehran

However, the Revolutionary Guards team responsible for this project has jumped the gun with a scientific-engineering crash program to have its nuclear warhead finished six months before Sajjil-2 becomes operational – even through nothing has been decided in Tehran about making this missile the backbone of Iran’s nuclear-capable missile arsenal.
Similarly, a shroud of secrecy cloaked the dozen KH-55 nuclear-capable cruise missiles which Tehran managed to acquire in 2006 on the black market in Ukraine.
Conflicting rumors were finally dispelled this week by Israel Aerospace Industries chairman Yair Shamir, who revealed that Israeli intelligence, closely watching Iran’s efforts to develop and produce a long-range cruise missile, had found the mystery KH-55 in Iranian hands. He described it as capable of flying under the radar of most regional states and changing the balance of power in the Middle East.
Iran, said the aerospace expert, sought to extend the range of the missile beyond 2,500 kilometers and was also developing an air-launched version.
The pace of Iran’s missile development is much faster than those of solutions, Shamir said. “The new element is that Iran is already in space.”
Since the KH-55 is a cruise missile capable of carrying a 200-kiloton nuclear warhead – and since Iran acquired it along with technical blueprints for the missile and its nuclear warhead – any further Iranian development of a nuclear missile would seem on the face of it to be superfluous. But Shamir brought out four new facts which he said posed an “extremely serious danger.”

Nuclear-capable missiles roll out ahead of bombs

Those facts indicate that the key nuclear and missile programs have been taken over by IRGC cliques whose leaders DEBKA-Net-Weekly‘s military sources dub “nuclear warlords.”
1. Iran is using the KH-55 technology to develop a new cruise missile to be installed on their ageing US-made F-14A Tomcat bombers, French F-1 Mirages, or Russian-made Sukhoi, Su-25 warplanes. Such ordnance would enable an Iranian air force jet to hit any target in the Middle East or East and West Europe – without leaving its own airspace.
Therefore, the assessment the International Institute for Strategic Studies published on Monday, May 10, describing Iran’s missile program as expanding in tandem with its drive to acquire an atomic capability, was inaccurate. In fact, the Iranians have put the cart before the horse, managing to develop a missile with nuclear capabilities without first having developed an atomic weapon.
2. The Iranian missile program has splintered several ways: One team is working on the Sajjil-2 missile, another is developing a new nuclear cruise missile based on the KH-55, while, according to DEBKA-Net-Weekly‘s military and intelligence sources, a third team is trying to bring up to scratch the Kavoshgar 3, the very missile referred to by Yair Shamir when he said, “Iran is already in space.”
3. The same sort of competitive fragmentation besets Iran’s uranium enrichment and plutonium production facilities. At least two core research teams and several subsidiaries are working against each other to see which reaches the finishing-line first to become the resource used for assembling Iran’s first nuclear weapon.

IRGC “nuclear warlords” and their cliques take over

The work is overseen by IRGC generals, each of whom heads one of the rival projects. Each too leads a clique within the Revolutionary Guards Corps, followers who hope to climb to status and power in the community on the coattails of their successful team leader.
Their funding comes from outside the IRGC’s official budget, obtained by their team leaders’ individual efforts. This practice keeps central government in Tehran at sea on the amounts spent by Project A or Project B of the nuclear and missile programs and explains why Iran’s diplomatic efforts lag behind progress.
It would also make it extremely hard for any sanctions against the Revolutionary Guards the Obama administration may seek to be effectively applied to these surreptitious development projects.
4. Any arrangement negotiated by the five big powers and Germany for the export of enriched uranium is neither here nor there. Tehran may or may not agree to transfer 1,200 kilograms of low-grade enriched uranium to another country for further enrichment to 19.5 percent (to ensure it is not upgraded to weapons-grade fuel). But any such deal has been overtaken by Iranian progress well beyond the point where it will make a difference or affect Tehran’s choice between enriched uranium and plutonium as the preferred fuel for its first nuclear bomb.
5. The same is true of Tehran’s options for crossing the nuclear threshold.
The outcome of the contests among the rival Revolutionary Guards cliques in control will increasingly determine the fate of Iran’s nuclear and missile programs.

Why Christian Zionists really support Israel

May 14, 2010

Why Christian Zionists really support Israel – Haaretz Daily Newspaper | Israel News.

Christian support for Israel starts with the Bible, is strengthened by an understanding of history and endures because of the Judeo-Christian commitment to democratic values, Pastor John C. Hagee writes in The Forward.

Evangelical Christians Evangelical Christians at a rally for Israel
Photo by: Archive

On May 23, pastors, ministers and priests at more than 1,500 churches in all 50 states and over 50 foreign countries will dedicate their Sunday services to teaching the importance of Christian support for Israel.

On that day — the second annual Christians United for Israel Sunday — church leaders will speak to their congregants about God’s enduring covenant with Abraham and the Jewish people, including God’s promise in Genesis 12:3 that He will bless those who bless Israel.

Worshipers will learn about the tragedies of Jewish history. Christian leaders will speak the truth about our culpability and silence during the Holocaust, pogroms and Crusades. The message at churches around the world will be clear and unequivocal: Christians can never again be silent in the face of threats to the Jewish people.

Christians attending these churches will also learn about the miraculous rise of the modern State of Israel and the existential threats it faces today. Many will leave church with a better understanding of the dangers of Iran’s nuclear weapons program, Palestinian terror and the international campaign against Israel’s legitimacy.

As is the case for many Jews, our support for Israel starts with God’s promises in the Hebrew Bible, but it does not end there. Christian Zionists recognize that we owe an enormous debt of gratitude to the Jewish people. As I have stressed to my Christian audiences for years: If you take away the Jewish contribution to Christianity, there would be no Christianity.

From the patriarchs to the prophets, from Jesus and his family to the men who wrote down the Bible, Jewish people have provided us with the fundamentals of our faith.

Christian Zionists also recognize that Israel is not the cause of militant Islam’s hatred of America, but an ally in the fight against militant Islam. Until 9/11 and the ensuing events, Israel largely confronted this threat alone. And to this day the frontline of this conflict remains Israel’s backyard.

But Christian Zionists understand that Israel is merely militant Islam’s first target. While American and Israeli soldiers do not fight on the same battlefield, they defend the same values.

Given the history of Christian antisemitism, I am not at all surprised that many in the Jewish community are skeptical of Christian support for Israel. Some worry that our efforts are motivated by a desire to convert Jews.

Others posit that our Zionism is tied to an effort to speed the second coming of Jesus. Both of these allegations are flat wrong. All we ask of our Jewish friends is that they get to know us before they judge us harshly on the basis of myths such as these.

Like all people of faith, we Christians firmly believe that our religion is true. But we also believe in religious freedom and have enormous respect for the Jewish faith. The first rule adopted by Christians United for Israel was that there would be no proselytizing at our events. CUFI exists only to honor and support the Jewish people, never to convert them.

Regarding the other allegation, the fact is that the vast majority of Christian Zionists and Evangelicals do not believe there is anything we can do to hasten the second coming of Jesus. Our theology is clear that we humans are utterly powerless to change God’s timetable. Yes, like many Jews we do believe that the creation of Israel was the fulfillment of biblical prophecy.

And like our Jewish friends we also search the Scriptures to understand what may come next in God’s plans for His creation. But since we are powerless to change these plans, our motives for standing with Israel come from elsewhere. They are the motives discussed above.

Another concern that some individuals have expressed is that Christian Zionists will use our influence to stand in the way of efforts to advance a two-state solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict. Such a claim shows a complete disregard for our record. Like many supporters of Israel, some Christian Zionists have certainly grown skeptical of land-for-peace in the face of the failures of this formula the last few times it was tried.

Yet from our founding four years ago, we decided that CUFI would never presume to tell Jerusalem how to conduct its foreign or domestic affairs. We have never, and will never, oppose Israeli efforts to advance peace.

Our involvement in the peace process will continue to be restricted to defending Israel’s right to make decisions free of international interference or pressure — including U.S. pressure.

We cannot change the past. But we can try to learn from it. During the Holocaust there were Christians who risked their lives to save Jewish families. Christian Zionists believe that the tradition of the righteous gentile has an important role in the world today. We are not the heroes they were.

We do not have to risk our lives as they did. But following their example, we will stand with the Jewish people as they face threats of a second Holocaust from Hitler’s ideological kin in Tehran and elsewhere.
Christian support for Israel starts with the Bible, is strengthened by an understanding of history and endures because of the Judeo-Christian commitment to democratic values. Everything that forms the Christian understanding of the world leads to the same conclusion: Christians should support Israel because it is simply the right thing to do.

Pastor John C. Hagee is founder and chairman of Christians United for Israel.

Iron Dome defense system gets new backer: Barack Obama

May 14, 2010

Iron Dome defense system gets new backer: Barack Obama – Haaretz Daily Newspaper | Israel News.

The budgetary difficulty that has been delaying Israel’s armament with the anti-missile defense system Iron Dome has apparently been resolved. The Pentagon has issued a message to Israel’s Defense Ministry that U.S. President Barack Obama has approved the transfer of special assistance totaling $205 million (just under NIS 800 million) for the purchase of more than ten Iron Dome batteries.

An illustration of the Iron Dome anti-missile defense system Anti-missile system Iron Dome, meant to protect Israeli towns from rocket attacks.
Photo by: Rafael Advanced Defense Systems LTD.

The Iron Dome missile defense system aced a test run in January, and event that convinced senior defense officials that the defense system was on its way to becoming operational and that it will be able to effectively protect against short-range missiles, such as Katyushas and Qassams, which often hit Israeli towns.

The project’s first phase, which included development, test runs and the manufacture of two batteries, required a budget of NIS 800 million. The Israel Air Force has also trained a special new unit to operate the defense system.

However, the plan was not allotted an adequate budget. The Israel Defense Forces ducked away from funding the project with its budget, explaining that offensive readiness was a higher priority, and the Defense Ministry has been looking for other budgetary avenues. Among other things, Israel has struck a deal with an unnamed eastern Asian country (Singapore, according to a recent report in a French magazine) to participate in the funding of future phases in the project.

Israel has recently raised the possibility that the U.S. assist in the funding of the project by transferring a sum of money beyond the U.S.’s annual defense assistance. The request was reviewed closely during Defense Minister Ehud Barak’s last visit to Washington earlier this month, and during talks between Barak and Obama and other senior American defense officials.

On Wednesday, Barak was notified that Israel’s request had been granted. Director General of the Defense Ministry, Udi Shani, is currently in Washington to finalize the details. A senior Israeli defense official told Haaretz on Thursday that the U.S. assistance was “a breakthrough, which will significantly facilitate moving forward with the project. The question of funding has been, up until now, the main obstacle.”

“The Americans were skeptical at first,” the official continued. “But after they saw the results of the last test run they were impressed and became confident in the system’s abilities.” He added that the Defense Ministry has yet to decide how to allocate the funds. He stressed that it would be at least a year before a substantial number of batteries would be operational in Israel.