Jordan-Israel negotiations on Trump peace plan set to bypass PLO

Another article from the always interesting David Singer.

He is an Aussie lawyer. His articles can be found on the site link for this article, as well as at his own blog here:

Here is an extract from his bio from his blog:

An Australian Lawyer, Foundation Member of the International Analyst Network and Convenor of Jordan is Palestine International — an organization founded in 1979 calling for sovereignty of the West Bank and Gaza to be allocated between Israel and Jordan (and possibly Egypt)as the two successor States to the Mandate for Palestine. His articles have been published extensively on the internet…

He wrote some very interesting articles years ago about the demographic “time bomb” that Iran is facing, which I can’t seem to find at the moment. Iran’s fertility rate suddenly dropped from around 6 or 7 to below the replacement rate (at around 1-2) about a generation ago (that is, around the time the “islamic revolution” occurred in Iran). But it didn’t occur because of the islamic revolution (you’d expect the opposite to occur), but because (from memory) the Shah introduced equal opportunity for women in education, and this was introduced just before he was deposed.

Anyway, David Singer wrote a few articles about this, how there is this huge “bulge” in the demographic distribution of Iran, and how this bulge will be moving into retirement age in years ahead, with very few young people to move into the labour force to support them. It is a very interesting issue, apparently the huge drop in the fertility rate from 6-7-ish to 1-2-ish occurring so suddenly (ie in such a short period of time) is some sort of record in terms of demographic changes.

Time will tell…

Jordan-Israel negotiations based on President Trump’s long-awaited peace plan seem increasingly likely to happen after retired Jordanian Ambassador, and former editor of the Jordan Times, Walid Sadi flagged Jordan’s legal and sovereignty claims in the West Bank (Judea and Samaria) and East Jerusalem (“disputed territories”).

Sadi – in an op-ed article in the Jordan Times on 12 August – has forcefully argued that Jordan’s decision to cut off all legal and administrative relations with the disputed territories in July 1988 did not amount to Jordan ceding its claims to sovereignty for the following reasons:

First of all, the unity of the West Bank with the East Bank was officially and constitutionally adopted on 24 of April 1950. No one disputes this fact. The Constitution of the country at the time was the 1952 Constitution, which stipulated in no uncertain terms that no part of the Kingdom shall be ceded, period. This provision makes the 1988 decision to cut off all legal and administrative relations between the two banks stopping short of ceding the West Bank to any side whatsoever. Any other interpretation of the 1988 political decision is absolutely untenable constitutionally.

The Jordan Times is published by the Jordan Press Foundation – in which the government-owned Social Security Investment Fund has a majority stake. Wadi’s politically-charged and highly-significant article could only have been published with the knowledge and approval of Jordan’s King Abdullah.

Jordan’s claims are far superior to those of the Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO), Jordan being the last Arab state to occupy and claim sovereignty (albeit illegally) in the disputed territories from 1948 until their loss to Israel in the 1967 Six Day War.

Indeed the 1964 PLO Charter made no claim to sovereignty in the disputed territories –completely negating any claimed ancient and long-standing rights accruing to its Arab populations which would outweigh the claims by Jordan to these areas – where sovereignty still remains undetermined between Arabs and Jews.

Jordan’s pivotal role in bringing Trump’s peace proposals to a successful conclusion are grounded in the following salient facts:

  • West Bank and East Jerusalem Arabs voted to unify these areas with Transjordan in 1950 and rename the unified entity – “Jordan”
  • West Bank Arabs were citizens of Jordan possessing Jordanian passports between 1950 and 1988.
  • Half the members of the Jordanian Parliament were elected from the West Bank Arab population between 1950 and 1967.
  • Jordan’s population is overwhelmingly comprised of Arabs born east or west of the Jordan River.
  • Jordan itself comprises 78% of the territory of former Palestine
  • Jordan and Israel are the two successor states to the League of Nations Mandate for Palestine already exercising between them mutually-agreed sovereignty in 95% of former Palestine
  • Jordanian custodianship of Islamic holy sites in Jerusalem is guaranteed under the 1994 Israel-Jordan Peace Treaty.

Reunifying into one territorial unit the East Bank with areas of the West Bank allocated to Jordan only requires Israel and Jordan to redraw their already existing internationally-recognised border.

Israeli and Jordanian negotiators – armed only with pencils, sharpeners and erasers – can achieve this new dividing line between their respective states within a relatively short time.

The PLO has made it clear it wants no part in negotiating Trump’s proposals. The PLO and Hamas will be left to cool their heels and contemplate their many squandered opportunities to create an additional state between Israel and Jordan since the Oslo Accords were signed in 1993.

Jordan’s decision to resurrect its long-dormant claims after 30 years of studied silence and subservience to PLO posturing should be welcomed by all who want to see the Jewish-Arab conflict ended.

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