How it starts?
How it starts? | TheCabin.net.
There was an article in a London newspaper recently reporting that Saudi Arabia granted permission for Israel to use it’s airspace for an attack on Iran.
According to the article, Saudi Arabia held an exercise to shut-down its air defense missiles to allow clear passage for Israeli strike aircraft.
The article was an instant best-seller. It appeared on MSNBC, Fox and many other websites. I got it over the Internet from several people. It was reprinted globally.
The only problem is we don’t know if it’s true. Saudi Arabia has denied the entire thing, saying their policy prohibits the use of Saudi air space for any aggressive act.
They don’t know anything about an air defense exercise, and they don’t know anything about Israeli intentions to strike Iran. They don’t know anything about anything.
Really? I wonder.
In the cesspool of Middle East politics it wouldn’t be unusual for such a strange alliance to occur.
Iran has been at odds with Saudi Arabia for years, and there is evidence that Iran is supporting Saudi radicals against the royal Saudi family. At the very least, Iran is a loose cannon on the Islamic deck that Saudi royalty would very much like to see tied down.
Iran has just announced that they’re sending “relief” ships to Gaza. One is already believed to be on the way.
Iran has renewed its pledge to blow-up Israel as part of the saber rattling going on over Iranian nuclear development.
Iran has over 250 combat aircraft, including F-14 Tomcat fighters and MIG 29s.
They have a large number of Mirage fighters that migrated to Iran when we took Iraq the second time. They have Chinese combat aircraft.
Nobody knows how many of these fighters are operational. The estimates run from less than 100 to over 200. There are 44 Tomcats, but it’s said that only a dozen or so are flyable. Who knows?
Iran has, and continues to receive, modern Russian air defense missiles.
Israel has nearly 400 combat aircraft, counting some in ready storage. Their aircraft are F-15s and F-16s, with Phantoms and Kfir’s in the wings. All those aircraft are said to be combat ready.
So is this how it starts?
A live-fire engagement over “relief” ships? Maybe a strike against Iranian nuclear facilities? (Incidentally, a strike doesn’t have to rely on Saudi airspace. The strike can be conducted passing over the gulf with in-flight refueling.) An Iranian counter-strike over Saudi airspace? Will the Saudi’s defend their air space against the Iranians? Is the stage being set for an air war with Saudi Arabia in the middle? How will Syria and Lebanon react? What will Egypt do? Jordan? Turkey? One wonders what happens to all that lovely export oil if the area erupts.
Crisis in the Middle East has become so common we don’t always pay much attention.
Hamas rockets fired into Israel are so routine they’re rarely even mentioned in the condemnation of Israel that accompanied Israeli interception of the “relief” flotilla. Suicide bombings are horrible and not unusual.
But I suspect this time all the signs are there. Israel isn’t going to sit quietly by while the idiots in Iran develop nuclear weapons.
And Iran could use a nice war to sustain a government that becomes more and more unpopular.
Without being dramatic, I find the situation alarming.
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