Situation is challenging, but Israel will overcome, military expert says
Jewish Tribune – Situation is challenging, but Israel will overcome, military expert says.
| Written by Atara Beck | |
| Wednesday, 21 July 2010 | |
| TORONTO – Notwithstanding his prediction that war in the Middle East in the near future is a certainty and that Israel is in its most dangerous situation since 1973 – and possibly since 1948 – eminent Haifa-based political and military analyst Elliott Chadoff told a packed auditorium at Beth Tikvah synagogue: “I believe we will win.”
Hosted by Speakers Action Group and the Canadian Jewish Civil Rights Association, Chadoff attempted to “put the Middle East into a frame that we in the West can understand it.” He began with common terms such as “moderates” and “extremists,” explaining that the players in the region “don’t fit into those boxes.” For example, the standard belief is that Shiite Moslems are more moderate than Sunnis, he said. In that case, however, “Osama bin Laden would be more moderate.” Notwithstanding any ideological differences, when Israel killed four terrorists that were travelling together in a car a few years ago, the murder victims came from both Fatah and Hamas. “They’re bitter enemies but they carpool,” he quipped. “There’s something very wrong with this categorization of enemies…. What are the reporters talking about when they say we can trust this one but not that? They paint a precise[ly] incorrect picture.” According to Chadoff, “the real terrorist threat is that of Hezbollah, not Al Qaeda.” He outlined the serious danger to the Jewish state – and, he conceded, ultimately to the West – as follows: First, Israel is facing Iranian proxy Hezbollah in Lebanon, which “has brought to the world suicide terrorism and hybrid terrorist guerrilla warfare.” The threat from Lebanon began in earnest after Israel’s retreat in 2000, he said, adding that southern Lebanon is completely controlled by Hezbollah. “When the 2006 war was over, Hezbollah legitimately claimed victory. It was still standing. They won the battle…. Since then, the ‘great myth’ was that they’re smuggling weapons into Lebanon. They’re shipping weapons.” Hezbollah’s recent hostile interactions with UN forces in southern Lebanon provided an “early indication of what is likely to be a soon-erupting conflict,” he suggested, pointing to the terrorist organization’s huge arsenal of rockets that could reach as far south as the Negev as well as a suspicion, albeit unconfirmed, that it also has a chemical weapons capability. Second, Hamas – also an Iranian-driven terrorist organization – controls Gaza and about 50 percent of the West Bank. “Every single night Israel goes into the West Bank and grabs terrorists” and “gets bad press for killing terrorists.” Chadoff acknowledged that it’s “hard for Westerners to understand people who love death more than life.” After the recent Turkish flotilla fiasco, he said, the Western world responded in a way that was antithetical to Western law by condemning Israel before starting an investigation. Third but not least is the Iranian nuclear threat, and “Israel cannot survive a nuclear strike. They know it, we know it, and they know we know…. A nuclear weapon gets into Israel, and Israel is finished. “Therefore, deterrence will not work,” he stressed, adding that despite its huge capabilities, the U.S. does not act quickly enough; in fact, a large influx of Hezbollah at the Mexican border has already been verified. This, coupled with the fact that Israel could not afford to miss its target if it strikes a nuclear adversary, makes an Israeli attack “before Iran can do it” inevitable. “If and when Israel strikes, regional war is a certainty and will trigger terrorist cells in southern, central and North America,” Chadoff warned. “I rely on the boys and girls who make up the IAF (Israeli Air Force) to do the planning and the operation. If they say it can be done, it can be done,” Chadoff declared. “Is the West up to it? I think it is. Is Israel up to it? I’m sure it is.” |
July 23, 2010 at 4:29 AM
With The Superior Tools for the Job I feel We[Israel and The West] have led Iran into The Abyss, and they will soon meet their Doom too. Before the Iranians can Figure out their Defense against an Unknown attack they will have already been defeated on their Home Turf, as well as Confused about the away game too. They don’t have a Defense against The First Strike. They only have an awareness that this could be true. If they were to launch an attack, they know they will be Anialated, but if they wait For Israel, or the U.S. for the First Strike, they are gambling, they will have enough early warning to Launch, before the First Bomb Falls.