An Iran War Scenario- It Could Happen This Way
An Iran War Scenario- It Could Happen This Way – Op-Eds – Israel National News.
Dr. Avi Perry
Dr. Avi Perry (Fried), a talk show host at Paltalk News Network (PNN), is the author of “Fundamentals of Voice Quality Engineering in Wireless Networks,” and more recently, “72 Virgins,” a thriller about the covert war on Islamic terror. He was a VP at NMS Communications, a Bell Laboratories – distinguished staff member and manager, as well as a delegate of the US and Lucent Technologies to the ITU—the UN International Standards body in Geneva, a professor at Northwestern Universit and Intelligence expert for the Israeli Government. He may be reached through his web site http://www.aviperry.org
Vital, undisputed intelligence have been pointing to the sorry reality that Iran is merely two-months away from having assembled a nuclear bomb.
US presidential elections are only seven months away. If Iran is left unchallenged and becomes a nuclear power, Obama and the Democrats will go down in history as the great cowards who let it come to pass. The Republicans will make sure of that before winning the race to the White House.
Not to worry. Obama is motivated and so is his team. The Israeli government is also ready.
So – Let’s go!
The Iranians have amassed most of their air defenses all around their nuclear installations. Their early warning systems have also been geared toward alarming in the event of an approaching attack on these sites. Hizbullah and Hamas are on standby mode. Just in case, they would retaliate with a non-stop missile barrage on all major Israeli cities, including Jerusalem. So what if some Palestinian Arabs become martyrs? It’s good for morale.
The buzz is in the air since the US has moved one more aircraft carrier into the Persian Gulf. The price of oil has skyrocketed already. Russia and the rest of the oil exporting countries are laughing their way to the banks.
Day 1:
It’s D-Day. A pre-dawn coordinated attack by US and Israeli forces has just been launched. But wait… Iranian nuclear sites are left untouched. Where are they hitting?
The reports are sneaking back in to Jerusalem and to the Pentagon. The Iranian navy has been sunk; the Iranian long range missiles have been destroyed on the ground; the Iranian air force and airfields have been damaged beyond repair. The mullahs and their Revolutionary Guards have lost their ability to retaliate. The straits of Hormuz will remain open to oil traffic; however, no container ships are ready to set sail as of yet.
In midday, Hizbullah and Hamas launch rocket attacks on Israeli cities, and the Israeli air force is busy taking them out; Lebanon’s infrastructure is already devastated. Both Hizbullah and Hamas are crying foul; they want the Israelis to stop while they keep carrying their rocket attacks. Israeli reserves are called in. They are amassed along the Lebanon border, the Golan Heights and along the Gaza border with Israel.
It’s still quiet along the Israeli-Syrian border, but it could turn ugly at any moment.
Day 2:
It’s leadership day. Iranian command and control, Revolutionary Guards headquarters and training camps including major outposts, as well as top political and military leadership—are all targeted. It’s a slow but crucial day. On the Israeli front, rocket fire continues; Israeli air and ground forces continue their push; Israeli citizens in shelters are suffering, but the attacking Arabs are the ones calling for the UN and Russia to intervene.
Day 3:
Finally, Iranian nuclear sites are in the crosshair of US command. Iranian air defenses in and around these sites are being disabled by American stealth bombers and cruise missiles. At the same time, bunker buster bombs are hitting the underground nuclear facilities. Massive explosions can be heard many miles away.
The Israeli air force is on the go over Lebanon and Gaza. Israeli tanks and armored vehicles cross into both territories. Tel Aviv, Haifa and the rest of Israel are under rocket attacks, but no missiles are getting out from Iran itself.
Missiles, air and ground war keep going. Gaza is surrounded and is under siege. The Hamas leadership is nowhere to be seen. Hizbullah has been successful in launching a single long range missile that was intercepted in midair. Hizbullah bases in Southern Lebanon have been run over by Israeli military.
Day 4:
Iranians are crowding the streets in Teheran. The Iranian Spring is on its way. Rocket fire from Gaza has been diminishing considerably. Egypt intervenes diplomatically, trying to arrange for a cease fire. The Gaza strip is cut in half and the Southern Philadelphia corridor has been taken over by the Israeli military. The Israeli Military has been seen in the outskirts of Gaza. Rocket fire from Lebanon is still significant.
Day 5:
Russia has been quiet all throughout the campaign. It has enjoyed the resulted high price of oil, then why hurry? However, the end is near, and Iran will survive. Russia needs this weighty trade partner. Time has come for some blaring rhetoric.
The UN has been working hard to impose a cease fire between Israel and Hizbullah. Efforts are underway and it looks like a day or two before final signatures.
Day 6:
It’s relatively quiet along the Israeli borders. A cease fire has been arranged between all warring parties in Israel’s vicinity.
Iran is embroiled in a full scale uprising. It looks and sounds like a civil war. The nuclear cloud has been whited out; the Revolutionary Guards have been demoralized; the Iranian nation has been trying to reap the fruits of freedom, taking it away from the dictatorship of the religious militants.
Day 7:
The sun still rises in the East. It’s a new spring day. Life will be beautiful one day soon.
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WarSclerotic 
December 27, 2011 at 9:39 AM
Wow..Whats a smooth plan and mission is really achieved without any resistance. Yes we know that America has the ability to execute such plan and do the considerable damage as you said but the operation is such straight and smooth………. hmmmm you have good imagination and also you can make lot of money if you work at hollywood and sell your imagination(no comment) to sci-fi movies.
December 27, 2011 at 9:49 AM
Is the guy the future Israeli defense minister? If not, he should be. After quitting his career as a failed fiction writer.
December 27, 2011 at 10:43 AM
Reblogged this on Basil Wheel.
December 27, 2011 at 12:41 PM
This is a very credible scenario: USA to take
down Iran and Israel taking care of Hizbollah and Hamas. That can be happen and it will.
Anyway, reading this after that debka last entry, is like Mozart after some drunks making noise all night.
Good article, thank you Mr.Wouk .
December 27, 2011 at 1:09 PM
LOL !
Luis, the problem with Debka is that it is written by Israelis with little knowledge of English.
It’s also often incorrect. Sometimes it’s so “out there” that I either don’t post it or I append a comment stating my reservations.
I continue to use their material because it’s unique and often filled with important news not covered anywhere else.
December 27, 2011 at 3:10 PM
May it happen soon this way…….
May the Almighty strenghten and guide Zahal and protect
the homeland! Am Israel chai !
December 28, 2011 at 1:46 AM
Ahhh, excuse me boys. Ummm, red buttons, the kind you push down, well everyone knows that one button in Iran fires automatically
missles in Syria and Lebanon with a manual link to hidden missles in the Sinai and of course the Iranians know a missle war is fought in the first few seconds. There is no day after missle war except for dribs and drabs of missles not hit and still able to be launched manually because the command and control centers are destroyed by first hit cruises.
You see Iran knows they are going to be destroyed so they know they must hit the first second of the war with punching the button as the second second the cruise missles blow them up.
This is the extreme danger that the most esteemed dreamer who wrote this article of drivel missed in his pink cloud of denial.
The war is unwinnable for the Americans because the war is one second long. The Iranians own this one second. They either go preemptive or they watch for plumes of smoke to launch the laregest cascade of flying TNT the world has ever seen.
Any and all missles that hit a target, blow a ship etc means Iran has won. One aircraft carrier hit and Obama is lunch.
So Iran knows that a first second launch is their only hope and the overall command is geared towards this.
Israel is on the communications link for the reds but it has not tested their ability due to the fact they will expose their activity so the Israelis DO NOT KNOW FOR 100% sure that they can stop the signal for a simultaneous launch of ten thousand missles at once.
Even the Providence lurking in the gulf cannot win the first second.