Archive for November 2009

Arab Times :: Iran won’t send uranium out

November 19, 2009

Arab Times :: Iran won’t send uranium out.

TEHRAN, Nov 18, (Agencies): Iran said on Wednesday it would not send its enriched uranium abroad for further processing but would consider swapping it for nuclear fuel and keeping it under supervision inside the country, the ISNA news agency said. The decision is expected to anger the United States and its allies, which had called on Iran to accept a deal which aimed to delay Iran’s potential ability to make bombs by at least a year by divesting Iran of most of its enriched uranium. A draft deal brokered by the UN nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency, calls on Iran to send some 75 percent of its low-enriched uranium to Russia and France to be turned into fuel for a Tehran medical research reactor. “Surely we will not send our 3.5 percent fuel abroad but can review swapping it simultaneously with nuclear fuel inside Iran,” Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki told the ISNA students’ news agency.

The United States has rejected Iranian calls for amendments and further talks on the deal and US President Barack Obama said time was running out for diplomacy to resolve a long standoff over Iran’s nuclear programme.
Mottaki criticised the United States for pressuring Iran to accept the deal. “Diplomacy is not black or white. Pressuring Iran to accept what they want is a non-diplomatic approach.”
Russia and France, both also involved in the fuel proposal, also pressed Iran to accept it as is. Tehran faces possible harsher international sanctions and risks even last-ditch Israeli military action to knock out its nuclear sites.
Iran says it needs nuclear technology to generate power but its history of nuclear secrecy and restricting UN inspections have raised Western suspicions of a covert quest for atom bombs.
Tehran has repeatedly said it preferred to buy reactor fuel from foreign suppliers rather than part with its low enriched uranium (LEU) — also bomb material if refined to high purity.
Sentenced
Iran has sentenced five defendants to death in a mass trial of opposition figures accused of fomenting the unrest that followed the disputed June presidential election, state television reported Tuesday.
The five apparently include three death sentences announced last month. None of the five have been identified by Iranian authorities.
Iran began the mass trial in August of more than 100 prominent opposition figures and activists, accusing them of a range of charges from rioting to spying and plotting what Iran’s clerical rulers have depicted as a foreign-backed plot to oust them from power.
In the weeks following the June 12 election, the opposition led massive street protests that drew hundreds of thousands and supporters clashed with security forces. They claimed fraud after election authorities declared President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad the winner of a second term and their anger unleashed the most serious internal unrest in Iran in the 30 years since the Islamic Revolution.
A harsh crackdown ended the demonstrations and a security sweep went far beyond rounding up just protesters on the streets, snatching up rights activists and journalists, as well as pro-reform politicians. Rights groups and opposition figures in Iran have criticized the court proceedings, calling them a “show trial” and saying confessions are coerced.
Deal
Iran faces a “very short” window to submit its formal response to a UN-brokered deal meant to allay suspicions that it seeks to develop nuclear weapons, the US State Department said on Tuesday.
“Frustration is mounting,” State Department spokesman Ian Kelly told a news briefing, noting that Tehran had still not made a formal reply to a proposal drafted by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) more than a month ago.
“We’re not prepared to actually pronounce that they have rejected the deal because they haven’t formally rejected the deal yet,” Kelly said.
“We always hesitate to give a formal deadline — but I would just say that time is very short.”
Kelly did not specify the time frame he meant by “short.”
Kelly added that an IAEA report this week that said Iran’s belated revelation of a new uranium enrichment site raised concern about possible further nuclear secrets underscored the need for full Iranian compliance with its international obligations.
The draft deal brokered by the IAEA, the UN nuclear watchdog, calls on Iran to send some 75 percent of its low-enriched uranium (LEU) to Russia and France to be turned into fuel for a Tehran medical research reactor.
Probe
Several Iranian MPs have called for a probe into the “suspicious” death of a doctor who examined protestors held at a controversial detention centre, local press reported on Wednesday.
“We have asked the coroner to carry out an autopsy to find the cause of Ramin Pourandarjani’s death,” Aftab Yazd newspaper quoted parliamentary health commission member Masoud Pezeshkian as saying.
The 26 year-old medic, who was found dead on Nov 10, was under investigation in relation to the Kahrizak detention centre south of Tehran, where he visited protestors arrested in protests after the disputed re-election of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in June.
“Given his (young) age and the fact that he hasn’t had any record of disease it doesn’t make sense that he died of a heart attack,” Pezeshkian said of initial reports about the cause of death.
The MP said that relevant authorities are investigating Pourandarjani’s “suspicious death.”
Iran’s police chief, Esmail Ahmadi Moghaddam, said on Wednesday that the doctor “apparently committed suicide.”
The lawyer of a French academic who appeared before an Iranian court in connection with anti-regime protests hopes for an acquittal at its next hearing, Fars news agency reported on Wednesday.
Clotilde Reiss was in court on Tuesday and then allowed to return to her country’s embassy, where she has been holed up since her release on bail in August, French officials said.
She made a first trial appearance on charges of “collecting information and provoking rioters,” they said.
“The court held a closed session during which we presented our defence, and we will present the remaining defence at the next session which will be announced,” defence lawyer Mohammad Ali Mahdavi told Fars.
“Probably the next session will be the last court session, and taking into consideration our defence I hope that we will be able to get Clotilde’s acquittal from the court,” he added.
Riots
Iran’s Basij militia, who clashed with protesters after June’s presidential poll, will confront any further “street riots”, its commander said on Wednesday, ahead of a ceremony to mark the killing of a dissident couple.
The turmoil after the disputed June 12 election, in which President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad won a second term, was the worst in Iran since its 1979 Islamic revolution. Authorities denied vote-rigging and portrayed the unrest as foreign backed.
Iran’s judiciary said on Tuesday that five people had been sentenced to death and 81 have received jail terms of up to 15 years in connection with protests and violence after the poll.
Some Iranians had heeded calls to stage “street riots” which were broadcast by US-based Iranian satellite television, the commander of the hardline Basij, Mohammadreza Naqdi, said.
“Those groups that chant slogans against the revolution’s values … should know that they will be confronted by Basij,” said Naqdi, the official IRNA news agency reported.
The daughter of a dissident nationalist couple, stabbed to death by “rogue” Iranian security agents in 1998, has urged people to attend a gathering on Sunday to commemorate their killing, a reformist website reported.
Syria
The United States on Tuesday said it hopes for a reasonable explanation from Syria on how traces of uranium were found at a nuclear research reactor in Damascus.
“That’s what we want: a credible explanation,” said State Department spokesman Ian Kelly.
“We want them to open up what the IAEA is asking them to open up in terms of access to sites and access to information,” Kelly said.
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed to AFP earlier Tuesday its inspectors were in Damascus after a report from the agency said it doubted Syria’s initial explanation.
Asked about any possible consequences to situation, Kelly said it would “depend on the response” from Syria to the IAEA’s requests.
Samples taken at the so-called Miniature Neutron Source Reactor in August 2008 confirmed the presence of “particles of anthropogenic natural uranium of a type not in Syria’s declared inventory,” according to the international nuclear watchdog.
The discovery of the uranium traces at the reactor raised eyebrows because the IAEA is already investigating allegations that Syria had been building an undeclared nuclear reactor in a remote desert site called Dair Alzour until Israel bombed it in 2007.

The Associated Press: Iran brushes aside UN nuclear deal

November 18, 2009

The Associated Press: Iran brushes aside UN nuclear deal.

TEHRAN, Iran — Iran’s foreign minister on Wednesday said his country would not export its enriched uranium for further processing, brushing aside the latest U.N. plan aimed at preventing Tehran from potentially building nuclear weapons.

Instead Manochehr Mottaki said Iran would consider a nuclear swap inside Iran as an alternative plan.

The United Nations last month offered a deal to take 70 percent of Iran’s low-enriched uranium to reduce its stockpile of material that could be enriched to a higher level, and possibly be used to make nuclear weapons.

That uranium would be returned about a year later as refined fuel rods, which would solve the impasse over its nuclear program. Fuel rods cannot be readily turned into weapons-grade material.

“We will definitely not send our 3.5-percent enriched uranium out of the country,” Mottaki told the semiofficial ISNA news agency. “That means a simultaneous fuel swap could be considered inside Iran.”

The counterproposal was an indication of Iran’s unwillingness to trust the West with its fuel for the time needed to transform it into the more harmless fuel rods.

Mottaki said that Iranian experts were looking at the modified proposal to determine what amounts of uranium should be exchanged for fuel rods.

However it remained unclear what would happen with Iran’s uranium, if it would be shipped out of the country as part of the trade or remain inside Iran.

In Washington, State Department spokesman Ian C. Kelly said the U.S. was waiting for Iran to submit its formal response to the International Atomic Energy Agency, or IAEA.

“What was said today doesn’t inspire our confidence” that Iran will accept the proposal that was tentatively agreed to in Geneva.

The idea of Tehran shipping uranium for further enrichment was first raised during a landmark meeting with the U.S. and other world powers at the beginning of October in Geneva. At the time, Iran also agreed to inspections after the disclosure of a uranium enrichment facility plant known as Fordo, near the holy city of Qom.

Kelly said the U.S. was still consulting with its negotiating partners on a way forward. At some point, he said, the focus would turn to ways of increasing sanctions pressure on Iran, adding, “We’re not quite at that point now. But time is short.”

Under the U.N. proposal, Iran would export its uranium which is enriched at less than 5 percent — enough to produce fuel to burn in plants. Enriching uranium to much higher levels can produce weapons-grade material.

In exchange, the Iranian uranium would be further enriched in Russia and then be sent to France. Once there, it would be converted into fuel rods, which would be returned to Iran.

The amount of uranium that would be exported by Iran under the U.N. plan, about 1.2 tons (1,100 kilograms) of low-enriched uranium, represents about 70 percent of its stockpile. It would have been sent to Russia in one batch by the end of the year, easing concerns the material would be used for a bomb.

Around 2,200 pounds (1,000 kilograms) of low-enriched uranium is needed to produce enough weapons-grade uranium for a single nuclear warhead, according to experts. Iran is believed to have well over that amount of low-enriched uranium in its stockpiles.

But Mottaki’s proposal indicated that Iran was open to further negotiation when he dismissed a comment by U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton that the U.N. plan was its only choice.

“Diplomacy is not all or nothing. Mrs. Clinton’s comments that Iran must accept only this proposal is not diplomatic,” he said.

The U.S. and its allies see the export process as buying time to reach a compromise with Iran by depriving it of the amount of uranium needed to potentially make a nuclear bomb. Western powers believe Iran is seeking nuclear weapons, or at least the ability to produce them on short notice. Tehran says its uranium activities are aimed only at generating electricity.

IAEA inspectors visited Fordo last month.

The heavily fortified and bunker-like once-secret uranium enrichment facility has further heightened Western suspicions about the extent and intent of Iran’s nuclear program.

Soltanieh said that Fordo looked the way it was because uranium enrichment will “not be stopped by military attack — that is the political message of this site.”

He added that “the important message is … enrichment in Iran will continue at any price.”

Iran says the facility was fortified to protect against any possible attack by the United States or Israel.

Officials say the plant won’t be operational for another 18 months and would produce uranium enrichment levels up to 5 percent, suitable only for peaceful purposes. Weapons-grade material is more than 90 percent enriched.

Associated Press writers Robert F. Burns in Washington and George Jahn in Vienna contributed to this report.

Al Jazeera English – Iran refuses to send uranium abroad

November 18, 2009

Al Jazeera English – Middle East – Iran refuses to send uranium abroad.

Iran has ruled out sending its enriched uranium abroad for further processing, saying it would prefer to purchase the required fuel from other countries and keep its low-enriched uranium.

Manouchehr Mottaki, the Iranian foreign minister, told the ISNA news agency on Wednesday that a UN-backed proposal, which would have seen Tehran’s stocks of low-enriched uranium sent out of the country for further enrichment, was not feasible.

“We reviewed it … from an economic and technical aspect. We will definitely not send out our 3.5 per cent enriched uranium,” Mottaki said.

Iran was supposed to export the low-grade enriched uranium to Russia and France where it could be enriched to be used as fuel in Tehran’s medical-purpose reactor.

However, Mottaki said that Tehran could still be prepared to directly exchange the low-enriched uranium for processed nuclear fuel, providing the swap took place on Iranian soil.

“It means that we will [instead] consider swapping the [nuclear] fuel simultaneously in Iran,” he said.

‘No amendments’

The deal was seen internationally as a confidence-building measure for Iran, which wants to prove to the world that its nuclear programme is not intended for making weapons.

France said that the Iranian remarks were “extremely negative”, but pledged to continue negotiations.

“There is a clear and negative response from the Iranians,” Bernard Kouchner, the French foreign minister, said.

The deal had been negotiated between Iran and the five permanent United Nations Security Council members, plus Germany.

The West believes the plan would leave the Islamic republic without sufficient material to make a nuclear weapon, at least from stockpiles known to the international community.

Mottaki also said the Islamic republic was ready for another round of talks with world powers over securing fuel for its Tehran research reactor. The first meeting was held in Vienna on October 19.

“We have called for another meeting of the technical people who were part of Vienna talks and we will explain our considerations. But so far such meeting has not convened,” Mottaki said.

The United States rejected earlier Iranian calls for amendments and further talks on the deal and Barack Obama, the US president, said that time was running out for diplomacy to resolve the issue.

Al Arabiya | Abdullah, Sarkozy discuss Mideast peace revival

November 18, 2009

Abdullah, Sarkozy discuss Mideast peace revival

Saudi King Abdullah and French President Sarkozy at Riyadh airport

Mideas

Saudi King Abdullah and French President Sarkozy at Riyadh airport
(It is my belief that this meeting was to brief Abdullah on the coming attack on Iran by Israel.)

Riyadh (Agencies)

French President Nicolas Sarkozy arrived in Riyadh on Tuesday for talks with Saudi King Abdullah after warning of an extremist backlash if Middle East peace talks do not commence soon.

Abdullah greeted Sarkozy late in the afternoon at King Khalid International Airport and the two then headed for the king’s desert farm in Riyadh’s outskirts, where Sarkozy was supposed spend the night.

Talks between the two leaders focused on a range of regional and international issues including the Middle East peace process, the latest developments in Lebanon, Iraq and Iran besides ways to boost ties between Riyadh and Paris.

“In addition to the stalled Middle East peace process that needs to be revived as early as possible, King Abdullah and Sarkozy discussed many other issues during their one-on-one meeting,” said a diplomatic source.


It is urgent because the current deadlock is in the hands of extremists and each day the chance of peace is slipping away a little
French President Nicolas Sarkozy

Sarkozy had urged Israel and the Palestinians to promptly revive the Middle East peace process or else risk an extremist backlash, in an interview published on Tuesday .

“The priority is to restart as soon as possible the peace process,” Sarkozy was quoted as saying by the Saudi al-Riyad daily.

“It is urgent because the current deadlock is in the hands of extremists and each day the chance of peace is slipping away a little,” the French President said.

“The deadlock in which we find ourselves today is extremely worrying. But sometimes in these moments of great tensions solutions arise, because they give the actors the courage and strength to move forward,” Sarkozy said.

“It is for us to help them,” he added, citing in particular the United States, European Union and Russia.

Commenting on talks last week, Sarkozy said he called on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to halt settlements and on Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas to remain “committed” to 2010 elections.

Abbas has announced that he would not stand for re-election in a general poll he called for Jan. 24 due to frustrations with the stalled peace process.

Sarkozy, who also met last week with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, welcomed the willingness of Israel and Syria to resume negotiations, suspended since Israel’s devastating war on Gaza at the turn of the year.

“The Israelis and the Syrians expressed their willingness to resume negotiations,” said the French President.

“They still need to agree on modalities. I’m not saying this will be easy, but confess that we have already advanced,” he said, adding France was “available to facilitate the resumption of these talks.”

Al Arabiya | The importance of the Syrian card

November 18, 2009

Middle East Views | The importance of the Syrian card.

Monday, 16 November 2009

Tariq Alhomayed

It makes no difference whether France has become involved in the peace process, and particularly the Syrian – Israeli peace, in order to punish Turkey or not. What is important is the continuation of the peace process, and achieving peace between Damascus and Tel Aviv. This is something that I have written about repeatedly, the goal of this is not to ignore the Palestinian issue, but rather peace between Syria and Israel will enhance the chance of a Palestinian – Israeli peace.

The importance of peace between Syria and Israel is due to several factors which are in the interests of the region and the peace process as a whole. Firstly, Syria regaining the Golan Heights will serve to enhance the credibility of the peace process, and result in Damascus having a positive role in the region. This is because Syria will be keen to promote stability across the region in a practical manner, and not just with slogans.

This represents a gain for Syria, with the country being grouped with Egypt and Jordan, following the same path and sharing [mutual] interests. These three countries will be the countries that deal with Israel, and they will also be the countries who are at peace [with Israel]. They are supported by those countries that are united behind them; let us call them the political rational [countries] i.e. the Gulf States. These are led by Saudi Arabia, and all that Saudi Arabia represents with regards to its weight and position [in the region] as the driving force behind the Arab Peace Initiative.

The completion of a Syrian – Israeli peace will also facilitate the redrawing of the Syrian – Lebanese border, thus ending the problem of who has authority of the areas which are currently being occupied by Israel in Lebanon. Therefore with Israel withdrawing from these areas, Hezbollah will no longer have a pretext for arming itself, and this is a very important issue.

This will result in a [potential] crisis, or indeed an explosion, along the Israeli – Lebanese border being defused. It also means that a major impediment to social peace and stability in Lebanon will have been removed. Promoting Lebanese stability and ensuring that Lebanon stays away from regional maneuvering will be in Syria’s interests, especially when Damascus has an outright peace [with Israel] to maintain. It is enough that Damascus has succeeded in maintaining a thirty-year truce with Israel, so it will make sense that Syria will maintain peace [with Israel] as well, and this is something that will benefit the interests and stability of the region.

There is one other issue to discuss, and that is the Palestinian issue. In the event of peace being achieved between Damascus and Tel Aviv, inter-Palestinian reconciliation will be in Syria’s interests and national security. In this case, we will see whether Syria can influence Hamas, or whether [Hamas chief] Khalid Mishal will relocate to Tehran. In any case things will resolve [one way or another]. If Mishal goes to Iran, he will have destroyed his Arab playing cards, while if returns to Palestine, the Israeli – Palestinian peace process can get underway.

Finally there is the issue of Iran, and its interference in our region. One of the benefits of a Syrian – Israeli peace is that Damascus will no longer take ambiguous decisions [with regards to Iran] for its interests will be in supporting regional stability, from Lebanon to Iraq. Therefore the Syrians will by necessity have to take clear positions [on the Iranian interference], and this is something that it is difficult for Damascus to do today, and there is no blame on Damascus for this.

The final point here is that with all due respect to France’s role, Washington is far more capable than Paris of completing this Syrian – Israeli peace. If Obama wishes to achieve a genuine peace in the region, he must start with Syria. Washington should initiate this peace and it will then spread throughout the region.

‘ElBaradei wanted to remove Iran sanctions’

November 18, 2009

‘ElBaradei wanted to remove Iran sanctions’ | Iranian – Iran News | Jerusalem Post.

A secret deal being drafted by outgoing International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) chief Mohamed ElBaradei would see Iran retain its nuclear program, as well as the removal of all sanctions placed on the Islamic republic, simply in exchange for its cooperation with UN inspectors, The Times of London reported Tuesday.

IAEA chief Mohamed ElBaradei.

IAEA chief Mohamed ElBaradei.
Photo: AP

Drafted in September, the document would allow Iran to keep and even to expand its uranium enrichment program, although under close inspection. If Iran met these terms, it would be relieved of the three rounds of sanctions placed on it by the UN Security Council, as well as five resolutions demanding that it halt enrichment.

The IAEA denied the document’s existence, but a copy of it was obtained by the Times – reportedly leaked by a source that found its contents alarming.

The paper reported that ElBaradei had been hoping to cut a deal with Teheran which he could present to the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany. It speculated that the outgoing IAEA chief was trying to secure his legacy, which has been mired by his inability to solve the crisis with Teheran.

The IAEA is concerned about possible further secret nuclear sites in Iran, beyond the enrichment site at Qom that was revealed nearly two months ago, Reuters reported Monday, quoting a report that it had obtained.

According to the document, Iran told the IAEA it had begun building the site at Qom, called Fordo, in 2007 – but the IAEA, the United Nations’ global nuclear proliferation watchdog, had evidence the project had begun in 2002, paused in 2004 and resumed in 2006.

The report said Iran had provided full access to IAEA inspectors on their first visit to the Qom site three weeks ago, but had yet to provide full, credible answers to verify that the plant was only for civilian purposes.

“The agency has indicated [to Iran] that its declaration of the new facility reduces the level of confidence in the absence of other nuclear facilities under construction and gives rise to questions about whether there were any other nuclear facilities not declared to the agency. Moreover, Iran’s delay in submitting such information to the agency does not contribute to the building of confidence,” the report stated.

The IAEA also said Teheran had yet to give answers about the site’s chronology and purpose.

The document offered no estimate of the new plant’s capabilities, but a senior international official familiar with the watchdog agency’s work in Iran said it appeared designed to produce about a ton of enriched uranium a year.

That would be enough for a nuclear warhead, but too little to fuel the nearly finished plant at the southern port of Bushehr and other civilian reactors Iran is planning to bring on line in the coming years.

Barak says IDF will increase Arrow interceptor production | Israel Palestine-Gaza Conflict | Jerusalem Post

November 18, 2009

The Defense Ministry plans to significantly increase production of Arrow missile interceptors, capable of intercepting incoming Iranian and Syrian Shihab and Scud missiles, Defense Minister Ehud Barak said on Tuesday.

An Arrow 2 missile test.

An Arrow 2 missile test.
Photo: AP [file]

“We will need to expand our arsenal of Arrow interceptors,” Barak said at the International Aerospace Conference near Ben-Gurion Airport.

A top defense official told The Jerusalem Post that Iran is believed to have dozens of operational Shihab ballistic missiles that are capable of reaching Israel. The Israel Air Force says it requires at least double that number of interceptors.

Arrow interceptors are made jointly by Israel Aerospace Industries and by Boeing Co. in Alabama.

The air force is also in the process of upgrading its older Arrow interceptors to the new Arrow 2 missile, which has enhanced avionics and boost systems enabling greater range and altitude.

According to IAF Air Defense chief Brig.-Gen. Doron Gavish, the Iron Dome missile defense system, for use against short-range Kassam and Katyusha rockets, will be deployed along the Gaza border in the middle of 2010.

During the recent Juniper Cobra missile defense exercise with the United States, Gavish said that the militaries also ran simulations that tested the Iron Dome as well as the David’s Sling, which is being developed to intercept medium-range rockets.

In January, the Air Defense Division will hold a seminar to review multi-year plans as well as to consider a new name. “We are no longer just about defending Israel against incoming aircraft,” said an officer in the unit. “Most of what we do today is with regard to missile defense.”

The navy, the Post also learned, is considering installing Arrow missile launchers on the new missile ships it plans to purchase from Germany. When the Arrow was first developed in the 1990s, some of the initial test launches were done from a cargo ship in the Mediterranean Sea.

“If the Arrow is on a ship we would be able to possibly intercept ballistic missiles farther from Israel and closer to the launch,” one official said, adding that the concept would be modeled after the US Navy’s Aegis missile ships, some of which participated in the recent Juniper Cobra exercise.

The Associated Press: Israeli PM warns about nuclear Iran on navy tour

November 17, 2009

(AP) – 24 minutes ago

ABOARD THE INS EILAT — Israel’s  prime minister has warned about the dangers of a nuclear Iran after touring an submarine believed capable of firing nuclear-tipped missiles.

Benjamin Netanyahu also visited a missile ship that led the seizure earlier this month of a ship Israel says was loaded with Iranian weapons bound for the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah. Hezbollah denied the allegation.

Netanyahu told sailors aboard the ship INS Eilat “the threat that Iran poses is very grave for the state of Israel, for peace in the Middle East and the whole world.” He said Israel would undoubtedly be the “first target, but not the last” in case of an Iranian attack.

Iran denies its nuclear program is aimed at building weapons.

Copyright © 2009 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.

via The Associated Press: Israeli PM warns about nuclear Iran on navy tour.

Iran: We Know Nothing

November 17, 2009

Iran: We Know Nothing.

We Know Nothing

November 16, 2009: The government is pressing Russia more, to get the S-300 anti-aircraft missiles that were ordered two years ago, delivered. There is more urgency to this because public, and government, opinion in Israel is turning more towards a military solution. There is less belief in the West, particularly in Israel, that sanctions will have any impact on Iran’s bad behavior. Since the government signed the S-300 deal, some missile base construction has taken place in Iran, and some Iranian military personnel have received training, in Russia, on how to operate and maintain the missile system. But pressure from the West, particularly the U.S. and Israel, has persuaded Russia to hold off on delivery. Once Iran has its S-300 systems operational, any air attack on Iran will become more costly, and require more aircraft, and electronic warfare mojo, to succeed.The government has been having problems getting uranium back from Syria. Iran provided Syrian with the radioactive material several years ago, but Israel discovered Syria’s nuclear program, and bombed the research facility in 2007. Syria refuses to return the uranium, and Iran and North Korea are threatening to cease assistance to Syria’s chemical weapons program until Syria gives in.

In the last year, at least half a dozen Iranian ships, carrying weapons to Hamas, Hezbollah and Yemeni Shia rebels, have been sunk or captured. Iran denies any involvement, and dismisses all this evidence as just another Western plot to discredit the religious leadership of Iran. At the same time, the Iranians have to be wondering how the Westerners are getting information on all these arms shipments. Someone is talking.

In the southeast, police are arresting those believed to be supporters of Baluchi terrorists. This includes at least one Sunni cleric, and many Sunni civilians. India has agreed to cooperate in fighting Sunni terrorism, like the Baluchi Jundallah group, based in Pakistan. India is also willing to do joint economic deals with Iran. While Sunni Islamic conservatives are quite hostile towards Hindus, Shia Moslems are more laid back about the religious angle.

While Iran is feared by the Arabs in the Gulf, there is also a lot of popular support among the Gulf Arabs for Iran’s nuclear weapons program. This is part of the centuries old unease at how the Moslem world was, and still is, falling behind the West scientifically, militarily and economically. Even though most Arabs fear Iranian domination, they dislike Western (non-Moslem) power as well. An Iran armed with nukes would show those Western kaffirs (non-Moslems)  a thing or two. And maybe the infidels and Iranians would kill each other off. For Arabs, that would be a perfect solution to many problems.

Police officials believe that Iran is gaining new drug addicts (mostly to opium and heroin) at the rate of 130,000 a year. The police believe that are at least a million addicts in Iran, although unofficial estimates put the number at several million (out of a population of 70 million). Most of the drugs come from Afghanistan. The government considers the drug addiction a less damaging choice for Iranian youth, than active opposition to the government. Yet more and more young Iranians are choosing revolution over drugs. Street demonstrations against the government are growing in size and frequency.

November 12, 2009: Yemen is calling for some kind of international retaliation against Iran for supporting Shia rebels in Yemen. Iran denies everything, despite growing evidence to the contrary.

November 10, 2009: Israel released the German container ship it had seized off Cyprus, after removing dozens of containers and the Iranian weapons they held. The ship then went to Lebanon, where the government there began to conduct an investigation of the incident. Iran calls it all a Western plot to discredit the Islamic Republic of Iran.

November 8, 2009: The government has decided to accuse three American hikers, who, while visiting northern Iraq last July, wandered across the border into Iran, of espionage. By threatening to send the three Californians to jail, some favors can be extracted from the United States (which will come under intense pressure to avoid convictions.)

November 5, 2009: UN weapons inspectors believe that Iran has developed a more compact implosion (a ball of explosives with the nuclear material in its core) warhead design, which makes possible smaller warheads that can fit inside a missile warhead. Iran denies everything, although Iranian agents have been seeking this technology (especially in Russia) for years.

November 4, 2009: In the capital, the annual anti-American demonstrations (to celebrate the storming of the U.S. embassy in 1979, and kidnapping of 52 diplomatic personnel) was usurped by anti-government demonstrators. This was a great embarrassment for the government, and Revolutionary Guards were ordered to arrest all foreigners they found near the demonstrators. At least four were picked. The government wants to make the case that the unrest was caused by foreigners. Over a hundred demonstrators were arrested, but only a few foreigners could be found.

November 3, 2009: Israeli commandos seized a German container ship off the coast of Cyprus, searched its cargo and found over 300 tons of Iranian weapons apparently headed for Hezbollah or Syria.

November 2, 2009: Revolutionary Guards commanders warned people, especially students, to not try to disrupt upcoming (official) anti-American demonstrations. These warnings were ignored.

US, China agree on Iran nuclear “consequences”

November 17, 2009

International News | US, China agree on Iran nuclear “consequences”.

Obama vows “positive, cooperative” ties with China

US President Obama shakes hands with Chinese President Hu Jintao (R) following a statement to the press in Beijing
US President Obama shakes hands with Chinese President Hu Jintao (R) following a statement to the press in Beijing

BEIJING (Agencies)

The United States and China agreed that Iran faced “consequences” if it resisted greater openness on its nuclear program, U.S. President Barack Obama said Tuesday after talks with China’s Hu Jintao in Beijing.

Obama told reporters in a joint address to reporters that he and Hu “agreed that the Islamic Republic of Iran must provide assurances to the international community that its nuclear program is peaceful and transparent.”

“On this point our two nations and (other global powers) are unified. Iran has an opportunity to present and demonstrate its peaceful intentions, but if it fails to take this opportunity, there will be consequences,” Obama said.

China and the United States are among six world powers seeking a negotiated end to Iran’s nuclear programs.