Archive for February 2010

U.S. successfully tests airborne laser on missile | Reuters

February 12, 2010

U.S. successfully tests airborne laser on missile | Reuters.

WASHINGTON, Feb 12 (Reuters) – A U.S. high-powered airborne laser weapon shot down a ballistic missile in the first successful test of a futuristic directed energy weapon, the U.S. Missile Defense Agency said on Friday.

The agency said in a statement the test took place at 8:44 p.m. PST (11:44 p.m. EST) on Thursday /0444 GMT on Friday) at Point Mugu’s Naval Air Warfare Center-Weapons Division Sea Range off Ventura in central California.

“The Missile Defense Agency demonstrated the potential use of directed energy to defend against ballistic missiles when the Airborne Laser Testbed (ALTB) successfully destroyed a boosting ballistic missile” the agency said.

The high-powered Airborne Laser system is being developed by Boeing Co., (BA.N) the prime contractor, and the U.S. Missile Defense Agency.

Boeing produces the airframe, a modified 747 jumbo jet, while Northrop Grumman (NOC.N) supplies the higher-energy laser and Lockheed Martin (LMT.N) is developing the beam and fire control systems.

“This was the first directed energy lethal intercept demonstration against a liquid-fuel boosting ballistic missile target from an airborne platform,” the agency added.

The airborne laser weapon successfully underwent its first in-flight test against a target missile back in August. During that test, Boeing said the modified 747-400F aircraft took off from Edwards Air Force Base and used its infrared sensors to find a target missile launched from San Nicolas Island, California.

The plane’s battle management system issued engagement and target location instructions to the laser’s fire control system, which tracked the target and fired a test laser at the missile. Instruments on the missile verified the system had hit its mark, Boeing said.

The airborne laser weapon is aimed at deterring enemy missile attacks and providing the U.S. military with the ability to engage all classes of ballistic missiles at the speed of light while they are in the boost phase of flight.

“The revolutionary use of directed energy is very attractive for missile defense, with the potential to attack multiple targets at the speed of light, at a range of hundreds of kilometers (miles), and at a low cost per intercept attempt compared to current technologies,” the U.S. Missile Defense Agency said.

(Reporting by Jim Wolf and David Alexander, Editing by Sandra Maler)

The Ayatollahs are Asking for It

February 12, 2010

The Ayatollahs are Asking for It » Publications » Family Security Matters.

February 12, 2010

The announcement by Iran’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on the occasion of the 31st anniversary of the Islamic Revolution that Iran was now “a nuclear state” was an invitation to have its nuclear facilities attacked by Israel.

Israel, after all, is a nation that Ahmadinejad said should be “wiped off the map” and hardly a day has gone by for the past 31 years that some Iranian leader has not called for death to Israel and, yes, death to America.

Let us, for a moment, cast a look back at the Israeli response to earlier nuclear threats. When the French built the Osirak nuclear reactor in Baghdad, the Israelis destroyed it on June 7, 1981 in a daring air raid. When the Syrians built a facility described as a “nuclear cache,” the Israelis destroyed it on September 6, 2007 in another air raid.

For months now the Israeli air force has been practicing long-range bombing runs, putting their planes on a run to the straits of Gibraltar and back; about the same distance from Jerusalem to Tehran. The U.S. has been supplying “bunker-buster” bombs and there is no doubt in anyone’s mind that Israel has its own nuclear weapons.

This Israeli response to the wars perpetrated against it since the day it declared its sovereignty in 1948 has been to turn out the entire nation to defeat their enemies.
The U.S. will be among the last to know when the attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities will take place. The current administration is no friend to the Israelis, but they have dispatched their top intelligence and military people to Israel and to Saudi Arabia to sound out the when and wherefore of an attack. Meanwhile, the Israelis and their Saudi counterparts have been meeting to discuss the logistics of such an attack.

No one knows better than the Saudis that a nuclear Iran poses a threat of incalculable proportions to their oil fields and facilities. No one knows better the vital importance of the Persian Gulf in the transport of oil.

The Israelis will not wait for the first Iranian missile to be fired at them. In his book, A World of Trouble, Patrick Tyler wrote of the history of U.S. Middle East relations from the days of Eisenhower to George W. Bush:
“The first reports of an Israeli air attack on Egypt reached the duty officer at the White House Situation Room at 2:38 a.m. on June 5, 1967. They came from news agencies whose correspondents could hear the bombs going off at air bases on the outskirts of Cairo.”

In 1967, Egypt was ruled by Gamal Abdel Nasser, an advocate of Arab unity and the very definition of a loose cannon:
“Lucius Battle, the insightful American ambassador who had just completed two years in Cairo, was deeply troubled by the ‘ungovernable problem’ of Nasser’s demagoguery.”

The problem that has faced every president since the 1979 uprising in Iran has been the demagoguery of the Supreme Guides of the Iranian government since the Ayatollah Khomeini had led the overthrow of the Iranian Shah and the subsequent hostage taking of American diplomats whose release was not achieved until 444 days later when Ronald Reagan was inaugurated.

The Six Day War, a preemptive attack on an Egypt that had massed troops in the Sinai, was an unmitigated disaster for Egypt and expanded the territory of Israel in the wake of its taking of Syria’s Golan Heights, the West Bank, Gaza and the Sinai (later returned).

The Arab response was a conference in Khartoum in which the Arabs asserted its now-famous three no’s. No negotiation, no recognition, and no peace with Israel. Under the leadership of Anwar Sadat, peace with Egypt was achieved and his reward was to be assassinated. A similar peace was achieved with Jordan.

Every U.S. president since then has demanded that Israel return territory in return for peace, but there has never been peace and there is not likely to be any. Islam is a warrior cult based on the Koran; essentially a battle plan to impose Islam on the world.

The Iranian people are a wonderful people, but they are prisoners in their own nation and are currently struggling to rid themselves of the ayatollahs. Israel, however, does not have the privilege of waiting to see whether they are successful or not.

The ayatollahs and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad are literally begging the Israeli’s to attack. They have mocked and deceived the West for decades in their quest for nuclear status and power.
No amount of United Nations “sanctions” will have any more effect on the situation than they did against the former Iraqi dictator, Saddam Hussein.

One of these mornings, the White House Situation Room will be informed of the Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities and you can be very sure that the entire West and the Middle East will breathe a sigh of relief when they do.

The hypocrisy of condemnation that will follow will be vast, but tiny Israel will have saved the world and freed the Iranian people.

FamilySecurityMatters.org Contributing Editor Alan Caruba writes a daily post at http://factsnotfantasy.blogspot.com. A business and science writer, he is the founder of The National Anxiety Center

PM heads to Moscow next week hoping Russia has registered the threat.

February 12, 2010

http://www.jpost.com/IranianThreat/News/Article.aspx?id=168526
Photo by: AP

‘Iran boasts will show world its danger’

BY HERB KEINON
12/02/2010 03:35

PM heads to Moscow next week hoping Russia has registered the threat.

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s public mention of “the bomb” on Thursday would likely convince the world of Iran’s true designs, a senior Israeli official said following his remarks at a rally in Teheran.

“When we say we do not manufacture the bomb, we mean it, and we do not believe in manufacturing a bomb,” Ahmadinejad was quoted as saying at the rally marking the 31st anniversary of the Islamic revolution that overthrew the Shah. Speaking of the West, Ahmadinejad said, “The Iranian nation is brave enough that if one day we wanted to build nuclear bombs we would announce it publicly without being afraid of you.”

Ahmadinejad’s reference to building a nuclear bomb – he has always claimed Iran’s nuclear program was for peaceful purposes – would likely serve to further convince the world of the true purpose of the country’s nuclear program, a senior Israeli government official said.

“The number of states in the international community that still believe the Iranian nuclear program is benign is rapidly approaching zero, if it is not zero already,” he said. “There is no logic to the Iranian nuclear program if it is not for a military purpose.”

As recently as December, however, Russia’s deputy foreign minister, Alexander Saltanov, told The Jerusalem Post that Moscow was not convinced Iran planned to weaponize its nuclear program, and that Russia had not been shown evidence convincing it otherwise.

Likewise Yevgeny Primakov, the former Russian prime minister and one of Moscow’s most widely-respected Middle East experts, said at a conference in Jordan that “Russia has no concrete information that Iran is planning to construct a weapon. It may be more like Japan, which has nuclear readiness but does not have a bomb.”

But now, according to a senior government source, even Russia – which together with China have been the two countries with vetoes on the UN Security Council that have advocated continued diplomatic engagement with Iran and have been opposed to sanctions – “has moved closer to the Western position at the moment.”

The recent developments in Iran are expected to dominate talks that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu will hold next week in Moscow with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, with Israel hoping to hear from the Russians how the events of the past week have impacted on their thinking.

Iran’s brazen boasts of nuclear capability and its defiance of the world, coupled with its crackdown on protesters, have led to a sense in Jerusalem that for most of the international community the Iranians have “crossed the line,” and there is widespread support for another round of UN Security Council sanctions.

An indication of which way the overall diplomatic winds were blowing came Wednesday in the form of an EU Parliament resolution that took Iran to task both for its human rights abuses and nuclear program, saying that “a serious debate should be launched at the EU level on the possibility of introducing further targeted sanctions which do not harm the Iranian people as a whole.”

What Israeli officials found significant in the resolution – the first passed by the EU parliament since January 2008 – is that it was agreed upon by all of that body’s factions; put the onus on Iran for the nuclear crisis; called upon France, which is currently the president of the UN Security Council, to put he issue on the council’s agenda this month; and called on “the Chinese authorities to support the international community’s efforts to curtail Iran’s uranium enrichment program.”

According to one government official, Israel continues to engage the major powers, urging them to impose crippling sanctions on Teheran in the Security Council. The widespread expectation is that a resolution for “sharp sanctions” will be brought to the Security Council, and serious negotiations will be held about the nature of those sanctions.

Israel’s impression is that what the US cannot get in terms of sanctions inside the Security Council, it will put together outside the Council among like-minded countries.

Meanwhile, new US sanctions imposed on elements of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps on Wednesday reflect the Obama administration’s strategy of punishing the elite corps and not the Iranian people over the country’s nuclear and missile programs.

The Treasury Department said Wednesday it was freezing the assets in US jurisdictions of Revolutionary Guard Gen. Rostam Qasemi and four subsidiaries of a previously penalized construction firm he runs because of their alleged involvement in producing and spreading weapons of mass destruction.

The US sanctions expand existing unilateral penalties against elements of the Guard Corps, or IRGC, which Western intelligence officials believe is spearheading Iran’s nuclear program. While the sanctions are aimed at changing the government’s behavior, it will be difficult to gauge their effect as it is not clear what holdings the targets may have in US jurisdictions.

The administration is pushing to internationalize such penalties so they will have greater impact, and the announcement came as US officials lobby for similar action at the UN Security Council.

U.S.: Iran’s nuclear efforts are anything but peaceful

February 12, 2010

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1149191.html

By Natasha Mozgovaya, Haaretz Correspondent and Haaretz Service

White House: Ahmadinejad has said many things, and many of them turn out to be untrue.

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s announcement that the country has succeeded at creating higher levels of uranium enrichment shows its nuclear intentions are “anything but peaceful,” the U.S. State Department said Thursday.

Ahmadinejad said scientists had succeeded at producing a batch of uranium enrichment at a much higher level that it had previously accomplished. The amount was sufficient for running in nuclear power reactors, but still well below the levels needed for weapons grade uranium.

But Iran’s nuclear ambitions continue to draw concerns from the United States and European allies who fear Iran is seeking the capability to build nuclear weapons. Iran has rebuffed diplomatic overtures to resolve the issue and is in defiance of UN Security Council demands that it suspend uranium enrichment.

“Should Iran continue down the wrongful course that it’s on there will be consequences,” State Department spokesman Philip J. Crowley said.

Crowley also said he was skeptical as to the accuracy of Iran’s claims of nuclear enrichment capabilities.

“I’m not a scientists but I think there are questions about what Iran’s true capability is,” Crowley said, adding that Iran has “been boasting number of things for a couple of years, but we are taking their words seriously. It seems as a violation of the UN Security Council resolution.”

“It appears that they’ve attempted a nearly total information blockade – it’s an unprecedented attempt to intimidate their own people and it’s clear they fear their own people,” Crowley said.

“I think we have strong indications that Iran has tried to restrict access to the Internet, and it’s not about what the outsiders are doing, but about the fundamental relationship between Iranian government and their people. Iranian people are continuing to protest for their rights.

This continuing intimidation by the Iranian government is a great concern to us, and it shows the increasing bankruptcy of the Iranian regime.

White House Spokesman Robert Gibbs also referred to Iran’s claims of its nuclear capabilities, saying the Iranian president Ahmadinejad had said “many things, and many of them turn out to be untrue.”

“We do not believe they have the capability to enrich which they claim they have,” Gibbs added, saying the actions of Iran have led to the world to be more unified” by defying international obligations.

The comments by U.S. officials came after earlier Thursday British Prime Minister Gordon Brown said the international community was moving closer to imposing sanctions on Iran because of its nuclear program.

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad announced on Thursday that Iran was capable of enriching uranium to more than 80 percent purity, coming close to levels experts say would be needed for a nuclear bomb, although he said that was not the country’s intention.

“I believe the mood around the world is now increasingly one where, patience not being inexhaustible, people are turning to look at the specific sanctions we can plan on Iran,” Brown told BBC.

Officials: UN set to pass tighter Iran sanctions

Senior United Nations officials told Haaretz that a Security Council resolution tightening the sanctions on Iran has become more likely, and that the resolution is probably going to be approved.

Observers in both New York and Washington estimate that China will think twice about using its veto on a resolution after Russia recently threw its support behind a move against Iran. A veto could expose Beijing as isolated and out of touch with its fellow Security Council members.

China could also abstain from voting and allow the decision to be made by a simple majority. However, the sources told Haaretz, the United States is still trying to obtain Chinese support for the sanctions.

Ahead of its push for international sanctions at the UN, the U.S. sought on Wednesday to ratchet up pressure on Iran by imposing its own sanctions on elements of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, which Western intelligence officials believe is spearheading Iran’s nuclear program.

The Treasury Department said it was freezing the assets in U.S. jurisdictions of Revolutionary Guard Gen. Rostam Qasemi and four subsidiaries of a previously penalized construction firm he runs because of their alleged involvement in producing and spreading weapons of mass destruction.

U.S. officials said the measures were intended as a model for wider action at the UN.

“The United States is seeking to reach a consensus between the five permanent members of the UN Security Council on the sanctions issue,” one of the sources said. “This would allow it to present the five superpowers as a united coalition, which would increase the impact of the sanctions.”

According to estimates in Washington and New York, a first American draft for the new resolution will be circulated among Security Council members in early March at the latest, and the vote will take place at the end of the month.

“To be honest, nobody knows for certain at the moment what China is going to do,” a senior official in New York told Haaretz. “But at the end of the day, China is sensitive about its position as a superpower, and will not be able to ignore the position of other superpowers, including Russia, who support tightening the sanctions. It’s not going to go against them by undermining the resolution.”

The New York Times on Wednesday quoted officials in the Obama administration who said the U.S. president has been applying the same persuasion tack with China he earlier successfully used with Russian president Medvedev. According to the daily, Obama has placed sanctions on Iran at the top of his priorities in recent contacts with Beijing.

Experts, however, warned that the same tactics that brought success with Russia may not work with China. A scheduled White House visit by the Dalai Lama has infuriated the Chinese, as did a recent arms deal between the United States and Taiwan.

The Americans had earlier planned to begin promoting the resolution in February. France, which supports a tough line on Iran, is this month’s president of the Security Council.

“”This is a critical time for Iran’s relationship with the rest of the world.”

Brown said the international community did not want to impose sanctions but would do so if Iran did not cooperate more fully over its nuclear plans

Has Obama Performed a U-Turn on Iran?

February 12, 2010

Regime Change Bruited as US Troops Train Secretly for Next Campaign

Barak Obama

The hottest intelligence item bandied about in top Western, Russian and Middle East circles is this:
For some weeks now, US-military chartered airliners and scheduled flights have been ferrying hundreds of US officers and soldiers in civilian dress between the Persian Gulf, the Far East and Thailand, in particular. They are bound for a spot of R & R. Most of the American soldiers flooding the holiday resorts and local bars around Bangkok are tightlipped about their next missions, but some have disclosed they were resting up from strenuous training ahead of one of the most grueling and lengthy operations US armed forces have ever undertaken: A military strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities and its strategic and military infrastructures.
There were additional signs in the past two weeks that President Barack Obama was turning away from diplomatic engagement with Iran and towards the military option (which he never eschewed).
Is the apparent U-turn a zigzag with more to come?
In a surprise statement Tuesday, Feb. 9, Obama told reporters he had “bent over backwards” to engage Iran in constructive dialogue, but now that Tehran has moved to enrich uranium to the 20 percent level in defiance of the world powers, the US is moving fast forward to develop a “significant regime of sanctions.”
The Pentagon said the US wants a UN Security resolution within weeks, pointing out that Iran has defied five UN Security Council resolutions with sanctions banning enrichment.
At the same time, the US president is letting talks with Iran go another round, perhaps as a last throw of his engagement dice. Tuesday, he sent Turkish foreign minister Ahmet Davutolu to Tehran to engage Iranian leaders in another bid to bridge the gap, a mission that could also take some weeks.
Either way, Iran’s leaders have again won time to parlay for progress on their nuclear plans, free of heavy American pressure to mend their ways.

So which is it to be? A sanctions regime or regime change?

DEBKA-Net-Weekly intelligence sources report exclusively that three former Democratic administration officials acting as his informal envoys last week delivered messages which took their interlocutors aback – European and Middle Eastern alike. Make no mistake about President Obama’s apparent offer of more time for Tehran to accept the world powers’ enriched uranium offer of a swap, or his slow response to Iran’s advance notice that it would start enriching uranium to 20 percent on Feb. 9 – or even the unveiling of the advanced Kavoshgar-3 satellite carrier-cum-missile. Washington is only pretending to let Tehran get away with its escalating provocations. In reality, the White House has reached three decisions in principle:
1. Not to allow Iran to build or possess nuclear weapons;
2. To go to war to prevent this happening, having concluded, contrary to former predictions, that a military strike on Iran would be less fraught with danger than letting Iran acquire an N-bomb.
3. Diplomatic engagement having exhausted itself, regime change in Tehran is a real option.
According to our sources, Obama’s messengers did not specify whether US military action would persevere until regime change is achieved or that two separate operations for separate goals were contemplated.
Asked to substantiate his highly dramatic message, one of the envoys advised an interviewee to read an article written by Richard Haass, president of The Council on Foreign Relations, for Newsweek of January 22.
Haass was faithfully representing President Obama’s thinking and his next direction, said the envoy. Beyond this, he would not elaborate.

The coming NIE may box Obama in

Under the headline “Enough Is Enough,” Haass wrote: “I’ve changed my mind (about the engagement policy). The nuclear talks are going nowhere. The Iranians appear intent on developing the means to produce a nuclear weapon…
“Critics will say promoting regime change will encourage Iranian authorities to tar the opposition as pawns of the West. But the regime is already doing so. Outsiders should act to strengthen the opposition and to deepen rifts among the rulers. This process is underway, and while it will take time, it promises the first good chance in decades to bring about an Iran that, even if less than a model country, would nonetheless act considerably better at home and abroad. Even a realist should recognize that it’s an opportunity not to be missed.”
DEBKA-Net-Weekly‘s Washington and military sources note that the envoys are stressing that President Obama has already come down in favor of military action to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear arms in a bid to allay Middle East and Gulf Arab concerns. For their message to be believable and taken seriously – and not just as a non-binding expression of intent – the US envoys defined the circumstances that would prompt the offensive and the time frame for its launch, namely: Clear US intelligence affirmation that Iran was proceeding to assemble a nuclear weapon, i.e. some time this year or next.
On February 2, US intelligence chief Dennis Blair told the Senate: “Iran is keeping open the option of developing nuclear weapons but it remains unclear whether Tehran has the political will to do so.”
Our sources disclosed in last week’s issue (DEBKA-Net-Weekly 432) that Blair’s testimony was in fact the curtain-raiser for the administration’s new National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), a work in progress which deals primarily with Iran.
Should the new NIE determine from the evidence that the Iranian leadership has made up its mind to go for a nuclear weapon – or assembled its components – it will be time for Obama to decide finally if an American military strike is warranted.
The pace would be forced if Iran landed the shock of its first nuclear test, which some Iran-watchers tell DEBKA-Net-Weekly cannot be ruled out during the Islamic regime’s anniversary month.

Obama bids farewell to his Muslim outreach

Obama’s decision to aim for regime change in Tehran would be a policy reversal as radical as his resort to military action to thwart Iran’s nuclear ambitions. It would bury for good the outreach to the Muslim world heralded in his epic speech at Cairo University on June 4, 2009 and add the name of Barack Obama to the list of bygone US presidents, including George W. Bush, who viewed regime change as legitimate for achieving political goals and reshaping countries and world regions.
Since Obama’s Cairo speech, the meaning has been drained from his opening words: “I have come here to seek a new beginning between the United States and Muslims around the world; one based upon mutual interest and mutual respect; and one based upon the truth that America and Islam are not exclusive, and need not be in competition.”
Washington sources note that ten months later, the principles of justice and progress, tolerance and the dignity of all human beings have gone up in smoke. The speech sincerely meant to heal a historic breach has been swept away on the battlefields of Afghanistan, Pakistan and latterly Yemen, where American servicemen are fighting Islamic forces.
If the US exercises its military option against Iran too, the breach will widen further

Iran: Destroy Israel if it strikes

February 11, 2010

Iran: Destroy Israel if it strikes.

Ahmadinejad tells Assad Jewish state must be “resisted with full force.”


Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told Syrian President Bashar Assad that Israel “must be resisted” and finished off “once and for all” if it launches a military operation in the Middle East, Reuters cited an Iranian report on Thursday.

“We have reliable information … that the Zionist regime is after finding a way to compensate for its ridiculous defeats from the people of Gaza and Lebanon’s Hizbullah,” Ahmadinejad told his Syrian counterpart in a phone conversation on Wednesday evening, according to IRIB, Iran’s state broadcaster.

“If the Zionist regime should repeat its mistakes and initiate a military operation, then it must be resisted with full force to put an end to it once and for all,” Ahmadinejad reportedly asserted.

The Iranian president has called for Israel to be “wiped off the map” multiple times and has voiced harsh criticism against Israeli policies.

At the UN General Assembly in New York in September, Ahmadinejad gave a fiery speech that targeted Israel as a “Zionist regime” guilty of “inhumane policies in Palestine.”

Through a translator, the Iranian leader likened actions by Israel in Gaza to “genocide,”‘ and said the international community “is impatiently waiting for the punishment of the aggressors and the murderers of the defenseless people of Gaza.”

Ahmadinejad portrayed Israel and its allies, including the United States, as part of a vast conspiracy.

Officials: UN Security Council poised to pass Tehran sanctions

February 11, 2010

Officials: UN Security Council poised to pass Tehran sanctions – Haaretz – Israel News.

NEW YORK – Senior United Nations officials told Haaretz that a Security Council resolution tightening the sanctions on Iran has become more likely, and that the resolution is probably going to be approved.

Observers in both New York and Washington estimate that China will think twice about using its veto on a resolution after Russia recently threw its support behind a move against Iran. A veto could expose Beijing as isolated and out of touch with its fellow Security Council members.

China could also abstain from voting and allow the decision to be made by a simple majority. However, the sources told Haaretz, the United States is still trying to obtain Chinese support for the sanctions.

“The United States is seeking to reach a consensus between the five permanent members of the UN Security Council on the sanctions issue,” one of the sources said. “This would allow it to present the five superpowers as a united coalition, which would increase the impact of the sanctions.”

According to estimates in Washington and New York, a first American draft for the new resolution will be circulated among Security Council members in early March at the latest, and the vote will take place at the end of the month.

“To be honest, nobody knows for certain at the moment what China is going to do,” a senior official in New York told Haaretz. “But at the end of the day, China is sensitive about its position as a superpower, and will not be able to ignore the position of other superpowers, including Russia, who support tightening the sanctions. It’s not going to go against them by undermining the resolution.”

The New York Times on Wednesday quoted officials in the Obama administration who said the U.S. president has been applying the same persuasion tack with China he earlier successfully used with Russian president Medvedev. According to the daily, Obama has placed sanctions on Iran at the top of his priorities in recent contacts with Beijing.

Experts, however, warned that the same tactics that brought success with Russia may not work with China. A scheduled White House visit by the Dalai Lama has infuriated the Chinese, as did a recent arms deal between the United States and Taiwan.

The Americans had earlier planned to begin promoting the resolution in February. France, which supports a tough line on Iran, is this month’s president of the Security Council.

It’s time to play the war card

February 10, 2010

It’s time to play the war card | The Daily Caller – Breaking News, Opinion, Research, and Entertainment.

Everyone has suddenly noticed an elephant in the room: Play the War Card! So right after Daniel Pipes’ column in National Review Online last week, “How to Save the Obama Presidency: Bomb Iran,” pundits from Arnaud de Borchgrave, to Pat Buchanan, to Sarah Palin rushed to approve or disapprove of the idea. They all bring their agendas to the debate, but they all agree a U.S. attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities would significantly raise Obama’s disastrous approval poll ratings. Like politics, all warfare is domestic.

Even with the issue finally out in the sunlight, questions remain like: Why attack Iran when sanctions and ballistic missile defenses are available? Would an attack be effective anyway, and what about the Muslim response? Examination of those key points is timely.

First, no serious observer doubts Iran’s intentions except Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair, who told Congress last week he did not know whether Iran has decided to produce nuclear weapons. Although this has been the posture of the Bush and Obama administrations for years, officials now publically concede that Tehran’s huge uranium enrichment program is designed to build nuclear weapons. In addition, the German newspaper Sueddeutsche Zeitung just reported that with the help of a Russian expert in advanced warhead design, Iran is developing a nuclear warhead small enough to fit in their Shahab 3 intercontinental ballistic missile. The paper added that Western intelligence agencies and diplomats confirmed the report; other reports suggest Iran already has a warhead but it is too large for their missile.

Whatever the status of Iran’s program, the Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu gave a thinly veiled warning to Iran on Jan. 27 (Holocaust Memorial Day) saying, “From this site, I vow as the leader of the Jewish state that we will never again allow the hand of evil to destroy the life of our people and the life of our state. Never again!”

Tempo increased with a statement on Feb. 9 by Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, that his country would “punch” the western powers during the annual celebration of the revolution on Thursday, Feb. 11. He said: “The Iranian nation, with its unity and God’s grace, will punch the arrogance (western powers) on the 22nd of Bahman (11 February) in a way that will leave them stunned.” (Agence France-Presse).

What might that “punch” be? If Iran tests a nuclear device the calculus of terror in the Middle East changes dramatically, and things will surely happen on several fronts. Such a test is unlikely, however, and the “punch” is probably some new conventional armament. Nevertheless, Iran’s promise to wipe Israel off the face of the earth would spur that nation to action should Iran demonstrate a nuclear arsenal. And Israel is not the only concerned Middle East nation. A nuclear arms race is already under way in the region and would accelerate. The purchase of Pakistani nuclear weapons by Shiite Iran’s fearful Sunni neighbors cannot be ruled out.

With China refusing to endorse an embargo on gasoline sales to Iran, and with Russia dragging its feet, the peaceful option of sanctions is a dead horse. Ineffectual promises of sanctions and vague threats were hallmarks of the Bush presidency. To that Obama has only added lapsed deadlines and the offer of ballistic missile defenses (BMD) to Iran’s neighbors. Why does Washington follow such failed policies? The answer is that a nuclear-armed Iran is a distant threat to the United States, and even if Iran somehow landed a missile on American soil we would absorb the blow and completely incinerate them. So Washington delays action, counsels patience, and hopes that something will happen soon—even if that something is an Iranian nuclear capability. Israel does not have the luxury of distance or land mass, and a single Iranian nuclear missile slipping through the Aegis or Patriot BMD systems would be a catastrophe. Into this mix comes the debate of whether or not American military action against Iran would bolster poll standings of president Obama. I believe U.S. military action is a moot point, since there is absolutely nothing to indicate that Obama would consider playing the war card.

White House meetings on the subject of Iran must be interesting. If we attack Iran we face a tsunami of condemnation while Islamic leaders whip the ‘Muslim Street’ into a frenzy. Terror attacks on Americans will take place here and abroad. And if Israel attacks Iran instead, we will be named a co-conspirator and face the same tidal wave. Damned if we do, and damned if we don’t. Meanwhile, the military ball is in Israel’s court.

The world knows the U.S. military can destroy any target in the world without using nuclear weapons. But what about Israel? That country, with a population less than that of New York City, has developed a “triad”—the capability to launch a nuclear strike from aircraft, missile silos, and submarines. Besides Israel, only the US, Russia, and China have that deterrent power. But would Israel use nuclear weapons in a pre-emptive strike on Iran? I suggest that is unlikely because, as we will see below, it is unnecessary in the usual sense. As for a non-nuclear pre-emptive strike, Israel cannot successfully attack Iran with conventional weapons or aircraft. The distance is great, the defenses formidable, and the casualties would be very high. Instead, I believe Israel will use an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) weapon. What’s that?

In 1962 the U.S. conducted an atmospheric test called Starfish Prime. In it, a 1.4 megaton weapon was detonated 400 kilometers above Johnson Island in the Pacific. The EMP from that test knocked out street lights in Hawaii, 900 miles away! The Soviets held similar tests and discovered EMP effects can penetrate far underground. If Israel used one of its Jericho III missiles to detonate 400 kilometers above north central Iran there would be no blast or radiation effects on the ground. In fact, if the strike was at noon on a sunny day the people below would not know it happened except their lights would go out, cars stop, fridges die, power line transformers short out, refineries shut down, and yes, those uranium enrichment centrifuges in caverns stop spinning. This bloodless annihilation, coupled with a selective cyber attack, would freeze Iran for decades.

What could be Iran’s response to such an attack? If they can find a working radio they can announce they have mined the Strait of Hormuz. Because of depth, width, and its hydrographic features the Strait cannot be mined, but if Iran says it is mined it would have the same effect. Lloyds will cancel insurance for any tanker transiting the Strait. Then we revisit “Tanker War” tactics of 1985, and the U.S. Navy would escort any ship anxious to cash in on the crisis. If shore missile batteries were somehow still operational, a battle group in the area together with bombers from Diego Garcia would reduce them to rubble, along with associated infrastructure like military harbors. A rain of missiles from Hezbollah in Syria would have to be endured by Israel, unless another EMP weapon was used. Terror attacks would be made on Israelis and Americans, but those can be dealt with by law enforcement and military forces, especially if they are forewarned. Of course the price of oil and gold would spike for a while. On the positive side, Iranian “Green” opposition forces would have an opportunity to take to the darkened streets of Tehran and rid themselves of the corrupt clerical regime.

So it seems the “war card” is in the hands of Israel, and the card has “EMP” on it.

Chet Nagle is the author of IRAN COVENANT.

My Video about Iran from last January

February 10, 2010

Just watched this video again, the thrust of which was that Israel was really fighting Iran during the Gaza operation.  It’s relevant now because Israel is still only fighting Iran and it’s mercenary proxies, Hezbollah and Hamas.

I’m off to dive in Eilat for the weekend.  If the war begins on February 11 as the Iranians have hinted at, I’ll come home and begin posting video reports again.

Israeli Warships en Route to The Persian Gulf? | Editorial

February 10, 2010

Israeli Warships en Route to The Persian Gulf? | Editorial.

Written by J.D. Longstreet
Wednesday, 10 February 2010 04:32

IraeliWarShipWill Nuclear Weapons Be Used Against Iran?
Reports are coming out of the Arab Media that two Israeli “Missile Boats” passed through the Suez Canal, on February 6th, enroute to the Red Sea. Speculation is that the ultimate destination is, in fact, the Persian Gulf.

Last summer, another Israeli warship passed through the Suez Canal accompanied, reports say, by an Israeli submarine. You may read the article HERE.

These reports combined with Iran’s recent promise to strike the west with a “stunning blow” on February 11th, would lead one to conclude the stage is being set for a “counter strike” should Iran go through with it’s threat.

There is another line of thought, which says the stage is being set for the attack by Israel on Iran’s nuclear facilities.

The Egyptians are reporting that the Israeli Navy, in cooperation with the US Fifth Fleet, have been charting Persian Gulf waters and Iranian shorelines in preparation for attacks by the Israeli naval and special operations forces. These reports, for what they are worth, and frankly, we don’t know yet, are saying the Israelis and Americans are locating and defining routes to be used by their forces to drive into Iran, by air and by ground, to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities.

According to Debka Files the Egyptians are reporting that Saudi officials are pressing the US to explain why they were not told of US assistance to Israel in planning the attack on Iran. These same reports say that some Gulf intelligence services and navel units have actually tracked some of the Israeli/American movements and are able to document them.

You may read this report, in its entirety, at DEBKA FILES HERE.

Why do we give this report and others concerning these Israeli naval movements credence? Because Iran has been making aggressive noises lately. As others have noted and reported, Iran tends to do this when they feel nervous and threatened. This would explain their most recent threats to strike the west “a stunning blow” on February 11th.

A couple of things: The American President, Obama, is NOT– I repeat — is NOT, a supporter of Israel. Number two: Bebe Netanyahu doesn’t give a d**n what Obama does or does not support! Netanyahu will do whatever is necessary to preserve the lives of Israelis and the nation of Israel – and — in our opinion, he should.

Obama’s lack of support for Israel is another mistake, a HUGE mistake, on his part. The American people, generally speaking, support Israel. We tend to always pull for the underdog, especially if that underdog is a democracy. Remember, the US was the first nation to recognize the State of Israel as a new state. We have supported Israel, to one degree or another, ever since — right up until Obama.

We would suggest the Obama Regime get real — and get real fast — because there is another player in all this – Russia. Russia will almost certainly be involved in any fight between Israel and Iran. They will be in the fray on the side of Iran. Russia has a very real interest in Iran as a countermeasure to what they see as U.S. Mideast dominance.

No matter how one interprets the latest news about the Israeli Missile Boat maneuvers, one thing is certain: Israel is preparing to strike Iran and destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities. That is a given. It is also a given that no matter what Obama thinks about Israel, the US WILL be involved in the fight against Iran and Russia.

In all likelihood Iran’s surrogate Syria will attack Israel from the north to force Israel to commit a large portion of its military resources to a fight on its own ground. Anything thrown at Syria will not be thrown at Iran.

Obama, and other national leaders with weak knees, should not be surprised if Israel uses nukes against Iran to ensure Iran’s nuclear facilities are completely destroyed. Netanyahu knows he will be condemned by most European nations if he facilitates his nuclear arsenal. That is NOT, however his concern. Netanyahu’s only concern is the preservation of Israel.

Iran has repeatedly declared that it will “wipe Israel off the map” and the IDF is taking this threat seriously — as it should.

Whatever happens, Israel has been preparing for war with Iran for many months. The Israel Defense Forces, some months ago, purchased three new Airborne Warning and Control Systems (AWACS) and have several submarines on alert in the region.

All of this comes at a time when President Obama is asking for a 25% cut in the US Military. Even without a third front, a third war in the Middle East in which the US military is involved up to it’s waist, it makes absolutely NO SENSE to reduce the size of the US Military by one soldier, let alone by one-quarter of its force. With the current developments in the Gulf, America may find that it must re-establish the draft to ENLARGE its standing military force. In fact, the Progressives are so enamored of the draft that may be exactly what they are attempting to do.

My crystal ball remains dark. I cannot predict what will happen in the short run between Israel and Iran. In the long run, however, a crystal ball is not needed. At some point in the future, Israel and Iran WILL collide in war. Alongside Israel will be the US. Alongside Iran will be Russia. With US forces stretched to the limit, the use of nuclear weapons by the US will certainly be on the table. The only question is – will Obama have the intestinal fortitude to use them. Or — will he allow US forces to be annihilated?

J. D. Longstreet is a conservative Southern American (A native sandlapper and an adopted Tar Heel) with a deep passion for the history, heritage, and culture of the southern states of America. At the same time he is a deeply loyal American believing strongly in “America First”.  He is a thirty-year veteran of the broadcasting business, as an “in the field” and “on-air” news reporter (contributing to radio, TV, and newspapers) and a conservative broadcast commentator.

Longstreet is a veteran of the US Army and US Army Reserve. He is a member of the American Legion and the Sons of Confederate Veterans.  A lifelong Christian, Longstreet subscribes to “old Lutheranism” to express and exercise his faith.

Articles by J.D. Longstreet are posted at: “INSIGHT on Freedom“,  “Hurricane Alley… by Longstreet”,  “The Carolina Post” and numerous other conservative websites around the web.